破晓·新启——电新行业 2025 年度中期投资策略 20250709 摘要 2025 年国内乘用车市场预计增速 40%，欧洲动力市场增速约 20%，储 能市场海外持续爆发，总体需求增速近 30%，锂电池板块整体增长格局 良好，宁德时代表现突出。 2025 年国内海上风电项目开工量达 10GW 左右，储备项目超 30GW， 保障高增速；海外市场每年稳定在 4-5GW 左右，预计 2026 年达 10GW 级别，风电国内外市场需求持续增加。 储能行业 2025 年下半年预期良好，新技术进展和政策支持有望解决供 需过剩问题；1-5 月电表数据显示 32GWh，上半年总量或达四五十 GWh，招标增速翻倍，项目建设经济性信心较高。 业绩兑现公司如大金、新强联受关注，困境反转或底部反转预期的天顺、 海力交易表现良好，陆风盈利改善逻辑值得期待，海丰业绩强劲，推荐 权重较高。 2025 年上半年电气设备行业表现平稳，特斯拉交单节奏走弱影响预期， 下半年加速推进剩余直流和交流招标，数字化增量较大，AI 政策配套及 建议交易需求推动增长。 Q&A 2025 年电信行业的中期策略是什么？ 2025 年电信行业的中期策略可以总结为三 ...

向海外市场要空间、以技术革命拓成长——机械行业 2025 年度中期投资策略 20250709 摘要 通用设备领域内需企稳，若叠加外需增量，将构成较好的投资方向。中 长期来看，海外建厂将成为设备需求的重要驱动力，并带来需求结构的 边际变化，尤其关注注塑机、工业机器人等通用设备出口大幅增长。 新技术方向如固态电池、人形机器人、可控核聚变等领域，板块容量大 且边际变化不断推进，下半年仍存在投资机会。关注人形机器人核心零 部件及功能模组与应用场景的爆发机会。 借鉴日本经验，通过出口寻找业绩增量。中美关税及全球关税影响下， 产能地区发生显著变化，企业分散供应链成趋势，具备制造业基础、人 口资源充足、基建完善的地区或成产能聚集地。 石油开采行业设备开支未来三到五年或呈长期增长趋势，中东地区资本 开支上升，为纽威、杰瑞等中国企业带来海外收入机会，贸易政策和新 增需求也增加了中国企业进入海外市场的机会。 制造业延伸将带动流程行业设备需求增长，新兴市场向上游延伸，需要 自制原材料，推动钢铁、化工等流程行业设备需求。长期来看，这是一 个值得关注的发展方向。 Q&A 机械行业在下半年有哪些主要投资策略？ 下半年的机械行业投资策略主 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Shandong Provincial Government has launched an action plan to accelerate the development of the robotics industry, aiming for the manufacturing scale to exceed 50 billion yuan by 2027 [2][3]. Group 1: Action Plan Overview - The "Shandong Province Robotics Industry High-Quality Development Action Plan (2025-2027)" includes 18 measures to support the robotics industry comprehensively [2][4]. - The plan aims to cultivate more than three leading robotics manufacturing enterprises with an output value exceeding 2 billion yuan each [3]. Group 2: Key Tasks - The action plan outlines five major tasks: promoting key technology innovation, accelerating the cultivation of industry entities, facilitating industrial agglomeration, expanding application scenarios, and enhancing support for essential elements [3][4]. - Specific initiatives include the establishment of innovation centers across four fields: industrial robots, service robots, special robots, and humanoid robots [3]. Group 3: Regional Development Focus - The plan includes tailored development tasks for each city, such as creating a leading testing and verification platform for robots in Jinan and advancing humanoid robot development [4]. - The strategy emphasizes the cultivation of innovative small and medium-sized enterprises and "little giant" companies to strengthen the industry ecosystem [4]. Group 4: Application and Impact - The robotics industry in Shandong is increasingly integrated into various sectors, with notable advancements in efficiency and precision across multiple applications, such as medical robotics and industrial automation [5][6]. - The government is promoting the adoption of innovative robotic products and software to reduce risks for enterprises, with several products already gaining market recognition [5].

优质赛道穿越周期，机器人转型星辰大海——零部件行业 2025 年度中期投资策略 20250710 摘要 智能化赛道迎来快速增长，激光雷达市场预计从 2024 年的 40 亿增长 到 2028 年的 120 亿，芯片市场可能从 200 亿以上增长到 500 亿以上， 线控制动系统有望从 150 亿增长到 260 亿以上，受益于消费者购车重 点转向智能化因素，智能化渗透率正处于快速爆发期。 科技化领域如座椅、车灯和玻璃等赛道，虽然没有爆发性增长，但由于 配置力度提升，ASP 持续上升。座椅功能增加，车灯升级为 ADB 和 DLP 大灯，玻璃产品如镀膜天幕和调光天幕的应用，使得单车价显著增 加，例如小米调光天幕价格可达到 3,000 元。 中国零部件厂商在欧美日韩国家的出海更加顺利，在墨西哥建厂后接订 单情况良好，利润率表现优异。海外市场空间约为国内的三倍，受贸易 战影响，中国企业更多地选择从墨西哥或其他地区出口，整体出海业务 持续增长。 人形机器人产业蓬勃发展，未来三到五年迎来量级释放，中国汽车零部 件企业开始向机器人领域转移，有望打开第二增长曲线。机器人成本下 降，技术迭代显著，但 ToB 端应用发展较慢，未来 ...

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 -8% -2% 3% 9% 15% 21% 26% 32% 2024.07 2024.11 2025.03 2025.07 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | 上证指数 | | 3,509.68 | 0.48 | | 深证成指 | | 10,631.13 | 0.47 | | 创业板指 | | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | | 沪深 | 300 | 4,010.02 | 0.47 | | 上证 | 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | | 科创 | 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 | 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | | 中证 | 100 | 3,793.67 | 0.57 | | 中证 | 500 | 5,983.05 | 0.50 | | 中证 | 1000 | 6 ...

Group 1: Trade and Economic Relations - U.S. Secretary of Commerce, Gina Raimondo, indicated potential meetings with Chinese trade representatives in early August, highlighting ongoing communication between the U.S. and China regarding economic concerns [1] - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced a special action to combat the smuggling and export of strategic minerals, initiated in May [4] - Trump announced a 50% tariff on copper, with China's Foreign Ministry opposing the broad application of national security concepts and emphasizing that trade wars yield no winners [5] Group 2: Financial and Corporate Performance - The China Construction Machinery Industry Association reported that excavator sales reached 120,500 units in the first half of the year, marking a 16.8% year-on-year increase [8] - Longling Hydraulic announced a tender offer to acquire 12% of its shares at 36.24 yuan per share [9] - Dongyangguang projected a net profit increase of 157%-193% year-on-year for the first half of the year, with its intelligent robotics business generating revenue [10] - China Shipbuilding and China Heavy Industry expect net profit growth of 98%-119% and 182%-238% respectively for the first half of the year [11] - Jiangfeng Electronics plans to raise up to 1.95 billion yuan through a private placement for the industrialization of ultra-high-purity metal sputtering targets [13] Group 3: Market Trends - The three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Nasdaq up 0.09% and the S&P 500 up 0.27%, both reaching new closing highs [14] - Bitcoin surpassed $117,000, setting a new historical high [19] - International oil prices fell, with WTI crude futures for August down 2.65% and Brent crude futures for September down 2.21% [20]

今年年底将推出完整功能的样机。 硅谷初夏的周末清晨，阳光穿过松针，在山野步道间投下细碎的金斑。终于可以肆意玩闹的小孩呼啦啦地往前冲，不等被叫住，他们已经蹦跳着拐过了转 角，留下身后拎着露营包的家长紧赶慢赶。 好不容易把装备拖到野餐区，来不及在餐垫上喘口气，耳边传来水花声，扭头一看，孩子已经甩开帆布鞋，光着脚丫踏进溪涧里，用树枝卖力地搅动着水 面，时不时招手喊父母来加入。 在北美，户外活动早已成为家庭周末的标配。根据Outdoor Foundation等报告显示，2023年美国户外休闲活动参与人数达1.758亿，占6岁以上人口的57.3%， 其中徒步人群就有6144万。露营市场更是蓬勃发展，从2024年美国市场规模为203.8亿美元，预计到2035年将达到718.8亿美元，年复合增长率高达12.14%。 这个画面让他陷入思考。虽然近年来户外活动持续火爆，催生了如定位手环、智能炊具等周边装备，但其产品多停留在功能叠加层面，始终未从根本上解决 家庭活动的核心痛点：父母既要负重前行，又要分心照顾孩子，无法全身心享受户外乐趣。Statista最新调研显示，超过78%的家长因装备繁重和看护压力而 减少户外活动频次。 "如 ...

【 Grok 4 正式发布】 7 月 10 日消息，官方宣称， Grok 4 是最新、最强大的旗舰模型。现在已经 可以在 Grok 官网上付费升级体验。官网显示， Grok 4 每月费用为 30 美元。埃隆 · 马斯克表示， GROK 很快将应用于特斯拉车辆，最迟将在下周实现。（华尔街见闻） 完整早报音频，请点击标题下方小耳机收听 | | | SuperGrok Introducing Grok 4 The most powerful Al model. | | | × | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | Pay yearly save 16% Pay monthly | | | | | Basic Free | | SuperGrok $30.00/ month | Popular | SuperGrok Heavy $300.00/ month | | | Current Plan | | Upgrade to SuperGrok | | Upgrade to SuperGrok Heavy | | | Model Grok 3 | Limited ...

今 年 ， 港 股 融 资 市 场 极 为 火 热 。 Wind 数 据 显 示 ， 今 年 以 来 ， 港 股 市 场 股 权 融 资 规 模 已 逼 近 3000 亿 港 元 ， 达 到 2879.82 亿 港 元 ， 同 比 大 增 350.56%。 总体来看，今年港股市场无论是IPO还是再融资规模都呈爆发式增长，尤其是IPO表现更为抢眼。港股上半年共完成42宗IPO，合计集资额超过1070亿港元，较去年 全年多约22%，暂列全球第一。 融资规模持续创新高 在2023年和2024年，港股市场无论是IPO还是再融资都较为疲软，IPO方面这两年分别融资463.34亿港元和881.47亿港元，均不超过千亿港元；再融资方面，主要 以配售为主，这两年分别融资661.61亿港元和545.99亿港元，同样不超过千亿港元。 但自2024年下半年以来，港股市场在多项重磅政策带动下再次活跃，而在2025年上半年，整个市场更是不断复苏。 Wind数据显示，2025年以来，港股市场股权融资规模已达到2879.82亿港元，远高于2023年和2024年全年的1424.39亿港元和1756.60亿港元，甚至也已经高于 2022年全年 ...

Core Viewpoint - Northern Rare Earth has achieved a significant turnaround in its operating performance, with projected net profit for the first half of 2025 expected to reach between 900 million to 960 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 1882.54% to 2014.71% [2][4] Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of 900 million to 960 million yuan for the first half of 2025, an increase of 855 million to 915 million yuan compared to the same period last year [4] - The projected non-net profit is expected to be between 880 million to 940 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5538.33% to 5922.76% [4] - In the same period last year, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 45.3962 million yuan, and the non-net profit was 15.6075 million yuan, both showing a decline of over 95% [4] Operational Factors - The turnaround is attributed to reduced costs in smelting separation and rare earth metal processing, as well as increased production and sales of key products such as rare earth metals and functional materials [2][6] - The company has implemented strategies to enhance production efficiency and marketing operations, leading to different levels of growth in the sales volume of its main products [6][7] Market Dynamics - The increase in demand for rare earth materials, driven by the rapid development of industries such as electric vehicles and robotics, has contributed to rising prices, further supporting the company's performance [7] - The company has leveraged stable domestic market demand and improved its operational management to achieve significant growth in its financial results [6] Competitive Advantage - Northern Rare Earth possesses a strong competitive edge due to its comprehensive resource and industrial chain, being the largest rare earth enterprise group globally [10] - The company has exclusive mining rights to the world's largest iron and rare earth coexisting mine, which enhances its resource utilization and production capabilities [9] Historical Performance - Since 2010, the company's profitability has shown a notable increase, with cumulative profits reaching 26.868 billion yuan and cumulative dividends of 5.358 billion yuan [11]