证券研究报告|电力设备 [Table_Title] 电力设备出口：变压器、开关表现亮眼，电 表、电缆环比回调 [Table_ReportType] ——电力设备行业跟踪报告[Table_ReportDate] [Table_Summary] ⚫ 核心观点：2025 年 8 月 20 日，海关总署发布 2025 年 7 月电力设备 出口数据。2025 年 7 月，电力设备出口表现稳定，7 月合计出口金额 为 78.56 亿元，环比下降 0.50%，同比增长 32.89%，1-7 月累计出口金 额达到 490.29 亿元，同比增长 36.24%。细分产品来看，变压器出口表 现亮眼，出口同比高增长，其中，亚非地区表现较好，同环比实现高增 速；电表出口有所回落，亚非欧地区均同比下降，大洋洲地区整体回升； 开关出口环比回升，同比保持高增速，我国对亚洲、欧洲开关出口金额 实现同比高增长，非洲地区则同比下滑；电缆出口表现一般，环比有所 回落，同比保持正增长，其中，拉美市场表现亮眼，7 月出口整体回升， 亚洲、欧洲、北美市场均环比回落。 投资要点： 变压器（>16kVA）：市场表现亮眼，亚非地区同环比高增长 7 月出口表现亮 ...

Core Viewpoint - Weisheng Holdings (03393) reported strong mid-term performance with significant revenue and profit growth, driven by market expansion and operational improvements in various regions [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenue of 4.39 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 17.34% [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company was 440 million RMB, up 32.81% year-on-year [1] Market Expansion - The growth was primarily attributed to the expansion in non-telecom markets and better performance in domestic electric meter deliveries compared to peers [1] - The Mexican market continues to show steady demand growth, serving as a solid overseas base [1] Operational Developments - The new factory in Hungary has entered normal delivery operations, while factories in Indonesia and Malaysia have commenced operations, which is expected to enhance order volumes in Europe and Asia [1] - The company has made significant breakthroughs in the North American and South American markets for its distribution business, with multiple pilot projects running successfully in North America, Europe, and Australia [1] Strategic Partnerships - In the data center sector, the company has established deep collaborations with partners such as GDS, DAYONE, and Siemens for overseas markets, while also securing orders from ByteDance in the domestic market [1] - The company is actively expanding its product offerings, including liquid cooling solutions, alongside its power distribution systems [1]

许继电气（000400） 2025 年中报点评：业绩整体符合市场预期， 盈利能力显著改善 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 17,061 | 17,089 | 17,960 | 19,878 | 21,874 | | 同比（%） | 13.51 | 0.17 | 5.09 | 10.68 | 10.04 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,005 | 1,117 | 1,426 | 1,705 | 2,126 | | 同比（%） | 28.03 | 11.09 | 27.67 | 19.60 | 24.64 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.99 | 1.10 | 1.40 | 1.67 | 2.09 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 23.59 | 21.23 | 16.63 | 13.91 | 11.16 | 证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电网设备 [关键词： Table_Tag# ...

Key Points Summary of the Electric Power Equipment Industry Research Industry Overview - The electric power equipment industry is divided into three main categories: transmission and transformation, distribution, and consumption, with transformers and switches being the core products, accounting for over 60% of the industry share [1][5][21] - Major companies like NARI and China XD Electric are gradually achieving full coverage, while international giants such as Siemens Energy and Hitachi Energy have covered all categories and voltage levels [1][6] Core Insights and Arguments - Downstream demand is concentrated in three areas: power generation, grid, and consumption, with the grid side dominated by the State Grid, whose capital expenditure is closely related to overall electricity consumption [1][7] - The construction of ultra-high voltage (UHV) systems is policy-driven, benefiting related companies significantly, as seen during the 2004-2008 500 kV backbone network construction period, which led to substantial revenue growth for equipment manufacturers [1][8] - The new power system faces challenges such as large deviations in generation load, poor generation stability, and a decrease in base load power sources. Solutions include energy storage, UHV, digital upgrades in grid dispatching, electricity market trading, and hybrid AC/DC distribution networks [1][10][11] Investment Trends - Grid investment is expected to continue growing, with a projected growth rate exceeding double digits in 2024 and a year-on-year increase of 14.6% in the first half of 2025, maintaining around 10% growth for the year [1][12] - The second half of 2025 will see a concentrated bidding for UHV projects, which will drive order increases [1][12] Order and Export Dynamics - In the first half of 2025, UHV bidding was limited, resulting in only a slight order growth of 5%. The transition period for metering equipment has led to a decline in bidding volume, while the export of transformers to North America, Europe, Asia, and Latin America has increased by over 50% year-on-year [1][13] Digitalization and AI in the Industry - The State Grid is continuously upgrading its dispatching system, with significant growth in new generation dispatching system application software. AI is becoming a key application area, with two rounds of AI server bidding in the first half of the year, totaling 293 units valued at 100 million to 200 million yuan [1][14] Market Changes and Future Outlook - The overseas market's reliance on Chinese manufacturing is increasing, with transformer imports to the US growing by 35% and to the EU by 15% year-on-year [1][20] - The electric power equipment industry is expected to see core changes, including significant growth in overseas markets, new equipment and business model opportunities, and progress in large engineering projects [1][21] Conclusion - The electric power equipment industry is poised for growth driven by policy support, technological advancements, and increasing global demand for Chinese manufacturing capabilities. Companies should focus on domestic and international order progress to seize investment opportunities [1][21]

Core Insights - China has achieved a remarkable milestone in its power generation capacity, reaching 2.81 billion kilowatts and an annual electricity generation of 9.4 trillion kilowatt-hours in 2024, establishing itself as a global leader in the electricity sector [1][9][10] Historical Context - In 1949, China's total installed power generation capacity was only 1.85 million kilowatts, which was insufficient for even a medium-sized city's electricity needs [3] - The early days of electricity in China were characterized by limited access, with rural areas relying on kerosene lamps and candles, highlighting the significant progress made since then [3] Development and Infrastructure - The rapid expansion of power generation began in the 1980s with the construction of numerous thermal and hydropower plants, driven by the need for electricity despite environmental concerns [5] - The implementation of the "West-East Power Transmission" project in 2002 marked a significant advancement in China's electricity infrastructure, enabling the transfer of electricity over vast distances with minimal losses [5][12] Technological Advancements - China has developed cutting-edge technologies in high-voltage power transmission, allowing for efficient electricity transfer with losses of less than 5% over long distances [5] - The introduction of new energy storage systems, projected to exceed 73 million kilowatts by 2025, will enhance grid stability and efficiency [7] Export and Global Influence - In 2024, China's exports of electrical equipment, including transformers, saw significant growth, with transformer exports increasing by 67.94% [9] - China's high-voltage power lines are extending internationally, contributing to electricity supply in countries like Laos and Pakistan as part of the Belt and Road Initiative [9] Major Projects - Major hydropower projects such as the Three Gorges and Baihetan dams are not only crucial for energy supply but also serve as symbols of national pride [10] - The construction of a new hydropower station on the Yarlung Tsangpo River in Tibet, with a capacity of over 70 million kilowatts, is expected to significantly impact the energy landscape in Eastern China [10] Challenges and Resilience - Despite challenges such as reduced electricity imports from Russia and issues in other countries' power sectors, China's comprehensive approach to energy policy and infrastructure development has proven effective [12] - The strength of China's electricity sector lies in its integrated approach, encompassing policy, infrastructure, technology, and operational efficiency [12]

Core Viewpoint - Kelu Electronics (002121) reported a significant turnaround in its financial performance for the first half of 2025, achieving a revenue of 2.573 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.66%, and a net profit of 190 million yuan, compared to a loss of 39.67 million yuan in the same period last year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 2.573 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a growth of 34.66% year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 190 million yuan, marking a turnaround from a loss of 39.67 million yuan in the previous year [1] Group 2: Business Strategy - The company is focusing on deepening its presence in the domestic power grid market while actively expanding into non-power grid markets by developing new customers to seek growth [1] - Kelu Electronics is also seizing opportunities in the overseas smart meter market, promoting multi-point development of its overseas business [1]

Core Insights - The A-share market experienced a collective decline on Thursday, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.18%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.73%, and the ChiNext Index by 1.66% [2][7] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1,935.75 billion yuan [2][7] - In the Shenwan industry sector, computer, communication, and comprehensive industries led the gains, while steel, non-ferrous metals, and real estate sectors faced declines [2][7] Important News - The National Internet Information Office interviewed NVIDIA regarding security risks associated with its H20 computing chips sold to China, which were reported to have serious vulnerabilities [3][8] - New regulations effective from August 1 include the Hong Kong Stablecoin Ordinance, marking the first comprehensive regulatory framework for fiat-backed stablecoins globally [3][8] Fund and Stock Allocation - In Q2 2025, the overall net value of market funds increased to 33.65 trillion yuan, with stock and mixed funds accounting for 22.28% of total fund net value [9] - The overall fund allocation ratio was 78.09%, with equity mixed funds at 78.78% and ordinary stock funds at 84.89%, showing a recovery from Q1 2025 [9][10] - The performance of various fund types varied, with QDII funds yielding 6.98%, mixed funds 2.02%, and stock funds 1.94% [9] Industry Analysis - The beauty and personal care sector saw a fund allocation ratio of 0.32% in Q2 2025, with individual care and medical beauty sectors in an overweight position, while cosmetics remained underweight [17][18] - The electrical equipment export market showed stable performance, with June exports totaling 7.896 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 43.01% [21][22] - The transformer export market experienced significant growth, with June exports reaching 4.221 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 63.04% [22][24] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors benefiting from policy support, such as beauty and personal care, and electrical equipment, particularly in the context of energy transition and technological advancements [25][29] - The lithium battery industry is expected to enter a recovery phase, driven by strong demand from the electric vehicle and energy storage sectors, with solid-state battery technology breakthroughs being a key focus [29][30]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Wanlian Securities indicates that China's power equipment exports are performing steadily, with significant growth in various segments, driven by global renewable energy expansion and grid upgrades [1][2]. Export Performance Summary - In June 2025, the total export value of power equipment reached 7.896 billion yuan, with a month-on-month increase of 10.55% and a year-on-year increase of 43.01%. The cumulative export value from January to June 2025 was 41.173 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 36.90% [1]. Transformer Exports - The export value of transformers in June 2025 was 4.221 billion yuan, showing a month-on-month increase of 26.31% and a year-on-year increase of 63.04%. The cumulative export value for the first half of 2025 was 20.685 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 49.36% [1][2]. Regional Export Breakdown for Transformers - In June 2025, transformer exports to North America reached a record high, with values of 5.89 billion yuan, while exports to Asia, Africa, and Europe were 1.660 billion, 0.341 billion, and 1.040 billion yuan respectively, showing year-on-year growth rates of 40.78%, 77.26%, 112.54%, and 110.64% [2]. Electric Meter Exports - The export value of electric meters in June 2025 was 896 million yuan, with a month-on-month decrease of 4.83% and a year-on-year decrease of 22.03%. The cumulative export value for the first half of 2025 was 5.300 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.22% [3]. Regional Export Breakdown for Electric Meters - In June 2025, electric meter exports to Latin America showed significant recovery, while exports to Asia, Africa, and Europe declined. The export values were 0.245 billion, 0.272 billion, and 0.281 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -18.71%, -41.48%, and -8.03% [3]. Switch Exports - The export value of switches in June 2025 was 682 million yuan, with a month-on-month increase of 2.43% and a year-on-year increase of 30.90%. The cumulative export value for the first half of 2025 was 4.041 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.83% [4]. Regional Export Breakdown for Switches - In June 2025, switch exports to Latin America reached a record high, while exports to Asia and Europe saw declines. The export values were 0.422 billion, 0.029 billion, 0.081 billion, and 0.110 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of +20.79%, -4.60%, +26.23%, and +119.73% [4]. Cable Exports - The export value of cables in June 2025 was 2.097 billion yuan, with a month-on-month decrease of 4.83% but a year-on-year increase of 66.18%. The cumulative export value for the first half of 2025 was 11.147 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 41.46% [5]. Regional Export Breakdown for Cables - In June 2025, cable exports to Asia were 1.114 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 124.00%. Exports to North America reached 226 million yuan, with a month-on-month increase of 106.04% and a year-on-year increase of 10.99% [5][6].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating a projected relative increase of over 10% in the industry index compared to the broader market within the next six months [40]. Core Insights - The report highlights stable performance in the power equipment export sector, with a total export value of 7.896 billion in June 2025, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 10.55% and a year-on-year increase of 43.01% [2]. - The report anticipates continued growth in exports due to the peak season for installation and upgrading of power equipment [2]. Summary by Sections Transformers - In June 2025, transformer exports reached 4.221 billion, with a month-on-month growth of 26.31% and a year-on-year growth of 63.04% [3][13]. - Cumulative exports for the first half of 2025 totaled 20.685 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of 49.36% [3][14]. - North America showed significant growth, with exports reaching new highs, while exports to Asia, Africa, and Europe also experienced substantial year-on-year increases [3][14]. Electric Meters - Electric meter exports in June 2025 were 896 million, reflecting a month-on-month decline of 4.83% and a year-on-year decline of 22.03% [4][20]. - Cumulative exports for the first half of 2025 were 5.300 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 3.22% [4][20]. - The report notes a recovery in the Latin American market, while exports to Asia, Africa, and Europe saw declines [4][22]. Switches - Switch exports in June 2025 amounted to 682 million, with a month-on-month increase of 2.43% and a year-on-year increase of 30.90% [8][23]. - Cumulative exports for the first half of 2025 reached 4.041 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.83% [8][23]. - The Latin American market performed exceptionally well, achieving record export levels [8][27]. Cables - Cable exports in June 2025 were 2.097 billion, with a month-on-month decline of 4.83% but a year-on-year increase of 66.18% [9][28]. - Cumulative exports for the first half of 2025 totaled 11.147 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of 41.46% [9][28]. - The Asian market showed strong performance, while North America experienced significant growth in June [9][31]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies with strong technology and successful overseas market expansion, as they are expected to benefit from the ongoing growth in power equipment exports [10][37].

Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company achieved revenue of 8.347 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 964 million yuan, up 14.2% year-on-year, with a non-recurring net profit of 927 million yuan, increasing by 17.9% [1] - For 2Q25, the company reported revenue of 4.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.6%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 553 million yuan, up 13.2% year-on-year and 34.5% quarter-on-quarter, and a non-recurring net profit of 546 million yuan, increasing by 20.7% year-on-year and 43.5% quarter-on-quarter [1] Growth Trends - In 2Q25, the company's shipment value continued to show strong year-on-year growth, with an estimated overall shipment growth of over 20%, driven primarily by the new energy sector [2] - The new energy segment remains the core driver of growth, with shipments of high-voltage direct current for new energy vehicles and new energy inverters both increasing by over 50% year-on-year, benefiting from strong domestic new energy vehicle sales and recovering European demand [2] - Industrial control and signal relays also showed a recovery, with shipments increasing by over 30% year-on-year in 2Q25, while automotive low-voltage shipments grew by 16-17% year-on-year [2] Modular Business and Product Development - The modular business continued to expand, with significant growth in automotive modules, particularly high-voltage distribution boxes, which saw nearly 200% year-on-year growth in shipments for 1H25 [3] - New products such as film capacitors, connectors, fuses, and current sensors are in the process of customer expansion and market introduction, awaiting further order releases [3] Profitability and Cost Management - In 2Q25, the company's gross margin improved to 34.7%, with a year-on-year increase of 0.03 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.9 percentage points, benefiting from product structure optimization and increased revenue scale [3] - The company's expense ratio decreased to 15.3% in 2Q25, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter changes of -1.3 percentage points and -2.5 percentage points, respectively, primarily due to positive exchange rate effects on financial expenses [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 at 1.926 billion yuan and 2.248 billion yuan, respectively, with a target price of 30.0 yuan, corresponding to P/E ratios of 17.9x and 15.3x for 2025 and 2026 [4] - The target price implies an upside potential of 27.1%, maintaining an outperform rating in the industry [4]