期权隐含波动率

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农产品期权策略早报-20250825
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-08-25 06:37
农产品期权 2025-08-25 农产品期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号:F3047321 | 交易咨询号:Z0015541 | 邮箱:lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号:F03138607 | 电话:0755-23375252 | 邮箱:huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号:F03090207 | 交易咨询号:Z0016947 | 邮箱:lirj@wkqh.cn | 农产品期权策略早报概要:油料油脂类农产品偏弱震荡,油脂类,农副产品维持震荡行情,软商品白糖小幅震荡, 棉花弱势盘整,谷物类玉米和淀粉弱势窄幅盘整。 策略上:构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1:标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | ( ...
能源化工期权策略早报-20250822
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-08-22 01:50
能源化工期权 2025-08-22 能源化工期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号:F3047321 | 交易咨询号:Z0015541 | 邮箱:lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号:F03138607 | 电话:0755-23375252 | 邮箱:huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号:F03090207 | 交易咨询号:Z0016947 | 邮箱:lirj@wkqh.cn | 能源化工期权策略早报概要:能源类:原油、LPG;聚烯烃类期权:聚丙烯、聚氯乙烯、塑料、苯乙烯;聚酯类期 权:对二甲苯、PTA、短纤、瓶片;碱化工类:烧碱、纯碱;其他能源化工类:橡胶等。 策略上:构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1:标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...
能源化工期权策略早报-20250821
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-08-21 02:10
Group 1: Report Overview - The report is an energy and chemical options strategy morning report dated August 21, 2025 [2] - It covers various energy and chemical option varieties, including energy, polyolefins, polyesters, alkali chemicals, and others [3] - The recommended strategy is to construct option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers, along with spot hedging or covered call strategies to enhance returns [3] Group 2: Underlying Futures Market Overview - The report provides the latest prices, price changes, price change rates, trading volumes, volume changes, open interests, and open interest changes of multiple energy and chemical futures contracts [4] Group 3: Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume and open interest PCR data of different option varieties are presented, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning points of the underlying market [5] Group 4: Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of option underlying assets are analyzed based on the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options [6] Group 5: Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility data of different option varieties are provided, including at-the-money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility [7] Group 6: Option Strategies and Recommendations Energy Options - **Crude Oil**: The fundamental analysis shows that OPEC+ will increase supply in September, and Russia will cut production. The market is in a short - term recovery with resistance. Option strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option selling strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [8] - **LPG**: The supply is abundant, and the market is short - term bearish. Option strategies include constructing a bearish call + put option selling strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] Alcohol Options - **Methanol**: The port inventory is increasing, and the market is weak. Option strategies include constructing a bearish call + put option selling strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] - **Ethylene Glycol**: The port inventory is expected to accumulate, and the market is in a weak and wide - range oscillation. Option strategies include constructing a volatility - selling strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] Polyolefin Options - **Polypropylene**: The PE inventory is decreasing, while the PP inventory has different trends. The market is weak. Option strategies include a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] Rubber Options - **Rubber**: The tire production has different trends in operating rates. The market is short - term weak. Option strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option selling strategy [12] Polyester Options - **PTA**: The inventory is increasing, and the market is in a weak consolidation. Option strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option selling strategy [13] Alkali Chemical Options - **Caustic Soda**: The production capacity utilization rate has changed, and the market is in a short - term bullish recovery. Option strategies include a long collar strategy for spot hedging [14] - **Soda Ash**: The inventory is increasing, and the market is in an oscillatory state. Option strategies include constructing a volatility - selling strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [14] Other Options - **Urea**: The inventory is at a high level, and the market is in a low - level oscillation. Option strategies include constructing a bearish call + put option selling strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [15] Group 7: Option Charts - The report includes price charts, trading volume and open interest charts, PCR charts, implied volatility charts, and historical volatility cone charts of various option varieties such as crude oil, LPG, methanol, etc. [17][35][54]
金融期权策略早报-20250821
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-08-21 01:49
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The Shanghai Composite Index, large-cap blue-chip stocks, small and medium-cap stocks, and ChiNext stocks showed a market trend of slight fluctuations at high levels [3]. - The implied volatility of financial options gradually rose to fluctuate above the average level [3]. - For ETF options, it is suitable to construct covered strategies, neutral double-selling strategies, and vertical spread combination strategies; for stock index options, it is suitable to construct neutral double-selling strategies and arbitrage strategies between synthetic long or short options and long or short futures [3]. 3. Summaries Based on Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Stock Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,766.21, up 38.92 points or 1.04%, with a trading volume of 101.75 billion yuan, a decrease of 43.4 billion yuan [4]. - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11,926.74, up 105.11 points or 0.89%, with a trading volume of 139.07 billion yuan, a decrease of 136.7 billion yuan [4]. - Other major indices also showed varying degrees of increases [4]. 3.2 Option Underlying ETF Market Overview - The closing prices, price changes, trading volumes, and trading volumes changes of various option underlying ETFs are presented, such as the Shanghai 50 ETF closing at 2.975, up 0.038 or 1.29%, with a trading volume of 10.0375 million shares, an increase of 9.9572 million shares [5]. 3.3 Option Factor - Volume and Position PCR - The volume and position PCR values and their changes of different option varieties are provided, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market [6][7]. 3.4 Option Factor - Pressure and Support Points - The pressure and support points of different option varieties are analyzed from the perspective of the exercise prices with the largest open interest of call and put options [8][10]. 3.5 Option Factor - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of different option varieties, including at-the-money implied volatility and weighted implied volatility, is presented, with explanations of their calculation methods [11][12]. 3.6 Strategy and Recommendations - The financial option sector is divided into large-cap blue-chip stocks, small and medium-cap stocks, and ChiNext stocks, and different option strategies are recommended for each sector [13]. - For example, for the Shanghai 50 ETF, a short-biased long combination strategy can be constructed to obtain time value income [14].
隐含波动率处于年内相对高位
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-08-21 00:46
Market Performance - The stock market experienced a significant upward trend on August 20, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.04%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.89%, the ChiNext Index by 0.23%, and the STAR Market 50 Index by 3.23% [1] - All four major indices closed in the green, with the Shanghai 50 Index increasing by 1.23%, the CSI 300 Index by 1.14%, the CSI 500 Index by 1.09%, and the CSI 1000 Index by 0.86% [1] Options Market Activity - The trading volume of various options increased overall, with specific figures showing that the 50ETF options had a trading volume of 1,709,339 contracts and a turnover of 612 million yuan [2] - The 300ETF options recorded a trading volume of 1,887,385 contracts with a turnover of 942 million yuan, while the 500ETF options had a trading volume of 2,431,663 contracts and a turnover of 2.282 billion yuan [2] - The ChiNext ETF options had a trading volume of 2,648,667 contracts and a turnover of 1.328 billion yuan, indicating robust market activity [2] Implied Volatility - The implied volatility for various options is currently elevated, with the 50ETF options at 0.1826 and the 300ETF options at 0.1902, reflecting a positive market sentiment [3] - The implied volatility for the ChiNext ETF options is at 0.3542, which is among the highest, indicating strong market expectations for future price movements [3] Market Outlook - The market sentiment is positive, with expectations for continued upward movement in the stock indices, suggesting that investors may consider buying on dips [4] - Investors holding stocks are advised to roll over out-of-the-money call options to enhance profits, while being cautious of potential risks as the main ETF options contracts are set to expire next Wednesday [4]
能源化工期权策略早报-20250820
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-08-20 00:58
Group 1: General Information - The report focuses on energy and chemical options, including energy, polyolefins, polyesters, alkali chemicals, and others [3] - The recommended strategy is to construct an option portfolio strategy mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered call strategies to enhance returns [3] Group 2: Futures Market Overview - Provides the latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest of various energy and chemical futures contracts [4] Group 3: Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - Presents the volume and open interest PCR of different option varieties, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market [5] Group 4: Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - Shows the pressure and support levels of different option varieties from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options [6] Group 5: Option Factors - Implied Volatility - Displays the implied volatility of different option varieties, including at-the-money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility [7] Group 6: Option Strategies and Recommendations Energy Options (Crude Oil and LPG) - Analyzes the fundamentals and market trends of crude oil and LPG, and provides corresponding option strategies, such as constructing short-neutral or short-biased call + put option portfolio strategies and long collar strategies for spot hedging [8][10] Alcohol Options (Methanol and Ethylene Glycol) - Analyzes the fundamentals and market trends of methanol and ethylene glycol, and recommends constructing short-biased call + put option portfolio strategies or short volatility strategies, as well as long collar strategies for spot hedging [10][11] Polyolefin Options (Polypropylene, PVC, Plastic, and Styrene) - Analyzes the fundamentals and market trends of polyolefins, and provides corresponding option strategies, mainly long collar strategies for spot hedging [11] Rubber Options - Analyzes the fundamentals and market trends of rubber, and recommends constructing short-neutral call + put option portfolio strategies [12] Polyester Options (PX, PTA, Short Fiber, and Bottle Chip) - Analyzes the fundamentals and market trends of polyesters, and recommends constructing short-neutral call + put option portfolio strategies [13] Alkali Chemical Options (Caustic Soda and Soda Ash) - Analyzes the fundamentals and market trends of caustic soda and soda ash, and provides corresponding option strategies, such as spot collar hedging strategies and short volatility combination strategies [14] Urea Options - Analyzes the fundamentals and market trends of urea, and recommends constructing short-biased call + put option portfolio strategies and long collar strategies for spot hedging [15] Group 7: Option Charts - Includes price charts, volume and open interest charts, PCR charts, implied volatility charts, historical volatility cone charts, and pressure and support level charts of various option varieties [17][38][59]
玉米期价连续下跌,期权隐波小幅回升
An Liang Qi Huo· 2025-08-19 12:07
豆粕期价小幅上涨,期货主力合约 M2601 报收于 3161 元/吨。豆粕期权成交 166257 手, 持仓量为 585071 手,成交量 PCR 为 0.707,目 前成交量集中在浅度虚值期权。期权加权隐含 波动率为 15.54%,30 日历史波动率为 12.83%, 期权隐波小幅回升。 期货从业资格号: 投资咨询证号: 安粮期货期权数据报告 商品期权数据研报 2025 年 8 月 19 日 玉米期价连续下跌,期权隐波小幅下降 豆粕期价小幅上涨,期权隐波小幅回升 内容摘要 玉米期价连续下跌,期货主力合约 C2511 报收于 2170 元/吨。玉米期权成交 79796 手, 持仓量为 223565 手,成交量 PCR 为 0.446,成 交量最高的合约 C2511 合约,其占总成交量比 例 为 79% 左 右 。 期 权 加 权 隐 含 波 动 率 为 11.77%,30 日历史波动率为 14.16%,期权隐波 小幅下降。 安粮期货研究所 期权组 TEL:0551-62879960 张莎 F03088817 Z0019577 总部地址:合肥市包河区花园大道 986 号安粮中心 23-24 层 客服热线: 40 ...
金融期权策略早报-20250818
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-08-18 03:25
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The stock market shows a bullish upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index, large-cap blue-chip stocks, small and medium-cap stocks, and ChiNext stocks all performing well [3]. - The implied volatility of financial options is gradually rising and fluctuating above the mean level [3]. - For ETF options, it is suitable to construct covered strategies, neutral double-selling strategies, and vertical spread combination strategies; for index options, it is suitable to construct neutral double-selling strategies and arbitrage strategies between synthetic long or short options and long or short futures [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Financial Market Important Index Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,696.77, up 30.33 points or 0.83%, with a trading volume of 960.6 billion yuan [4]. - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11,634.67, up 183.23 points or 1.60%, with a trading volume of 1,284 billion yuan [4]. - The SSE 50 Index closed at 2,832.88, up 3.41 points or 0.12%, with a trading volume of 142.2 billion yuan [4]. - The CSI 300 Index closed at 4,202.35, up 29.04 points or 0.70%, with a trading volume of 518.7 billion yuan [4]. - The CSI 500 Index closed at 6,568.57, up 138.72 points or 2.16%, with a trading volume of 381.4 billion yuan [4]. - The CSI 1000 Index closed at 7,117.50, up 141.01 points or 2.02%, with a trading volume of 492.5 billion yuan [4]. 3.2 Option Underlying ETF Market Overview - The SSE 50 ETF closed at 2.965, up 0.011 or 0.37%, with a trading volume of 13.5306 million shares and a trading value of 4.004 billion yuan [5]. - The SSE 300 ETF closed at 4.295, up 0.039 or 0.92%, with a trading volume of 10.7183 million shares and a trading value of 4.584 billion yuan [5]. - The SSE 500 ETF closed at 6.658, up 0.144 or 2.21%, with a trading volume of 2.2912 million shares and a trading value of 1.515 billion yuan [5]. - The Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF closed at 1.158, up 0.016 or 1.40%, with a trading volume of 37.0532 million shares and a trading value of 4.258 billion yuan [5]. - The E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF closed at 1.131, up 0.018 or 1.62%, with a trading volume of 11.3728 million shares and a trading value of 1.275 billion yuan [5]. - The Shenzhen 300 ETF closed at 4.432, up 0.040 or 0.91%, with a trading volume of 1.8033 million shares and a trading value of 797 million yuan [5]. - The Shenzhen 500 ETF closed at 2.663, up 0.062 or 2.38%, with a trading volume of 986,200 shares and a trading value of 261 million yuan [5]. - The Shenzhen 100 ETF closed at 3.035, up 0.043 or 1.44%, with a trading volume of 345,000 shares and a trading value of 104 million yuan [5]. - The ChiNext ETF closed at 2.509, up 0.063 or 2.58%, with a trading volume of 14.2712 million shares and a trading value of 3.546 billion yuan [5]. 3.3 Option Factor - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume PCR and open interest PCR of various options show different trends, which can be used to analyze the strength and turning points of the underlying asset market [6][7]. 3.4 Option Factor - Pressure and Support Points - The pressure and support points of various options are analyzed from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options [8][10]. 3.5 Option Factor - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of various options is calculated, including at-the-money implied volatility and weighted implied volatility, to reflect the market's expectation of future volatility [11][12]. 3.6 Strategy and Recommendations - The financial option sector is divided into large-cap blue-chip stocks, small and medium-cap stocks, and ChiNext stocks, and different option strategies are recommended for each sector [13]. - For each sector, specific option strategies are recommended based on the analysis of the underlying asset market, option factor research, and option strategy suggestions [14][15][16][17].
金属期权策略早报-20250818
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-08-18 02:52
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of the metal options market, covering various metals such as non - ferrous metals, precious metals, and black metals. It analyzes the fundamentals, market trends, and option factors of each metal, and gives corresponding option strategies and suggestions [8] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The report presents the latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest of various metal futures contracts, including copper, aluminum, zinc, etc [3] 3.2 Option Factors 3.2.1 Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume PCR and open interest PCR of different metal options are presented, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market [4] 3.2.2 Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure points, support points, maximum call option open interest, and maximum put option open interest of different metal options are provided, which are used to analyze the pressure and support levels of the underlying assets [5] 3.2.3 Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of different metal options is presented, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, etc [6] 3.3 Strategy and Suggestions 3.3.1 Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper Options**: Build a short - volatility seller option portfolio strategy for volatility strategies and a spot hedging strategy for spot long - position hedging [7] - **Aluminum/Alumina Options**: Construct a neutral short - call + short - put option portfolio strategy for volatility strategies and a spot collar strategy for spot long - position hedging [9] - **Zinc/Lead Options**: Build a neutral short - call + short - put option portfolio strategy for volatility strategies and a spot collar strategy for spot long - position hedging [9] - **Nickel Options**: Construct a short - bearish call + short - put option portfolio strategy for volatility strategies and a spot long - position hedging strategy [10] - **Tin Options**: Build a short - volatility strategy for volatility strategies and a spot collar strategy for spot long - position hedging [10] - **Lithium Carbonate Options**: Construct a short - bullish call + short - put option portfolio strategy for volatility strategies and a spot long - position hedging strategy [11] 3.3.2 Precious Metals - **Gold/Silver Options**: Build a neutral short - volatility option seller portfolio strategy for volatility strategies and a spot hedging strategy for spot long - position hedging [12] 3.3.3 Black Metals - **Rebar Options**: Build a neutral short - call + short - put option portfolio strategy for volatility strategies and a spot covered - call strategy for spot long - position hedging [13] - **Iron Ore Options**: Build a neutral short - call + short - put option portfolio strategy for volatility strategies and a long - position collar strategy for spot long - position hedging [13] - **Ferroalloy Options**: Build a short - volatility strategy for volatility strategies and no spot hedging strategy [14] - **Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon Options**: Build a short - volatility short - call + short - put option portfolio strategy for volatility strategies and a spot long - position hedging strategy [14] - **Glass Options**: Build a short - volatility short - call + short - put option portfolio strategy for volatility strategies and a long - position collar strategy for spot long - position hedging [15]
商品期权周报-20250817
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-08-17 12:17
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the past week, the trading volume of commodity options increased slightly, mainly due to the increment brought by the rising volatility of the agricultural products sector. Meanwhile, the trading volume of the non - ferrous and new energy sectors decreased along with the decline of implied volatility. The implied volatility of non - ferrous sector options is at a relatively low level recently, and buying options for price reversal trading can be considered [5]. - The options of contracts such as soybean meal, corn, starch, iron ore, liquefied gas, polypropylene, PVC, plastic, palm oil, soybean No.1, soybean No.2, soybean oil, styrene, ethylene glycol, eggs, live pigs, and log 509 are about to expire. Attention should be paid to the end - of - month risks when changing contracts [5]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Market Overview - The trading volume of commodity options increased slightly last week, mainly due to the increment from the agricultural products sector. The trading volume of non - ferrous and new energy sectors decreased, and their implied volatility also declined. The implied volatility of non - ferrous sector options is at a recent low [5]. - The options of certain contracts are about to expire, and attention should be paid to the end - of - month risks [5]. 3.2 Market Data 3.2.1 Market Overview - The trading volume of the overall market this week was 8,808,344.8, with a week - on - week increase of 0.17%. The open interest was 8,996,228, with a week - on - week decrease of 0.27%. Among them, the trading volume of the agricultural products sector increased by 2.45%, that of the energy and chemical sector increased by 0.17%, that of the black sector increased by 0.4%, and that of the precious metals sector increased by 1.26%. The trading volume of the non - ferrous and new energy sectors decreased by 1.82%. The open interest of the agricultural products sector decreased by 0.1%, that of the energy and chemical sector decreased by 0.55%, that of the black sector decreased by 0.19%, and that of the non - ferrous and new energy sectors increased by 0.41% [6]. 3.2.2 - 3.2.55 Various Option Market Data - For each type of option (such as corn, soybean meal, etc.), detailed data on trading volume, open interest, volume PCR, open interest PCR, at - the - money volatility, HV - 10 days, HV - 20 days, and Skew are provided, including data for this week, last week, and their changes [12 - 44]. 3.3 Chart Analysis No relevant content provided.