沪锡产业日报 2025-04-29 撑。当前需求旺季，下游市场采购氛围改善，近期国内外库存均下降，但畏高心态同样明显。技术面，持 免责声明 | | | 仓减量交投谨慎，测试MA60阻力，关注MA10支撑。操作上，轻仓多头思路，关注25.9-27。 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为 瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 期货主力合约收盘价:沪锡(日,元/吨) | 261560 | 990 5月-6月合约收盘价:沪锡(日,元/吨) | -170 | -150 | | | LME3个月锡(日,美元/吨) | 32 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 22.54 CNY [2][5][9] Core Views - The company demonstrates steady growth in performance, with Q1 2025 revenue reaching 1.16 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 10%, and a net profit of 150 million CNY, up 11% year-on-year [8] - The aluminum electrolytic capacitors are expanding their application scenarios, particularly in new energy, consumer electronics, electric vehicles, and charging piles, with the acquisition of Hitachi AIC contributing positively to performance [8] - Emerging business segments, particularly lithium-ion supercapacitors, are opening growth opportunities in AI server applications, with significant recognition from major enterprises in various fields [8] Financial Summary - The company's projected financials for 2025-2027 include: - Net profit attributable to the parent company: 838 million CNY in 2025, 1.014 billion CNY in 2026, and 1.182 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 28%, 21%, and 17% respectively [4][9] - Revenue is expected to grow from 5.771 billion CNY in 2025 to 7.695 billion CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 20%, 15.8%, and 15.2% [4][9] - Gross margin is projected to stabilize around 26.1% in 2025 and 26.4% in 2026 and 2027 [4][9] Market Performance - The company's stock price as of April 28, 2025, was 17.93 CNY, with a 52-week high of 28.85 CNY and a low of 10.98 CNY [5] - The report indicates a relative performance of -0.39% over the past week and -12.88% over the past month, while showing a positive annual performance of 19.99% [6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5][12]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 5.611 billion RMB, a year-on-year growth of 26.86%, and net profit of 564 million RMB, up 43.76% year-on-year [2]. - The company's strong performance is attributed to robust demand in the electronics sector, with leading manufacturers maintaining full production capacity and stable pricing despite pressure on copper prices [3]. - Innovations in terminal products are expected to drive upgrades in copper-clad laminates, breaking existing monopolies and fostering growth opportunities for the company [4]. - The company is positioned to capitalize on the growing ASIC market, leveraging its technical strengths in high-layer products to achieve rapid growth alongside the overseas ASIC supply chain [4]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 24.60%, an increase of 3.3 percentage points year-on-year, and a net profit margin of 11.31%, up 2.2 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Operational Analysis - The company is expected to maintain strong performance in H1 2025, with Q2 likely to continue the positive trend seen in Q1, although the outlook for H2 depends on the overall electronics industry climate [3]. Market Position and Growth Opportunities - The company is set to disrupt the current market by entering high-end product segments dominated by South Korean and Taiwanese manufacturers, driven by advancements in AI server and switch technologies [4]. - The company is anticipated to benefit from the increasing demand for ASIC products, particularly in collaboration with major tech firms [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 2.8 billion RMB, 3.84 billion RMB, and 4.36 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 21x, 15x, and 13x [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 22.54 CNY [2][5][9]. Core Views - The company demonstrates steady growth in performance, with Q1 2025 revenue reaching 1.16 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 10%, and net profit attributable to the parent company at 150 million CNY, up 11% year-on-year [8]. - The aluminum electrolytic capacitor continues to expand its application scenarios, while film capacitors are entering a rapid growth phase [8]. - Emerging business segments, particularly lithium-ion supercapacitors, are opening growth opportunities in AI server applications [8]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: The company is projected to achieve revenues of 5.77 billion CNY in 2025, 6.68 billion CNY in 2026, and 7.70 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 20.0%, 15.8%, and 15.2% respectively [4][9]. - **Net Profit Forecast**: The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 838 million CNY in 2025, 1.01 billion CNY in 2026, and 1.18 billion CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 28%, 21%, and 17% respectively [4][9]. - **Earnings Per Share**: The earnings per share are projected to be 0.98 CNY in 2025, 1.19 CNY in 2026, and 1.39 CNY in 2027 [4][9]. - **Profitability Ratios**: The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 26.1% in 2025 and 26.4% in 2026 and 2027, while the net margin is projected to be 14.5% in 2025 and improve to 15.4% by 2027 [4][9]. Market Performance - The company's stock price as of April 28, 2025, was 17.93 CNY, with a 52-week high of 28.85 CNY and a low of 10.98 CNY [5]. - The report indicates a relative performance of -0.39% over the past week and -12.88% over the past month, while showing a positive performance of 19.99% over the past year [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has shown steady performance with a diversified layout contributing to growth in 2024 and Q1 2025, driven by recovery in consumer electronics, automotive, and dental medical sectors [5][6] - The company achieved a revenue of 4 billion CNY in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5%, and a net profit of 600 million CNY, up 6% year-on-year [5] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 975 million CNY, an 18% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 136 million CNY, a 2% increase year-on-year [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company’s revenue was 40 billion CNY, with a net profit of 6 billion CNY, while Q4 alone contributed 10.8 billion CNY in revenue [5] - The Q1 2025 results showed a revenue of 9.75 billion CNY and a net profit of 1.36 billion CNY [5] Business Segments - The electronic materials segment benefited from recovering downstream demand, with MLCC medium powder sales gradually increasing [6] - The catalytic materials segment successfully overcame technical barriers, meeting stringent vehicle emission standards, and saw rapid growth in sales due to increased demand from overseas clients [6] - The biomedical segment received EU medical device compliance certification for several products, enhancing market recognition and paving the way for accelerated promotion in Europe [6] Growth Opportunities - The company is strategically positioned in the new energy sector, launching several lithium battery additives and becoming a major supplier in the industry [7] - The LED substrate segment has strengthened its competitive edge through technological synergies, while the communication RF micro-system chip packaging business is expected to become a significant growth point [7] - The subsidiary has made strides in digital printing materials, aiming to become a leader in the Chinese market [7] Profitability and Valuation - The report adjusts the profit forecasts for 2025-2026 downwards by 20%, with expected net profits of 754 million CNY and 914 million CNY respectively, while introducing a forecast for 2027 at 1.13 billion CNY [8][9] - The company’s EPS is projected to be 0.76 CNY for 2025, 0.92 CNY for 2026, and 1.13 CNY for 2027 [8][9]

本报讯 （记者张敏）4月28日晚上，深圳市信维通信股份有限公司（以下简称"信维通信"）发布2024年 年度报告。公告显示，2024年全年，公司实现营业收入87.44亿元，较上年同期增长15.85%；实现归属 于上市公司股东的净利润6.62亿元，较上年同期增长26.89%；实现归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性 损益的净利润5.38亿元，较上年同期增长22.31%，公司全年经营业绩实现较快提升。 作为全球领先的射频元器件企业，信维通信构建了以泛射频技术为核心的全球研发网络，设立中央研究 院及全球11个研发中心，并与国内外顶尖科研机构合作，形成了覆盖"材料—零件—模组"的一站式技术 能力。 信维通信在2024年凭借优越的科研创新能力，取得一系列创新成就。公告显示，2024年，公司研发投入 约7.08亿元，占公司2024年营业收入的8.10%。截至2024年底，公司共申请专利4782件；2024年新增申 请专利814件，其中5G天线专利267件，LCP专利11件，UWB专利23件，WPC专利32件，BTB连接器专 利18件，MLCC专利41件、声学结构专利271件。 报告期内，公司继续围绕5G-A/6G的技术目标，积 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has shown steady performance with a diversified layout contributing to growth in 2024 and Q1 2025, driven by recovery in sectors such as consumer electronics, automotive, and dental healthcare [5][6] - The company achieved a revenue of 4 billion CNY in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5%, and a net profit of 600 million CNY, up 6% year-on-year [5] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 975 million CNY, an 18% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 136 million CNY, a 2% increase year-on-year [5] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In Q4 2024, the company recorded a revenue of 1.08 billion CNY, a 1% increase year-on-year and a 7% increase quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 123 million CNY, down 4% year-on-year and 19% quarter-on-quarter [5] - The electronic materials segment benefited from recovering downstream demand, particularly in automotive electronics and AI servers, leading to a gradual increase in MLCC dielectric powder sales [6] Strategic Developments - The company has made significant advancements in catalyst materials, successfully overcoming technical barriers to meet stringent vehicle emission standards, which has led to increased demand from overseas clients [6] - In the biomedical sector, the company’s zirconia ceramic blocks and glass ceramic blocks have received compliance certification under EU medical device regulations, enhancing market recognition and paving the way for accelerated promotion in Europe [6] Financial Projections - The report adjusts the profit forecasts for 2025-2026, projecting net profits of 754 million CNY and 914 million CNY respectively, with an estimated EPS of 0.76 CNY and 0.92 CNY [8][9] - The company’s revenue is expected to grow to 4.77 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting an 18% growth rate, with a net profit growth rate of 24.72% [9][10] Valuation Metrics - The report provides a valuation with a P/E ratio of 22 for 2025, decreasing to 15 by 2027, indicating a favorable long-term outlook [12][13] - The company’s gross margin is projected to stabilize around 40% in the coming years, despite slight declines in specific segments [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for BYD Electronics, with a target price adjusted to HKD 40.7, indicating a potential upside of 17% from the current price of HKD 34.8 [1][3]. Core Insights - BYD Electronics is expected to achieve steady profit growth this year, driven by the automotive intelligence sector, particularly supported by BYD's automotive sales. The company's products in smart driving and suspension are anticipated to drive revenue growth that outpaces the parent company's automotive sales growth [9]. - The company is actively enhancing operational efficiency, which is expected to lead to a reduction in expense ratios and provide a foundation for profit release. The current valuation, with a P/E ratio of 13.5x, is considered attractive [9]. - The first quarter of this year saw a slight increase in revenue and profit, with revenue reaching RMB 36.88 billion, a year-on-year growth of 1%. The gross margin was 6.3%, showing a year-on-year decline of 0.6 percentage points [9][11]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for BYD Electronics from 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - 2023: RMB 129,957 million - 2024: RMB 177,306 million (21% growth) - 2025E: RMB 193,450 million (9% growth) - 2026E: RMB 216,411 million (12% growth) - 2027E: RMB 239,562 million (11% growth) [2][10]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are: - 2023: RMB 4,041 million - 2024: RMB 4,266 million (6% growth) - 2025E: RMB 4,758 million (12% growth) - 2026E: RMB 5,938 million (25% growth) - 2027E: RMB 7,031 million (18% growth) [2][10]. Valuation Methodology - The valuation of BYD Electronics is conducted using a sum-of-the-parts approach, assigning target P/E ratios to various segments, leading to a target price of HKD 40.7 [9][13]. - The segments and their respective target P/E ratios for 2025 are: - International customer assembly: 12x - International customer components: 13x - Android assembly: 12x - Android components: 15x - New smart products: 21x - Automotive intelligent systems: 35x [13]. Market Performance - The stock has a 52-week price range of HKD 24.85 to HKD 61.55, with a total market capitalization of HKD 71,877 million [3][9]. - The average daily trading volume over the past three months is HKD 1,252 million [3].

积极布局新能源和精密陶瓷板块，拓宽未来成长空间。公司以高纯氧化铝、勃姆石为战略支点卡位新能 源赛道，陆续推出多款锂电池正极添加剂的核心辅材，成功将滴定法氧化锆微珠的应用延伸至正负极研 磨领域。公司固态电解质、制氢领域新产品均协同行业客户有序推进产品验证和应用推广。精密陶瓷板 块是公司以材料为核心，向下游延展产业链的平台，包括氧化锆、氧化铝、氮化硅、氮化铝等材料体 系，具体产品包括陶瓷轴承球、陶瓷套筒、陶瓷插芯、陶瓷基板陶瓷管壳等。公司具备"材料-工艺-器 件"三维创新体系，可以实现对高附加值赛道的精准卡位，致力于成为领先的精密陶瓷全产业链平台型 公司。国瓷赛创投资扩建陶瓷金属化项目，达产后将进入薄膜传感器、功率电源模块、IGBT 等应用领 域。 维持"强烈推荐"投资评级。预计2025-2027 年公司归母净利润分别为7.04亿、8.47 亿、10.10 亿元，EPS 分别为0.71、0.85、1.01 元，当前股价对应PE分别为24、20、16 倍，维持"强烈推荐"投资评级。 风险提示：下游需求不及预期、原材料价格上涨、新项目投产不及预期。 事件：公司发布2025年一季报，报告期内实现收入9.75亿元，同比增 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 970 million yuan for Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.9% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 9.8% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 140 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.8% [1] - The company continues to expand into new fields of ceramic materials through organic growth and horizontal mergers [2] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q1 2025 was 970 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 17.9% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 9.8% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 140 million yuan, up 1.8% year-on-year and up 10.8% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The gross margin and net margin for Q1 2025 were 36.8% and 15.3%, respectively, down 2.0 percentage points and 2.4 percentage points year-on-year [4] Business Segments - The company operates in six major business segments: electronic materials, catalytic materials, biomedical materials, new energy materials, precision ceramics, and other materials [2] - Electronic materials are expected to see a recovery in demand due to consumer electronics subsidies and growth in automotive electronics and AI servers [3] - Catalytic materials have expanded into overseas markets and are now part of the supply chain for major clients [3] - Biomedical segment is diversifying its product offerings with new launches, supported by strong R&D investment [3] - New energy materials are gaining traction with major lithium battery manufacturers, enhancing production quality and sales levels [3] - Precision ceramics are experiencing growth due to the adoption of ceramic bearings in new energy vehicles [3] R&D and Future Outlook - The company maintains high R&D investment, with a R&D expense ratio of 7.3%, down 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [4] - New product breakthroughs include spherical silica for high-frequency copper-clad laminates and zirconia/titania dispersions for backlight modules [4] - The company projects net profits of 690 million yuan, 850 million yuan, and 1.05 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4]