1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The pulp market is expected to fluctuate and consolidate in the short term. The current core contradiction in the market remains clear, with the supply - demand fundamentals maintaining a state of light rigid demand. The port inventory pressure on the supply side persists, while the demand side shows no improvement. Downstream paper mills' procurement remains weak, and the market lacks upward drivers [100]. - It is predicted that the pulp market will operate within a range. Attention should be paid to the overall market trend, changes in the inventory of major ports, and the purchasing sentiment of the downstream paper market [100]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Industry News - As of January 29, 2026, the pulp inventories at Changshu Port, Qingdao Port, and Gaolan Port in China all increased, with the mainstream port sample inventory reaching 216.9 million tons, a 4.9% increase from the previous period, and the inventory has been increasing for four consecutive weeks [5][6]. - On January 28, the second - phase production line of Chenming Group's Zhanjiang Base resumed full - load production, with an annual capacity of 190,000 tons [6]. - Suzano announced a price increase of $10 per ton in the Asian market and $30 per ton in the European and American markets to $1,280 per ton in February 2026 [7]. 3.2 Market Data 3.2.1 Market Trends - On January 30, 2026, the basis of Silver Star was 20 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month increase of 900.00%; the basis of Russian Needle was - 150 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 1.35%; the Silver Star - Russian Needle spread was 170 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month increase of 13.33% [15]. - On January 30, 2026, the 03 - 05 month - spread was - 22 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month increase of 31.25%; the 05 - 07 month - spread was - 36 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 50.00% [20]. 3.3 Fundamental Data 3.3.1 Price - The spreads between Silver Star - Goldfish and Russian Needle - Goldfish narrowed. On January 30, 2026, the Silver Star - Goldfish spread was 720 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 4.00%; the Russian Needle - Goldfish spread was 550 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 8.33% [24][26]. - The import profit of coniferous and broad - leaved pulp continued to decline. On January 30, 2026, the import profit of coniferous pulp (Silver Star) was - 350 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 20.61%; the import profit of broad - leaved pulp (Star) was - 125 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 36.09% [30][31]. - The price of imported coniferous pulp was weak and consolidating, and the price of imported broad - leaved pulp was weakening. The prices of natural color pulp and chemimechanical pulp also showed different degrees of change [33][35][40]. 3.3.2 Supply - The wood chip purchase price of paper enterprises in East China remained stable this week [42]. - The price of domestic broad - leaved pulp decreased this period, and the supply of chemimechanical pulp decreased. On January 29, 2026, the weekly production of domestic chemimechanical pulp decreased by 5.13% month - on - month, and the weekly production of broad - leaved pulp remained unchanged [46][48]. - In November 2025, the European pulp port inventory and the global pulp outbound volume continued to decline [50]. - In November 2025, the W20 coniferous pulp shipment was at a low level with high inventory; the broad - leaved pulp inventory was at a high level, the shipment decreased, and the inventory days returned to the year - on - year high [54]. - In December 2025, the export volume of Chilean coniferous pulp to China increased significantly month - on - month; in November 2025, the export volume of coniferous pulp from four countries (Canada, Chile, Finland, and the United States) to China decreased significantly month - on - month [58][61]. - In November 2025, the export volume of broad - leaved pulp from four countries (Brazil, Indonesia, Uruguay, and Chile) to China decreased month - on - month; in December 2025, the export volume of Brazilian broad - leaved pulp to China increased significantly month - on - month [65]. - In December 2025, China's pulp imports were differentiated. The coniferous pulp increased by 7.27% month - on - month, the broad - leaved pulp decreased by 23.38% month - on - month, and the natural color and chemimechanical pulp increased significantly month - on - month [67][69]. 3.3.3 Demand - The domestic double - offset paper market was narrowly sorted and the trading atmosphere was dull. The copper - plate paper market price was stable, but the trading atmosphere was weak. The white - cardboard market price was stable, with reduced production and light demand. The household paper market price was stable, with weak terminal demand and high inventory pressure [71][75][79][83]. - In December 2025, the retail sales of books, newspapers, magazines, Chinese and Western medicines, and tobacco and alcohol products, as well as the dairy product output increased significantly month - on - month, while the retail sales of cosmetics decreased significantly month - on - month. The retail sales of cultural office supplies and cosmetics were at a high level year - on - year [89]. 3.3.4 Inventory - As of January 30, 2026, the total inventory of five ports (Qingdao, Changshu, Gaolan, Tianjin, and Rizhao) was 216.9 million tons, with a month - on - month increase of 4.88% and a year - on - year increase of 23.38%. The inventory was at a moderately high level within the year and continued to accumulate [96][97]. - On January 30, 2026, the total warehouse receipt quantity of pulp was 14.24 million tons, with a month - on - month increase of 2.25% and a year - on - year decrease of 58.58% [90].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The pulp market is expected to fluctuate and consolidate in the short term. The current core contradiction in the market remains clear, with the supply - demand fundamentals maintaining a state of light and rigid demand. The port inventory pressure on the supply side persists, while the demand side shows no improvement. Downstream paper mills' procurement remains weak, and the market lacks upward drivers [101]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Industry News - As of January 29, 2026, the pulp inventory at Changshu Port was 625,000 tons, a week - on - week increase of 66,000 tons or 11.8%. The inventory at Qingdao Port was 1.39 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 22,000 tons or 1.6%. The inventory at Gaolan Port was 45,000 tons, a week - on - week increase of 3,000 tons or 7.1%. The total inventory of the mainstream port samples in China was 2.169 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 101,000 tons or 4.9%, and the inventory has been increasing for four consecutive weeks [5][6]. - On January 28, the second - phase production line of Chenming's Zhanjiang Base resumed full - load production, with an annual production capacity of 190,000 tons, mainly producing high - quality cultural paper and specialty paper [6]. - Suzano announced price increases in February 2026, with a $10 increase in the Asian market and a $30 increase in the European and American markets to $1,280 [7]. 3.2 Market Data 3.2.1 Market Trends - The basis of Silver Star on January 30, 2026, was 20 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month increase of 900.00% and a year - on - year decrease of 95.82%. The basis of Russian Needle was - 150 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 1.35% and a year - on - year decrease of 581.82%. The price difference between Silver Star and Russian Needle was 170 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month increase of 13.33% and a year - on - year decrease of 66.00% [15]. - The 03 - 05 month - spread on January 30, 2026, was - 22 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month increase of 31.25%. The 05 - 07 month - spread was - 36 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 50.00% [20]. 3.3 Fundamental Data 3.3.1 Price - The price difference between Silver Star and Goldfish and between Russian Needle and Goldfish both decreased this week. On January 30, 2026, the price difference between Silver Star and Goldfish was 720 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 4.00% and a year - on - year decrease of 57.65%. The price difference between Russian Needle and Goldfish was 550 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 8.33% and a year - on - year decrease of 54.17% [24][26]. - The import profits of coniferous and broad - leaf pulp continued to decline this period. On January 30, 2026, the import profit of coniferous pulp (Silver Star) was - 350.27 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 20.61% and a year - on - year decrease of 543.32%. The import profit of broad - leaf pulp (Star) was - 125.43 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 36.09% and a year - on - year decrease of 182.56% [31]. - The price of coniferous pulp was weakly consolidating. On January 30, 2026, the prices of Silver Star, Kalip, and Northwood in Shandong were 5,320 yuan/ton, 5,500 yuan/ton, and 5,550 yuan/ton respectively, with month - on - month decreases of 1.48%, 1.79%, and 1.77% and year - on - year decreases of 19.39%, 17.29%, and 17.16% [34]. - The price of broad - leaf pulp was weakening. On January 30, 2026, the prices of Goldfish, Star, and others in Shandong were around 4,600 yuan/ton, with month - on - month decreases of about 1.08% and year - on - year decreases of about 5 - 6% [36][38]. - On January 30, 2026, the price of Venus was 4,950 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 1.00% and a year - on - year decrease of 11.61%. The price of Kunhe was 3,800 yuan/ton, with no month - on - month change and a year - on - year increase of 7.04% [41]. 3.3.2 Supply - The wood chip procurement price of paper mills in East China remained stable this week [43]. - The price of domestic broad - leaf pulp decreased this period, and the supply of chemimechanical pulp decreased. On January 29, 2026, the weekly production of domestic broad - leaf pulp was 132,000 tons, with no month - on - month change and a year - on - year increase of 17.86%. The weekly production of chemimechanical pulp was 85,000 tons, with a month - on - month decrease of 5.13% and a year - on - year decrease of 1.16% [47][49]. - In November 2025, the pulp port inventory in Europe continued to decline, and the global pulp shipping volume continued to decline. The port inventory in Europe was 1.389 million tons, with a month - on - month decrease of 1.07% and a year - on - year decrease of 2.80%. The global pulp shipping volume was 4.357 million tons, with a month - on - month decrease of 3.61% and a year - on - year decrease of 6.90% [51][53]. - In November 2025, the shipping volume of W20 coniferous pulp was at a low level, and the inventory was high; the inventory of broad - leaf pulp was at a high level, the shipping volume decreased, and the inventory days returned to a year - on - year high [55]. - In December 2025, the export volume of Chilean coniferous pulp to China increased significantly month - on - month. In November 2025, the export volume of coniferous pulp from Canada, Finland, and the United States to China decreased month - on - month [59][62]. - In November 2025, the export volume of broad - leaf pulp from Brazil, Indonesia, Uruguay, and Chile to China decreased month - on - month. In December 2025, the export volume of Brazilian broad - leaf pulp to China increased significantly month - on - month, and the export volume of Chilean and Uruguayan broad - leaf pulp to China also increased [66]. - In December 2025, China's pulp imports were polarized. The import volume of coniferous pulp increased by 7.27% month - on - month, the import volume of broad - leaf pulp decreased by 23.38% month - on - month, and the imports of unbleached and chemimechanical pulp increased significantly [68]. 3.3.3 Demand - The domestic double - offset paper market was narrowly sorted this period, with a dull trading atmosphere. The industry's profitability was under pressure, and paper mills were reluctant to lower prices. The social inventory of double - offset paper decreased month - on - month [72]. - The domestic coated paper market price was stable this period, with a weakening trading atmosphere. Factory production was under pressure due to high costs, and downstream demand was weak [76]. - The white cardboard market price was mainly stable this period. The cost pressure was relieved, and the profitability of paper mills improved. The production volume decreased month - on - month, and the demand was expected to be dull [80]. - The price of the household paper market remained stable this week, with little change in the overall trading activity. The terminal demand was difficult to improve significantly, and the support of raw pulp prices for household paper prices was weak [84]. - In December 2025, the retail sales of books, newspapers, magazines, Chinese and Western medicines, and tobacco and alcohol products increased significantly month - on - month, while the retail sales of cosmetics decreased significantly month - on - month. The retail sales of cultural and office supplies and cosmetics were at a high level year - on - year [90]. 3.3.4 Inventory - On January 30, 2026, the total warehouse receipt quantity of pulp was 142,400 tons, with a month - on - month increase of 2.25% and a year - on - year decrease of 58.58% [91]. - The port inventory was at a moderately high level within the year, and the inventory of mainstream ports in China continued to increase this period. On January 30, 2026, the inventory at Qingdao Port was 1.39 million tons, the inventory at Changshu Port was 625,000 tons, and the total inventory of the five ports was 2.169 million tons [98].

Core Viewpoint - ST Chenming (000488.SZ) forecasts a net loss of 8.2 billion to 8.8 billion yuan for the fiscal year 2025, compared to a loss of 7.411 billion yuan in the same period last year [1] Financial Performance - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be a loss of 8.2 billion to 8.8 billion yuan, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be a loss of 7.55 billion to 8.15 billion yuan, compared to a loss of 7.202 billion yuan in the previous year [1] Operational Challenges - The Huanggang base is expected to operate normally, while the Shouguang, Jiangxi, and Jilin bases will be largely shut down in the first three quarters, and the Zhanjiang base will be closed for the entire year, leading to increased losses and maintenance costs [1] - The company has experienced a significant decline in production and sales volume, which has adversely affected revenue and profit [1] Asset Management - Due to the impact of shutdowns, the company has made provisions for asset impairment, further affecting current profits [1] - The company has divested all financing leasing business-related assets to focus on its core pulp and paper business [1] Cost Management and Efficiency - The company is actively implementing measures to enhance operational efficiency and management levels, including: - Steady progress in resuming production, with a significant increase in equipment operation rates and capacity utilization compared to previous years [1] - Optimizing procurement processes and strengthening process management to significantly reduce raw material procurement and logistics costs [1] - Enhancing communication with financial institutions to implement interest rate reductions and extension arrangements, resulting in a substantial decrease in financial expenses year-on-year [1]

Group 1 - The company expects a negative net profit for the fiscal year 2025, covering the period from January 1, 2025, to December 31, 2025 [1] - The company has communicated with its auditing firm regarding the financial data related to the profit forecast, which has not been audited yet [1][2] Group 2 - The decline in performance is attributed to the normal production at the Huanggang base, while the Shouguang, Jiangxi, and Jilin bases were largely shut down in the first three quarters, and the Zhanjiang base was shut down for the entire year, leading to significant losses and increased maintenance costs [2] - The company has divested all assets related to its financing leasing business to focus on its core pulp and paper operations, resulting in impairment provisions for certain leasing clients [2] - The company has implemented several measures to enhance operational efficiency and management, including improving production line operation rates and capacity utilization, optimizing procurement processes, and reducing financial costs through communication with financial institutions [2]

1月30日，ST晨鸣（000488）发布2025年度业绩预告，公告显示，尽管公司全年净利润暂呈亏损，但多 项经营指标释放强烈向好信号：据测算，2025年下半年净利润同比增长 30.88%-44.32%，财务费用实现 大幅降低，叠加非主业资产剥离与全面复工复产落地，公司发展根基持续夯实，未来增长可期。 综合来看，2025年是ST晨鸣聚焦结构调整与风险出清的关键一年，主业聚焦、生产恢复、成本管控和 财务结构优化等方面已释放积极信号。随着生产系统全面恢复、成本管控效果逐步显现，ST晨鸣2026 年经营拐点显现值得市场持续关注。 业绩预告显示，公司全年业绩受多重因素影响暂存压力，但下半年经营拐点已然显现。作为核心亮点， 公司通过深化与金融机构协同，成功落实降息展期安排，财务费用大幅降低，有效缓解资金压力，成为 降本增效的关键突破。同时，于四季度全面剥离融资租赁业务资产，彻底告别非核心业务拖累，实现 "轻装上阵"，为资源集中投入主业发展扫清障碍。 齐鲁晚报·齐鲁壹点 马小杰 据公司披露，目前所有生产基地均已复工复产，复产生产线运行率及产能利用率恢复至正常水平，产品 质量同步提升；公司优化采购与物流全流程，原料成本实现精 ...

公司2025年末果断剥离全部融资租赁业务相关资产，虽产生一次性损益，却彻底卸下了这一长期拖累业绩的非主业负担，实现了资产的"轻装上阵"。此举 标志着公司战略重心全面回归制浆造纸核心业务，资源配置更加聚焦，为未来发展扫清了障碍。 发高附加值产品以及处置非主业资产等一系列措施。此外，公司与金融机构积极沟通，落实降息展期，财务费用实现大幅降低，经营能力得到夯实。 齐鲁晚报.齐鲁壹点马小杰 近日，ST晨鸣发布2025年度业绩预告。尽管受到部分基地停机检修及资产计提等因素影响，公司当期利润承压，但一系列主动调整与经营改善的信号清 晰显示：晨鸣纸业正果断甩掉历史包袱，聚焦主业，稳步走出经营低谷。 与此同时，公司积极应对短期挑战，稳步推进主要生产基地复工复产。目前，公司寿光基地、黄冈基地、吉林基地及江西基地已全面复工复产，1月28日 湛江晨鸣二厂也实现复工复产，各基地生产、销售情况良好，产能利用率稳步提升。为持续提升经营效益，公司采取了严格管控成本、优化产品结构、开 随着造纸行业供需格局逐步改善，市场呈现回暖趋势，晨鸣纸业凭借其完整的产业链布局和领先的产能基础，已逐步重回正轨。短期业绩波动不足为惧， 市场更应关注其战略调整 ...

Company News - Great Wall Motors (02333.HK) expects a total revenue of RMB 222.79 billion in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.19%. However, net profit is projected to decline by 21.71% to RMB 9.912 billion due to increased investments in new user channels and marketing for new models and technologies [2] - China Southern Airlines (01055.HK) anticipates turning a profit in 2025, with net profit expected to be between RMB 800 million and RMB 1 billion [2] - CICC (03908.HK) forecasts a net profit of RMB 8.542 billion to RMB 10.535 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 50% to 85% [3] - Datang Power (00991.HK) projects a net profit of approximately RMB 6.8 billion to RMB 7.8 billion in 2025, indicating a year-on-year increase of about 51% to 73% [4] - Rongchang Bio (09995.HK) expects 2025 revenue of approximately RMB 3.25 billion, a year-on-year increase of about 89%, and a net profit of around RMB 716 million, achieving profitability [4] - Haijia Medical (06078.HK) anticipates revenue of approximately RMB 4.0 billion to RMB 4.05 billion in 2025, a year-on-year decrease of about 9% to 10%, with net profit expected to decline by 66% to 76% to around RMB 140 million to RMB 200 million [4] - Junshi Biosciences (01877.HK) expects 2025 revenue of around RMB 2.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of approximately 28.32%, with a net loss of about RMB 873 million, a reduction of 31.85% compared to the previous year [4] - Kaisa New Energy (01108.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting a year-on-year increase in net loss of approximately RMB 90.07 million to RMB 290 million [4] - Xingye Alloy (00505.HK) issued a profit warning, anticipating a year-on-year decrease in profit attributable to equity shareholders of about 50% [4] - Fudan Zhangjiang (01349.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting a net loss of approximately RMB 120 million to RMB 180 million in 2025 [4] - Chenming Paper (01812.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting a net loss of RMB 8.2 billion to RMB 8.8 billion, a significant increase compared to the previous year [5] - Tianqi Lithium (09696.HK) has commenced production of the first batch of standard chemical-grade lithium concentrate products from its third-phase expansion project [6] Financing and Buyback Activities - Xiaomi Group-W (01810.HK) repurchased approximately 4.2 million shares for about HKD 150 million, with repurchase prices ranging from HKD 35.13 to HKD 42.50 [10] - Vitasoy International (00345.HK) repurchased shares worth HKD 24.37 million, acquiring 3.492 million shares at prices between HKD 6.9 and HKD 7 [11] - Yujian Xiaomian (02408.HK) plans to repurchase up to HKD 100 million of H-shares [12] - Nanshan Aluminum International (02610.HK) completed a placement of 31 million shares, raising approximately HKD 1.987 billion [12]

综合来看，2025年业绩亏损主要源于停产检修损失、资产减值及融资租赁业务剥离等阶段性、一次性因 素。随着这些临时性影响的逐步消退，该公司主营业务盈利能力有望更真实地体现，业绩呈现筑底迹 象。 本报讯 （记者王僖）1月30日晚，山东晨鸣纸业集团股份有限公司（以下简称"ST晨鸣（000488）"）发 布2025年度业绩预告，预计2025年归属于上市公司股东的净利润为亏损82亿元至88亿元。尽管业绩仍处 亏损区间，但细观预告内容可见，该公司正处于集中清理历史负担、夯实主业基础的关键阶段，多项经 营修复信号已逐步清晰。 展望2026年，随着生产系统全面恢复、成本控制效果进一步释放，ST晨鸣能否迎来经营拐点，值得市 场持续关注。ST晨鸣在业绩预告中表示，将继续聚焦主业，进一步深化全流程降本增效和全方位新产 品开发，持续提升经营效益。 与此同时，在各级党委、政府及金融机构的支持下，该公司稳步推进全面复工复产。根据ST晨鸣近日 在投资者互动平台上披露的信息，目前，该公司寿光基地、黄冈基地、吉林基地及江西基地已全面复工 复产，湛江基地二厂也于1月28日启动生产，各基地复产生产线设备运行率与产能利用率已恢复至正常 水平，产品质 ...

Group 1 - The company expects a net loss attributable to shareholders of RMB 8.2 billion to 8.8 billion for the period from January 1, 2025, to December 31, 2025, which is an increase from the previous year's loss of approximately RMB 7.411 billion [1] - The net loss, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, is projected to be between RMB 7.55 billion and 8.15 billion [1] - The basic loss per share is estimated to be between RMB 2.79 and 3.00 [1] Group 2 - As of January 30, 2026, the company's stock closed at HKD 0.85, down 3.41%, with a trading volume of 1.512 million shares and a turnover of HKD 1.2966 million [1] - The company has low attention from investment banks, with no ratings given in the past 90 days [1] - The company's market capitalization in the Hong Kong stock market is HKD 465 million, ranking 5th in the paper manufacturing industry [1]

智通财经APP讯，晨鸣纸业(01812)发布公告，截至2025年1月1日至2025年12月31日(本报告期)，公司预 期归属于上市公司股东的净亏损为人民币82亿元-88亿元，上年同期亏损约74.11亿元，同比扩大;扣除非 经常性损益后的净亏损为人民币75.5亿元-81.5亿元。基本每股亏损2.79元-3.00元。 公告称，业绩变动原因为2025年黄冈基地正常生产，寿光、江西、吉林基地1-3季度基本停产，湛江基 地全年停产，期间停工损失及检修费用同比增加，产销量同比下滑较大，影响了收入、利润;同时，受 停机影响，本公司对部分资产计提了减值准备，进一步影响当期利润。为聚焦制浆造纸主业发展，四季 度公司剥离了全部融资租赁业务相关资产，公司不再从事任何融资租赁业务。根据会计准则要求，报告 期内对租赁客户的信用情况进行了减值测试，对部分融资租赁业务计提了坏账准备。报告期内，公司在 各级党委政府和金融机构的大力支持下，围绕全流程降本增效与全方位新产品开发，积极采取多项措施 提升运营效率与管理水平。一是稳步推进全面复工复产，目前已复产生产线设备运行率及产能利用率比 往年大幅提升;二是优化采购流程，加强流程管理，显着降低了原 ...