香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明 確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 Hysan Development Company Limited 希慎興業有限公司 （於香港註冊成立之有限公司） （股份代號：00014） 截至 2025 年 12 月 31 日止年度全年業績公告 1 • 營業額按年增長 1.6%， 經常性基本溢利則按年下跌 1.9% 。受惠於出售竹林苑住宅 單位的公平值收益所帶動，基本溢利按年上升 28.3%。 • 商舖業務營業額按年增長 2.6%。受惠於奢華品牌旗艦店的進駐及擴充，續租租金水 平維持上升。2025 年下半年租戶銷售額錄得雙位數按年增長。 • 寫字樓業務營業額維持平穩。在香港寫字樓租賃市場持續面對挑戰的情況下，我們 的香港寫字樓出租率由 90% 提升至 94%，紓緩續租租金水平向下的影響。 • 香港住宅市場於 2025 年錄得穩健回升，為本集團帶來更強勁的租賃及銷售動力。 • 利園區連接項目及利園八期項目正按計劃順利推展，全面煥新的利園區將於 2026 ...

Group 1 - UBS reports that the Hong Kong real estate sector is starting strong in 2026, with several stocks nearing historical highs [1] - The firm is adopting a more selective approach due to rising valuations, even for stocks with low price-to-book ratios [1] - Preferred stocks include Cheung Kong Property (00013), Sino Land (00083), and Kerry Properties (00683), which have relatively low debt-to-equity ratios and lower risks related to equity issuance [1] Group 2 - UBS believes the market has largely priced in positive factors for residential recovery, such as further interest rate cuts and an influx of talent and students from mainland China, but has not fully recognized the potential benefits of returning immigrants [2] - The firm forecasts over 10% growth in property prices over the next two years, supported by an estimated 321,000 Hong Kong residents applying for BNO visas, Taiwan residency, or Canadian student visas from 2020 to 2025 [2] - UBS anticipates a wave of returning immigrants this year, estimating that if 30% of the immigrant group returns, there will be an additional demand of 13,900 units by 2027, which represents 90% of the first-hand supply and 26% of the total supply [2]

Core Viewpoint - Recent interactions with investors indicate a divergence in market views regarding the outlook for Hong Kong property prices, with offshore investors being more optimistic compared to local and mainland investors who are focused on valuation adequacy [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment - Offshore general investors are more optimistic about the future of Hong Kong property prices, while local, mainland, and real estate fund investors are more concerned about whether valuations are fully reflected [1] - Overall, investors seem willing to overlook recent lower yields, predicting a multi-year cyclical recovery in the real estate market [1] Group 2: Price Target Adjustments - Based on the narrowing discount to net asset value, the company has raised the average target prices of several real estate stocks by 10% to reflect strong performance in Hong Kong development projects and high-end retail sales [1] - The company has adjusted earnings per share forecasts for Hysan Development and Sun Hung Kai Properties for the fiscal years 2025 to 2028 based on updated project accounting timelines [1] Group 3: Developer Preferences - The company is optimistic about Cheung Kong Holdings and Sino Land due to their earnings being highly sensitive to property price growth [1] - For rental stocks, the company prefers Swire Properties and Hang Lung Properties because of their high dividend yields and resilience in mainland luxury retail [1] Group 4: Underperforming Stocks - Link REIT is identified as an underperforming stock, contrary to market consensus, primarily due to the widening valuation gap with peers (dividend yield reaching 7%) and the short-term challenges posed by e-commerce being already reflected [1]

Group 1 - Bank of America Securities reports a divergence in market views regarding Hong Kong property prices, with offshore investors being more optimistic compared to local and mainland investors who focus on valuation adequacy [1] - The firm has raised target prices for several real estate stocks by an average of 10% based on a narrowing discount to net asset value, reflecting strong performance in Hong Kong development projects and high-end retail sales [1] - Bank of America Securities favors developers such as Cheung Kong Holdings and Sino Land due to their earnings sensitivity to property price growth, while preferring rental stocks like Swire Properties and Hang Lung Properties for their high dividend yields and resilience in mainland luxury retail [1] Group 2 - The firm predicts a 10% to 15% increase in property prices over the next two years, noting that developers have already factored in a 15% to 20% growth in transaction volume into their stock prices [2] - Two major risks are identified: limited room for further cuts in the best lending rate by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority and the potential return to floating mortgage rates if bond market rate cuts do not materialize by the end of 2026 [2] - Stagnation in median household income and a year-on-year decline in approved immigration visas for 2025 may restrict further price increases in the property market [2]

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities notes a divergence in market sentiment regarding Hong Kong property prices, with offshore investors being more optimistic compared to local and mainland investors who are focused on valuation adequacy [1][2] Group 1: Market Sentiment - Offshore investors are optimistic about the future of Hong Kong property prices, while local and mainland investors are more concerned about whether valuations are fully reflected [1] - Overall, investors seem willing to overlook recent lower yields, predicting a multi-year cyclical recovery in the real estate market [1] Group 2: Stock Price Adjustments - Bank of America Securities has raised the target prices of several real estate stocks by an average of 10% due to a narrowing discount to net asset value, reflecting strong performance in Hong Kong development projects and high-end retail sales [1] - The earnings per share forecasts for Hysan Development (00014) and Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) for fiscal years 2025 to 2028 have been adjusted based on updated project revenue recognition timelines [1] Group 3: Developer Preferences - The firm is optimistic about Cheung Kong Holdings (01113) and Sino Land (00083) due to their earnings being highly sensitive to property price growth [1] - For rental stocks, the preference is for Swire Properties (01972) and Hang Lung Properties (00101) because of their high dividend yields and resilience in mainland luxury retail [1] Group 4: Underperforming Stocks - Link REIT (00823) is identified as an underperforming stock, contrary to market consensus, primarily due to its widening valuation gap with peers (dividend yield at 7%) and the short-term challenges posed by e-commerce being already reflected [1] Group 5: Price Growth Predictions and Risks - Bank of America Securities predicts a price increase of 10% to 15% for Hong Kong properties over the next two years, with developers having already factored in a 15% to 20% growth in transaction volume into their stock prices [2] - Key risks include limited room for further cuts in the best lending rate as indicated by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority and potential changes in mortgage rates if bond market rate cuts do not materialize by the end of 2026 [2] - Stagnation in median household income and a year-on-year decline in approved immigration visas for 2025 may limit the potential for further price increases [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the real estate sector, specifically highlighting the promotion of "good housing" construction in Fujian [2]. Core Insights - The report indicates a seasonal decline in new and second-hand housing transactions, with new housing transaction area in 20 cities decreasing by 9% week-on-week but increasing by 147% year-on-year. The total transaction area for new housing was 170 million square meters [22][21]. - The second-hand housing market showed a similar trend, with a 7% week-on-week decrease but a 174% year-on-year increase in transaction area, totaling 199 million square meters [27][24]. - The report emphasizes the importance of addressing three key issues in the real estate market: declining new housing demand, unresolved inventory, and the negative impact of land finance on the economy [6]. Industry Data - The real estate sector consists of 107 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 1,270.7 billion yuan and a circulating market capitalization of about 1,217.1 billion yuan [2]. - The sector's performance in the past month shows an absolute increase of 2.3%, a 6-month increase of 7.4%, and a 12-month increase of 12.8% [3]. Policy Developments - Fujian province has introduced measures to stabilize the real estate market, focusing on promoting housing consumption and inventory reduction, including optimizing shared ownership policies and encouraging the purchase of existing homes [15][18]. - Gansu province has adjusted its housing provident fund loan policies, increasing the maximum loan amounts for single and married contributors [15][18]. Sales Performance - In the first week of February, the average daily transaction area for new housing in 20 cities was 24.3 million square meters, with a cumulative transaction area of 838 million square meters year-to-date, reflecting a 28% year-on-year decrease [22][21]. - The report notes that the average transaction area for second-hand housing in 11 cities was 28.5 million square meters, with a cumulative area of 1,067 million square meters year-to-date, indicating a 23% year-on-year increase [27][24]. Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on three areas to find alpha in the real estate sector: precision in land acquisition for developers, stable income assets such as leading shopping centers, and leading real estate agencies that enhance transaction efficiency [6].

证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师：许常捷 邮箱：xuchangjie@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525030002 房地产行业周报（2026 年第 5 周） 推荐（维持） 新房成交环比上涨，万科债务展期获新进展 行业研究 房地产 2026 年 02 月 03 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：单戈 邮箱：shange@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522110001 证券分析师：杨航 邮箱：yanghang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525090001 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 107 | 0.01 | | 总市值(亿元) | 12,279.48 | 0.99 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 11,766.97 | 1.17 | 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | 1.8% | 5.3% | 9.6% | | 相对表现 | 2.4% | -8.3% | -11.0% | -7% 4% 15% 26% 25/0 ...

| 截至月份: | 2026年1月31日 | 狀態: | 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | | 公司名稱: | 希慎興業有限公司 | | | | 呈交日期: | 2026年2月2日 | | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 不適用 | | | FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.2.0 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 1. 股份分類 | | 普通股 | | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號(如上市) | | 00014 | | 說明 | 不適用 | | | | | | | | 股份期權計劃詳情 | | 上月底結存的股份期權數 目 | | 本月內變動 | | 本月底結存的股份期權數 目 | | 本月內因此發行的新股數 目 (A1) | 本月内因此自庫存轉讓的 庫 ...

Group 1: Market Performance - Hong Kong developers have performed strongly this year, driven by new property sales and optimistic market sentiment[4] - The stock price of Sun Hung Kai Properties has increased by 12.3% year-to-date[4] - The price per square foot for the first residential land acquired in 2026 was HKD 4,339[4] Group 2: Financial Outlook - The net cash attractiveness of Sun Hung Kai Properties is expected to decline relative to its peers[4] - The company is projected to pay a supplementary tax in FY2026 due to low effective tax rates below 15%[4] - The market consensus target price for the stock is HKD 10.39[8] Group 3: Investment Risks - Downside risks include unexpected high-priced acquisitions that could weaken potential acquisition returns[6] - Slower-than-expected recovery in property sales and rental income may hinder profit growth[6] Group 4: Company Overview - Sun Hung Kai Properties is one of the largest developers in Hong Kong, with operations in mainland China and Singapore[7] - The company was listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 1972 and became a constituent of the Hang Seng Index in 1995[7]

股息方面，花旗表示，太古地产(01972)及香港置地承诺实现中单位数同比增长，九龙仓置业(01997)的 每股股息增长主要得益稳定的65%派息率下利息成本的节省。新鸿基地产、长实集团(01113)、信和置 业、嘉里建设(00683)、恒隆地产、希慎兴业(00014)、九龙仓集团(00004)，股息预计维持稳定。迎来五 十周年的恒基地产股息存在争议。领展房产基金(00823)、置富产业信托(00778)及冠君产业信托(02778) 因租金负增长，预计每基金单位分派数下降。 盈利方面，花旗预计香港置地、九龙仓置业及置富产业信托录得增长;新鸿基地产、信和置业、长实集 团、希慎兴业大致稳定;恒隆地产及太古地产同比下降0%至5%，但2025年下半年已因零售营业额租金改 善而好转;嘉里建设(倒退15-20%符预期)、恒基地产(倒退40%，因缺乏出售收益等)、冠君产业信托(倒退 10%)、领展表现疲弱。 花旗认为，相较于收租股，发展商在2026至2027年展现更大的每股盈利上行潜力，主要得益房价改善带 来的房屋销售利润率提升，及潜在具增值效益的新土地收购，推荐股票包括新鸿基地产(00016)、信和 置业(00083)、恒基 ...