中金主要观点如下： 工控：持续看好AIDC以及北美缺电的产业机遇 该行认为解决北美缺电问题需要在发、输、用电侧电源进行系统化升级，其中发电侧看好SOFC在未来 规模扩张的情况下的商业化潜力；用电侧：该行看好弱电侧高功率的服务器电源，以及强电侧 UPSHVDC-SST的升级；输电侧：电网升级是趋势，最终由大电网调峰调频是更加经济的方式。推荐： 麦格米特。 新能源车中游：10 月零售销量略有回落，出口表现维持强势 10 月国内新能源车批发销量162 万辆，同环比+18%/+8%，零售销量128 万辆，同环比+7%/-1%，出口 销量25 万辆，同增超100%，环比+19%。该行认为10 月国内新能源车零售销量环比略降或因部分省市 以旧换新补贴政策有所收紧，出口维持强势、带动批发销量环比增长；看好11 月购车需求持续释放， 销量环比或持续向上突破。推荐：亿纬锂能、恩捷股份。 储能：全球储能中标容量环比上升，澳洲NSW和SA地区电价震荡加剧 本周全球储能项目共计约新增9,201MW/27,428MWh，中标容量环比上升。该行持续看好新型储能技术 多元化发展，国内工商储市场迎来投资机遇，欧美市场电价震荡加剧，刺激市场需 ...

每日经济新闻 东吴证券研报表示，2025Q3电网投资持续维持高景气，Q3整体保持双位数增长。2025年1-8月，我 国电网基础建设投资完成额约3796亿元，同比+13.1%，保持双位数增长。作为"十四五"收官之年，电 网聚焦特高压、主网补强&改造、配网升级等领域，持续加大投入。展望全年，预计电网投资有望实现 同比超10%以上增长。 电网设备ETF（159326）是全市场唯一跟踪中证电网设备主题指数的ETF，从申万三级行业分类上 看，指数成分股的行业分布以输变电设备、电网自动化设备、线缆部件及其他、通信线缆及配套、配电 设备为主，拥有较强的代表性。特高压权重占比高达64%，全市场最高。 11月18日，A股三大指数延续回调态势，前期表现强势的电网设备板块也出现阶段下行，当日电网 设备ETF（159326）跌1.7%，近期呈现阶段调整态势，最近5个交易日跌6.1%，却逆势"吸金"超2.5亿 元，行业高景气支撑下，短期回调或迎低位布局机会。 美国电网监管机构北美电力可靠性公司（NERC）在最新冬季评估报告中警告，当下数据中心用电 需求激增，而电力供应未能同步跟上，今年冬季美国电力消耗预计将比去年同期增加约20吉瓦（相 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scode 公司研究丨点评报告丨宏盛华源（ Msg1] 601096.SH） [Table_Title] 毛利率同比继续改善，盈利增速环比下降 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司发布 2025 年三季报。公司 2025 前三季度营业收入 73.4 亿元，同比-3.1%；归母净利润 2.8 亿元，同比+58.5%；扣非净利润 2.7 亿元，同比+88.9%。单季度看，公司 2025Q3 营业收 入 24.4 亿元，同比-0.1%，环比-6.7%；归母净利润 0.8 亿元，同比+9.3%，环比-22.8%；扣非 净利润 0.8 亿元，同比+16.1%，环比-21.5%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 邬博华 曹海花 司鸿历 袁澎 SAC：S0490514040001 SAC：S0490522030001 SAC：S0490520080002 SAC：S0490524010001 SFC：BQK482 SFC：BVD284 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 公司发布 2025 年三季报。公司 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Guodian Nari (600406) [1] Core Views - The company's performance is steadily improving, with a continuous increase in contract liabilities. As of Q3 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 38.577 billion yuan, representing an 18.45% year-on-year growth, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.855 billion yuan, up 8.43% year-on-year [6] - The gross profit margin has slightly declined due to a higher proportion of lower-margin external business revenue, with a gross margin of 26.47% for the first three quarters of 2025, down 2.79 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The company has seen significant growth in overseas business, with overseas revenue reaching 1.987 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 139.18% increase year-on-year [6] - The report includes new profit forecasts for 2025-2027, projecting net profits of 8.354 billion, 9.344 billion, and 10.197 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.04, 1.16, and 1.27 yuan per share [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 64.567 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 12.5% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to be 8.354 billion yuan, reflecting a 9.8% year-on-year increase [5] - The company’s gross margin is expected to stabilize around 26.5% for 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 14.5% [5] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2025 is estimated at 23 times [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 17.0 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.94 billion yuan, up 19.3% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 0.92 billion yuan, an increase of 18.2% year-on-year [2][4]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 5.67 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.2% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 6.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders for this quarter was 0.34 billion yuan, up 4.1% year-on-year and up 12.2% quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 22.34%, an increase of 1.43 percentage points year-on-year. In Q3 2025, the gross margin was 23.38%, showing a slight decrease of 0.20 percentage points year-on-year but an increase of 1.09 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [11]. - The company’s total inventory at the end of Q3 2025 was 5.672 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.5%. Contract liabilities reached 5.066 billion yuan, up 29.3% year-on-year but down 4.8% quarter-on-quarter [11]. - The company expects to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 1.29 billion yuan for 2025, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of about 32 times [11]. Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - The company’s revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 17.0 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 11.5% [2][4]. - Q3 2025 revenue was 5.67 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 17.2% [2][4]. Profitability Metrics - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters was 0.94 billion yuan, up 19.3% year-on-year [2][4]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 22.34%, reflecting improved cost control [11]. Cost and Expenses - The total expense ratio for the first three quarters was 13.09%, a decrease of 0.21 percentage points year-on-year [11]. - In Q3 2025, the expense ratio was 14.18%, showing a slight increase compared to the previous quarter [11]. Financial Health - The company’s asset-liability ratio at the end of Q3 2025 was 46.26%, a year-on-year increase of 0.48 percentage points [11]. - Operating cash flow for the first three quarters was 0.555 billion yuan, a decrease of 60.4% year-on-year [11]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from continued growth in grid investment and ongoing cost reduction efforts, leading to sustained operational growth [11].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing slight fluctuations, with the Electric Grid Equipment ETF (159326) showing a decline of 1.96% but attracting significant capital inflow, indicating a potential investment opportunity in the sector [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of 14:12 on November 14, the Electric Grid Equipment ETF (159326) recorded a trading volume of 2.41 billion yuan, with notable stocks like Neng Electric, Yongfu Shares, Jinlihua Electric, Jinlongyu, and others rising against the market trend [1] - On November 13, the ETF saw a net inflow of over 1.48 billion yuan, bringing its total scale to over 18 billion yuan, a record high since its inception [1] Group 2: Investment Outlook - According to China International Capital Corporation (CICC), the electric grid is in a post-cycle phase of renewable energy development, with a significant investment gap that needs to be filled as the country aims for future renewable energy goals [1] - For the "14th Five-Year Plan," the expected national grid investment scale is projected to exceed 4.1 trillion yuan, with a compound annual growth rate of 5-6%, focusing on enhancing the main grid framework and smart upgrades to the distribution network [1] Group 3: ETF Composition - The Electric Grid Equipment ETF (159326) is the only ETF tracking the CSI Electric Grid Equipment Theme Index, with a strong representation in sectors such as transmission and transformation equipment, grid automation equipment, cable components, and distribution equipment [1] - The ETF has a high weight of 64% in ultra-high voltage stocks, the highest in the market, and includes leading companies like Guodian NARI, TBEA, Siyuan Electric, and Trina Solar among its top ten holdings [1]

华泰证券指出，电表新标准下，2026年行业有望实现量稳价升，带动企业盈利能力修复。同时在AI算 力需求驱动下，全球电力紧缺格局延续，海外电网投资加速，中国电网设备或受益于外溢需求，打开出 口空间。看好电网设备板块，建议关注出海、AIDC 及国内龙头三条投资主线。 电网设备ETF（159326）是全市场唯一跟踪中证电网设备主题指数的ETF，从申万三级行业分类上看， 指数成分股的行业分布以输变电设备、电网自动化设备、线缆部件及其他、通信线缆及配套、配电设备 为主，拥有较强的代表性。特高压权重占比高达64%，全市场最高。前十大重仓股中囊括了国电南瑞、 特变电工、思源电气、特锐德等行业龙头。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 11月14日午后，市场震荡走低，盘面上，电网设备板块小幅回调，相关ETF方面，截至13点39分，全市 场唯一的电网设备ETF（159326）跌2.1%，盘中实时成交额超2亿元。持仓股中，中能电气、永福股 份、金智科技等股逆势上扬。 电网设备ETF（159326）近日持续获得资金青睐，截至11月14日，电网设备ETF（159326）近10个交易 日"吸金"超13.72亿元，规模由九月底的1.25亿元迅猛 ...

Group 1: Industry Insights - The State Grid's third batch of metering equipment bidding for 2025 has seen a price increase of 47% and 44% for electric meters and transformers compared to the second batch, marking a recovery in prices [1] - National grid engineering investment reached 437.8 billion yuan from January to September 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.9% [1] - Huatai Securities is optimistic about the new standard for electric meters, predicting stable volume and rising prices in the industry by 2026, which will enhance corporate profitability [1] - The global demand for AI computing power continues to drive electricity shortages, accelerating overseas grid investments, which may benefit Chinese grid equipment exports [1] - CICC forecasts that grid investment is expected to maintain high single-digit growth in the coming years, with strong overseas demand for Chinese power equipment [1] Group 2: Company Developments - Weisheng Holdings (03393) anticipates over 500 million yuan in orders from national tenders, with additional contracts worth approximately 150 million yuan from provincial grid companies [2] - Weisheng's collaboration with Siemens and DayOne in Singapore has resulted in a significant increase in electricity consumption, with a 110.9% year-on-year rise in Q2 2025 [2] - Chongqing Machinery and Electric (02722) is positioned to benefit from the AIDC's requirements for stable power output and durability in diesel generators, enhancing its market value [2] - Chongqing Machinery and Electric holds a 50% stake in Chongqing Cummins, which is the only large engine production base for Cummins in China, currently experiencing strong market demand [2] - Chongqing Hitachi Energy is one of the largest transformer manufacturing bases globally and the largest for Hitachi Energy in China, focusing on ultra-high voltage transformers [2]

Core Insights - The report from CICC indicates that the revenue of the power equipment sector in Q3 2025 increased by 11.9% year-on-year, continuing a trend of steady growth across the sector [1] - There is a divergence in performance among different segments, with secondary equipment showing the highest growth at 16.2%, followed by primary equipment at 13.8%, digital grid solutions at 9.8%, and smart distribution and utilization experiencing a decline of 5.4% [1] Revenue Performance - Q3 revenue growth rates: - Secondary equipment: +16.2% - Primary equipment: +13.8% - Digital grid: +9.8% - Smart distribution: -5.4% [1] Investment Outlook - National grid project investment from January to September 2025 reached 437.8 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.9% - It is expected that the annual average growth of grid investment will maintain a high single-digit percentage in the coming years [1] Segment Analysis - Primary Equipment: - Strong bidding for ultra-high voltage equipment in the main grid - Notable growth in exports of transformers and switches overseas - Weakness in new energy installations outside the grid in Q3 has slightly pressured deliveries [1] - Secondary Equipment: - Continued stable performance in Q3 - Growth in demand for main grid protection and expansion into new markets such as energy storage and computing centers [1] - Smart Distribution: - Performance under pressure due to challenges in domestic meter deliveries - Anticipation of improved volume and pricing following the initiation of new meter tenders [1] Digital Grid Development - Performance showed a recovery quarter-on-quarter, benefiting from the revival of digital tenders by the State Grid - Companies have ample orders on hand, and there is optimism for accelerated deliveries in Q4, which may enhance business structure [2] Recommended Stocks - High Voltage: - Pinggao Electric (600312.SH), Guodian NARI (600406.SH), China XD Electric (601179.SH), XJ Electric (000400.SZ) [2] - Power Equipment Exports: - Sifang Electric (002028.SZ), Huaming Equipment (002270.SZ), Weisheng Holdings (03393), Samsung Medical (601567.SH), Jinpan Technology (688676.SH), Mingyang Electric (300291.SZ), Haixing Electric (603556.SH), Huatong Cable (605196.SH), Jincheng Electric (002533.SZ), TBEA (600089.SH) [2] - Distribution Network & Smart Grid: - Sifang Co., Ltd. (601126.SH), Guoneng Rixin (301162.SZ), Weisheng Information (688100.SH), Longxin Group (300682.SZ), State Grid Information and Communication (600131.SH) [2]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records focus on the **electric power industry** and **electric equipment sector** in both domestic (China) and international markets, particularly the **North American power system** [1][2][5]. Key Points and Arguments North American Power System Challenges - **Electricity Demand Growth**: The U.S. electricity demand growth has rebounded to **3%**, expected to continue until **2030**. Factors include AI infrastructure, cryptocurrency mining, and re-industrialization [2][5]. - **Supply-Side Issues**: A significant wave of power plant retirements is anticipated, with over **100 GW** expected to retire by **2034**, primarily coal-fired plants [2][3]. - **Reliability Concerns**: New renewable energy projects, mainly solar and storage, are less reliable under extreme weather conditions, exacerbating supply-demand imbalances [2][4]. - **Transmission Line Construction**: The long construction cycle (4-10 years) for transmission lines reveals system vulnerabilities, with an estimated average load gap of **30 GW** from **2025-2030** [2][4]. Measures Taken by U.S. Government and Enterprises - **Delaying Retirements**: The U.S. government is delaying the retirement of coal plants and promoting more reliable energy sources like gas and SOFC [3][4]. - **Infrastructure Projects**: Numerous transmission and transformation projects have been approved, but many remain in planning due to land and funding issues [4]. Investment Outlook - **Domestic Investment**: China is expected to invest over **4 trillion RMB** in the power grid during the **14th Five-Year Plan**, significantly higher than the previous plan [5]. - **International Market**: The U.S. market is experiencing a tight supply-demand relationship, leading to increased orders for transformers and other equipment [5][8]. Future Investment Trends - **Focus on Smart Distribution**: Future investments will prioritize the smart transformation of distribution networks, driven by the rise of electric vehicles and distributed energy [6][7]. - **Improving Industry Fundamentals**: Changes in bidding standards and pricing are expected to enhance product quality and improve order and profit outlooks for companies [6][7]. Electric Equipment Export Opportunities - **Strong Global Demand**: The global demand for electric equipment is robust, with Chinese companies benefiting from cost advantages and quick service response [8][9]. - **Export Growth**: From January to September **2025**, China's electric equipment exports grew by **24%**, with transformers up **42%** [8][9]. Performance of Major Overseas Manufacturers - **Strong Earnings**: Major overseas manufacturers like Hitachi Energy and GE have reported significant revenue growth, with expectations for stable long-term growth in demand [11][12]. - **Order Backlogs**: The backlog of orders remains high, indicating strong future demand, particularly in North America [11][12]. Recommendations for A-Share Market - **Key Companies**: Recommendations include companies like **Siyuan Electric** and **Samsung**, which are expected to perform well due to their current low valuations and potential for earnings growth [19]. Other Important Insights - **Market Dynamics**: The records highlight the competitive pressure from Chinese companies in the electric meter market, with foreign firms losing market share [17]. - **Valuation Trends**: High valuations for foreign stocks reflect optimism about long-term demand and performance [18]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call records, focusing on the electric power industry and its dynamics in both domestic and international contexts.