Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the diversified financial sector [5] Core Insights - Stablecoins are essentially privately issued digital shadow currencies backed by sufficient reserves, gradually penetrating into real economy payment scenarios, which warrants attention regarding their impact on currency circulation and the government bond market [1][12] - As of June 18, 2025, the total market size of USD stablecoins reached approximately $220 billion, accounting for about 1% of USD M2 [1][21] - The initial use case of stablecoins was as a medium for cryptocurrency trading, with around 80% of stablecoin transaction volume still attributed to crypto asset trading as of 2024 [2][30] - Stablecoins exhibit low-cost and high-efficiency characteristics, particularly in cross-border payments, contributing to over 70% of the $600 billion in cross-border flows in Q2 2024 [2][43] - The interaction between stablecoins and currency liquidity is generally neutral, with their issuance not significantly altering the factors determining fiat currency liquidity [62] Summary by Sections Nature of Stablecoins - Stablecoins are issued by private commercial entities and are considered credit money, as they represent a claim against the issuing institution [12] - They are backed by sufficient reserves, which limits their issuance scale to the reserve size, unlike traditional fiat money which can be created with leverage [12][21] - Stablecoins are based on blockchain technology, allowing for peer-to-peer transactions without central control [12] Initial Use Cases - The development of stablecoins like USDT was driven by the need for a stable medium of exchange in cryptocurrency trading, particularly to reduce the high friction costs associated with converting fiat to crypto [30][31] Payment Integration - Stablecoins are increasingly accepted in traditional payment scenarios, especially in cross-border transactions where they provide a more efficient alternative to fiat currencies [43][45] Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) Outlook - CBDCs and stablecoins share similar technological foundations but differ in their issuers, with CBDCs being state-backed and stablecoins being privately issued [56] - The potential for CBDCs to penetrate the market is significant, especially in areas where stablecoins are currently utilized [58] Interaction with Currency Liquidity and Government Bonds - The issuance of stablecoins does not significantly impact fiat liquidity, as their effects are largely neutral unless considering the choice of reserve assets [62]

Germany - The German Ministry of Finance has issued new regulations regarding the taxation of specific crypto assets, replacing the previous version from May 2022 [4] - The new regulations introduce detailed compliance obligations, including tax reporting, collaboration, and record-keeping requirements [5] - The regulations clarify the tax treatment of passive staking income and the criteria for determining transaction value, while non-fungible tokens (NFTs) and liquidity mining activities are currently excluded from these regulations [6] Australia - The Australian government has announced a two-year freeze on beer excise tax rates, halting tax increases on draft beer, which is beneficial for beer drinkers, brewers, and the hospitality industry [11] - Historically, beer excise tax rates have increased twice a year in line with the Consumer Price Index (CPI), with an 8% increase over the past year [11] - The government is also raising the excise tax exemption cap for eligible alcohol manufacturers to AUD 400,000, effective July 1, 2026 [11] Brazil - The Brazilian government has proposed a bill to adjust personal income tax policies, expanding the tax-exempt range for low-income earners and increasing tax burdens on high-income individuals [14] - The bill aims to raise the tax-exempt income threshold for low-income individuals to BRL 5,000, up from BRL 2,824, with full exemption for those earning below this threshold [14] - If approved, non-resident individuals receiving dividend income will be subject to a 10% withholding tax, and high-income earners will face an additional tax on exempt income, potentially raising their effective tax rate to 37.5% [15][16]

金十数据6月16日讯，越南通过了一项法律，正式承认数字和加密资产，朝着监管和促进加密货币经济 迈出了决定性的一步。《数字技术产业法》于6月14日通过，将于2026年1月1日生效。据当地媒体报 道，该法案概述了一个管理数字资产和促进区块链创新的广泛框架。 （CoinDesk） 越南通过法律承认加密资产 ...

Group 1 - The meeting of the Financial Stability Board (FSB) in Madrid discussed global financial system vulnerabilities, non-bank financial intermediation, crypto assets, climate-related financial risks, and risk management [1] - The appointment of Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, as the new Chair of the FSB was approved during the meeting [1] - The Deputy Governor of the People's Bank of China, Lu Lei, expressed appreciation for the outgoing Chair, Klaas Knot, for his effective leadership and contributions [1] Group 2 - Lu Lei held discussions with the Chair of the FSB's Standards Implementation Committee and the Deputy Governor of the Bank of Japan, Masayoshi Amamiya, regarding international financial regulatory standards and peer reviews [1]

Group 1 - The core objective of BlackRock is to achieve annual revenue exceeding $35 billion by 2030, up from $20 billion in 2024, and to double its market value from approximately $140 billion to $280 billion [1] - BlackRock aims to raise a total of $400 billion in private markets by 2030, with a focus on expanding its presence in the private market and digital asset sectors [1] - The company plans to manage $700 billion in insurance-related assets by 2030, positioning itself as the largest third-party manager in the balance sheet insurance asset space [1] Group 2 - BlackRock's strategy includes significant investments in private asset companies, having spent around $28 billion over the past year to catch up with established players like Blackstone and Carlyle [1] - The company targets managing at least $50 billion in crypto assets over the next 15 years and aims to introduce digital asset ETF products in Europe and Canada based on its U.S. operational experience [1] - The CFO of BlackRock indicated that the ongoing expansion in private, digital assets, and active ETFs will enhance the overall fee structure and positively impact the company's profitability [2] Group 3 - BlackRock has set a financial target of achieving an adjusted operating profit of $15 billion by 2030, significantly higher than the projected $8 billion for 2024 [2] - The company anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10% in revenue [2]

Core Viewpoint - BlackRock aims to become the world's largest cryptocurrency asset management firm by 2030, targeting an asset size exceeding $50 billion [1] Group 1 - The company has set a clear goal for its future in the cryptocurrency market [1] - The target asset size of over $50 billion indicates significant growth expectations in the crypto asset management sector [1]

以下文章来源于太辉研究 ，作者沈建光、朱太辉 从交易治理来看，这一认识也没有分析稳定币背后的技术差异。 比特币、以太坊等加密资产的发 行交易依赖工作量证明（PoW）、权益证明（PoS）等共识算法，是完全去中心化，价格完全由 太辉研究 . 本平台主要发布朱太辉博士关于金融发展与宏观经济、金融科技与数字经济、金融监管与货币政策等领 域的研究观点。所发成果均为个人学术观点，与任何单位无关！ 文/ 京东集团首席经济学家，中国首席经济学家论坛理事 沈建光 ，京东集 团高级研究总监 朱太辉 2023年下半年以来，稳定币步入了快速增长轨道，但国内对稳定币 的认识还存在不少误区，既涉及稳定币的功能定位、稳定属性，也 涉及稳定币与央行数字货币的关系，更涉及稳定币对货币主权、货 币国际化和非法金融活动的影响，导致在发展离岸或者在岸人民币 稳定币上缺乏政策共识。接下来，应当尽快厘清这些认识误区，全 面客观地认识稳定币的功能属性和战略价值，稳妥推进离岸人民币 稳定币发展，为境内人民币稳定币发展打下基础，同时为人民币国 际化提供新的引擎。 2023年下半年以来，稳定币步入了快速增长轨道，当前市场规模已经超过了2300亿美元，持有的 活 ...

潮新闻客户端 记者 张云山 加密世界与传统资本市场的边界，正在被稳定币公司Circle击穿。 "开盘暴涨122%，盘中最高涨幅超234%"——这不是某个山寨币的魔幻故事，而是全球第二大美元稳定 币发行商Circle登陆纽交所的实况。美东时间6月5日，Circle（股票代码CRCL）以每股31美元发行价登 陆纽交所，开盘价直接飙升至66.75美元。经历盘中熔断后继续上冲，最终收于82.88美元，单日涨幅达 167.35%，市值瞬间膨胀至182.78美元，约1316亿人民币。 Circle股价大涨（同花顺截图） 破壁者效应：传统金融与加密世界的双向奔赴 Circle上市的高光表现，映射出传统资本对加密资产的认知转变。"这不仅是稳定币第一股，更是现实世 界资本对链上金融基础设施的价值重估。"分析人士认为，随着Visa、PayPal等巨头相继布局稳定币，这 个曾被视作边缘产物的领域正成为兵家必争之地。Circle的核心竞争力在于其对监管合规的极致追求 ——每月发布储备金审计报告，持有纽约州信托牌照等举措，使其成为摩根大通等传统机构进入加密世 界的首选通道。 当然，其中风险依然不可忽视：美国尚未出台稳定币联邦立法，Te ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid development and regulatory changes surrounding fiat stablecoins, particularly in the context of recent legislative actions in the US and Hong Kong, which are expected to significantly impact the cryptocurrency market and the role of stablecoins in the financial system [3][13]. Summary by Sections Development of Dollar Stablecoins - The emergence of dollar stablecoins, such as USDT and USDC, has been pivotal in bridging the gap between cryptocurrency and fiat currency, enabling 24/7 global transactions [8][10]. - USDT, issued by Tether, has been operational for over 10 years, but concerns about its reserve transparency and regulatory oversight persist [9][10]. Regulatory Changes and Implications - Recent legislative actions, including the US Senate's passage of the Stablecoin Innovation Act and Hong Kong's Stablecoin Ordinance, are accelerating the regulatory framework for fiat stablecoins globally [13][14]. - The regulation aims to prevent the over-issuance of stablecoins, ensuring they are backed by sufficient fiat reserves and subject to independent audits [14][15]. Market Impact and Future Trends - The market capitalization of dollar stablecoins has rapidly increased, with projections indicating that by April 2025, it could exceed $240 billion, accounting for over 99% of the global fiat stablecoin market [15]. - The rise of stablecoins is reshaping payment systems, potentially leading to a shift towards a distributed ledger technology-based financial infrastructure [15][16]. Strategic Considerations for China - The rapid development of dollar stablecoins poses challenges for the internationalization of the Chinese yuan, necessitating adjustments in policies regarding cryptocurrency and stablecoin development [19][20]. - The article suggests that China should leverage its advancements in digital identity and digital currency to enhance its competitive position in the global digital finance landscape [20].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing weakening of the US dollar, which has fallen below the critical level of 100, and its implications for global asset allocation, particularly in Asia [3]. Group 1: Dollar Weakness and Global Impact - The US dollar is in a weak cycle due to the Federal Reserve's policy shifts, increasing fiscal deficits, and a global trend towards de-dollarization [3]. - There have been five instances of simultaneous declines in stocks, bonds, and the dollar this year, indicating deepening economic contradictions in the US [3]. - Asian currencies are experiencing collective appreciation, with the Japanese yen rising by 10%, the New Taiwan dollar by 9%, and other major Asian currencies increasing by 3%-7% [3]. Group 2: Hong Kong Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong dollar has seen significant liquidity injections from the Monetary Authority, with interbank borrowing rates dropping from 4% to 0.6%, encouraging leveraged investments in stocks and real estate [5]. - The influx of talent is evident as local universities expand enrollment, with the University of Hong Kong's business school increasing its master's program from 300 to 5,000 students annually [5]. - The IPO market in Hong Kong is recovering, with 70 new listings in Q1 2023, and expectations for the total IPO scale to exceed HKD 400 billion for the year [7]. Group 3: Global Asset Allocation Strategy - The S&P 500's forward P/E ratio remains high at 29, with tech giants at historical valuation premiums, suggesting a need to reduce exposure to US equities [9]. - The 10-year US Treasury yield has rebounded to 4.5%, with significant rollover pressures from maturing debt, leading to a recommendation to avoid short-term volatility risks in US Treasuries [9]. - Japanese assets are being revalued, with a 60% increase in core Tokyo property prices over three years, and a high employment rate among graduates attracting middle-class families [9]. Group 4: Investment Strategy Recommendations - In the current transition period, the recommended asset allocation includes 15% in insurance products, 5.2% yield Asian dollar bonds, and a focus on equities with 40% in Hong Kong stocks, 25% in Japanese stocks, and 20% in high-dividend A-shares [11]. - Alternative assets should include 10% in gold and 5% in Bitcoin, with a strategy to increase holdings in the Chinese yuan and yen while reducing US dollar exposure to below 30% [11].