以下文章来源于智通财经APP ，作者智通编选 智通财经APP . 智通财经APP，连线全球资本市场。内容合作/内容举报请联系李先生： Tel: +86-15121009144 Email:zhitongcolumn@163.com 美国股票买盘停滞，日元多头投机头寸增加 摩根大通最新的资金流向与流动性报告得出了一些有趣的结论： (1)自 2 月以来，非美国本土投资者停止买入美国股票基金，自 3 月起开始少量抛售美国债券基金。鉴于 美国经济长期存在大额经常账户赤字，外国投资者买盘停滞(更不用说净抛售美国资产)可能对美元产生 负面影响。 点击蓝字，关注我们 以消费为重点的财政政策仍不及投资：政府的消费刺激计划规模从 2023 年的零增长至 2024 年的 3000 亿元人民币，2025 年预计达到 4000 - 6000 亿元人民币， 但与每年 5 万亿元人民币的政府投资债券相比 仍显不足 。尽管加大消费领域的财政投入备受期待，但投资者必须区分政府 "应该做" 和 "实际会做" 的 差异。朱海斌预计，鉴于政府认为投资在创造就业和促进收入增长方面更具成效，财政支出仍将侧重于 投资。 消费板块首选股（凯文・尹推荐） ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Acme United Corporation reported net sales of $46 million for Q1 2025, a 2% increase from $45 million in Q1 2024 [6][17] - Net income for Q1 2025 was $1.65 million, or $0.41 per diluted share, compared to $1.63 million, or $0.39 per diluted share in the same period last year, reflecting a 1% increase in net income and a 5% increase in earnings per share [18][19] - Gross margin improved to 39.0% in Q1 2025 from 38.7% in Q1 2024 [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The first aid business experienced a significant growth of 14% in Q1 2025, driving overall growth [7] - Sales of Westcott cutting tools were impacted by a large initial order in Q1 2024, leading to a decrease in sales this quarter [8] - The European business saw a decline of 7% in Q1 2025 due to a large promotion in 2024 that did not repeat [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales in the US segment increased by 3% in Q1 2025, primarily due to higher sales of first aid and medical products [17] - Net sales in Europe declined by 4% in local currency compared to Q1 2024, attributed to timing issues [17] - Canadian net sales increased by 6% in local currency, driven by higher sales of first aid products [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding its first aid and medical product lines in Europe and strengthening its sales team in Germany [9] - Acme United is exploring acquisition opportunities, particularly in the cutting tool and first aid sectors, and is looking at both geographic and product line expansions [25][26] - The company is investing in automation and efficiency improvements, including the installation of robotic systems in its production facilities [11][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating the current challenging macroeconomic environment characterized by high inflation and tariff uncertainties [4][16] - The company views tariff uncertainties as an opportunity to gain market share, leveraging its strong financial position [15] - Management indicated that while there are challenges, they are optimistic about future growth and potential acquisitions [16][19] Other Important Information - The company has generated over $2 million in annual productivity savings from capital projects in production operations [14] - Acme United's bank debt less cash was $27 million as of March 31, 2025, down from $32 million a year earlier [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Inquiry about acquisitions - Management indicated they are looking at both geographic and product line acquisitions, particularly in cutting tools and first aid [25][26] Question: Clarification on tariffs - Management discussed the uncertainty surrounding tariffs, particularly on imports from China, and how it affects pricing and inventory management [33][34] Question: Guidance for the year ahead - Management refrained from providing specific guidance due to the current volatility in costs and tariffs but indicated they are monitoring the situation closely [48][49] Question: Impact of tariffs on sourcing - Management confirmed that approximately 40% of their products are sourced from China and discussed efforts to diversify sourcing to other countries [98] Question: Performance of the first aid business - Management noted that the 14% growth in the first aid business is partly due to easier comparisons from the previous year, but they expect continued organic growth [82][84]

客服产品系列•日评 国新国证期货早报 2025 年 4 月 17 日 星期四 品种观点： 【股指期货】周三（4 月 16 日）A 股三大指数涨跌不一，沪指七连涨。截止收盘，沪指涨 0.26%，收报 3276.00 点；深证成指跌 0.85%，收报 9774.73 点；创业板指跌 1.21%，收报 1907.11 点。沪深两市成交额 11119 亿，较 昨日小幅放量 347 亿。 沪深 300 指数 4 月 16 日震荡趋强，收盘 3772.82，环比上涨 11.59。 【焦炭 焦煤】4 月 16 日焦炭加权指数区间震荡，收盘价 1562.9 元，环比下跌 7.1。 4 月 16 日，焦煤加权指数弱势，收盘价 945.2 元，环比下跌 14.5。 影响焦炭期货、焦煤期货价格的有关信息： 焦炭：近期环保限产约束有所放松，焦企保持开工动能，高频数据显示开工率以及焦炭日均产量环比小幅增 加。需求方面，高炉延续复产，铁水产量增加，供需双增，焦企出货顺畅。 焦煤：上周部分前期停产煤矿复产，带动上游开工率回升，国内煤炭整体宽松格局持续。进口方面，蒙煤单 日通关车数维持在千车高位，进口供应充分。（数据来源：东方财富网） 【棕 ...

The semiconductor sector is swimming in red ink today, and ASML Holding NV (NASDAQ:ASML) is one of the primary culprits. The stock is down 6% to trade at $641.56, after the Dutch-based chipmaker reported a lackluster sales forecast. For the second quarter, ASML expects sales between 7.2 and 7.7 billion euros, lower than the 7.8 billion forecast.CEO Christophe Fouquet said in a statement: "The recent tariff announcements have increased uncertainty in the macro environment and the situation will remain dynami ...

韩国财政部：尽管美国暂停对等关税90天，但不确定性依然很高。 ...

Global Monetary Policy Tracking - The core viewpoint indicates that major central banks are maintaining their current interest rates amidst increasing uncertainty regarding tariffs, with only the European Central Bank (ECB) implementing a rate cut [2][14] - In the observation period from February 8 to March 23, 2025, among 26 major economies, 7 experienced rate cuts and 1 an increase, while the US, Japan, and the UK kept rates unchanged [2][19] - The Federal Reserve maintained its target federal funds rate at 4.25%-4.50%, reflecting a cautious stance due to heightened economic uncertainty [13][19] Global Rate Cut Expectations - The Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations have fluctuated significantly, with market predictions for a potential cut in May reaching around 50% due to economic indicators falling short of expectations [3][19] - Following the release of better-than-expected employment and inflation data in mid-March, the likelihood of a rate cut in May dropped to approximately 20% [3][19] - The European and UK rate cut expectations remain relatively stable, with a 60% probability of a cut in the Eurozone by April 2025 [19] China's Interest Rate Position - China's real interest rates rebounded from 2.2% in January to a range of 3%-3.1% in February-March 2025, positioning it among the highest globally [4][28] - The increase in real interest rates is attributed to the seasonal effects of inflation dissipating post-Spring Festival [4][28] Global Liquidity Tracking - The Federal Reserve decided to slow down its balance sheet reduction, primarily due to disturbances in the Treasury General Account (TGA) caused by the debt ceiling issue [5][33] - As of March 19, 2025, the Fed's reserve balance expanded by approximately $68.3 billion, despite a total balance sheet reduction of $2.04 trillion [5][34] - The liquidity in the repurchase market has returned to a more relaxed state, with the SOFR-EFFR spread turning negative, indicating improved liquidity conditions [8][41] Global Financial Market Liquidity - The liquidity in the US Treasury market has shown increased volatility, but the market remains stable without significant liquidity risks [10][47] - The Libor-OIS spread has widened, indicating a slight increase in liquidity premium, although it has not reached alarming levels [11][50] - Credit risk premiums have seen a slight increase since March 2025, influenced by rising geopolitical uncertainties and tariff concerns [12][53]