2026年春节假期再次延长，将保障探亲出游继续两旺。近日全国春运电视电话会议预计，2026年春运跨 区域人员流动量将达95亿人次，同比增长约5.3%，将再创历史新高。 其中，铁路、民航客运量总体规模和单日峰值均有望超过历史同期峰值。 中国民航局运输司司长徐青1月29日在国新办新闻发布会上表示，今年民航春运除了传统的返乡过年 外，出入境游和北方冰雪游和南方避寒游也将成为热点。预计旅游航线将迎来新的出行高峰。据预测， 今年春运全国民航旅客运输量将达到9500万人次，同比增长约5.3%。 摩根士丹利称，将中国国航、中国东方航空和南方航空的A股评级上调至超配。在需求顺风的推动下， 始于去年四季度的复苏可能会在2026-2027年继续获得动能，尽管投资者仓位和信心仍然较低，但潜在 的价格上调将有助提振市场情绪。摩根大通对三大航H股及春秋航空维持超配评级。 航空公司相关产业港股： 中国国航(00753)；东方航空(00670)；南方航空(01055)；国泰航空(00293) 中银航空租赁(02588)：瑞银发布研报称，中银航空租赁(02588)受惠于资产增长重新加速，现正朝着新 的股东权益回报率(ROE)上升周期迈进，预 ...

航空公司相关产业港股： 2月5日，空客在其最新的亚太地区《全球航空服务市场预测》报告中预测，到2044年，该地区的服务总 需求将以5.2%的复合年均增长率增长，市场价值预计将达到1387亿美元。这种持续增长将得益于航空 客运量和机队规模的扩大。未来20年，亚太地区将需要19560架新客机，占预测期内全球总需求的 46%。预计该地区仍将是全球增长最快的航空旅行市场，客运量年增长率为4.4%。高于3.6%的全球平均 水平。 据航旅纵横大数据显示，截至1月29日国内航线预订量已超716万张，日均机票预订量同比+16%。 银河证券表示，高频预订数据与官方运量预测形成交叉印证，反映民航出行需求旺盛，叠加航班供给稳 步释放，有望支撑春运民航客流与收益水平同步改善。 摩根士丹利称，将中国国航（601111）、中国东方航空和南方航空（600029）的A股评级上调至超配。 在需求顺风的推动下，始于去年四季度的复苏可能会在2026-2027年继续获得动能，尽管投资者仓位和 信心仍然较低，但潜在的价格上调将有助提振市场情绪。摩根大通对三大航H股及春秋航空（601021） 维持超配评级。 2026年春节假期再次延长，将保障探亲出游继 ...

海致科技集团 (招股中) 沃尔核材 新股活动 智通财经APP获悉，2026年2月9日，港股上市公司投资日志如下： 类别 公司 (招股中) 股东大会召开日 先导智能 (定价日) 澜起科技 (上市日) 业绩公布日 香港电讯-SS 盈大地产 中国平安 光正教育 国泰航空 中伟新材 高奥士国际 中国银河 百奥赛图-B 威高股份 辰林教育 正通汽车 招商银行 （派息日） 万邦投资 （派息日） 博富临置业 （除净日） 中信证券 （派息日） 分红派息 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the aviation sector, indicating a potential "golden era" for airlines due to improving demand and supply constraints [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights India's potential reduction in Russian oil imports, shifting towards sourcing from non-sanctioned countries like the US and Venezuela, which may impact shipping dynamics [2]. - The report emphasizes the strengthening of the shipbuilding sector, with recommendations for companies like China Shipbuilding and China Power, as the dollar strengthens [2]. - The report notes that VLCC freight rates remain high, with a slight increase of 2% week-on-week, indicating a complex interplay between supply and demand in the oil shipping market [2]. - The aviation sector is expected to see significant improvements in profitability due to historical high passenger load factors and a growing trend in international travel [2]. - The express delivery industry faces uncertainties in demand and regulatory policies, but leading companies like ZTO Express and YTO Express are expected to maintain their market share and profitability [2]. Summary by Sections Shipping and Oil Transportation - VLCC freight rates have shown a week-on-week increase of 2%, with current rates at $124,743 per day, while Suezmax and Aframax rates have decreased by 3% and 7% respectively [2]. - The report discusses the impact of geopolitical tensions on shipping rates, particularly in the context of the Middle East and the Black Sea region [2]. Aviation - The aviation sector is poised for a significant turnaround, with airlines expected to benefit from increased capacity allocation to international routes and a favorable oil price environment [2]. - Companies such as China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and Spring Airlines are highlighted as key players to watch in this sector [2]. Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is characterized by a concentration of market share among leading firms, with ZTO Express and YTO Express being noted for their resilience and growth potential [2]. - The report suggests that despite uncertainties, the competitive landscape will favor established players [2]. Rail and Road Transportation - Rail freight volumes and highway truck traffic have shown resilience, with a reported increase of 2.27% and 4.75% respectively in recent weeks [2]. - The report identifies two main investment themes in the highway sector: high dividend yields and potential value management opportunities [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the transportation industry, particularly highlighting the potential for a "golden era" in aviation [1]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes India's potential reduction in oil imports from Russia, shifting towards sourcing from non-sanctioned countries like the US and Venezuela, which could impact shipping dynamics [3]. - The strengthening of the US dollar is expected to benefit the shipbuilding sector, with Q1 performance anticipated to improve [3]. - The report suggests that the aviation sector is poised for significant growth due to historical high passenger load factors and increasing international travel demand, despite supply constraints [3]. Summary by Sections Transportation Industry Performance - The transportation index increased by 1.90%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 3.23 percentage points [4]. - The aviation sector saw the highest increase at 8.15%, while the raw materials supply chain services experienced a decline of 2.10% [4]. Shipping and Freight Rates - The VLCC average freight rate rose slightly by 2% to $124,743 per day, with Middle East to Far East rates remaining stable at $134,282 per day [3]. - The report notes fluctuations in various shipping rates, with Suezmax rates declining by 3% to $94,768 per day and Aframax rates down by 7% to $91,146 per day [3]. Aviation Sector - The report highlights the unprecedented challenges in the aircraft manufacturing supply chain and the aging fleet, which is expected to constrain supply [3]. - It predicts a significant improvement in airline profitability as more capacity is allocated to international routes, marking a turning point for the industry [3]. Express Delivery and Logistics - The express delivery sector faces uncertainties in demand and regulatory policies, but leading companies like ZTO Express and YTO Express are expected to gain market share [3]. - SF Express is noted for its structural adjustments and potential bottoming opportunities [3]. Rail and Road Transport - Rail freight volumes and highway truck traffic are showing resilience, with national rail freight reaching 76.1 million tons, a 2.27% increase week-on-week [3]. - The report identifies two main investment themes in the highway sector: high dividend stocks and undervalued stocks with potential for market capitalization management [3].

Core Viewpoint - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) has announced the "Model Central Enterprises" for 2025, emphasizing the importance of promoting advanced deeds and spirits of model enterprises to inspire high-quality development in central enterprises [1][3]. Group 1: Announcement of Model Central Enterprises - The 2025 "Model Central Enterprises" include notable teams and individuals such as Chen Liang from China National Nuclear Corporation, the "9·3" military parade aviation equipment support team from Aviation Industry Corporation of China, and the deep well attack team from China National Petroleum Corporation [3]. - Zhang Yuzhuo, the Secretary of the SASAC Party Committee, expressed high respect for the awarded teams and individuals, highlighting their contributions to the high-quality development of state-owned enterprises [3]. Group 2: Inspirational Messages and Responsibilities - Zhang emphasized that the new era is one for strivers, and the model representatives embody the spirit of dedication and patriotism, motivating countless employees to pursue progress and innovation [4]. - Central enterprise party committees are urged to pay attention to and care for the model representatives, widely publicizing their advanced deeds to inspire employees to contribute to the national economic and social development [4].

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to hold at 26,000 points, influenced by the hawkish stance of the newly appointed Federal Reserve Chairman and a rebound in the US dollar index, which has led to market adjustments in commodities [2] - The Chinese GDP growth target for 2026 is anticipated to be set between 4.5% and 5%, lower than the previous target of around 5% for 2025, as local governments have begun to lower their GDP targets ahead of the Two Sessions [2] - Regulatory measures have been implemented to cool the market, including increased financing margin ratios on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, which has led to a collective reduction in leverage across the three markets [2] Sector Focus - Macau gaming stocks are favored in the short term due to January's gambling revenue exceeding expectations, with the upcoming Spring Festival serving as a catalyst for growth [3] Macro Focus - China's January RatingDog services PMI rose to 52.3, indicating an acceleration in service sector expansion, with new export orders showing strong growth [7] - The People's Bank of China emphasizes the need to support domestic demand and technological innovation in its 2026 credit market work [7] - The US ADP reported a lower-than-expected increase of 22,000 private sector jobs in January, indicating potential labor market weaknesses [7] Company News - Walden Materials (9981) is launching an IPO to raise approximately HKD 28 billion, with a share price capped at HKD 20.09 [9] - Baidu Group (9888) plans to repurchase USD 5 billion in shares and will announce its first dividend this year [9] - Meituan (3690) and Tencent (0700) are taking measures to regulate promotional activities on their platforms, reflecting a tightening of marketing practices [9] - BYD (1211) reported a tenfold increase in electric vehicle sales in Germany, significantly outperforming Tesla [9] - Tesla (TSLA.US) saw a 9.3% increase in electric vehicle sales in China but a 57% drop in the UK market [9]

Core Insights - Cathay Pacific's ticket booking performance for the 2026 Spring Festival shows a significant improvement compared to 2025, with overall passenger bookings increasing by over 20% and seat capacity rising by more than 15% [1] Group 1: Booking Performance - The overall passenger booking volume for the 2026 Spring Festival period has increased by over 20% year-on-year [1] - The seat capacity for the same period has seen a year-on-year increase of more than 15% [1] Group 2: Route and Demand Analysis - Short-haul routes such as Singapore, Seoul, and Bangkok are the most popular among travelers during the Spring Festival [1] - Long-haul routes, including Sydney, Los Angeles, New York, and Melbourne, are experiencing strong demand [1] Group 3: Regional Travel Trends - There is a significant growth in travel demand between the Greater Bay Area and Hong Kong, with bookings from the Greater Bay Area to Hong Kong increasing by over 80% year-on-year for the 2026 Spring Festival [1] - The Guangzhou route has achieved double-digit year-on-year growth in passenger bookings during the Spring Festival, attributed to increased flight frequency and improved travel convenience [1] - The introduction of a new third flight (CX953) from Guangzhou to Hong Kong has effectively reduced transfer times and expanded travel options, further stimulating market demand [1]

Group 1 - The aviation stocks experienced significant gains in the afternoon trading session, with Eastern Airlines (00670) rising by 7.76% to HKD 6.25 [1][3] - Air China (00753) saw an increase of 5.21%, reaching HKD 7.47 [1][3] - China Southern Airlines (01055) rose by 6.23%, trading at HKD 6.48 [1][3] - Cathay Pacific Airways (00293) had a more modest increase of 0.97%, priced at HKD 12.52 [1][3]

点击蓝字，关注我们 今日上午港股 1 . 加密货币概念股早盘再度下跌，截至发稿， 迷策略(02440)跌4.76%，雄岸科技(01647)跌1.37%，欧 科云链(01499)跌0.58% 。 消息面上，周二，比特币一度跌破7.3万美元，跌破了2025年4月7日特朗普 公布对等关税后所创的年内低点。"大空头"巴里警告称，若比特币价格进一步下跌可能会迅速加剧主 要持有者的资产负债表压力，迫使整个加密货币生态系统进行抛售，并引发大范围的价值崩盘。 2 . AI新技术冲击软件股， 聚水潭(06687)今早一度跌近13%，创上市以来新低，截至发稿跌9.27% 。 消息面上，周二，由AI初创巨头Anthropic推出的新型自动化工具引发了市场对软件股的恐慌性抛售， 创下去年4月以来跌幅最大的一天。分析师指出，AI进展的预期已发生质变：从最初认为AI能"助力增 长"，转向质疑AI是否会"彻底取代"传统订阅模式。 3 . 高地股份(01676)盘中跌近40% 。消息面上，香港联交所最新资料显示，1月15日，高地股份股东将 股票由凯基证券亚洲转入富途证券国际香港，转仓市值2095.26万港元，占比13.51%。高地股份发布 ...