Cryptocurrency Exchange Platforms - Bybit is highlighted as a platform suitable for technical analysis [1] - Binance is mentioned as the largest global exchange, offering a 40% fee reduction [1] - OKX is noted as an established exchange with commission waivers [1] - Pionex is recommended for grid trading [1] Community and Resources - A Discord community is available for user support, with a dedicated helper [1] - The document promotes a Twitter account for updates [1] - Online courses are offered [1] - A Telegram channel provides announcements [1] Cryptocurrency Topics and Keywords - The document includes a range of cryptocurrency-related hashtags, such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin, and others [1] - Technical analysis concepts like Dow Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci, and Gann Theory are mentioned [1] - Terms related to trading strategies, such as "抄底 (dip buying)", "做多 (long)", "做空 (short)", and "套保 (hedging)" are included [1] - Mentions of "比特幣減半2024 (Bitcoin halving 2024)" suggest focus on future events [1]

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Sinochem (386) is currently at HKD 4.2, reflecting a slight increase of 0.48%, with market participation gradually increasing as indicated by a 1.70% price fluctuation over the past five days [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The support levels for the stock are at HKD 4.1 and HKD 4.04, while resistance levels are at HKD 4.26 and HKD 4.32. The current price trend is neutral to bullish, with the market awaiting a breakout signal [1][3]. - Technical ratings have shown two consecutive days of "neutral" signals, with a system assessment indicating a 54% probability of price increase, suggesting a maintained short-term bullish trend [1][3]. Market Opportunities - A successful breakout above HKD 4.26 could attract more capital, challenging the resistance at HKD 4.32. Conversely, a drop below HKD 4.1 may lead to a corrective structure, potentially revisiting the HKD 4.04 area for new buying opportunities [3]. - In the warrants market, Sinochem's recent stock price volatility has provided trading opportunities. The call warrant 15008 offers a leverage of 16 times, suitable for aggressive investors, with an exercise price of HKD 4.88 [3][7]. - UBS call warrant 16466 and JPMorgan call warrant 16450 provide leverage of 8.6 times and 8.9 times, respectively, both with an exercise price of HKD 4.87, appealing to conservative investors seeking potential upward movements [3][7]. - The bull certificate from Societe Generale (62915) offers a leverage of 7.3 times with a recovery price set at HKD 3.55, making it attractive for investors expecting steady price increases [3][7]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to choose based on their risk preferences: aggressive investors may consider warrant 15008, balanced investors may opt for UBS 16466 or JPMorgan 16450, while those preferring bull certificates should focus on Societe Generale 62915 [7]. - It is recommended to monitor volume changes closely, especially for potential breakout confirmations at key resistance levels, and to adopt a range trading or phased layout strategy to capture swing opportunities [7].

Core Viewpoint - HSBC Holdings is currently in a stable upward trend, supported by multiple technical indicators, suggesting a potential breakthrough of the psychological barrier at HKD 100 [1][13]. Technical Analysis - As of July 7, 2025, HSBC's closing price was HKD 95.25, with a slight increase of 0.47%. The stock is above its 10-day (HKD 94.7), 30-day (HKD 93.29), and 60-day (HKD 89.4) moving averages, indicating a bullish structure [1]. - The current technical support range is between HKD 88.8 and HKD 92.1, while resistance is found at HKD 98.4 and HKD 101.7, which are key psychological levels [3]. - The probability of HSBC's price rising is estimated at 53%, with technical indicators showing a strong buy signal and no signs of weakness [3]. - The RSI is at 65, indicating strong momentum without being overbought, while the MACD shows a clear buy signal [3]. - Trading volume on July 7 reached HKD 1.046 billion, indicating increased market interest [3]. Investment Products - UBS call option 13761 offers the highest leverage at 23.1 times, with a strike price of HKD 102.88, suitable for investors optimistic about HSBC's short-term performance [6]. - UBS put option 16855 and JPMorgan put option 15239 provide leverage of 6.6 times and 5.7 times, respectively, appealing to investors expecting a price correction [7]. - UBS bull certificates 68629 and JPMorgan bull certificates 56622 offer leverage of 23.2 times and 16.1 times, respectively, with different risk-return profiles [10]. Overall Market Sentiment - HSBC is in a clear bullish phase, with steady momentum making it suitable for medium to long-term investments. A successful breakout above HKD 98.4 could further enhance market sentiment [13].

Core Viewpoint - Tencent Holdings (00700) is currently experiencing a tug-of-war around the 500 HKD mark, with the latest price at 503.5 HKD, reflecting a slight increase of 0.2%. The stock is at a critical turning point, with the 10-day moving average (505.48 HKD) and 30-day moving average (507.83 HKD) acting as resistance, while the 60-day moving average (497.11 HKD) provides support. The divergence in technical indicators, with MACD showing a sell signal and momentum oscillators indicating a buy signal, warrants close attention from investors [1]. Technical Analysis - The first support level is at 487 HKD, and the second support level is at 470 HKD, which are crucial for assessing short-term trends. On the upside, 518 HKD is a recent rebound high, and a breakthrough could lead to a challenge of the 535 HKD level. The stock's 5-day volatility is only 3.1%, indicating a relatively low volatility environment, which may suggest an impending directional choice [3]. - The market sentiment is currently neutral, as indicated by the bull-bear strength indicator. The RSI at 50 shows that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, leaving ample room for future price movements. Although moving averages signal a strong sell, the stock has begun to recover some averages, and if it can maintain above 505 HKD in the coming days, it may reverse the short-term bearish trend [7]. Trading Strategy - In the current technical environment, short-term investors are advised to adopt a range trading strategy within the 487-518 HKD range. Conservative investors may wait for clear breakout signals; a volume-driven breakthrough above 518 HKD could be a signal to follow the trend, while a drop below 487 HKD would warrant caution for further downside risks. Given the low volatility, investors using derivative instruments should be particularly mindful of time decay [8]. Derivative Product Recommendations - For call options, the Bank of China call option 29579 offers a stable choice with a leverage of 14.5 times and an exercise price of 560.5 HKD, featuring the lowest premium and implied volatility among peers, effectively reducing holding costs. The Bank of China call option 13873 provides a higher leverage of 16.6 times with an exercise price of 563.5 HKD, suitable for investors expecting a rapid breakthrough. Both products are moderately out-of-the-money (approximately 11-12%) and are ideal for balancing risk and return [9]. - For bull certificates, UBS bull certificates 68481 and 68650 have redemption prices set at 477.2 HKD and 474 HKD, respectively, maintaining a safety margin of about 5-6% from the current price, offering leverage of 15.5 times and 14 times. These products are suitable for gradual accumulation when Tencent retraces to the 487 HKD support level. For bearish strategies, UBS bear certificate 61324 and Societe Generale bear certificate 60438 have redemption prices between 520-522 HKD, providing nearly 30 times leverage but with high risk, suitable only for experienced short-term traders with strict stop-loss measures [11][12].

Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities (06030.HK) has shown a strong upward trend, with technical indicators signaling potential entry opportunities for short to medium-term investors [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The latest stock price is reported at 24.6 HKD, marking a 0.62% increase, and has successfully surpassed the 10-day, 30-day, and 60-day moving averages of 23.30, 21.66, and 20.40 HKD respectively, indicating a bullish trend [1]. - The overall technical indicators suggest a "strong buy" with a signal strength of 16 points, the highest consensus level [1]. - The MACD remains in a bullish crossover state, and the histogram is expanding, indicating sufficient momentum [1]. - The latest trading volume recorded was 5.21 billion HKD, significantly higher than the average of recent weeks, reflecting active market participation [1]. - Current technical support levels are at 22.5 and 21 HKD, while resistance levels are at 25.5 and 27.2 HKD [2]. Market Sentiment - Momentum and volume-related indicators are showing buy signals, indicating a clear direction of capital flow [2]. - The Bollinger Bands are expanding, with the stock price approaching the upper band, suggesting further upward potential [2]. - The RSI is at 66, indicating the stock is nearing overbought territory but remains in a healthy state [1][2]. Investment Opportunities - Two notable call warrant products are highlighted: the 14122 call warrant with a premium of 29.69% and a strike price of 28.33 HKD, and the 16567 call warrant with a premium of 40.78% [4]. - The 14122 call warrant is suitable for medium-term deployment due to its lower premium and volatility, while the 16567 call warrant is more suited for aggressive short-term traders due to its higher sensitivity to price movements [4][9]. - Both warrants have a strike price above the current market price, indicating that investors should expect a price increase for substantial returns [9]. Conclusion - CITIC Securities is currently in a solid technical structure with strong momentum and volume support, making it an attractive option for investors looking for potential upward movement [3][9].

Core Viewpoint - China Construction Bank (CCB) has shown strong stock performance, with a recent price of HKD 8.1, indicating a bullish trend and attracting investor attention [1][4][8]. Technical Analysis - CCB's stock has consistently maintained upward momentum, breaking through key moving averages and approaching significant resistance levels, suggesting a strong upward trajectory [1][4][8]. - The technical indicators are predominantly signaling a "strong buy," with a high rating of 16 points, indicating a consensus among various technical factors [7]. - The stock's recent price movements have resulted in a bullish alignment of moving averages, with the stock currently positioned above MA10 (HKD 7.90), MA30 (HKD 7.47), and MA60 (HKD 7.10) [4][8]. Market Activity - CCB's stock has experienced a moderate volatility of 3.6% over the past five days, with increased trading volume supporting the upward trend [4][8]. - The stock's RSI is currently at 72, indicating it is in the overbought territory, which may suggest potential short-term corrections but does not negate the overall bullish trend [4][8]. Derivative Products - Several derivative products linked to CCB have shown significant leverage effects, particularly call options, which have outperformed the underlying stock in terms of percentage gains [2][9]. - Specific call options, such as those from UBS and HSBC, are highlighted for their favorable pricing and leverage characteristics, making them suitable for investors looking to capitalize on CCB's upward movement [9]. - Conversely, put options from JPMorgan and Citigroup are noted for their potential in scenarios where stock price corrections are anticipated, providing investors with options for risk management [12]. Investment Strategy - The current market conditions present a favorable opportunity for both medium-term holders and short-term traders, with strategies suggested for entering positions around key support levels or after breaking through resistance [7][8]. - Investors are advised to consider the technical signals and market dynamics when selecting appropriate derivative products to enhance potential returns [8][9].

Core Viewpoint - AIA Group (01299.HK) shows significant bullish signs in its stock price, driven by multiple technical indicators improving simultaneously, suggesting potential trading opportunities for investors [1][4]. Technical Analysis - AIA's stock price is currently at HKD 69.35, with a decline of 4.15%. The 5-day volatility is at 3.2%, indicating a neutral range, while the trading volume reached HKD 1.902 billion, reflecting high market participation [1]. - The 10-day moving average (MA10) has risen to HKD 70.19, crossing above the 30-day (HKD 68.04) and 60-day (HKD 63) moving averages, forming a "golden cross" and indicating a potential mid-term upward trend [1]. - The stock price has established a clear support level below the first resistance at HKD 73.9. A successful breakout above this level could target HKD 76.2, while short-term support levels are at HKD 67.3 and HKD 69.6 [4]. Derivative Products Performance - Leveraged products related to AIA have shown significant amplification effects. For instance, HSBC's bull certificate (55603) and UBS's bull certificate (55450) recorded gains of 14%, maintaining a leverage ratio of approximately 5 times [1]. - Notably, UBS's call option (13504) surged by 22%, and Bank of China's call option (28665) increased by 24%, with leverage effects reaching 8-9 times, outperforming bull certificates [2]. Market Sentiment and Strategy - The overall technical indicators provide a strong buy signal, with a composite strength score of 16, indicating a bullish consensus among most indicators. The RSI is at 66, suggesting the upward momentum is still intact despite entering the overbought territory [4][7]. - The current market environment is favorable for price consolidation at high levels, with short-term investors considering derivative products for aggressive strategies. The volatility increase and market uncertainty make selecting appropriate call or bull certificates crucial for participating in potential upward movements while managing risks [7][8]. Options and Certificates - Among the available call options, the Bank of China's option (28665) has a leverage of 9.8 times with a strike price of HKD 73.15, while UBS's option (13504) has a leverage of 8.8 times with a slightly lower strike price of HKD 72.05. Both options are set to expire in September 2025, making them suitable for short to medium-term bullish strategies [8]. - In the bull certificate category, UBS's (55450) and HSBC's (55603) products have a redemption price of HKD 60, with actual leverage ratios of 5.3 and 5.5 times, respectively. These certificates are considered stable tools for participating in upward trends, especially if the stock price holds above the HKD 70 support level [8].

Core Viewpoint - SMIC (00981.HK) is experiencing a significant improvement in its technical performance, driven by a recovery in the semiconductor sector, indicating a healthy upward trend [1] Technical Analysis - The stock price has stabilized above the 10-day moving average (41.84 HKD) and the 30-day moving average (41.48 HKD), approaching the 60-day moving average (43 HKD), reflecting a positive short to medium-term trend [1] - Out of 16 technical indicators, 9 indicate "buy" or "strong buy," with the moving average system summarizing as "strong buy," providing a solid basis for trend-following strategies [1] - The stock price reached 43.85 HKD at 10:22 AM on the reporting day, with a trading volume of 7 billion HKD, indicating significant capital inflow [1] - The RSI is at 67, close to overbought territory, yet market momentum remains strong, suggesting potential for further upward movement [3] - The Bollinger Bands are expanding, with the stock price positioned between the upper and middle bands, indicating potential resistance levels at 48.1 HKD and 50.5 HKD [3] - Key support levels are identified at 38.9 HKD and 42.1 HKD, with 42.1 HKD being a crucial short-term support level due to overlap with multiple moving averages [3] - The Ichimoku Cloud indicates that prices are stable above the cloud, confirming the continuation of the bullish pattern [3] Derivative Products Performance - Following a 6.71% increase in the underlying stock over two trading days, leveraged products linked to SMIC, particularly bull certificates, have shown significant gains, with HSBC's bull certificate (62405) rising by 36% and UBS's bull certificate (63551) increasing by 33% [4] - In contrast, call options have shown more moderate increases, with HSBC's call option (13200) and a call option from another issuer rising by 15% and 18%, respectively [4] Product Characteristics - HSBC's call option (16269) offers a leverage of 4.4 times with an exercise price of 51.93 HKD, suitable for investors optimistic about SMIC's future while aiming to reduce derivative costs [7] - The put option from another issuer (13733) has an exercise price of 42.18 HKD and a leverage of 3.1 times, appealing to cautious bearish investors [7] - The bull certificates, such as those from Societe Generale (60185), have a buyback price of 38.3 HKD and a leverage of 5.7 times, making them attractive for short-term bullish investors [11] Overall Market Sentiment - The overall sentiment indicates that bull certificates, due to their higher leverage and direct tracking of the underlying stock, can amplify returns in a clear upward trend, while call options may provide more stable returns if the underlying stock continues to strengthen [15]

Core Viewpoint - NetEase (09999.HK) has shown a steady recovery in stock price after a period of consolidation, with technical indicators turning bullish, suggesting a strong buy signal [1][4]. Technical Analysis - As of June 30, the stock closed at 211 HKD, up 1.54%, breaking through key moving averages and establishing a bullish pattern [1]. - The current stock price is 218 HKD, with significant support levels at 195 HKD and 203 HKD, the latter coinciding with the 30-day moving average [3]. - The 10-day, 30-day, and 60-day moving averages are at 206.88 HKD, 200.75 HKD, and 181.2 HKD respectively, indicating a strong upward trend [1]. - The MACD has formed a bullish crossover, and the RSI is at 66, indicating strong momentum without entering overbought territory [1][4]. Market Sentiment - The overall market sentiment is positive, with 9 out of 16 technical indicators signaling buy or strong buy, reflecting a clear trend favoring the bulls [1][3]. - The short-term upward movement probability is estimated at 53%, with a volatility of only 4%, indicating a stable upward trend [3]. Derivative Instruments - Two notable call options for NetEase are highlighted: - The Huatai-issued call option (13427) with a strike price of 200 HKD, offering a leverage of 8.9 times and a premium of 2.607% [4][5]. - The UBS-issued call option (29565) with a strike price of 202.08 HKD, providing a leverage of 7.8 times and a premium of 4.066% [5]. - These options are considered attractive for short-term investors looking to capitalize on the bullish trend, especially as the stock approaches resistance at 217 HKD [4][5]. Trading Strategy - If the stock price successfully breaks through 217 HKD, it is expected to test higher resistance levels at 227 HKD [3]. - In case of a short-term pullback, 203 HKD and 206 HKD are identified as potential support levels for re-entry [3][5].

Core Viewpoint - The analysis of Tencent Holdings (00700) indicates a bearish sentiment in the market, with technical signals suggesting potential price declines and key support levels identified for investors to consider entry points [1][2]. Technical Analysis - As of July 2, Tencent's stock price was reported at 503 HKD, showing a slight decline of 0.1%. The stock is at a critical decision point, with short-term support at 486 HKD and mid-term support at 469 HKD. Resistance levels are identified at 517 HKD and 534 HKD [2]. - The RSI indicator is at 48, indicating a neutral to weak sentiment, while multiple moving averages are entangled, suggesting indecision in the market. The 10-day moving average at 506.8 HKD is acting as short-term pressure [2]. - The MACD and Bollinger Bands are signaling a sell, reinforcing the notion that the market is in a corrective phase [2]. Derivative Products - In the derivatives market, Tencent's stock decline of 2.24% on June 27 led to significant performance in bear certificates, with Morgan Stanley's bear certificate (58426) rising by 26% and UBS's bear certificate (58470) increasing by 24% in the following two trading days, showcasing the leverage effect of these instruments in a downward market [2]. - For call options, Bank of China offers two products: one with a strike price of 563.5 HKD providing a leverage of 15.8 times, suitable for aggressive investors, and another with a slightly lower leverage of 13.8 times but with the lowest premium and implied volatility in the market [4]. - In the put options category, UBS's put option (16669) leads with a leverage of 14.3 times, maintaining a safe margin with a strike price of 443.13 HKD, while Bank of China's option (17569) offers a more conservative hedge with a leverage of 12.2 times [4]. Bull and Bear Certificates - Among bull certificates, UBS's product (69944) offers a high leverage of 19.4 times with a redemption price of 484 HKD, making it a preferred choice for aggressive strategies. Another product (54536) has a slightly lower leverage of 17.7 times but attracts conservative funds due to its lowest premium characteristics [6]. - For bear certificates, Société Générale's (60438) and UBS's (61324) products both provide impressive leverage of 28.8 times, with reasonable redemption prices of 522 HKD and 520 HKD, respectively, suitable for capturing potential technical pullbacks [6]. Market Sentiment - The 60-day moving average at 495 HKD is still on an upward trend, raising questions about whether a stronger rebound may follow the current technical consolidation. Investors are encouraged to consider their strategies, whether to use bull certificates for bottom-fishing or bear certificates for shorting [9].