Core Insights - The Apple Fall Product Launch in 2025 is one of the most anticipated electronic product launches among consumers in early September this year [1] - Recent institutional research indicates that several Apple-related stocks, including Crystal Optoelectronics, Shenzhen South Circuit, Lens Technology, and Luxshare Precision, have received significant attention, with over 200 institutions visiting these companies for research [1] - Institutions are optimistic about the consumer electronics sector entering a period of intensive new product launches, expecting that new Apple products will drive sales improvement and advancements in AI and foldable screens, as well as innovation in wearable devices benefiting related supply chain companies [1]

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming Apple 2025 Fall New Product Launch is a major focus for consumers and institutions, with significant interest in related supply chain companies benefiting from new product releases and advancements in AI and foldable screens [1][5]. Group 1: Institutional Attention - Multiple Apple-related stocks, including Crystal Optoelectronics, Shenzhen South Circuit, Lens Technology, and Luxshare Precision, have received extensive institutional visits, with over 200 institutions visiting each [1][2]. - Crystal Optoelectronics has hosted 330 institutional visits in the past month, ranking third among companies in terms of institutional attention, and is developing optical upgrades for future customer models [2][3]. Group 2: Company Insights - Shenzhen South Circuit highlighted its diverse range of packaging substrate products, which are increasingly in demand due to the acceleration of AI technology and the need for high computing power in various applications [3]. - Lens Technology, a key supplier for North American clients, is focusing on smart wearable devices and has established long-term collaborations with major clients in the field [3]. - Luxshare Precision expressed confidence in a stable and slightly increasing market demand for the second half of the year, with a focus on supporting potential AI brands and products [4]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The release of new Apple products is expected to boost market interest in the consumer electronics sector, with a positive outlook for hardware innovation and AI synergy over the next three years [5]. - The consumer electronics sector is entering a period of intensive new product launches, with expectations for improved sales driven by Apple's new products and advancements in AI and wearable devices [5].

Core Viewpoint - Kosen Technology's stock price has experienced significant fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 73.46% but a recent decline of 13.49% over the past five trading days [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Kosen Technology, established on December 1, 2010, and listed on February 9, 2017, is located in Kunshan, Jiangsu Province [2] - The company specializes in precision manufacturing processes including die casting, forging, stamping, CNC, laser cutting, laser welding, MIM, and precision injection molding [2] - Kosen Technology serves notable clients such as Apple, Amazon, Google, and Medtronic, providing precision metal and plastic structural components for consumer electronics, medical devices, automotive (including new energy vehicles), LCD panels, and electronic cigarettes [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Kosen Technology reported revenue of 1.582 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.13%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was -105 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 34.51% [2] - The company has distributed a total of 283 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 71.68 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Group 3: Stock Market Activity - As of September 12, Kosen Technology's stock price was 13.53 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 7.508 billion yuan [1] - The stock has seen a net outflow of 115 million yuan in principal funds, with significant buying and selling activity recorded [1] - Kosen Technology has appeared on the stock market's "Dragon and Tiger List" 16 times this year, indicating notable trading activity [1]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" investment rating to the company, with a target price of 50.07 CNY per share based on a PS valuation method [8][9][17]. Core Insights - The company achieved a record high revenue of 1.009 billion CNY in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 27.77%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 74.52% to 0.06 million CNY [1][2]. - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the sales of IO high-speed communication connectors, AI computing chip liquid cooling components, and new application FPCs. The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing AI trend and the emerging high-growth sectors [2][3]. - The company has entered the AI computing server liquid cooling market, achieving mass production of liquid cooling components in 2025. This segment is anticipated to provide continuous growth opportunities as demand for cooling solutions in AI servers increases [3][16]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to generate revenues of 2.207 billion CNY, 2.827 billion CNY, and 3.596 billion CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 29.02%, 28.11%, and 27.21% [4][13][17]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 0.42 million CNY, 1.33 million CNY, and 2.08 million CNY for the same years [4][17]. Business Segment Performance - The company's revenue from connector components, FPC, and LED backlight modules for H1 2025 was 0.452 billion CNY, 0.378 billion CNY, and 0.078 billion CNY, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 46.94%, 23.50%, and a decline of 6.38%, respectively [3][12]. - The liquid cooling segment is expected to become a major growth driver, with significant demand anticipated from high-density scenarios in GPU servers and AI data centers [16]. Financial Metrics - The company’s financial metrics indicate a projected gross margin of 17.71%, 20.75%, and 22.37% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [13][22]. - The report highlights a stable control over expenses, with sales, management, and R&D expense ratios for H1 2025 at 1.77%, 6.85%, and 7.04%, respectively [2][3]. Market Position and Comparables - The report compares the company with peers such as Yingweike, Hongxin Technology, Shenglan Co., and Longli Technology, noting similarities in product applications and market segments [17]. - The average PS ratio of comparable companies is referenced to support the valuation of the company [17][19].

Core Insights - Despite recent positive responses to new foldable devices, global foldable smartphone shipments are expected to remain flat at approximately 15.2 million units for the year, with 2026 anticipated to be a turning point for growth [1][4] - The foldable smartphone market is projected to see a significant year-on-year increase of 51% in shipments by 2026, driven by intensified competition and more affordable clamshell models [1] - The foldable smartphone segment remains a niche market, accounting for only 1.0-1.5% of global shipments, but it holds substantial strategic value and revenue potential for manufacturers [8][10] Market Dynamics - In the first half of 2025, global shipments of foldable smartphones are expected to remain stable at around 6.6 million units, with China showing a notable growth of 32.8%, primarily driven by Huawei's Mate and Pura X series [4] - The U.S. market, while growing at a more modest rate of 7%, is led by the Motorola Razr 2025 series [4] - The foldable smartphone market is characterized by a low single-digit percentage of the overall smartphone market, raising questions about its role in manufacturers' business strategies [4] Innovation and Strategy - Foldable smartphones serve as a testbed for hardware innovation and brand differentiation, allowing manufacturers to showcase their technological leadership and engineering capabilities [7] - The average selling price (ASP) of foldable devices is significantly higher than standard smartphones, with book-style foldables priced 289% higher and clamshell models 123% higher than traditional devices [13][16] - Samsung's Galaxy Z Fold7, priced at approximately $1,899, generates revenue equivalent to about 15 entry-level Galaxy A06 4G devices, highlighting the high revenue potential of foldable devices [10] Consumer Perception and Adoption - A consumer study indicated that while 96% of respondents are aware of foldable smartphones, nearly 40% expressed disinterest, often due to budget constraints or unmet needs [11][13] - The adoption of foldable smartphones faces challenges related to user interaction and the need for behavioral changes, as consumers must rethink how they engage with their devices [13] - Manufacturers are exploring enterprise applications for foldable devices, emphasizing productivity advantages in professional settings, such as multitasking and document editing [14] Future Outlook - The foldable smartphone market is expected to evolve, with manufacturers needing to address barriers to adoption and enhance consumer experiences through innovative retail strategies [11][14] - The focus on high-end markets and brand differentiation will continue to drive the strategic importance of foldable devices, even as they remain a small segment of overall smartphone sales [15]

Company Overview - Shenzhen LianDe Automation Equipment Co., Ltd. is located in Longhua District, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, and was established on June 7, 2002. The company was listed on September 28, 2016. Its main business involves providing electronic specialized equipment and solutions [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, LianDe achieved operating revenue of 637 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.34%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 73.1 million yuan, down 34.78% year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 158 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 80.4 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Stock Performance - On September 12, the stock price of LianDe Equipment fell by 2.06%, trading at 34.23 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 6.348 billion yuan. The stock has increased by 9.96% year-to-date but has decreased by 2.87% over the last five trading days and 3.50% over the last 20 days [1]. - The stock's trading volume showed a net outflow of 1.5344 million yuan from main funds, with significant buying and selling activity from large orders [1]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 20,900, a rise of 4.42%. The average number of circulating shares per person decreased by 4.23% to 5,464 shares [2]. - Notable new institutional shareholders include Huabao Power Combination Mixed A and Baoying Hongli Income Mixed A, holding 690,900 shares and 677,100 shares, respectively [3]. Business Segments - The company's revenue composition is primarily from equipment sales (98.18%), with minor contributions from fixtures and other categories [1].

Core Insights - The foldable smartphone market is experiencing a wave of new releases in 2025, with manufacturers addressing concerns about device thickness and weight through advanced engineering technologies [1][4] - Despite increased competition, global shipments of foldable smartphones remained stable at around 6.6 million units in the first half of 2025, with a notable 32.8% year-on-year growth in the Chinese market [4] - The foldable smartphone segment is expected to see significant growth in 2026, with a projected 51% year-on-year increase in shipments, driven by intensified competition and more affordable flip models [4][12] Market Dynamics - The foldable smartphone category remains a niche market, accounting for only 1.0-1.5% of global shipments, but its revenue contribution and strategic value are disproportionately high [7][11] - Samsung's product strategy exemplifies this, as its Galaxy Z Fold7 generates revenue equivalent to approximately 15 entry-level Galaxy A06 4G devices, highlighting the high average selling price (ASP) of foldable devices [11] Consumer Perception and Adoption Challenges - A consumer study revealed that while 96% of respondents are aware of foldable smartphones, nearly 40% expressed disinterest, primarily due to budget constraints or unmet needs [12][14] - Key challenges for broader adoption include changing consumer behavior, high pricing, and the need for effective marketing strategies that emphasize user experience and trust [14][12] Strategic Implications for Manufacturers - Foldable smartphones are becoming a strategic lever for manufacturers to drive high-end branding, differentiation, and long-term profitability, despite their limited market scale [11][7] - Companies are exploring enterprise applications for foldable devices, positioning them as productivity tools rather than mere consumer novelties [14][12]

Group 1 - In Q2 2025, global foldable smartphone shipments surged by 45% year-on-year, indicating a significant recovery driven by strong performances in both the Chinese and U.S. markets [1][2] - Motorola's Razr 60 series has been a key contributor to this growth, particularly in the U.S. market, where its pricing strategy has made it the most cost-effective foldable smartphone at $699 [1][2] - Huawei's Mate X6 leads the Chinese market, accounting for over one-third of Huawei's foldable smartphone shipments in the same quarter [1][3] Group 2 - UTG (Ultra-Thin Glass) has become the new mainstream trend for foldable screens, outperforming CPI (Cover Plastic) in various performance metrics [2] - Apple is expected to raise the average selling price of the iPhone 17 series by 5% in FY2026, marking the first price increase since 2017, without affecting demand [2] - Analysts predict that Apple will launch its first foldable iPhone in 2026, with expected shipments of 8-10 million units, growing to 25 million units by 2027 [3] Group 3 - China remains the largest market for foldable device shipments, aligning with global growth trends [3] - Samsung's latest Galaxy Z Fold and Flip 7 achieved record sales in Q3, but the company's market share has significantly declined [3] - Key players in the foldable screen supply chain include Hongteng Precision, Lens Technology, BYD Electronics, and Sunny Optical [4]

Core Insights - The global high-end smartphone market is experiencing significant growth, with a projected 8% year-on-year increase in sales for the first half of 2025, surpassing the overall smartphone market growth of 4% [1][3] - Apple continues to lead the high-end market with a 62% share, although its market share has slightly declined due to faster growth from competitors [3] - Huawei and Xiaomi are gaining market share, with Huawei showing a 24% year-on-year growth and Xiaomi achieving a remarkable 55% increase, primarily driven by the Chinese market [1][3] - Google has re-entered the top five high-end smartphone brands after five years, with a 105% increase in sales attributed to the strong performance of its Pixel 9 series [1][3] Market Trends - The trend towards "premiumization" is evident as consumers increasingly prefer to upgrade to high-end devices, contributing over 60% of global smartphone revenue [4] - The top ten high-end markets account for nearly 80% of sales in this segment, with India showing the fastest growth at 37% year-on-year, largely driven by Apple's performance [4] - China remains the largest high-end market in absolute terms, contributing significantly to growth [4] - Generative AI models now account for over 80% of high-end devices, indicating a shift in consumer preference towards innovative features [4] - Foldable smartphones are a niche but growing category, with Apple expected to enter this market in 2026 [4]

Group 1 - The global high-end smartphone market (priced above $600) is expected to see an 8% year-on-year growth in the first half of 2025, reaching a historical high, which is 4% higher than the overall market growth [1] - High-end smartphones are projected to contribute over 60% of global smartphone revenue [1] - Apple remains the market leader with a 62% share, but its growth is only 3%, facing competition from Huawei and Xiaomi in emerging markets [1] Group 2 - Huawei's sales increased by 24% year-on-year, while Samsung's grew by 7% [1] - Xiaomi experienced a significant growth of 55%, moving up to the third position in the market, driven by the "halo effect" from the Chinese high-end market and electric vehicles [1] - Google's Pixel 9 series saw a remarkable year-on-year increase of 105%, marking its return to the top five after five years [1] Group 3 - Over 80% of high-end smartphones are now equipped with generative AI features, indicating a strong trend in the market [1] - Foldable smartphones remain a niche category but are experiencing continuous growth, with Apple expected to enter the foldable market by 2026 [1]