零售转型

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平安银行(000001):2024年报点评:零售规模仍在降,但风险已现改善
Guotou Securities· 2025-03-16 15:21
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Ping An Bank is maintained at Buy-A with a 6-month target price of 14.17 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 11.97 CNY [4]. Core Views - Ping An Bank's revenue growth is under pressure due to ongoing transformation and restructuring, with a reported revenue decline of 10.93% year-on-year for 2024 [1]. - The bank's net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 4.19% year-on-year, indicating a divergence between revenue and profit growth [1]. - The bank's asset quality shows signs of improvement, with a decrease in the non-performing loan generation rate to 1.8% in 2024, down 9 basis points year-on-year [10][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, Ping An Bank's operating revenue was 146.695 billion CNY, with a projected revenue decline of 7.76% for 2025 [14]. - The bank's net profit for 2024 was 44.508 billion CNY, with an expected slight increase to 44.899 billion CNY in 2025 [14]. - The bank's net interest margin for Q4 2024 was reported at 1.70%, down 41 basis points year-on-year [3][9]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 1.06% as of Q4 2024, with improvements in various loan categories [33]. - The bank has increased its provision coverage ratio, maintaining a stable credit cost despite the pressure on profit growth [10][12]. Retail Business - The retail business is undergoing structural adjustments, with a focus on reducing high-risk loans, leading to a decline in retail credit [2][12]. - The bank's retail assets under management (AUM) showed slight growth, benefiting from improved market conditions in Q4 2024 [11][37]. Credit Growth - New credit issuance in Q4 2024 was 5.7 billion CNY, indicating a slight recovery compared to previous quarters, although retail credit remains under pressure [20]. - The bank's overall credit growth is expected to remain weak in 2025, with ongoing efforts to reduce high-risk retail loans [12][13].