投资要点 萤石网络发布2024A&2025Q1 业绩： 2024 年全年业绩：营收54.42 亿元（同比+12.41%，下同），归母净利润 5.04 亿元（-10.52%），扣非 净利润 4.83 亿元（-12.63%），主要受销售费用增长26.66%（6.97 亿元→8.58 亿元）增加较多拖累。 2024Q4 单季业绩：营收14.79 亿元（+11.05%），归母净利润1.29 亿元（-20.03%），扣非净利润1.15 亿 元（-29.73%）。 2025Q1 单季业绩：营收13.80 亿元（+11.59%），连续 8 个季度保持 10%-15%增速，归母净利润 1.38 亿元（+10.42%），扣非净利润1.38 亿元（+13.24%）。 分业务：智能入户与云平台业务增速亮眼，智能服务机器人实现突破1）智能摄像机：2024 年全年营收 29.48 亿元（同比- 1.38%，下同），收入占比54%，毛利率为 37.19%（同比下降0.97pct），我们预计主 要受消费力不足等因素影响表现相对疲软。2024 年推出多款新品，如带屏视频通话摄像机 S10、超级 夜景室外云台 H8x 系列、TAMO 宠物看护 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][28]. Core Views - The company has shown good revenue growth, with a 12.4% increase in revenue for 2024, reaching 5.44 billion, although net profit decreased by 10.5% to 500 million [1][5]. - The company is a leader in the domestic smart home hardware and software market, with strong growth in secondary and tertiary hardware categories, and the cloud platform is expected to benefit from the AI wave [4][6]. - The company plans to increase marketing investments, which may impact profitability in the short term but is expected to drive long-term growth [4][6]. Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.38 billion, a 11.6% increase, and net profit of 140 million, a 10.4% increase [1]. - The company's camera revenue decreased by 1.4% to 2.95 billion in 2024, while smart home revenue grew by 47.9% to 750 million [2]. - The cloud platform revenue grew by 22.9% to 1.05 billion, with C-end revenue increasing by 19.5% and B-end revenue by 26.3% [3]. Financial Forecasts - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 620 million, 737 million, and 863 million respectively, with growth rates of 22.9%, 19%, and 17% [4][5]. - The projected PE ratios for 2025-2027 are 46, 38, and 33 times [4][5]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.35 per share, with a cash dividend rate of 54.7% [1].

Key Insights - The report highlights the evolving factors influencing the 10Y government bond yield in China, indicating a shift from CPI as a primary indicator to a more complex interplay of financial data, real estate prices, and external factors like the USD index [9][10][11] - The export growth of China showed a strong rebound in March, driven by the timing of the Spring Festival, but overall export growth for the first quarter has declined compared to the previous quarter, particularly in sectors like automobiles and electronics, indicating marginal adjustment pressures [4][12][13] - The financial data for March indicates a significant increase in social financing, primarily driven by government bonds and loans, suggesting a proactive fiscal stance, while corporate credit bonds saw a decrease, reflecting rising financing costs [5][14][22][23] Group 1: Bond Market Analysis - The report discusses the iterative exploration of factors affecting the 10Y government bond yield, emphasizing the need for a revised predictive model that incorporates new variables such as the USD index and adjusted financial data [9][10][11] - The analysis suggests that the bond market may experience volatility depending on future monetary policy decisions, particularly regarding interest rate cuts and the overall economic environment [5][14][17] Group 2: Trade and Export Insights - The report notes that the challenges facing China's exports are exacerbated by the cumulative 145% tariffs imposed by the US on many Chinese goods, which could lead to a negative growth rate in exports in the second quarter [4][12][13] - It is projected that if the trend of reduced exports to the US continues, it could significantly impact China's overall export growth, with potential declines in other regions also anticipated [4][12][13] Group 3: Financial Data Overview - The March financial data shows a robust increase in social financing, with a notable contribution from government bonds, indicating a shift towards fiscal stimulus [5][14][22] - The report highlights that corporate short-term loans are on the rise, while long-term loans are decreasing, reflecting a preference for immediate financing solutions amid economic uncertainties [22][23]

Group 1: YingShi Network - YingShi Network has made significant progress in smart home cameras, cloud services, and smart home integration, with smart home integration becoming a second growth curve and profitability gradually improving [1] - The company is increasing its investment in smart home cameras, launching screen cameras and interactive robots, while AI services are gradually being implemented [1] - Despite the downturn in the real estate market, the company's pre-installation business accounts for a low percentage, and its post-installation business is mainly unaffected by new home deliveries [1] Group 2: Lanqi Technology - Lanqi Technology will focus on the research and development of computing power chips for intelligent hardware bases over the next 5-10 years, emphasizing the importance of interconnect chips [2] - The demand for DDR5 memory interface chips is expected to increase significantly due to trends in the AI industry, with the second generation of MRDIMM likely becoming a preferred solution for high-performance computing and AI applications [2] - The company has a strong core business with high-margin products, timely customer payments, and effective cost and inventory management [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price based on the last closing price of 36.40 [1][8] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 54.42 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.41%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.04 billion yuan, down 10.52% [4][5] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 13.8 billion yuan, an increase of 11.59%, and a net profit of 1.38 billion yuan, up 10.42% [4][6] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 3.5 billion yuan to shareholders, with a payout ratio of 54.70% [4] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, the revenue from various segments was as follows: smart home cameras at 29.48 billion yuan (-1.38%), smart entry at 7.48 billion yuan (+47.87%), smart service robots at 1.66 billion yuan (+265.12%), and cloud platform services at 10.52 billion yuan (+22.87%) [5] - Domestic sales reached 34.87 billion yuan (+5.65%), while overseas sales were 19.12 billion yuan (+26.42%), indicating strong growth in international markets [5] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 42.55%, showing a slight decrease of 0.17 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 10.00%, down 0.13 percentage points [6] - The company’s expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and financial costs were 14.28%, 3.06%, 14.75%, and -1.64%, respectively, with management expenses showing continuous optimization [6] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 6.91 billion yuan, 8.73 billion yuan, and 10.95 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.88 yuan, 1.11 yuan, and 1.39 yuan [8][9] - The projected revenue growth rates for the next few years are 17.60% for 2025, 17.20% for 2026, and 15.80% for 2027 [9][11] Industry Outlook - The report highlights the potential for growth in the smart home industry, driven by advancements in AI and privacy capabilities, which are expected to enhance the company's competitive edge [6][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price based on the last closing price of 36.40 [1][8] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 54.42 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.41%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.04 billion yuan, down 10.52% [4][5] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 13.8 billion yuan, an increase of 11.59%, and a net profit of 1.38 billion yuan, up 10.42% [4][6] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 3.5 billion yuan to shareholders, with a payout ratio of 54.70% [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue from smart home cameras, smart entry, smart service robots, and cloud platform services were 29.48 billion yuan (-1.38%), 7.48 billion yuan (+47.87%), 1.66 billion yuan (+265.12%), and 10.52 billion yuan (+22.87%) respectively [5] - For Q1 2025, the gross margin was 42.55%, and the net margin was 10.00% [6][8] Product and Market Development - The smart entry business is rapidly growing and becoming a cash cow, while the smart service robots are showing impressive growth [5] - The IoT cloud platform's revenue is also growing at a double-digit rate, with a high-margin segment's contribution increasing to 19.33% [5] Future Projections - The company expects net profits of 6.91 billion yuan, 8.73 billion yuan, and 10.95 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.88 yuan, 1.11 yuan, and 1.39 yuan [8][9] - The projected revenue growth rates for the next few years are 17.60% for 2025, 17.20% for 2026, and 15.80% for 2027 [9][11]

萤石网络(688475.SH)2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 AI+云全面赋能，云 PaaS 模式付费率迎来新高 2025 年 04 月 14 日 ➢ 事件：2025 年 4 月 11 日，萤石网络发布 2024 年度报告及 2025 年一季度 报告，2024 年实现营业收入 54.42 亿元，同比增长 12.41%；归母净利润 5.04 亿元，同比下降 10.52%。2025 年一季度实现营业收入 13.80 亿元，同比增长 11.59%；归母净利润 1.38 亿元，同比增长 10.42%。 ➢ 打造 PaaS 物联网云平台服务模式，用户付费率持续提升。作为全球化物联 网云平台服务提供商，萤石云通过构建多数据中心+就近服务点的方式服务客户。 萤石云聚焦视觉技术，与 B 端开发者客户共创以 AI 音视频为核心的全栈开放的 PaaS 物联网云平台服务模式。2024 年，公司云平台服务实现收入 10.52 亿元， 同比增长 22.87%；月活跃用户数 6552.81 万名，同比增长 20.31%；以月活为 基准人均付费 16.06 元，同比增长 2.12%。其中，C 端增值服务收入 5.16 亿元， ...

公 司 报 告 2025年04月14日 萤石网络(688475.SH) 公司营收实现平稳增长，智能家居产品线持续完善 推荐 ( 维持) 股价:36.4元 行情走势图 证券分析师 事项： 计算机 公司公告2024年年报和2025年一季报。2024年，公司实现营业收入54.42亿 元，同比增长12.41%；实现归母净利润5.04亿元，同比下降10.52%。2025年 一季度，公司实现营业收入13.80亿元，同比增长11.59%；实现归母净利润 1.38亿元，同比增长10.42%。公司发布利润分配预案：拟向全体股东每股派 发现金红利0.35元（含税），派发现金红利275,625,000.00元（含税），占公 司2024年合并报表归属于上市公司股东净利润的54.70%。 平安观点： 公 司 年 报 点 评 研 究 报 告 HUANGWEIHAN235@pingan.com.cn 研究助理 | 王佳一 | 一般证券从业资格编号 | | --- | --- | | | S1060123070023 | | | WANGJIAYI446@pingan.com.cn | | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating an expected performance that exceeds the market by more than 5% over the next six months [24]. Core Viewpoints - The ongoing evolution of global trade frictions necessitates a focus on investment opportunities within the domestic innovation industry, particularly in the context of rising tariffs and the potential for increased market share of domestic technology products [3][5]. - The introduction of Google's Agent2Agent Protocol aims to standardize interactions between AI agents, which could enhance interoperability and resource sharing across various platforms, thereby fostering ecosystem development [9][11]. - The computer industry is anticipated to experience dual improvements in performance and valuation due to accelerating demand recovery, with specific recommendations for investment in various sectors including domestic innovation, Huawei's supply chain, AI, low-altitude economy, and financial IT [20]. Summary by Sections Industry News and Commentary - The U.S. government has increased tariffs on Chinese imports to 125%, while certain tech products have been exempted from these tariffs, indicating a complex trade environment that may benefit domestic technology sectors [6][7]. - The domestic innovation industry is expected to develop rapidly, with a projected market size exceeding 400 billion yuan for PC and server markets from 2024 to 2028, driven by the increasing acceptance of domestic hardware and software products [8]. Weekly Market Review - The computer industry index fell by 5.79% last week, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which declined by 2.87%. The overall P/E ratio for the computer industry stands at 50.8 times [14][17]. - Among 360 A-share stocks in the computer sector, 32 saw price increases, while 327 experienced declines, reflecting a challenging market environment [17]. Investment Recommendations - The report strongly recommends focusing on the domestic innovation sector, with specific companies highlighted for investment, including Haiguang Information, Longxin Zhongke, and others. Additionally, sectors such as Huawei's supply chain and AI are also recommended for investment [20].

业绩简评 2025 年 4 月 11 日，公司发布 24 年年报及 25 年一季报，24 全年实现营收 54.42 亿元，同比增长 12.41%；实现归母净利 润 5.04 亿元，同比下降 10.52%。24Q4 实现营收 14.79 亿 元，同比增长 11.05%；实现归母净利润 1.29 亿元，同比下 降 20.03%。25Q1 实现营收 13.80 亿元，同比增长 11.59%； 实现归母净利润 1.38 亿元，同比增长 10.42%。 业绩简评 盈利预测、估值与评级 预计公司 25~27 年营业收入为 67.9/81.5/96.2 亿元，同比增 长 24.8%/20.1%/18.0%；归母净利润为 7.0/8.7/10.9 亿元， 同比增长 39.0%/24.1%/25.4%，对应 41/33/26X PE，维持"买 入"评级。 风险提示 SHC 国内增长趋缓拖累云平台收入增长的风险；清洁机器人 销售进展不及预期的风险；行业竞争加剧影响利润率的风险。 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 24.00 28.00 32.00 36.00 40.00 44 ...