Group 1 - The current market sentiment for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) is optimistic, with investors speculating whether the stock price can break through the resistance level of 391 HKD or will consolidate at current levels [2] - Technical indicators show a bullish trend, with the 10-day moving average (376.06 HKD) crossing above the 30-day moving average (345.83 HKD), indicating a golden cross. However, the RSI is at 67, nearing overbought territory, suggesting potential for a technical adjustment [2] - Key support levels are identified at 357 HKD (Support 1) and 333 HKD (Support 2), while resistance levels are at 391 HKD (Resistance 1) and 414 HKD (Resistance 2) [2] Group 2 - In the current market, specific warrants are highlighted, such as HSBC call warrant 29943 with a strike price of 390.19 HKD offering 7.9 times leverage, and Societe Generale call warrant 13399 also at a strike price of 390.19 HKD with 8.3 times leverage [4] - For put warrants, the recommended options include the Citigroup put warrant 16606 with a strike price of 333.9 HKD and 7.3 times leverage, and the Credit Suisse put warrant 15262 with a strike price of 333.88 HKD and 6.7 times leverage [4] Group 3 - On May 15, HKEX-related bull certificates performed well, with the underlying stock rising by 0.48%. The bull certificates from Societe Generale (53641) and HSBC (69781) recorded an 8% increase, outperforming the underlying stock [6] Group 4 - Bull certificates such as JPMorgan's 53236 offer 8.7 times actual leverage with a redemption price of 340 HKD, providing about a 10% margin of safety. UBS's 69265 offers 10 times leverage with a redemption price of 345 HKD [8] - For bear certificates, JPMorgan's 52629 and UBS's 52543 provide high leverage of 17.6 times and 16.1 times respectively, with a redemption price of 400 HKD, offering approximately 5.5% buffer space [8] Group 5 - It is noted that HKEX's stock price is closely related to market trading volume, indicating that investors should pay attention to changes in market activity when trading derivatives [11]

Group 1 - Zijin Mining (02899) has shown strong performance recently, with a stock price increase of 7.58% to HKD 18.52, indicating a potential upward trend [1] - The stock has broken through the Bollinger Bands upper limit at HKD 17.97, reaching an intraday high of HKD 18.54, suggesting a bullish momentum [1] - Technical indicators are signaling a strong buy, with 19 buy signals, 7 neutral signals, and 2 sell signals, indicating a robust bullish sentiment [3] Group 2 - Current stock price is hovering around HKD 18.24, with resistance levels at HKD 18.6 and HKD 19.1, while support levels are at HKD 17.5 and HKD 17.3 [4] - If trading volume maintains around HKD 788 million, the probability of a short-term price increase is estimated at 53% [4] - Recent performance of warrants linked to the stock has shown significant gains, with HSBC and UBS call warrants rising by 34% and 33% respectively, reflecting the high leverage potential of these products [6] Group 3 - Investors are advised to consider call warrants with a strike price of HKD 19.01, which have a leverage of approximately 5.1 times, suitable for capturing upward movements after breaking resistance [9] - For those concerned about potential technical pullbacks, UBS bear warrants with a redemption price of HKD 21 provide a safety margin, with a leverage of 5.5 times [9] - The recent rebound in gold prices and positive earnings expectations have benefited Zijin Mining, although overbought signals are emerging, indicating a possible price correction before further gains [9]

Group 1 - JD.com (09618) stock price reached HKD 135.4, up 1.42%, with mixed investor sentiment regarding future price movements [1] - Technical indicators show that the 10-day moving average (HKD 134.75) and the 30-day moving average (HKD 134.86) are nearly aligned, indicating a critical decision point for the stock [1] - Key support levels are at HKD 128.3 (Support 1) and HKD 124.5 (Support 2), while resistance levels are at HKD 141.4 (Resistance 1) and HKD 145.1 (Resistance 2) [1] Group 2 - On May 19, JD.com stock rose 3.37%, significantly boosting the performance of related derivative products, with notable gains in bull certificates [3] - The Morgan Stanley bull certificate 51050 surged 30% in just two days, while another Morgan Stanley bull certificate 51256 increased by 23% [3] - Call options such as the Societe Generale call option 16648 and UBS call option 16559 also saw increases of 13% and 12%, respectively [3] Group 3 - The current focus for warrants includes the Societe Generale call option 16648 with a strike price of HKD 149.1, offering a leverage of 4.4 times, and UBS call option 16559 with similar leverage [4] - For bearish positions, put options like UBS put option 27915 and Morgan Stanley put option 27922, with a strike price of HKD 127.9, are recommended due to their low implied volatility and high leverage [4] Group 4 - Bull certificates such as the HSBC bull certificate 54063 provide a leverage of 10.4 times with a recovery price of HKD 125.5, maintaining a safety margin of about 7% from the current price [8] - Morgan Stanley bull certificate 68135 offers a leverage of 10 times with a recovery price of HKD 125 [8] - For bearish options, Citigroup bear certificate 55107 provides a leverage of 6.4 times with a recovery price of HKD 155, offering a buffer of approximately 15% from the current price [8]

Core Viewpoint - The recent analysis indicates that Meituan's stock price is under pressure, with potential support levels identified at 126.2 and 118.5, while resistance levels are at 140.2 and 147 [3][4]. Technical Analysis - Meituan's stock has fallen below the 10-day moving average (138.05) and the 30-day moving average (139.79), suggesting bearish momentum [3]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 40, nearing oversold territory, while the William and Stochastic indicators signal potential buying opportunities [3]. - Key support levels are identified at 126.2 (Support 1) and 118.5 (Support 2), with resistance levels at 140.2 and 147 [3]. Derivative Market Activity - The derivative market for Meituan has seen increased activity, particularly in put options and bear certificates, reflecting heightened market risk aversion [4]. - Notable performance includes Societe Generale's bear certificate (63108) and JPMorgan's put option (13412), which recorded increases of 37% and 40% respectively after a 5.74% drop in the underlying stock [4]. Options Overview - Call options such as HSBC's (26318) offer a leverage of 5.5 times with an exercise price of 150.1, while Morgan Stanley's call option (24041) provides a leverage of 9 times with a lower premium [7]. - On the bearish side, JPMorgan's put option (13412) has a leverage of 7 times with an exercise price of 118.9, and UBS's put option (13314) offers a leverage of 7.1 times with the same exercise price [9].

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of China COSCO Shipping Holdings (1919) has shown strong upward momentum, with a current price of 14.48 HKD and a peak of 14.54 HKD during the trading session, approaching the upper Bollinger Band of 14.81 HKD [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The stock has maintained a "strong buy" signal, with 8 buy signals, 7 sell signals, and 3 neutral signals noted [3][6]. - The price has consistently risen since mid-April, with a significant breakout above the weekly Bollinger Band top of 13.73 HKD [3]. - Key resistance levels are identified at 14.6 HKD (Resistance 1) and 16.2 HKD (Resistance 2), while support levels are at 13.1 HKD (Support 1) and 12.1 HKD (Support 2) [6]. Derivative Instruments - The UBS call option (27472) with a strike price of 14.5 HKD offers a leverage of 4.3 times, while the HSBC call option (27475) provides a leverage of 4.5 times, both having favorable implied volatility [8]. - The performance of related warrants has been positive, with the underlying stock rising by 0.99% on May 16, and the UBS and HSBC warrants increasing by 8% and 7%, respectively [7]. Market Sentiment - Investors are speculating whether the stock can break through the 14.6 HKD level or if it will first undergo a correction to alleviate overbought pressure, indicating a cautious yet optimistic market sentiment [11].

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) showed strong momentum, reaching an intraday high of 24,745.13, close to the resistance level of 24,754, with a closing value of 24,740 points. Investors anticipate a challenge to the resistance levels of 25,000-25,200 [1] - The daily and weekly charts of the HSI are at the top of the Bollinger Bands, indicating potential for technical adjustments despite current upward momentum [2] Baidu (9888) - Baidu's stock price reached a high of 103.6 HKD, closing up 12.22% at 103.3 HKD. Investors view the breakout above 100 HKD as a corrective rally, with potential for further gains [3] - The stock has shown a downward trend since September 2023 but began stabilizing in November 2024. The key resistance level is at 113.2 HKD, while potential support levels are at 93.9 HKD and 89.5 HKD [3] SMIC (00981) - SMIC's stock rose 4.34% to 51.7 HKD, but the recent price action has been volatile, remaining within a narrow range. The stock has not yet stabilized above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [4] - Investors are divided on the outlook, with some expecting stabilization while others predict a drop back to 50 HKD before any potential recovery [4] Alibaba (09988) - Alibaba's stock increased nearly 6%, closing at 143.3 HKD, just shy of the previous high of 145.9 HKD. There is speculation about reaching 150-160 HKD this month [5] - The first resistance level is at 147.9 HKD, with further potential to test 156 HKD. However, a technical adjustment is anticipated after breaking the top [5] China Tower (00788) - China Tower's stock fell 6.86% to 11.4 HKD, with investors questioning the appropriate entry point for bottom fishing. The stock has been fluctuating between the upper and middle lines of the Bollinger Bands [5] - A potential rebound is expected around 11.1 HKD, but investors are advised to wait for confirmation of a rebound after a possible drop below the middle line [5] JD Group (09618) - JD Group's stock reached an intraday high of 178 HKD, closing at 117.9 HKD, up 5.27%. The outlook among investors is mixed, with some expecting a rise to 190 HKD while others foresee a period of consolidation [6] - The stock's movement above the Bollinger Bands suggests a potential for adjustment, and a cautious approach is recommended [6]

Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) has attracted market attention, with the stock price at HKD 376.8, down 1.10%. The trading activity in derivatives has significantly increased, indicating a mixed technical signal with a potential for short-term adjustments [1]. Technical Analysis - The MACD indicator shows a buy signal, while the RSI is nearing the overbought zone, suggesting a possible technical adjustment in the short term [1]. - The key support level is identified in the range of HKD 333-340, while the psychological resistance is strong at HKD 400. The current stock price is positioned in the middle of this critical trading range, warranting close attention to short-term directional choices [1]. Derivative Performance - On May 13, when the underlying stock rose by 1.98%, HSBC bull certificates (66921) and UBS bull certificates (68185) both increased by 14%, while BNP Paribas call warrants (13399) rose by 10%, and JPMorgan call warrants (29203) increased by 9%. This demonstrates the leverage advantage of bull certificates in a moderate upward market [2]. - Investors are encouraged to consider products with exercise prices around HKD 408, such as the call warrant (13517) with a leverage of 6.19 times and HSBC call warrant (15891) with an implied volatility of 38.83% [5]. Bearish Strategies - For investors with a bearish outlook on HKEX, various derivative tools are available. Citigroup put warrant (16606) offers a leverage of 7.3 times with a low premium and implied volatility, with an exercise price of HKD 333.9. The call warrant (15262) has a slightly lower leverage of 6.4 times but also features low implied volatility [8]. - High-leverage options include JPMorgan bear certificate (52629) with a redemption price of HKD 400, providing a leverage of 19.5 times, and UBS bear certificate (52543) with similar terms offering 17.3 times leverage [8]. Market Sentiment - Observations indicate that some investors are optimistic about HKEX, anticipating the stock price to reach between HKD 380-400. Conversely, there are also strategies involving put warrants with exercise prices around HKD 281 [11].

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's stock price is currently facing short-term pressure, with key support levels identified at 47.2 HKD, 44.2 HKD, and 40.8 HKD, while resistance levels are at 53.1 HKD and 55.6 HKD. The market sentiment appears slightly optimistic with a 53% probability of short-term price increase [1]. Technical Analysis - The stock closed at 48.65 HKD, with a potential drop to 47.2 HKD being a critical level to watch [1]. - Technical indicators show a bearish crossover with the 10-day moving average (50.11 HKD) falling below the 30-day moving average (46.86 HKD) [1]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 53, indicating a neutral position, while the MACD shows a buy signal but with weakening momentum [1]. - The stock's volatility is at 10.9%, suggesting significant price fluctuations recently [1]. - Current technical signals include 9 sell signals, 8 neutral signals, and 11 buy signals, leading to an overall "buy" recommendation [1]. Derivative Instruments - For bullish investors, options such as the Morgan Stanley call option (14642) with a strike price of 55.05 HKD and a leverage of 5.6 times are recommended [6]. - UBS call option (14991) has similar terms with a leverage of 5.3 times [6]. - For bearish strategies, HSBC bear certificate (61377) offers an 8 times leverage, while Societe Generale bear certificate (61240) provides an 8.4 times leverage [9]. Market Sentiment - The market is currently observing a mixed performance in derivative products, with HSBC bear certificates rising by 61% and Societe Generale bear certificates increasing by 53% during a 5.26% drop in stock price [3].