支持與阻力位分析揭示，港交所當前的主要支持位在441元，次要支持位於437元，這兩道防線將成為短線回落時的重要緩衝。上行方面，470元構成首道關 鍵阻力，突破後下一目標將指向476元。值得注意的是，港交所近五日振幅達4.4%，相對溫和的波動特性為投資者提供了較清晰的技術參考。在這樣的市場 環境中，您通常如何設定止損與獲利目標？ 港交所股價正處於技術突破的關鍵時刻，從最新數據觀察，股價在449.6元附近整固，短期均線MA10與中期均線MA30分別位於443.98元及444.37元，形成緊密交織的 技術格局。這種均線排列顯示市場正在積蓄能量，而MA60的440.02元則為股價提供穩健的基礎支撐。當前價位在441元至470元的區間內震盪，多空雙方在這個技術敏 感地帶展開激烈爭奪。 回顾昨日专栏【港股Podcast】港交所 (00388.HK)：已經到年內高位了，還有多少上升空間？窩輪市場上，有投資者在昨日部署了認購證，行使 價530.5元 Simon:走勢比較醒目，盤中最高見460元。技術買賣信號為"買入"。數據系統分析的471元是目前第一個阻力位。有機會升穿周線圖的保力加通道 頂部。如果順利突破則上試477元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi is set to announce its earnings soon, with current stock price at 52.55 HKD, showing a slight decline of 0.85%. The stock is facing resistance at the 30-day moving average of 55.33 HKD, indicating a "sell" signal from technical analysis [1] Technical Analysis - The stock price is currently above the 10-day moving average of 52.63 HKD but is under pressure from the 30-day moving average [1] - Key support levels are identified at 51.1 HKD and 49.6 HKD, while resistance levels are at 55.5 HKD and 57.3 HKD [2] - The RSI is at 44, indicating a neutral zone, while other indicators suggest a potential short-term rebound [1] Market Performance - On August 12, recommended derivative products performed well, with UBS bull certificates rising by 36% and JPMorgan call options increasing by 21% [4] - The current market shows a slight upward trend compared to last week, with a minor increase in stock price [1] Derivative Products - For bullish strategies, UBS call option 14816 offers a leverage of 6.8 times with a strike price of 61.05 HKD, suitable for investors expecting a breakout above 55.5 HKD [7] - For bearish strategies, HSBC put option 14333 provides a leverage of 3.7 times with a strike price of 46.45 HKD, serving as a hedge against downside risk [7] Leverage Options - JPMorgan bull certificate 53165 leads with an actual leverage of 8.6 times and a recovery price of 48 HKD, ideal for short-term rebounds [9] - HSBC bear certificate 54560, with a recovery price of 60.8 HKD and an actual leverage of 8 times, is recommended for those expecting a decline in Xiaomi's stock [9]

Core Viewpoint - Meituan's stock price is currently facing resistance from moving averages, indicating potential selling pressure despite short-term rebound signals from some indicators [1][2]. Technical Analysis - The stock opened at HKD 122.8, showing a 0.9% increase, with key support levels at HKD 117.8 and HKD 113.6, while resistance levels are at HKD 126.4 and HKD 131 [1][2]. - Technical indicators such as RSI at 44 suggest a neutral stance, while MACD and Bollinger Bands indicate ongoing selling signals [1][2]. Derivative Products Performance - In the context of Meituan's 4.19% stock increase on August 12, related leveraged products performed exceptionally well, with UBS bull certificates rising by 69% and JPMorgan bull certificates increasing by 53% [4]. - Call options like HSBC's (19143) and CCB's (17067) showed significant leverage, with HSBC's providing 5.7x leverage and a strike price of HKD 138.98 [7]. Selected Bull and Bear Certificates - UBS bull certificate (50199) leads with 12.8x actual leverage and a recovery price of HKD 115.4, while UBS bear certificate (61871) offers 7.4x leverage with a recovery price of HKD 138 [9].

Core Viewpoint - HSBC's stock price is currently around 100.6 HKD, showing increased short-term volatility with a 4.7% fluctuation over the past five days, indicating a tug-of-war between bulls and bears at a critical level [1][2]. Technical Analysis and Key Levels - Support levels for HSBC are identified at 96.5 HKD (short-term support) and 92.3 HKD (strong support), while resistance levels are at 104.4 HKD (recent high) and 108.5 HKD (yearly target) [2]. - The 10-day moving average (98.41 HKD) and 30-day moving average (98.16 HKD) have formed a "golden cross," but the stock price is nearing the upper Bollinger Band, making the ability to break through the psychological barrier of 100 HKD a focal point [2]. - There is speculation on whether HSBC will first retrace to the 96.5 HKD support if the broader Hong Kong market weakens, or if it will benefit from interest rate hike expectations to test higher levels [2]. Recent Performance and Investor Sentiment - In August, HSBC's stock price rose nearly 10% after a significant drop at the end of July, stabilizing around the 100 HKD mark [4]. - Investors are divided, with some seeing a double-top formation that could lead to a drop towards 90 HKD, while others believe the stock is on a stable upward trajectory [4]. Product Review and Strategy Insights - Recent product performance shows that UBS bull certificates have significantly outperformed the underlying stock, with one product rising 7% and another 10% despite only a 0.2% increase in the stock price [5]. - In the current market environment, investors are encouraged to consider UBS call options with a leverage of 17.3 times, particularly suitable for aggressive investors anticipating a breakout [7]. - For bearish investors, options with lower leverage and favorable implied volatility are also available, providing a range of choices depending on market outlook [7][11]. Market Volatility and Trading Opportunities - The current market volatility has increased the risk associated with bull and bear certificates, necessitating close monitoring of the distance between the stock price and the recovery price [11].

Core Viewpoint - Sunny Optical Technology (02382) has recently attracted attention with its stock price at 77.1 HKD, showing bullish signals in technical analysis [1] Technical Analysis - The stock price has stabilized above the MA10 (74.89 HKD) and MA30 (74.02 HKD), with MA60 (68.94 HKD) providing solid support, indicating a strengthening medium-term trend [1] - The RSI indicator is at 62, nearing the overbought zone but not yet overheated, while MACD and Bollinger Bands have issued buy signals [1] - Key support levels are at 74 HKD (Support 1) and 71.4 HKD (Support 2); maintaining above these levels will sustain the bullish pattern [2] - Resistance levels are at 79.3 HKD (Resistance 1) and 82.7 HKD (Resistance 2); breaking through 79.3 HKD could trigger a new upward movement [2] Investment Signals - Current technical signals summarize as "buy," with a short-term preference, and the upper resistance levels align with investor expectations [4] - For investors optimistic about short-term breakthroughs, options such as Societe Generale call warrant 13939 (exercise price 89.5 HKD, leverage 4.8) and Barclays call warrant 15410 (exercise price 89.55 HKD, leverage 4.9) are recommended [7] - Cautious investors may consider the put warrant 14741 (exercise price 73.82 HKD, leverage 4.5) as a hedging tool against potential market adjustments [7] Derivative Products - Bull certificates like HSBC Bull Certificate 62734 and UBS Bull Certificate 57312 have a buyback price set at 70 HKD, with actual leverage of 8.1 and 7.9 respectively, suitable for investors expecting short-term rebounds [10] - A bear certificate option is Citigroup Bear Certificate 55092, with a buyback price of 88 HKD and actual leverage of 6.6, suitable for strategies anticipating a price peak and subsequent decline [10]

Group 1 - Xiaomi's stock price is currently at 51.5 HKD, showing a 1.28% increase, but technical indicators suggest severe overselling with an RSI of 31, indicating a potential for a technical rebound [1] - The stock has fallen below all key moving averages, with MA10 at 52.85 HKD, MA30 at 55.98 HKD, and MA60 at 54.94 HKD, while other indicators like the Williams %R, Stochastic Oscillator, and CCI signal a buying opportunity [1] - Short-term support levels are identified at 48.8 HKD (Support 1) and 45.1 HKD (Support 2), with resistance levels at 53.5 HKD (Resistance 1) and 56 HKD (Resistance 2) [2] Group 2 - Recent derivative products have shown strong performance, with UBS bear certificate 59867 rising by 13% and JPMorgan bear certificate 55706 increasing by 12% during a period when Xiaomi's stock fell by 2.03% [4] - Recommended products for investors anticipating a rebound include Morgan Stanley call option 16583 with a strike price of 59.05 HKD and a leverage of 10.1 times, and Bank of China call option 29957 with a strike price of 59 HKD and a leverage of 9.9 times [7] - For bearish investors, Morgan Stanley put option 14322 and HSBC put option 14333, both with a strike price of 46.45 HKD and competitive premiums, are suggested [7][10]

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's stock price is currently experiencing volatility, with technical indicators suggesting a potential short-term rebound despite being in an oversold condition [1][12]. Technical Analysis - As of August 13, 2025, Xiaomi's stock price is at 52.5 HKD, showing a 1.55% increase. The RSI indicator is at 31, indicating an oversold condition. The stock price has fallen below the 10-day moving average (52.98 HKD) and the 30-day moving average (56.02 HKD), but is supported near the 60-day moving average (54.97 HKD) [1]. - The William and stochastic indicators are signaling a buy, contrasting with the MACD sell signal, suggesting a possible technical rebound in the short term [1]. - Key support levels are identified at 49.7 HKD and 46.4 HKD, while resistance levels are at 54.5 HKD and 57 HKD. A significant market volatility is indicated by an 8% fluctuation over five days [3]. Market Sentiment - Recent trading activity shows a capital inflow of 35 million HKD into Xiaomi's call options over the past five trading days, indicating investor interest in capitalizing on potential rebounds [1]. - The stock has seen fluctuations, with a recent low of 50.1 HKD and a previous high of over 60 HKD, reflecting investor concerns amid competitive pressures in the automotive sector [1]. Derivative Products Performance - Recent recommendations for derivative products have shown strong performance, with certain bull certificates experiencing gains of 30% and 24% in a short period, demonstrating the effectiveness of leveraged products in a rebound scenario [5]. - New recommendations for call options include HSBC's call option with a strike price of 60.65 HKD and a leverage of 7.2 times, suitable for speculative rebound plays [8]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to monitor the support level at 49.7 HKD closely. If this level holds, there may be opportunities for gradual accumulation [3]. - For bearish investors, options with lower strike prices and higher leverage are available, providing hedging opportunities against potential declines [8][10].

Group 1 - Xiaomi Group (01810) saw a 2.15% increase in stock price, closing at 54.55 HKD with a trading volume of 5.354 billion HKD, indicating heightened investor interest [1] - Technical indicators show mixed signals; while most indicators remain in the sell zone, the stochastic oscillator has issued a buy signal, and the RSI has moved away from the oversold area, suggesting a potential short-term technical rebound [1] - The stock price is currently below the 10-day moving average (56.02 HKD) and the 30-day moving average (57.03 HKD), but above the 60-day moving average (54.79 HKD), indicating that the medium-term trend is still to be confirmed [1] Group 2 - Key support level is at 52.7 HKD; if breached, the stock may drop to 50.7 HKD. The short-term resistance is at 56.9 HKD, and a breakthrough could lead to a challenge of 58.4 HKD [1] - The Bollinger Bands indicate that the stock price is near the lower band, and if it stabilizes and rebounds, it may move towards the middle band [1] - Although the MACD maintains a sell signal, the downward momentum has weakened; if the stock can hold above the 55 HKD level, the short-term outlook may improve [1] Group 3 - Recent derivatives performance shows that on July 31, when Xiaomi's stock rose by 2.63%, UBS's bull certificate 57477 had a remarkable single-day increase of 30%, while another UBS bull certificate 69916 rose by 23% [4] - In terms of call options, UBS call certificate 17892 increased by 9%, and Bank of China call certificate 16937 rose by 8%, both outperforming the underlying stock's increase, demonstrating the leverage advantage of derivatives in trending markets [4] - Various derivatives are available for investors; for bullish positions, Bank of China call certificate 16937 offers 5.3x leverage with a strike price of 62.04 HKD, while UBS call certificate 15800 offers 8.9x leverage with a strike price of 63.05 HKD [7]

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi Group's stock price is currently experiencing significant selling pressure, with a recent decline of 1.05% to HKD 56.8, indicating active market trading and a neutral signal without a clear direction [1][4]. Technical Analysis - The stock price is positioned slightly below the 10-day moving average of HKD 57.49, yet remains above the 30-day moving average of HKD 56.96 and the 60-day moving average of HKD 54.55, suggesting short-term adjustment pressure but no significant damage to the medium-term trend [1]. - Key support levels are identified at HKD 55.2 and HKD 53.6, while resistance levels are at HKD 58.4 and HKD 60.3. A rebound above HKD 57.5 could challenge the resistance at HKD 58.4, whereas a drop below HKD 55.2 may lead to a decline towards HKD 53.6 [4]. Market Sentiment - Technical indicators show mixed signals, with multiple moving averages issuing sell signals, but the overall market sentiment is not strongly bearish, as indicated by a sell strength of only 10. The RSI is at 53, indicating a neutral zone [4]. - Recent performance in the derivative market shows a significant increase in bearish instruments when Xiaomi's stock price fell by 2.82% on July 24, with notable gains in related put options [4]. Derivative Instruments - Investors looking for bullish positions may consider UBS call options (14816) with a strike price of HKD 61.05, offering a leverage of 5.9 times and low implied volatility. HSBC call options (14677) have the same strike price but offer slightly higher leverage at 6.1 times [7]. - For bearish investors, options such as Bank of China put options (14387) with a strike price of HKD 46.45 and leverage of 3.09 times, or UBS put options (17706) with a strike price of HKD 53.94 and leverage of 4.8 times, are available [7]. Investment Strategy - In the current market environment, a cautious approach is recommended, waiting for a clear breakout above HKD 57.5 or a drop below HKD 55.2 before making further moves. A range trading strategy could be beneficial, positioning call options near support levels and put options near resistance levels [13].

Core Viewpoint - Semiconductor company SMIC (中芯国际) shows positive technical indicators, with a current stock price of HKD 48.8, reflecting a 0.51% increase. The stock is above its 10-day and 30-day moving averages, indicating a favorable medium-term trend, although it is approaching overbought territory [1]. Technical Analysis - The stock price is currently supported at HKD 45.1, with a potential drop to HKD 42.4 if this support is broken. The key resistance level is at HKD 50.3, and a breakthrough could lead to testing HKD 53.3 [1]. - The MACD indicator shows a golden cross, while the Bollinger Bands indicate an upward trend. However, the RSI is at 68, nearing the overbought zone, suggesting a possible need for consolidation before testing the resistance at HKD 50.3 [1]. - Investors are optimistic about breaking the resistance at HKD 49, with some targeting HKD 53. The overall technical signals are summarized as "buy" [1]. Derivative Instruments - Recent performance of derivative products linked to SMIC shows significant leverage effects. For instance, a specific warrant from Societe Generale increased by 32% following a 3.08% rise in SMIC's stock price [4]. - Various warrants are available in the market, with Citigroup's warrant offering 5.5x leverage at an exercise price of HKD 52.55, and UBS's warrant providing 4.2x leverage at HKD 52.05 [7]. - Bear certificates are also available, with one from Societe Generale offering 12.4x leverage and a redemption price of HKD 52 [10]. Market Sentiment - The current market sentiment indicates active trading, with a 9.6% five-day volatility suggesting robust market engagement. The mixed signals from momentum oscillators indicate potential short-term fluctuations [1]. - Investors are considering whether to wait for a pullback to support levels or to follow through on potential breakouts, reflecting varying risk appetites in the semiconductor sector [13].