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美股要瑟瑟发抖?戴蒙给市场“当头一棒”:未来6个月到2年 小心严重回调!
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 02:21
Group 1 - Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, warns of a significant risk of a major correction in the U.S. stock market within the next 6 months to 2 years, citing increased uncertainty due to geopolitical tensions, fiscal spending policies, and global militarization trends [1] - Dimon emphasizes that the current level of uncertainty should be significantly higher than normal, particularly highlighting the overheating risk in the U.S. stock market [1] - While Dimon is optimistic about the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) as a genuine technological innovation, he cautions against the excessive hype and blind investment in the sector, suggesting that some of the funds flowing into AI may ultimately be wasted [1] Group 2 - Dimon refutes the notion that rising cryptocurrency and gold prices indicate a loss of confidence in the U.S. dollar and American economic leadership, stating that investors have merely increased their doubts, but the dollar remains the best global currency [2] - He advises investors to consider reducing their exposure to dollar-denominated assets, as their current portfolio may be overly concentrated in this area [2] - Dimon previously expressed cautious views on the U.S. economic outlook, highlighting the long-term impacts of tariff policies, immigration issues, geopolitical situations, and tax and spending policies under Trump, which remain uncertain [2]
国际金银价格冲高回落 美国财政部干预阿根廷汇市|环球市场
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 01:36
Market Overview - The U.S. stock market experienced a decline with all three major indices closing lower, following a pullback in gold and silver prices [1] - The Nikkei 225 index reached a new historical high, driven by a significant 11% surge in SoftBank Group [1] Commodity Market - Silver prices briefly surpassed $50 per ounce for the first time since 1980 but retreated during U.S. trading hours due to profit-taking and the impact of the Gaza ceasefire agreement [2] - International oil prices and Bitcoin also saw collective adjustments [2][3] Economic Developments - The U.S. Treasury announced a $20 billion aid package for Argentina, including direct purchases of the Argentine peso to stabilize its financial market [5] - The U.S. Labor Statistics Bureau is preparing to release the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) report by the end of the month, which is crucial for determining next year's Social Security payments [6] Technology Sector - NVIDIA reportedly received approval from the U.S. Department of Commerce to export AI chips worth billions to the UAE [7] - Intel showcased its new 18A process technology chip, claiming a 50% performance increase at the same power consumption compared to its previous generation [8]
X @Yuyue
Yuyue· 2025-10-09 21:13
RT 凉粉小刀 (@liangfenxiaodao)“修仙”在中文文化中,是一个充满象征意义的概念,既包含了哲学、宗教,也代表了一种精神追求。我们可以从两个层面理解它——传统文化意义与现代隐喻意义。1. 起源与核心思想“修仙”源于中国古代的道家思想与民间传说。所谓“修”,是修炼身心、追求大道;“仙”,是指脱离凡俗、长生不死或获得超凡境界的存在。修仙者通过修身养性、炼丹、悟道等方式,追求“得道成仙”,即突破人类的局限,达到自由与永恒。2. 象征的精神内核修仙并不只是逃离现实,而是一种对极致成长与自由的追求:•修心:克服欲望与恐惧,提升心智。•修身:持之以恒地提升自身能力与能量。•悟道:洞悉事物本质,与天地自然合一。这是一条孤独且漫长的自我蜕变之路,充满试炼与诱惑。正因如此,“修仙”也象征着超越凡俗、反人性的毅力与智慧。二、修仙在加密货币语境下的延伸在加密货币与区块链领域,“修仙”逐渐成为一种隐喻性的用语,用以描述一种修行者式的成长与投机哲学。这种用法主要有以下几个层面:1. 心法修炼:市场如道场币圈波动剧烈,贪婪与恐惧交织,宛如修仙者渡劫。许多资深交易者常说——“炒币如修仙,心态不稳则走火入魔。”修仙者讲究心境 ...
美国37万亿国债要靠比特币赖账?微策略买64万枚,俄顾问捅破真相
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-09 13:43
Group 1 - The article discusses the contrasting views on how the U.S. might address its $37 trillion debt, with suggestions involving cryptocurrencies like stablecoins and Bitcoin [1][3][5] - Russian economic advisor Anton Kobyakov warned that the U.S. is considering using stablecoins to devalue its debt, potentially shifting the burden onto global holders of U.S. dollars [5][7][9] - MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor proposed a radical approach of selling U.S. gold reserves to invest in Bitcoin, aiming to make Bitcoin a global reserve asset and thereby alleviate the debt burden [7][9][28] Group 2 - The article highlights the historical context of how the U.S. has traditionally managed its debt through inflation and externalizing the burden onto other countries [11][13][20] - It explains that the U.S. has used strategies like low-interest rates and quantitative easing to inflate away debt, which has often resulted in a hidden "inflation tax" on global dollar holders [14][18][20] - The current exploration of cryptocurrencies is seen as an evolution of these strategies, with stablecoins and Bitcoin potentially allowing for more precise and covert methods of transferring debt burdens globally [20][21][32] Group 3 - Stablecoins are presented as a tool that could facilitate the U.S. in issuing more debt while transferring inflationary pressures to global users, but they face trust issues and regulatory challenges [23][25][32] - Bitcoin is viewed as a more aggressive strategy that could reshape the global reserve system, but it carries significant risks, including price volatility and potential backlash from other nations [28][30][32] - The article concludes that regardless of the chosen method, the U.S. strategy will likely lead to a global wealth transfer, impacting different socioeconomic groups in varying ways [33][40][48]
摩根大通:预计Solana ETF首年资金流入约15亿美元,为以太坊的七分之一
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-09 13:27
Core Insights - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that even if the spot Solana ETF is approved this week, it is unlikely to attract significant investor capital inflow [1] - The estimated capital inflow for the first year of the Solana ETF is projected to be around $1.5 billion, which is approximately one-seventh of the inflow for the Ethereum ETF [1] - Factors contributing to this lower expectation include reduced on-chain activity, active meme coin trading, investor fatigue from multiple product launches, and competition from diversified cryptocurrency index products like the S&P Dow Jones Digital Market 50 Index [1]
新力量NewForce总第4879期
First Shanghai Securities· 2025-10-09 12:05
Market Performance - Bitcoin recorded a strong start in Q4, achieving a historical high of $126,199 with a weekly increase of approximately 10%[6] - The recent surge in the BSC chain's Chinese Meme coins led to a market capitalization exceeding $150 million within three days[6] Meme Coin Trends - The "Binance Life" token, inspired by popular internet memes, launched at approximately $0.001 and peaked above $0.5[6] - The involvement of Binance's founders significantly boosted the market, with CZ's social media engagement driving substantial price increases[6] Regulatory Environment - The U.S. government shutdown delayed the release of key employment data, with ADP reporting a decrease of 32,000 jobs in September, far below the expected increase of 50,000[6] - The SEC has postponed decisions on Bitcoin ETF applications, potentially integrating them into a new "general listing standard" framework[6] ETF Inflows - Bitcoin spot ETFs attracted $3.24 billion in net inflows last week, marking the second-best weekly performance on record[9] - Ethereum ETFs also saw significant inflows, contributing to a total of $1.645 billion over the same period[12] Investment Strategy - The current market is in a healthy technical correction phase, presenting opportunities for investors to reposition[13] - Key support levels for Bitcoin are identified between $120,000-$122,000, and for Ethereum between $4,400-$4,500, viewed as good entry points for accumulation[13]
超级独角兽,估值35000亿
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-09 10:54
以下文章来源于投中网 ,作者蒲凡 投中网 . 投中网是领先的创新经济信息服务平台,拥有立体化传播矩阵,为创新经济人群提供深入、独到的智识 和洞见,在私募股权投资行业和创新商业领域拥有权威影响力。官网:www.chinaventure.com.cn 最有诱惑性的答案,大概就是买比特币了。十年以来,比特币虽然起起伏伏不断经历着"牛市——熊 市"的轮转,但也总能兜兜转转回到一条高昂向上的曲线,一枚比特币的价格从300美元涨到了最近 的11万美元左右,在全球市场所有资产类别中堪称"最靓的仔"。 然而,这个答案在操作性上有两个非常直观的问题。首先比特币不是贵金属也不是什么等价证券,本 质上它是一段算出来的代码。想要获得比特币,就需要足够的算力和足够的电力 (也就是"挖矿") ,对于普通人来说成本实在是有点高。其次,加密货币这个资产类别始终游走在法律监管边缘,也在 很长一段时间内没有真实的落地场景,价格波动频繁且巨大。在这个前提下,即使能找到持有比特币 的卖家,双方都应该用什么货币、什么方式来定价交易呢? 所以有机会穿越回10年前去投资比特币——哪怕是现在去投资比特币,你会发现大部分人都遵循着 这样的流程:先在交易所里, ...
首个“加密货币+加密概念股票”混合指数来了!标普“数字市场50”进军加密生态?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-09 10:52
Core Insights - The launch of the S&P Digital Markets 50 Index marks a significant step in the integration of traditional finance and the cryptocurrency world, reflecting Wall Street's endorsement of the legitimacy and market position of digital assets [1][12] - This index is a hybrid that combines both cryptocurrency prices and blockchain-related stocks, providing a comprehensive measure of the health of the entire digital asset ecosystem [4][5] Index Composition - The index consists of 50 assets, including 35 publicly traded companies deeply connected to the crypto ecosystem and 15 major cryptocurrencies selected from the S&P Cryptocurrency Broad Digital Market Index [5][6] - The index has strict rules, such as a weight cap of 5% for any single asset, a minimum market cap of $100 million for stocks, and $300 million for cryptocurrencies [6] Institutional Demand - The index aims to meet the growing demand from institutional investors who seek a transparent and reliable tool for assessing exposure to the digital asset ecosystem [6][10] - It provides a comprehensive market view, allowing investors to understand the performance of both the companies building the digital future and the native value carriers (cryptocurrencies) [6][10] Tokenization and Financial Infrastructure - The collaboration with Dinari to tokenize the index represents a significant shift in financial infrastructure, allowing investors to buy, hold, and trade the index on the blockchain [8][10] - This tokenization is seen as a modernization of trusted benchmarks, enabling access to both U.S. stocks and digital assets in a single, transparent product [8][10] Market Context - The launch coincides with a bullish sentiment in the crypto market, with Bitcoin reaching new historical highs, indicating that mainstream finance recognizes digital assets as a vital asset class [12] - The index serves as a bridge between Wall Street's rigorous rules and the innovative nature of the crypto world, marking a transition of digital assets from alternative investments to essential components of global asset allocation [12]
港股收评:恒指跌0.29%录得4连跌,铜矿股全天强势,半导体股午后突发跳水
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-09 08:32
Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced fluctuations in the afternoon, with the Hang Seng Index closing down by 0.29%, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index saw a slight increase of 0.07%. The Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.66%, marking a four-day decline for both the Hang Seng and Hang Seng Tech indices [1] Sector Performance - Large technology stocks showed mixed results, with Kuaishou rising by 3.56%. NetEase, Tencent, and JD.com managed to stay slightly positive, while Alibaba fell by 2.4%, Baidu dropped over 1%, and Xiaomi decreased by 0.9% [1] - Copper prices surged due to supply shortages and a computing power revolution, leading to strong performance in copper mining stocks. China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals soared over 21%, with China Gold International, Jiangxi Copper, and China Nonferrous Mining also experiencing significant gains [1] - The domestic offshore wind market saw a peak in bidding in September, resulting in increased gains for wind power stocks. Other active sectors included high-speed rail infrastructure, aviation, coal, building materials, electricity, gas, and paper industries [1] Declining Sectors - Semiconductor stocks faced a notable decline in the afternoon, with leading company SMIC dropping nearly 7%. Other companies such as Hua Hong Semiconductor, Hongguang Semiconductor, and Shanghai Fudan also experienced declines [1] - The biopharmaceutical sector remained sluggish throughout the day, particularly in the innovative drug concept area, which saw significant losses. Cryptocurrency-related stocks, film and television stocks, Apple-related stocks, and military stocks were generally weak [1]
追梦社区——为全球投资者开辟财富新机遇 | 加密货币与跨境电商双轮驱动
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-09 08:31
Core Insights - The company aims to provide innovative, secure, and transparent cryptocurrency investment opportunities while integrating cross-border e-commerce and fintech to ensure stable returns for its members [1] Group 1: Global Market Expansion - One of the core strategies of the company is global market expansion, focusing on Asia, Europe, and the Americas to create a safe and efficient investment platform for global investors [2] - The company plans to strengthen cooperation and development across major markets to become a leader in the cryptocurrency and cross-border e-commerce sectors [2] Group 2: Innovative Business Model - The company combines cross-border e-commerce with cryptocurrency investment to create a diversified investment platform [2] - The e-commerce platform leverages global supply chain advantages to provide members with high-quality products at low costs, while cryptocurrency investment projects offer stable high-return opportunities [2] Group 3: Member Incentives - The company views each member as a partner and provides education and team reward mechanisms to help members achieve wealth growth [3] - A community reward system incentivizes members to invite new users, fostering team growth and collective benefits [3] Group 4: Security and Compliance - The company prioritizes security and compliance, adhering to global laws and regulations to ensure all transactions are legal and compliant [3] - Industry-leading technology is employed to safeguard user data and funds, ensuring transparent, stable, and sustainable operations [3] Group 5: Future Outlook - In the next three years, the company plans to continue expanding globally and deepen the integration of cryptocurrency and cross-border e-commerce [4] - The goal is to dominate the Chinese market by 2028 and become the largest institution in the global private placement market for cryptocurrencies [4]