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突发,取消!关税,重大变数!
券商中国· 2025-08-17 08:14
Core Viewpoint - The trade negotiations between the United States and India face significant challenges, particularly due to the recent cancellation of the U.S. trade delegation's visit to India and the imposition of additional tariffs by the U.S. on Indian imports, which has raised the overall tariff rate to 50% [1][4][5]. Group 1: U.S.-India Trade Negotiations - The U.S. trade delegation's planned visit to India from August 25 to 29 has been canceled, casting doubt on the timeline for the next round of trade negotiations [4]. - The cancellation of the trade talks has overshadowed the previously agreed timeline to finalize the first part of the trade agreement by September to October [4]. - U.S. President Trump has imposed a 25% tariff on Indian imports, citing high tariffs and trade barriers set by India, as well as its cooperation with Russia [5][6]. Group 2: India's Response - Indian Prime Minister Modi has stated that India will not compromise on its national interests in the face of U.S. tariff pressures, emphasizing the protection of farmers and laborers [2][8]. - Modi's speech on Independence Day highlighted India's commitment to self-reliance and the promotion of domestic manufacturing, including the production of fertilizers and electric vehicle batteries [8][9]. - The Indian government is actively seeking to support small farmers and has identified 100 agricultural regions that require additional assistance [8]. Group 3: Impact on Industries - The increase in tariffs has led to significant disruptions in Indian exports, particularly in the pharmaceutical sector, which is one of the top three industries exporting to the U.S. [9]. - The Indian steel industry has reported severe impacts due to canceled orders from the U.S., leading to production slowdowns and financial difficulties for exporters [9]. - Indian exporters are facing challenges in securing raw materials and managing logistics due to the heightened tariffs, with many companies seeking government assistance [9]. Group 4: Future Developments - There are reports that Modi may attend the UN General Assembly in New York at the end of September, where he could meet with President Trump to discuss trade and tariff issues [10].
中美摩擦让日本买中国蔬菜变便宜
日经中文网· 2025-08-17 00:34
Core Viewpoint - The decline in prices of Chinese vegetables in Japan is primarily due to reduced exports to the U.S. caused by trade tensions, leading to surplus inventory in China, which benefits Japanese restaurants facing rising costs [1][5][7]. Group 1: Price Trends - In late July, wholesale prices of Chinese vegetables in Tokyo's central wholesale market showed a year-on-year decline: onions down 8%, garlic down 9%, and scallions down 17% [1][5]. - The import price of garlic in Japan decreased by 18% and onions by 14% year-on-year as of June, with wholesale prices dropping by 10-20% [1][5]. - The purchasing price of Chinese onions in Japan fell from 1000 yen (approximately 48.43 yuan) per 10 kg to 750-800 yen, representing a decrease of about 20% [5]. Group 2: Impact on Japanese Restaurants - Japanese restaurants are benefiting from lower prices of Chinese vegetables, allowing them to maintain or reduce menu prices despite rising operational costs [1][3]. - A beef bowl restaurant in Shinjuku is using cheaper Chinese onions, enabling it to offer prices 10-20% lower than nearby competitors [3]. - A Chinese restaurant in Tokyo switched from using domestic garlic and scallions to Chinese products to avoid price increases, indicating a trend among restaurants to rely on cheaper imports [1][3]. Group 3: Supply Chain Dynamics - The decline in Chinese vegetable prices began around April, with a significant drop of 20-30% in purchasing prices noted by mid-April [3][5]. - The U.S. Department of Agriculture reported a 40% year-on-year decrease in the import value of Chinese vegetables, dropping to $14 million in May [5]. - The ongoing heavy rainfall in China may halt the increase in vegetable inventory, but Japanese restaurants are likely to continue relying on affordable Chinese produce [7].
总台记者探访丨美高关税致巴西海鲜出口重镇企业停摆 渔民收入锐减
根据美国政府7月30日颁布的行政令,美国从8月6日起对巴西输美产品加征40%的从价关税,这意 味着,大部分巴西输美产品的关税税率高达50%。当前在巴西对美国出口中,海鲜是受到美国关税较大 影响的产品之一。有数据显示,巴西每年海鲜出口的约七成销往美国市场。 总台记者日前探访了巴西东北部海鲜出口重镇纳塔尔。在美国的高额关税下,这里的海鲜出口受到 严重冲击,许多企业被迫停工,大部分渔船暂停出海捕捞。 这家海鲜加工产的困境,是纳塔尔海鲜出口业的缩影。出口停滞,捕捞业也遭遇寒冬。纳塔尔所在 的北大河州有超过2.3万名渔民。路易斯捕鱼25年,眼下渔船不再出海,他的收入受到严重影响。 纳塔尔当地渔民 路易斯·卡洛斯·席尔瓦:现在情况越来越困难了,我们渔民的收入由底薪加提成构 成。现在不能出海,没有提成,只拿底薪,就让生活变得很困难。 纳塔尔一海鲜加工出口公司负责人 阿里马尔·弗朗萨·菲略:现在当地超过70%的船队,无论是近海 还是远洋捕捞船,都已停止作业。实际上我们没有太多可做的,要么寻找新的市场,要么产品没有销 路。 美国的高额关税,让这家有超过50年历史的海鲜加工厂陷入困境。过去,这里带动了当地300多人 的就业。如今 ...
美国加征关税或冲击巴西鸡蛋出口激增势头
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 12:34
巴西动物蛋白协会(ABPA)8月11日公布的数据显示,受美国市场需求推动,2025年7月巴西鸡蛋出口 (包括鲜蛋和加工蛋)总量达5259吨,同比增长304.7%;出口额1180.8万美元,同比增长340.9%。然 而,美国总统特朗普宣布的对包括多类巴西食品在内的进口商品加征50%关税的措施已于8月6日生效, 这一举措或将冲击巴西鸡蛋、牛肉、咖啡等主要对美出口农产品的未来表现。(新华财经) ...
美借俄石油贸易大幅提高对印关税之际,外媒:印度外长将访俄与拉夫罗夫会谈
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-08-13 12:29
Group 1 - Indian Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar is scheduled to visit Russia on August 20-21 for talks with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, coinciding with the U.S. imposing a 25% tariff on Indian goods due to India's purchase of Russian oil [1][3] - The discussions between the two foreign ministers will focus on bilateral issues and international cooperation [1] - The U.S. has increased pressure on India regarding trade, with President Trump announcing a total tariff rate of 50% on Indian imports, citing the import of Russian oil as the reason [3] Group 2 - The Indian government has responded to the U.S. tariffs, labeling them as "unfair, unjust, and unreasonable," and has stated it will take necessary actions to protect national interests [3] - The Kremlin criticized the U.S. threats to increase tariffs on India, asserting that sovereign nations have the right to choose their trade partners and that forcing countries to sever trade ties with Russia is inappropriate [3]
有色商品日报-20250813
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-08-13 06:31
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - Copper: Overnight copper fluctuated higher. US inflation pressure is controllable, strengthening the expectation of a 50 - basis - point interest rate cut in September. There are differences in views on the future of US copper. The domestic "Golden September" peak - season expectation and anti - involution policy expectations support prices, and copper maintains a relative balance between bulls and bears [1]. - Aluminum: Alumina, Shanghai aluminum, and aluminum alloy all fluctuated strongly. In August, the profit in the aluminum industry shifted from upstream to downstream. There are signs of a turn in the supply - demand of electrolytic aluminum, and the aluminum price is in a stage of trading time for space with an expectation of continued recovery. Aluminum alloy is in a tug - of - war between cost and demand, waiting for the peak - season guidance [1][2]. - Nickel: Overnight LME nickel and Shanghai nickel both rose. The overall fundamentals changed little and showed a volatile operation [2]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Research Views - **Copper**: The US 7 - month CPI rose 2.7% year - on - year, core CPI reached 3.1%. The market has different views on US copper due to over - inventory. Domestic factors support prices, and copper is in a balanced state [1]. - **Aluminum**: AO2509 closed at 3287 yuan/ton with a 0.83% increase, AL2509 at 20800 yuan/ton with a 0.68% increase, and AD2511 at 20200 yuan/ton with a 0.55% increase. The SMM alumina price dropped to 3248 yuan/ton. There are changes in the supply - demand and profit distribution of the aluminum industry [1][2]. - **Nickel**: LME nickel rose 0.23% to 15360 dollars/ton, Shanghai nickel rose 0.2% to 122870 yuan/ton. LME inventory increased by 450 tons, and domestic SHFE warehouse receipts decreased by 30 tons. The overall fundamentals are stable [2]. 2. Daily Data Monitoring - **Aluminum**: The spot premium changed from - 50 yuan/ton to - 30 yuan/ton. The total inventory decreased by 3913 tons, and the alumina inventory increased by 3.9 tons [5]. - **Nickel**: The price of Jinchuan nickel increased by 600 yuan/ton. The total nickel inventory increased by 444 tons, and the stainless - steel warehouse receipts decreased by 253 tons [5]. - **Zinc**: The main settlement price decreased by 0.1%, and the social inventory increased by 0.77 tons [6]. - **Tin**: The main settlement price increased by 0.9%, and the LME0 - 3 premium increased by 22.16 dollars/ton [6]. 3. Chart Analysis - **Spot Premium**: Charts show the historical trends of spot premiums for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin [8][10][13]. - **SHFE Near - Far Month Spread**: Charts display the historical trends of near - far month spreads for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin [16][20][21]. - **LME Inventory**: Charts present the historical trends of LME inventories for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin [23][25][27]. - **SHFE Inventory**: Charts show the historical trends of SHFE inventories for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin [30][32][34]. - **Social Inventory**: Charts display the historical trends of social inventories for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, stainless steel, and 300 - series stainless steel [36][38][40]. - **Smelting Profit**: Charts present the historical trends of the copper concentrate index, rough copper processing fee, aluminum smelting profit, nickel - iron smelting cost, zinc smelting profit, and stainless - steel 304 smelting profit rate [43][45][47]. Group 4: Team Introduction - Zhan Dapeng: The current director of non - ferrous research at Everbright Futures Research Institute, with over a decade of commodity research experience [50]. - Wang Heng: An analyst focusing on aluminum and silicon, providing timely policy interpretations and writing in - depth reports [50]. - Zhu Xi: An analyst focusing on lithium and nickel, focusing on the integration of non - ferrous metals and new energy [51].
【环球财经】巴西将提供300亿雷亚尔给受美关税影响企业
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 05:37
Core Viewpoint - Brazilian President Lula announced a funding support of 30 billion reais for companies affected by U.S. tariffs [1] Group 1: Government Response - The government will establish a credit line worth 30 billion reais for businesses potentially impacted by tariffs imposed by the U.S. [1] - The signing ceremony for this measure is scheduled to take place in Brasília, with invitations extended to key political figures and business leaders [1] - Lula emphasized that the U.S. tariffs will not go unpunished and that American citizens will bear the consequences [1]
关税高企 捷豹路虎暂停对美出口
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-12 05:58
公司数据显示,截至2024年3月底的上一财年,捷豹路虎在美国市场营收65亿英镑。目前,公司在英国 雇员约3.8万人,全球总员工数约为4.4万人。 英国智库公共政策研究所警告称,美国加征关税将对英国汽车产业链构成严重冲击,最多可能导致2.5 万个相关岗位流失,特别是对中部地区大量依赖汽车制造业的零部件供应商而言,影响尤为显著。 【纠错】 【责任编辑:谷玥】 新华社伦敦4月6日电(记者赵小娜)英国汽车制造商捷豹路虎公司日前宣布,自4月7日起的一个月内暂 停向美国出口整车,以应对美国对进口汽车加征25%关税带来的影响。 捷豹路虎在一份声明中表示,暂停向美国出口整车是企业应对"新贸易条件"的短期措施之一。 捷豹路虎公司2008年被印度塔塔汽车公司收购。捷豹路虎是英国重要汽车生产商之一。近年来,这家企 业每年全球销量约40万辆,其中近四分之一出口至美国。 ...
美国“对等关税”来袭 多家上市公司回应影响积极应对
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-12 05:38
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. government announced "reciprocal tariffs" on global trade partners, with significant rates imposed on China, Vietnam, Thailand, and India, prompting various responses from over 30 listed companies in China regarding the impact on their operations [1] Group 1: Impact on Companies - Companies with high export revenue to the U.S. expressed significant concerns about the new tariffs, such as Fuling Co., which reported that 65.73% and 65.74% of its revenue came from U.S. sales in 2023 and the first half of 2024, respectively [2] - Other companies, like Betta Pharmaceuticals, noted that their products were exempt from the new tariff categories, indicating a varied impact across sectors [3] - Companies such as ST Hongyang and Guangxin Materials reported minimal exposure to the U.S. market, suggesting limited effects from the tariffs [4] Group 2: Preparedness and Strategies - Some companies, including Mindray Medical, had proactively prepared for tariff impacts by stockpiling products in the U.S. prior to the tariff implementation, resulting in no immediate effect on their sales [5] - Daotong Technology indicated that it had already sought manufacturing locations in low-tariff regions to mitigate the impact of the new tariffs [6] - Companies like Huayi Group and Bowei Alloy are implementing strategies to reduce the impact of tariffs, including establishing production facilities in the U.S. and optimizing their supply chains [7] Group 3: Ongoing Monitoring and Adaptation - Many companies are actively monitoring the situation and discussing strategies with clients to adapt to the evolving tariff landscape, with some expressing uncertainty about how the tariffs will be implemented [8] - Yiyi Co. emphasized the need for ongoing communication with clients and exploring new international markets to enhance resilience against tariff impacts [8] - Xinbao Co. highlighted its global presence, with 30% to 40% of its export sales coming from North America, and is committed to closely monitoring tariff changes to ensure stable operations [9]
巴西称美方取消两国财长视频会议
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-08-11 19:13
Core Points - The Brazilian Finance Minister Haddad announced the cancellation of a scheduled video conference with U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen regarding tariffs on Brazilian products, with no new date set for the meeting [1] - As of August 6, the U.S. government has imposed a 40% ad valorem tariff on Brazilian imports, raising the total tariff rate on most Brazilian products to 50%, including meat, coffee, and fruits [1] - Brazil has initiated dispute consultation procedures at the World Trade Organization (WTO) against the U.S. tariffs, claiming that these measures violate multiple trade agreements [1]