Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of the recent trade tensions between China and the U.S., highlighting China's strengths and potential investment opportunities in the current macroeconomic environment. Group 1: Trade War Dynamics - The trade war escalated rapidly, reaching a peak within ten days, which was unexpected for the U.S. administration [2][3] - China's swift response is attributed to its strong position in three areas: the stability of RMB assets, dominance in global supply chains, and technological advancements [2][11] Group 2: U.S. Economic Vulnerabilities - The trade conflict has led to significant volatility in global capital markets, impacting the U.S. economy's core—dollar and U.S. Treasury bonds [7][19] - The traditional safe-haven status of U.S. Treasuries is being challenged, as global investors are increasingly selling off dollar-denominated assets [7][19] Group 3: China's Supply Chain Strength - China currently holds a 35% share of the global supply chain, projected to rise to 45% by 2030, indicating its dominant position [8][12] - The imbalance in global trade dynamics has been exacerbated by the strengthening of China's supply chain, which contrasts with the declining influence of the dollar [8][12] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The article emphasizes the importance of seizing opportunities in Chinese core assets during periods of heightened market volatility [9][21] - Gold is highlighted as a strong investment asset, with the current market conditions presenting a favorable buying opportunity [20][21] Group 5: Structural Economic Insights - The majority of U.S. consumer spending is on services, which are less connected to global trade, indicating that the impact of tariffs may be less severe than anticipated [15][16] - The actual goods-related economy that interacts with global trade is approximately $6.2 trillion, with a significant portion controlled by U.S. multinational corporations [16][18] Group 6: Future Market Directions - The article suggests that strong stocks have already recovered from initial market reactions, and future investment opportunities may lie in sectors related to supply chain security and data communication [22]

Core Viewpoint - The spring capital market forum hosted by CITIC Securities emphasized the emergence of new core assets in China, particularly in the domestic computing power chain, which are expected to expand to a market value of $100 billion [1][2]. Group 1: New Core Assets - CITIC Securities highlighted that new core assets, driven by trends such as AI equity and domestic computing power, are expanding and have the potential to reach a market value of $100 billion [2][3]. - Traditional core assets, including sectors like LED, security, service robots, and integrated circuits, have about 30% of companies that have turned around in their operations [2]. Group 2: Market Outlook - The A-share market is currently in a volatile phase, and a breakthrough will require the support of core assets rather than scattered themes [2]. - The macroeconomic environment is expected to support technology, supply-side reforms, and consumer promotion policies, which will positively influence the market [2]. Group 3: Consumer Sector - In addition to technology, the consumer sector is also viewed positively by several brokerage firms, with a focus on themes related to consumer iteration such as "self-economy" and "initial public offerings" [4]. - The improvement in asset prices is anticipated to gradually enhance consumer demand through wealth effects, supported by monetary and fiscal policies [4]. Group 4: Hong Kong Market - The Hong Kong stock market is characterized by three main features of a bull market: the need for asset allocation, significant available position space, and a high tolerance for valuations [6]. - The inflow of southbound funds into the Hong Kong market indicates a sustained bullish sentiment, supported by strong earnings from tech stocks and signs of economic stabilization [7].

Core Viewpoint - The spring capital market forum hosted by CITIC Securities emphasizes the emergence of new core assets in China, particularly in the domestic computing power chain, which are expected to expand to a market value of hundreds of billions of dollars [1][2]. Group 1: New Core Assets - The new core assets, including domestic computing power chains, cloud applications, edge AI, and physical AI, are identified as having the potential for a market value expansion to hundreds of billions [2]. - Approximately 30% of traditional core assets, such as LED, security, service robots, engineering machinery, integrated circuits, lithium batteries, national joint-stock banks, cloud services, and medical services, have already shown signs of operational recovery [2]. Group 2: Market Trends and Strategies - The A-share market is currently in a volatile phase, and a breakthrough requires the support of core assets rather than scattered themes [2]. - The macroeconomic outlook for 2025 includes policy advancements in technology, supply-side reforms, and consumer promotion, which are expected to drive market growth [2]. - The year 2025 is anticipated to be a significant year for thematic investments in A-shares, driven by factors such as funding preferences, technological catalysts, and policy implementation [4][5]. Group 3: Consumption and Economic Policies - Consumption is highlighted as a second main investment theme alongside technology, with a focus on the "self-care economy" and "initial public offering economy" [4]. - The macroeconomic analysis indicates that monetary policy will support consumer demand recovery, while fiscal policy will aim to enhance social security and resolve debt issues [4]. Group 4: Hong Kong Market Outlook - The Hong Kong stock market is currently in a bull market phase, characterized by necessary asset allocation, significant available positions, and high valuation tolerance [7]. - The potential for further investment in Hong Kong stocks is substantial, with a theoretical capacity to increase by over 600 billion HKD [7]. - Valuation opportunities remain in various sectors, including internet, hard technology, automotive, and biopharmaceuticals, indicating room for profit margin recovery and valuation expansion [7][8].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China's core assets are expected to experience a revival in the spring, driven by policy advancements in technology, supply-side reforms, and consumption potential optimization [1] - The "New Core Asset 30" portfolio is selected from technology, industrial, and consumer sectors, focusing on companies that are expected to outperform ordinary firms as confidence is restored [1] - The market is anticipated to shift towards consumption-related themes with lower valuation levels, especially in light of the upcoming "Two Sessions" and external uncertainties [2] Group 2 - The IPO normalization is seen as a necessary reform direction to balance financing and support the real economy, with expectations of increased IPO supply without burdening the market [4] - The RMB's equilibrium exchange rate is estimated to be between 7.3 and 7.4, with short-term fluctuations expected between 7.20 and 7.35, influenced by trade dynamics and capital flows [5] - The manufacturing sector shows positive signs with PMI data indicating a recovery, supported by consumption stimulus policies and infrastructure investments [6] Group 3 - The solid-state battery industry is projected to see significant developments, with expectations for small-scale production by 2027 and mass production by 2030, highlighting investment opportunities across the supply chain [15] - The high-end titanium material sector is expected to recover due to increased demand from the military and aerospace industries, with a favorable competitive landscape [21] - The liquid cooling market is projected to grow significantly, with a CAGR of 38% from 2025 to 2027, driven by advancements in technology and increasing demand for efficient cooling solutions [23]