2026.01. 26 本文字数：1566，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 郭霁莹 近日，两大电网、五大发电集团、两大核电集团等多家能源央企密集召开年度工作会议，部署2026年重点 任务。 当前，国内能源转型与安全保障的双重需求突出。据国家统计局数据，2025年全社会能源消费总量初步统 计比上年增长3.5%。其中，全社会用电量历史性增至10.4万亿千瓦时，同比增长5%，相当于美国全年用 电量的两倍多，超过欧盟、俄罗斯、印度、日本四个经济体的年用电量总和。而且在"双碳"目标下，国内 2025年非化石能源占能源消费总量比重较上年提高约2个百分点，超过石油成为第二大能源类型，成为能源 增量主体。 第一财经记者梳理发现，挖掘潜力扩大有效投资、靠前谋划一批重大项目和标志性工程，保障能源电力安全 可靠供应，以及加快产业数智化转型、推动科技创新与产业创新深度融合，是能源央企在2026年工作规划 中谈及最多的三大任务。 扩大有效投资是上述企业"十五五"开局工作的核心抓手。电网与核电领域的标志性工程率先落地。1月中 旬，国家电网以"十五五"期间4万亿元创纪录的固定资产投资计划拉开序幕，南方电网紧随其后披露了 2026年 ...

Group 1: Core Insights - The report highlights a decline in trading heat for hot themes, with commercial aerospace, resource products, and building materials leading the gains, while light communication and consumer electronics have seen a pullback [1][7] - The focus of incremental policies is on urban renewal and emerging technologies, with a positive outlook on urban renewal, commercial aerospace, domestic computing power, and new power grids [1][6] Group 2: Urban Renewal - Urban renewal is expected to stabilize the real estate market and expand domestic demand, with a projected 60,015 urban renewal projects nationwide in 2024, totaling an investment of 2.9 trillion yuan [19][25] - Key areas of urban renewal include the renovation of old residential communities, urban villages, and underground pipeline upgrades, with recommendations for investment in waterproofing, piping, and coatings [20][26] Group 3: Commercial Aerospace - Elon Musk indicated that space will become the lowest-cost location for deploying AI data centers within 2-3 years, with reusable spacecraft potentially reducing access costs by 100 times [21][36] - The report anticipates the establishment of a leading space computing center in China by 2030, focusing on green and low-carbon solutions [38][40] Group 4: Domestic Computing Power - TSMC's capital expenditure is expected to exceed expectations, with a projected 37% increase in 2026 to reach $56 billion, indicating strong demand in the semiconductor manufacturing sector [21][48] - The rapid iteration of domestic AI models is expected to drive investment demand in domestic computing power, with significant increases in user engagement and data usage [22][49] Group 5: New Power Grids - The State Grid's investment during the 14th Five-Year Plan is projected to reach 4 trillion yuan, a 40% increase from the previous plan, aimed at accelerating the construction of new power systems [21][22] - By 2025, non-fossil energy consumption in China is expected to account for 20% of total energy consumption, increasing to 25% by 2030 [21][22]

Group 1 - The core focus of energy state-owned enterprises for 2026 includes expanding effective investment, planning major projects, ensuring reliable energy supply, and accelerating digital transformation and technological innovation [1][2][3] - The investment plan for the "14th Five-Year Plan" includes a record 4 trillion yuan from the State Grid and 180 billion yuan from the Southern Grid, targeting ultra-high voltage transmission, distribution network upgrades, and digital transformation [1] - The nuclear power sector is highlighted with the launch of the Jiangsu Xuwei nuclear heating power plant, which will supply 32.5 million tons of industrial steam annually and reduce carbon emissions by 19.6 million tons [2] Group 2 - The demand for energy transition and security is increasing, with a projected 3.5% growth in total energy consumption by 2025, and electricity consumption reaching 10.4 trillion kilowatt-hours, more than double that of the US [3] - Energy state-owned enterprises are prioritizing technological innovation and digital transformation as key drivers for high-quality development in 2026, with significant investments planned in these areas [3][4] - Policies from the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration aim to integrate artificial intelligence with the energy sector, targeting the establishment of an innovation system by 2027 [4]

Group 1 - The company, Zhongke Soft, provides professional software development and technical services in the power sector for major state-owned enterprises such as Southern Power Grid, Yangtze Power, Huadian International, China General Nuclear Power, and Datang Group [2] - Services offered include office management, system management, risk management, data analysis, resource scheduling and management, industrial internet, and intelligent manufacturing [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a decline in trading heat for hot themes, with commercial aerospace, resource products, and building materials leading the market. The focus of incremental policies is on expanding domestic demand and fostering new technological momentum, particularly in urban renewal, commercial aerospace, domestic computing power, and new power grids [1]. Group 1: Urban Renewal - Urban renewal is expected to stabilize the real estate market and expand domestic demand, with 60,015 urban renewal projects planned nationwide in 2024, involving a total investment of 2.9 trillion yuan. Key components include the renovation of old residential areas, urban villages, and underground pipeline upgrades [2]. Group 2: Commercial Aerospace - Elon Musk predicts that space will become the most cost-effective location for deploying AI data centers within 2-3 years, with the potential for launch costs to drop by 100 times if the Starship achieves full reusability. China aims to establish a leading space computing center by 2030, addressing high energy consumption and carbon emissions from ground data centers [3]. Group 3: Domestic Computing Power - TSMC's capital expenditure is expected to exceed expectations, boosting demand in the semiconductor advanced manufacturing sector. The company anticipates a 35% year-on-year increase in net profit by Q4 2025, with capital expenditures potentially reaching $56 billion in 2026, a 37% increase from 2025 [4]. Group 4: New Power Grid - The State Grid plans to invest 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, a 40% increase from the previous plan, focusing on the construction of a new power system. The share of non-fossil energy consumption is projected to reach 20% by 2025 and 25% by 2030 [5].

截至1月23日17时，南方电网已实现200余户受影响用户全恢复供电，覆冰线路降至85条，主要集中在贵州遵义、云南昭通、广西桂林等 区域。到1月23日20时，南方电网结束四级应急响应，转而聚焦线路隐患排查治理和客户服务，为春运、春节保供电"攻坚战"蓄力。 作者：李东海 黄勇华 高亮 谢婧繁 连日来，新一轮寒潮强势"控场"南方，南方电网经营区域部分高寒山区输电线路遭遇覆冰"围攻"。南方电网闻令而动，启动低温雨雪冰 冻灾害四级应急响应，出动4600多人次开展融冰工作，累计对95条线路融冰，及时消除电网运行风险，有力保障了电网安全和电力可靠 供应。 受寒潮侵袭较为严重的广西桂林，电网最高负荷出现在1月21日、22日，日均突破300万千瓦，连创历史新高。广西电网电力负荷在1月22 日晚创下历史新高，达3595.4万千瓦。 在贵州毕节，大部分地区进入"冰冻"模式后，取暖用电设备大量启用，带动负荷持续攀升。南方电网贵州电网毕节赫章供电局总经理李 刚表示，随着28万务工人员归乡，将进一步推高用电负荷，当地供电局紧锣密鼓冲刺迎峰度冬工作，确保春节用电高峰"不掉链"，让居 民取暖、家电运转"电力十足"。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electricity sector is "Maintain Buy" [5] Core Insights - The electricity sector's holdings by active funds have slightly decreased, while index funds have seen a slight increase. The overall holding ratio for both types of funds is at a low point, indicating potential for future increases [11][4] - Southern Power Grid plans to invest CNY 180 billion in fixed assets for 2026, marking a historical high for five consecutive years, with an average annual growth rate of 9.5% over the past five years [3][11] - The investment will focus on three areas: new power system construction, strategic emerging industry development, and enhancement of quality power supply services [3][11] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4136.16 points, up 0.84%, while the CSI 300 Index closed at 4702.5 points, down 0.62%. The CITIC Power and Utilities Index closed at 3177.58 points, up 2.24%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.86 percentage points [65][66] - Active funds' holdings in the power and utilities sector decreased to 0.61% by the end of Q4 2025, down 1.31 percentage points year-on-year and 0.03 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [11][12] 2. Fund Allocation Changes - The top five stocks with increased allocation by active funds in Q4 2025 include: - Jiantou Energy (+1.00 percentage points) - Zhongmin Energy (+0.35 percentage points) - Jingneng Power (+0.29 percentage points) - Inner Mongolia Huadian (+0.25 percentage points) - Huaneng International (+0.20 percentage points) [12] - The top five stocks with decreased allocation include: - Xinnatural Gas (-0.46 percentage points) - Datang New Energy (-0.39 percentage points) - Huadian International Power (-0.35 percentage points) - Funiu Co. (-0.33 percentage points) - Huadian International (-0.28 percentage points) [12] 3. Investment Plans - Southern Power Grid's investment plan for 2026 includes CNY 180 billion, focusing on new power systems and supporting the integration of 40 million kilowatts of new energy installations [3][11] - The investment will also support the construction of cross-regional projects, such as the Yangjiang Sanshan Island offshore wind power project and the Cangyu DC project, which aims to optimize energy allocation [15][11] 4. Market Trends - The coal price for thermal power has decreased to CNY 691 per ton [16] - The carbon market saw a price increase of 3.18% week-on-week, with a trading volume of 2.4252 million tons and a total transaction value of CNY 176 million [60][61] 5. Key Stocks - Recommended stocks include: - Huaneng International (Buy) - Huadian International (Buy) - Guodian Power (Buy) - Datang Power (Buy) - Inner Mongolia Huadian (Buy) - Shaanxi Energy (Buy) [4][8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant expansion of China's power grid, which is expected to reshape the lithium battery demand structure due to a massive investment plan by the State Grid Corporation, amounting to 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, marking a 40% increase from the previous plan [1][3]. Investment and Development Goals - The State Grid's investment plan aligns with the 1710 document, which sets clear targets for the development of a new type of power grid by 2030, aiming for renewable energy to account for approximately 30% of total power generation and to support over 40 million charging facilities [2][4]. - The total investment in China's power grid during the 15th Five-Year Plan is projected to exceed 5 trillion yuan, with significant investments in the southern power grid as well [3]. Challenges in Renewable Energy Integration - By 2025, the installed capacity of renewable energy is expected to approach 50%, but the actual power generation from these sources is projected to be less than 25%, indicating a significant gap due to the grid's inability to accommodate new energy sources [4][5]. - The increasing cost of integrating renewable energy into the grid is highlighted, with estimates suggesting that for every 1% increase in renewable energy penetration, system costs rise by approximately 0.01 yuan per kilowatt-hour [6]. Structural Reforms in the Power Grid - The 1710 document proposes a transformative approach to the power grid, emphasizing a collaborative structure involving main, distribution, and micro grids, which aims to enhance the grid's capacity to integrate renewable energy [10][11]. - Key development goals include improving cross-regional transmission capabilities and optimizing the grid structure to support a significant increase in renewable energy integration by 2030 [11][12]. Focus Areas for Future Investments - Future investments will primarily target core technology areas such as distributed independent energy storage and smart microgrid solutions, which are essential for enhancing the grid's capacity to accept renewable energy [15][20]. - The article emphasizes the importance of advanced technologies like grid-forming inverters and energy storage systems to address dynamic stability issues caused by high levels of renewable energy integration [18][23]. Conclusion - The 1710 document is positioned as a guiding framework for the next decade of power grid development in China, aiming to facilitate a transition towards a new energy system that can effectively support high levels of renewable energy integration [24].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electricity sector is maintained as "Increase" [5] Core Insights - In Q4 2025, the holdings of active funds in the electricity and public utilities sector slightly decreased, while index funds saw a slight increase. The overall holdings ratio for both types of funds was 1.18%, showing little change compared to Q3 [11] - Southern Power Grid plans to invest CNY 180 billion in fixed assets for 2026, marking a historical high for five consecutive years, with an average annual growth rate of 9.5% over the past five years. The investment will focus on new power system construction, strategic emerging industries, and enhancing quality power supply services [3][15] - The report suggests paying attention to high-dividend coal-fired power leaders and companies with stable electricity prices and coal-electric integration, such as Huaneng International and Huadian International, as well as flexible coal-fired power leaders like Qingda Environmental Protection [4] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4136.16 points, up 0.84%, while the CSI 300 Index closed at 4702.5 points, down 0.62%. The CITIC Power and Utilities Index closed at 3177.58 points, up 2.24%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.86 percentage points [63] Fund Holdings - Active funds' holdings in the electricity and public utilities sector decreased to 0.61%, down 1.31 percentage points year-on-year and down 0.03 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. In contrast, index funds' holdings increased to 1.77%, down 1.35 percentage points year-on-year but up 0.02 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [11][12] Investment Plans - Southern Power Grid's investment plan for 2026 includes CNY 180 billion, focusing on three areas: new power system construction, strategic emerging industries, and quality power supply service enhancement. This investment will support the integration and consumption of 40 million kilowatts of new energy installations in the southern region [3][15] Key Stocks - Recommended stocks include Huaneng International (A+H), Huadian International (A+H), Guodian Power, and Datang Power, which are identified as high-dividend coal-fired power leaders. Additionally, attention is drawn to wind and solar sectors, including Xintian Green Energy and Longyuan Power [4][8]

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the China Electricity Council (CEC) User Ecology Subcommittee marks a significant step towards creating a new energy user ecosystem, aimed at enhancing collaboration and innovation within the energy sector [2][3]. Group 1: Establishment and Objectives - The CEC User Ecology Subcommittee was officially established during a conference in Guangzhou, with its secretariat located at the Southern Power Grid User Ecology Operation Co., Ltd [1]. - The subcommittee aims to break down barriers in the upstream and downstream energy industry chain, fostering a collaborative platform for value creation and high-quality industry development [2]. - The Guangdong Provincial Energy Bureau supports the subcommittee's efforts to make Guangdong a testing ground for energy user ecosystem innovation [2]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - Southern Power Grid Company emphasizes the importance of a new energy security strategy, focusing on collaborative ecosystem development and innovative service models [3]. - The company aims to create a flexible and efficient interaction model between the grid and users, enhancing service scenarios through integrated innovation [3]. Group 3: Innovations and Collaborations - The "Green Energy Cloud" platform was introduced, which integrates seven existing renewable energy business systems, improving project connection efficiency by 40% and streamlining information submission processes [6]. - Sixteen ecological partners, including major players in digital technology and financial services, signed agreements to join the "Southern Network Online" platform, marking a transition from conceptual agreement to practical collaboration [6].