[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 25 Jan 2026 中国策略 China Strategy 春节红包行情蓄力稳行，科技与价值各有亮点 Spring Festival "Red Packet" Rally Builds Momentum Steadily, with Highlights in Both Tech and Value 周林泓 Amber Zhou 黄雨昕 Yuxin Huang 从本周表现看，大盘如期震荡休整，市场整体情绪有所降温之后更健康，半导体走势偏强，航天军工等方向短期 震荡调整之后再次回暖。 我们判断，春节红包行情仍将蓄力稳行。从结构来看依然聚焦"高科技+强周期"，具体而言： ——高科技方向的机会：一方面，可继续延着当前年报预告业绩超预期的方向，深挖半导体特别是存储、储能、 电网设备、化工、创新药等方向。另一方面根据十五五规划相关的产业引领，进一步聚焦掘金国防军工、国产算 力/芯片、太空算力、可控核聚变等领域龙头。 ——价值方向的机会：首先，继续持有黄金及相关权益资产。其次，在震荡中择机布局性价比高、基本面改善的 低位价值股机会，关注港股具有业绩 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the transportation industry [2] Core Views - The shipping sector is experiencing high oil tanker rates and improving bulk freight rates, while the express delivery industry is expected to see a growth rate of 13.6% year-on-year in 2025 [1][6][19] Shipping - Oil tanker rates remain high, influenced by geopolitical tensions, with the market sentiment showing signs of volatility [6][12] - The dry bulk shipping market is showing signs of improvement, with increased inquiries from Australian miners and rising grain prices from South America [14][15] - Key stocks to focus on include COSCO Shipping Energy, China Merchants Energy, Haitong Development, and Pacific Shipping [6][15] Infrastructure - Weekly data shows a slight increase in truck traffic, with 56.12 million vehicles recorded, a 1.87% increase week-on-week, but a 1.6% decrease year-on-year [16][17] - Port throughput reached 261.318 million tons, a 6.2% increase year-on-year, while container throughput increased by 7.5% [16][17] - Recommended stocks include Anhui Expressway, which is seen as a stable cash flow asset with low current valuations [17] Express Delivery - The express delivery industry saw a total volume of 199 billion items in 2025, a 13.6% increase year-on-year, with December showing a 2.3% increase [18][19] - The competitive landscape is expected to stabilize, with major companies like SF Express and ZTO Express showing potential for profit growth in 2026 [19] - Recommended stocks include SF Express, ZTO Express, and YTO Express [19] Aviation - The aviation sector is currently in a transitional phase due to the Spring Festival timing, with passenger numbers showing a 9.9% year-on-year decrease [20][21] - The industry is expected to benefit from improved supply-demand dynamics and lower fuel prices in 2026 [21] - Key metrics to monitor include passenger volume and ticket pricing trends during the Spring Festival [21] Logistics - The logistics sector is seeing fluctuations in air freight prices, with a recent decrease of 2% week-on-week but a 7.4% increase year-on-year [22]

Investment Rating - The transportation industry is rated as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - SF Express and Jitu Express announced a strategic mutual shareholding agreement worth HKD 8.3 billion, focusing on building a global integrated logistics network to meet the needs of Chinese enterprises going abroad and the new landscape of cross-border e-commerce logistics [3][14] - COSCO Shipping and Peru Post signed a memorandum of cooperation to enhance cross-border e-commerce logistics channels between China and Peru, improving logistics service capabilities and operational efficiency [3][16] - Zhihang released a lightweight eVTOL aircraft named "Bullet," targeting the personal flying vehicle market, while Eastern Airlines Jiangsu will open and restore multiple international and domestic routes during the 2026 Spring Festival [3][17][19] - The tense situation in Iran has led to a rapid increase in risk premiums in the Strait of Hormuz, with VLCC daily earnings doubling to USD 68,000, while sanctions on Venezuela may lead to a redistribution of heavy crude oil shipping capacity [3][24][25] Industry Data Tracking - The Baltic Air Freight Price Index increased month-on-month but decreased year-on-year [4][30] - Domestic express delivery volume increased by 5.00% year-on-year in November 2025, while revenue decreased by 3.70% [4][51] - The average daily number of international flights in the second week of January 2026 was 1,802.29, down 1.15% month-on-month and 1.34% year-on-year [4] - From January 5 to January 11, 2026, the number of freight trucks on national highways reached 55.09 million, a month-on-month increase of 17.3% [4] Investment Recommendations - Recommended investment opportunities in international market expansion for express logistics, specifically in SF Express and Jitu Express [5] - Suggested investment in the airline industry due to increased demand during the Spring Festival, recommending China National Aviation Holding, Southern Airlines, and Eastern Airlines [5] - Suggested attention to the low-altitude economy sector, recommending CITIC Offshore Helicopter [5] - Recommended investment opportunities in oil shipping due to geopolitical conflicts, suggesting China Merchants Energy Shipping [5][28] - Recommended focusing on the equipment and manufacturing export chain, suggesting COSCO Shipping Heavy Industry [5] - Recommended investment opportunities in the highway and railway sector, suggesting Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the transportation industry, indicating a positive outlook for specific sectors such as shipping and logistics [2]. Core Insights - The shipping sector is experiencing a significant increase in oil transportation rates due to heightened sanctions from the US and EU against Iran and Venezuela, leading to strong market sentiment among shipowners [6][17]. - The infrastructure sector is advised to focus on individual stock selections, particularly in stable cash flow assets like ports, which are currently undervalued [19]. - The aviation industry is expected to benefit from improved supply-demand dynamics and lower fuel prices in 2026, marking a potential recovery year for profitability [25]. - The express delivery sector is projected to see a gradual improvement in competition and profitability, with a focus on major players like SF Express and Zhongtong Express [21]. Shipping Sector Summary - Oil transportation rates have surged significantly due to geopolitical tensions, with VLCC TD3C-TCE reaching $116,000 per day, a notable increase of 10.8% from the previous week [12][49]. - The dry bulk market is showing signs of seasonal decline, with the BDI index reporting a drop of 7.2% [16][48]. - Recommendations include focusing on oil tanker and dry bulk stocks such as COSCO Shipping Energy and China Merchants Energy [17]. Infrastructure Sector Summary - Weekly data indicates a 17.3% increase in truck traffic volume, while rail freight has seen a 10.3% increase week-on-week [19][18]. - The report suggests investing in highway assets like Anhui Expressway, which are expected to provide stable returns [19]. Express Delivery Sector Summary - The express delivery industry saw a 13.7% year-on-year growth in business volume for 2025, with December showing a slowdown to 2.6% [20][21]. - Major companies are expected to benefit from operational adjustments, with SF Express projected to achieve faster profit growth in 2026 [21]. Aviation Sector Summary - The aviation sector is currently in a transitional phase, with passenger volumes showing a 3.6% year-on-year decline, but a potential recovery is anticipated in 2026 due to improved market conditions [25][22]. - The report emphasizes monitoring the impact of the Spring Festival travel season and geopolitical factors on oil prices [25]. Logistics Sector Summary - The logistics sector is experiencing stable air freight prices, with the TAC Shanghai outbound air freight price index remaining flat week-on-week [26]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring cross-border transport volumes and short-haul freight rates [26].

Core Insights - The trial for long-term stock investment by insurance funds is accelerating, with the recent operation of the Honghu Fund Phase 3, increasing the total number of Honghu series funds to five and the total number of insurance-related private equity funds to eleven [1][2] Group 1: Fund Expansion - The long-term investment trial for insurance funds has three batches with a total amount of 222 billion yuan [2] - Seven insurance-related private equity fund management companies have been established, with Zhongyou Insurance Asset Management Company potentially becoming the eighth [2] - Guofeng Xinghua, the first insurance-related private equity fund management company, manages five Honghu series funds, with a total scale of 925 billion yuan across three funds [2] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The Honghu series private equity funds focus on high-dividend stocks, with ten out of eleven stocks having a dividend yield of over 3.4% in the past twelve months [4] - The investment strategy emphasizes stable, low-risk assets, targeting sectors like high-end manufacturing, artificial intelligence, and biomedicine to support the real economy [4][5] - Insurance funds are utilizing private equity to address low-interest environments and asset shortages, with high-dividend stocks providing stable cash dividends [5] Group 3: Future Outlook - The future expansion of insurance-related private equity funds is expected, supported by ongoing policy optimization to enhance the investment environment [6] - The foundation laid by the first three trial phases is anticipated to facilitate further expansion, with more small and medium-sized insurance companies applying for long-term stock investment trials [6]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責，對其準確性或 完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該 等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 安徽皖通高速公路股份有限公司 ANHUI EXPRESSWAY COMPANY LIMITED 關於項目中標暨關聯交易的公告 承董事會命 安徽皖通高速公路股份有限公司 公司秘書 （於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） （股份編號： 995） 海外監管公告 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則第13.10(B)條而作出。 茲載列安徽皖通高速公路股份有限公司（「本公司」）在中國大陸報章刊登及上海證 券交易所網站發佈的公告如下，僅供參閱。 ● 本次投资事项构成关联交易，但未构成《上市公司重大资产重组管理办法》 规定的重大资产重组。已经公司第十届董事会第二十一次会议审议通过，无需提 交股东会审议。 ● 关于本次投资事项的后续安排，公司将继续跟进进展情况，及时履行信息 披露义务。 ● 过去12个月，本公司与安徽交控集团及其相关子公司出资并设立项目公司 2次，与安徽交控集团共同对参股公司增资1次，与本 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性或 完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示概不就因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因依賴該等 內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 安徽皖通高速公路股份有限公司 ANHUI EXPRESSWAY COMPANY LIMITED （於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） （股份編號： 995） 潛在關連交易 擬與S19聯合體其他成員成立合資公司以實施有關 S19淮南至桐城高速公路舒城至桐城段的項目 董事會宣佈，本公司已加入由安徽交控集團牽頭之S19聯合體，並與交控工程、 交控建工、交控信息產業及迅捷物流共同參與有關S19淮南至桐城高速公路舒城 至桐城段特許經營者項目「S19項目」之公開招投標，並於本公告日期接獲S19項 目之中標確認書。 於接獲S19項目之中標確認書後，S19聯合體（包括本公司）預計將與S19聯合體其 他成員成立S19合資公司以實施S19項目（須就S19項目訂立正式投資協議）。根據 上市規則，預計成立S19合資公司（倘落實）將構成本公司的關連交易。 安徽交控集團作為本公司之控股股東，持有本公司已發行股份總數約33.63 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the transportation industry [2] Core Insights - The shipping sector is experiencing a recovery in oil transportation due to improved demand post-holidays and geopolitical tensions [6][16] - The aviation industry aims to achieve a passenger volume of 810 million in 2026, reflecting a growth rate of 5.2% [23][24] - The express delivery sector is expected to see a gradual recovery in competition and profitability, with a focus on major players like SF Express [20] Shipping - The oil shipping sector is rebounding due to increased cargo availability from the Middle East and geopolitical sanctions affecting supply [6][16] - Container shipping rates are showing slight increases, with strong pricing power among shipowners before long-term contract negotiations [11][12] - Key stocks to watch include COSCO Shipping Energy, China Merchants Energy, and Pacific Shipping [16] Infrastructure - Weekly data indicates a decline in truck traffic and rail freight, with road truck traffic at 46.964 million vehicles, down 14.9% week-on-week [17][18] - Port throughput for the first week of 2026 was 25.4953 million tons, showing a slight decrease but a year-on-year increase of 7.7% in container throughput [18] - Recommended stock for infrastructure investment is Anhui Expressway [18] Express Delivery - In November 2025, express delivery volume reached 18.06 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 5%, while revenue decreased by 3.7% [19][20] - The competitive landscape is expected to stabilize, with major companies like SF Express anticipated to see profit growth in 2026 [20] - Recommended stocks include SF Express, ZTO Express, YTO Express, and Yunda Express [20] Aviation - The aviation sector is entering a critical period with the Spring Festival approaching, and passenger volume is projected to grow by 5.2% in 2026 [23][24] - Recent data shows a year-on-year increase in domestic passenger volume of 1.5% and a decrease in ticket prices [21][24] - Recommended stocks include Air China, China Southern Airlines, and Spring Airlines [24] Logistics - The cross-border air freight price index has decreased by 19.9% week-on-week, indicating a significant drop in logistics costs [25]

每经AI快讯，1月6日，港股黄金股震荡走强，招金矿业、紫金矿业涨超4%，珠峰黄金、灵宝黄金涨超 2%。 ...

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