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滔搏(06110):弱零售下新品售罄亮眼,延续高派息
HTSC· 2025-10-24 06:41
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 4.00 [1][10]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 12.3 billion for the first half of FY25/26, representing a year-on-year decrease of 5.8%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of RMB 790 million, down 9.7% year-on-year. The interim dividend proposed is HKD 0.13 per share, with a payout ratio increasing by 2.8 percentage points to 102.2% [6][10]. - The company is accelerating its omnichannel retail strategy and optimizing operational efficiency to enhance resilience, maintaining a robust performance despite market challenges. The outlook is positive with expectations of improved retail and discount conditions as inventory levels decrease and new product sales increase [6][10]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profit Forecasts**: - FY25 revenue is projected at RMB 27,013 million, a decrease of 6.64% from FY24. The net profit for FY25 is expected to be RMB 1,286 million, down 41.86% year-on-year [5][10]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - EPS for FY25 is projected at RMB 0.21, with a gradual increase to RMB 0.27 by FY28 [5][10]. - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: - ROE is expected to improve from 12.97% in FY25 to 17.56% in FY28 [5][10]. - **Dividend Yield**: - The dividend yield is projected to be 8.81% for FY25, decreasing to 6.61% in FY26, and then increasing to 8.63% by FY28 [5][10]. Market and Operational Insights - **Sales Performance**: - The main brands (Nike and Adidas) saw a revenue decline of 4.8%, while other brands experienced a 12.2% drop. Online retail continues to grow, achieving double-digit growth despite a decline in offline traffic [7][10]. - **Inventory Management**: - The company reported a 4.7% decrease in inventory year-on-year, with inventory turnover days increasing by 1.7 days to 150 days [8][10]. - **Omnichannel Strategy**: - The company is enhancing its omnichannel retail capabilities, with over 800 accounts on platforms like Douyin and WeChat, and more than 3,600 mini-program stores [7][10]. Valuation and Comparison - **Valuation Metrics**: - The company is valued at a PE ratio of 14.89 for FY25, decreasing to 11.26 by FY28. The average PE for comparable companies is 12.0x for FY26 [5][10]. - **Target Price Adjustment**: - The target price has been adjusted to HKD 4.00, reflecting the company's leading position in omnichannel retail and attractive dividend yield [10].
深化全域战略并加码细分赛道 滔搏业绩彰显韧性
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-10-24 05:42
Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the resilience and strategic shifts of the company, Tmall International Holdings Limited, in the face of market challenges and evolving consumer demands [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For the period ending August 31, 2025, the company reported revenue of approximately 12.3 billion and a net profit of about 790 million, demonstrating strong cash generation with cash and cash equivalents reaching around 2.54 billion [1]. - The company has maintained a robust cash position despite the challenging retail environment, showcasing its operational resilience [1]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The company is transitioning from a focus on "scale expansion" to "value cultivation," enriching its new scene layout under a holistic approach [1]. - Digital transformation is a key support for the company's retail operations, advancing in three main directions: integrated, intelligent, and panoramic [1]. - The company emphasizes balancing supply and demand and improving circulation efficiency in its product management, allowing for quick responses to market demand changes [1]. Group 3: Consumer-Centric Approach - The company places consumers at the core of its business, focusing on three dimensions: demand matching, scene penetration, and experience value [2]. - It aims to enhance member lifecycle management and upgrade its membership tier system, integrating multiple platforms to achieve unified rights and benefits in a holistic scene [2].
滔搏2025/26上半财年营收123亿元,全域零售筑牢发展根基
Cai Fu Zai Xian· 2025-10-24 05:24
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 12.3 billion and a net profit of 790 million for the period ending August 31, 2025, with cash and cash equivalents amounting to 2.54 billion, indicating a strong financial position [1] - The company has over 20 cooperative brands and a user base exceeding 89 million, showcasing its extensive market reach [1] Business Strategy - The company employs a forward-looking omnichannel retail strategy, focusing on refined user operations and innovative service offerings to build a competitive brand moat [1] - It aims to enhance consumer experience by expanding interaction spaces and optimizing store structures based on brand characteristics and customer demographics [1][2] Online and Offline Integration - The company operates over 800 Douyin and WeChat video accounts, more than 3,600 mini-program stores, and over 3,700 instant retail stores, achieving double-digit growth in online sales [2] - The integration of online and offline channels is emphasized through a "1 (offline store) + N (multiple online scenarios)" model, enhancing operational efficiency and value extension [1][2] Brand Collaboration - The company focuses on building long-term, trust-based strategic partnerships with core brands, facilitating resource sharing and collaborative market activities [3] - Innovative retail practices, such as the Future of Style concept store with Adidas, aim to provide fresh experiences for younger consumers [3][4] Market Positioning - The company is actively exploring new business formats and scenarios in response to the structural transformation towards specialization and segmentation in the sports consumption market [4] - Exclusive partnerships with brands like norda™, soar, Ciele, and Norrøna are established to strengthen its position in the running and high-end outdoor segments [4] User Engagement - The company focuses on user value activation through demand matching, scenario penetration, and experience enhancement, with a significant contribution from membership programs [5] - Membership accounts for 92.9% of total retail sales from offline stores and WeChat mini-programs, indicating strong customer loyalty and potential for higher spending [5] Digital Transformation - The company is advancing its digital infrastructure by enhancing inventory sharing capabilities and implementing AI tools for supply chain and marketing efficiency [6] - The goal is to create a "smart retail ecosystem" that integrates virtual and physical experiences, driven by data connectivity [6] Industry Recognition - The company has been included in the Fortune China 500 list and consistently ranks in the top ten of the CCFA's "Top 100 Fashion Retail and Consumption" [7] - It has received an AA rating from MSCI ESG, reflecting its commitment to sustainable development [7]
【滔搏(6110.HK)】上半财年需求波动致业绩下滑,持续提升全域零售能力——2026财年中期业绩点评(姜浩/孙未未/朱洁宇)
光大证券研究· 2025-10-23 23:04
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of the 2026 fiscal year, with a revenue of 12.3 billion RMB, down 5.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 790 million RMB, down 9.7% year-on-year, while maintaining a high dividend payout ratio of 102.2% [4][5]. Financial Performance - The company achieved total sales of 12.3 billion RMB in the first half of the 2026 fiscal year, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 5.8% in revenue and a net profit of 790 million RMB, down 9.7% [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) stood at 0.13 RMB, with an interim dividend proposed at 0.13 RMB per share [4]. - The gross profit margin decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 41.0%, while the operating profit margin fell by 0.5 percentage points to 8.1%, and the net profit margin declined by 0.3 percentage points to 6.4% [5]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from the main brands (Nike and Adidas) decreased by 4.8%, while other brands saw a decline of 12.2%. The total number of stores decreased by 332 [6]. - The revenue distribution by brand shows that the main brands accounted for 87.9% of total revenue, while other brands contributed 11.5% [6]. - Retail and wholesale revenues declined by 3.0% and 20.3%, respectively, with retail accounting for 86.2% of total revenue [6]. Operational Metrics - The total number of stores decreased to 4,688 as of August 2025, with a total sales area down 14.1% year-on-year, while the average store size increased by 6.5% [6]. - Inventory as of August 2025 decreased by 2.8% quarter-on-quarter to 5.83 billion RMB, down 4.7% year-on-year, with an inventory turnover period of 150 days, an increase of 2 days year-on-year [7]. - Operating net cash flow decreased by 48.2% year-on-year to 1.35 billion RMB [7].
滔搏(06110):维持全年指引,高分红下期待高弹性
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-10-23 14:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 12.299 billion yuan for H1 FY2026, a decrease of 5.8% year-on-year, with a net profit of 789 million yuan, down 9.7% year-on-year. The interim dividend declared is 0.13 yuan per share, with a payout ratio of approximately 102% [2]. - The consumer environment has impacted sales, but channel optimization and overall growth have mitigated some pressure. The main brands (Nike and Adidas) saw revenue declines of 4.8% and 12.2%, respectively [2]. - The company continues to optimize its store strategy, reducing the number of direct stores to 4,688, a net decrease of 332 stores, while increasing same-store sales area by 6.5% year-on-year [2]. - The user base has grown to 89.1 million, with member sales contributing 92.9% of total sales, and repeat members accounting for about 60% of member consumption [2]. - Online sales have seen double-digit growth, effectively offsetting the decline in offline traffic [2]. Financial Performance - The gross margin for H1 was 41.0%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points, supported by retail business contributions and brand support from Nike and Adidas [3]. - The company has maintained stable sales and management expense ratios, reflecting prudent cost control and flexibility from its omnichannel retail strategy [3]. - Inventory turnover days increased to 150 days, up by 2 days year-on-year, indicating a healthy inventory level [3]. Future Outlook - The company expects stable performance for the full year, with guidance for an increase in net profit margin. Focus will remain on omnichannel retail and operational efficiency improvements [3]. - The recovery of Nike's sales in FY26 Q1 exceeded expectations, suggesting potential for a rebound in the main brand's business [3]. - New brand expansions into running and outdoor segments, including brands like nordaTM and Norrøna, are anticipated to inject new growth momentum [3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for FY2026 to FY2028 are projected at 0.21, 0.24, and 0.28 yuan, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14, 12, and 10 times, respectively [4].
深化全域布局 滔搏上半财年营收123亿元
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-10-23 11:46
Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of Tmall, a leading sports retail operator in China, which reported a revenue of approximately 12.3 billion yuan and a net profit of about 790 million yuan for the six months ending August 31, 2025, driven by policy benefits and market segmentation [2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first half of the fiscal year, the company achieved a revenue of approximately 12.3 billion yuan and a net profit of about 790 million yuan, with cash and cash equivalents reaching around 2.54 billion yuan [2]. - The online retail sales experienced a double-digit growth year-on-year, indicating a strong performance in the digital sales channel [2]. Group 2: Retail Strategy and Market Positioning - The company is enhancing its retail strategy by innovating store formats and expanding its store network, positioning stores as brand experience hubs rather than just sales points [2]. - Tmall aims to become a "one-stop sports retail operator," expanding its brand partnerships and operational capabilities, including exclusive operations for brands like Norrna and trend-setting running brands [3]. Group 3: Consumer Engagement and Membership - The company is focusing on community operations, with membership sales accounting for 92.9% of total retail sales, and repeat member sales contributing about 60% of total membership sales [3]. - Tmall has launched a new multi-product running store brand, ektos, which integrates retail, community activities, and cultural promotion for runners, enhancing its influence in the running segment [3]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company plans to continue focusing on omnichannel retail, user operations, and innovative business models to strengthen its core capabilities and operational efficiency in the sports consumption market [4].
【滔搏(6110.HK)】上半财年需求波动致业绩下滑,持续提升全域零售能力——2026财年中期业绩点评(姜浩/孙未未/朱洁宇)
光大证券研究· 2025-10-23 09:46
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of the 2026 fiscal year, with a revenue of 12.3 billion RMB, down 5.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 790 million RMB, down 9.7% year-on-year, while maintaining a high dividend payout ratio of 102.2% [4][5]. Financial Performance - The company's total sales for the first half of the 2026 fiscal year saw a decline in both quarters, with sales dropping in the mid-single digits to high single digits year-on-year [5]. - Gross margin decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 41.0%, operating margin fell by 0.5 percentage points to 8.1%, and net profit margin declined by 0.3 percentage points to 6.4% [5]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from the main brands (Nike and Adidas) decreased by 4.8%, while revenue from other brands fell by 12.2%. The total number of stores decreased by 332 [6]. - The revenue distribution by brand shows that the main brands accounted for 87.9% of total revenue, while other brands contributed 11.5% [6]. Store Performance - As of August 2025, the company operated 4,688 stores, a net decrease of 332 stores since February 2025, with total sales area down 14.1% year-on-year, but average store size increased by 6.5% [6]. Cost and Cash Flow - The company experienced a slight increase in expense ratio by 0.1 percentage points to 33.3%, with selling, general, and administrative expenses showing mixed trends [7]. - Inventory decreased by 2.8% quarter-on-quarter to 5.83 billion RMB, while operating net cash flow dropped significantly by 48.2% year-on-year to 1.35 billion RMB [7].
深化全域战略 滔搏上半财年实现营收123亿元
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of approximately 12.3 billion yuan for the first half of the fiscal year, representing a year-on-year decline of about 5.8% [1] - Net profit for the same period was approximately 790 million yuan, down about 9.8% year-on-year [1] - The company has a cash and cash equivalents balance of approximately 2.54 billion yuan [1] Retail Business Strategy - The company is shifting from "scale expansion" to "value deepening" in its retail strategy, focusing on enriching new scene layouts [1] - Continuous innovation in store networks and exploration of new store formats are being implemented to enhance the role of stores as brand experience venues [1] Online Channel Development - The company is focusing on a "1 (offline stores) + N (content e-commerce, private domain operations, and instant retail channels)" model to enhance operational efficiency [2] - Online retail sales achieved double-digit growth year-on-year, with over 800 accounts operated on Douyin and WeChat video accounts, and more than 3,600 mini-program stores [2] - The total user base has surpassed 89 million, indicating effective outreach to core sports demographics [2] Diversification and Brand Partnerships - The company aims to be a "one-stop sports retail operator," expanding its brand partnerships and operational capabilities [2] - Exclusive operations for brands like Norway's Norr na in the high-end outdoor market have been established [2] - The company has become exclusive operational partners for trend-setting running brands such as Soar and Ciele, further enhancing its influence in the running segment [2] Membership and Customer Engagement - The company is enhancing its membership lifecycle management and upgrading its membership tier system [3] - Membership sales accounted for 92.9% of total retail sales, with repeat member sales contributing about 60% of overall membership sales [3] Future Outlook - The company acknowledges both opportunities and challenges in the current sports consumption market and plans to focus on long-term strategies in omnichannel retail, user operations, and innovative business models [3] - The goal is to refine core capabilities in sports retail and enhance operational efficiency to maintain consumer and brand partner trust [3]
单年破100亿 看天猫优品线上自营店的全域零售增长密码
Cai Fu Zai Xian· 2025-09-23 09:44
Core Insights - The home appliance industry is currently facing significant challenges such as stock game, slowing growth, and intensified homogeneous competition, while also experiencing channel transformation and evolving consumer demands [1] - The implementation of the old-for-new national subsidy in 2024 presents a unique opportunity for the entire home appliance sector [1] - Tmall Youpin's online self-operated flagship store achieved a remarkable GMV of over 10 billion within just one year, showcasing a successful business model [1] Group 1: National Subsidy Infrastructure - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments issued a notice in August 2024 to enhance the old-for-new appliance program, aiming to stimulate market vitality [2] - Tmall Youpin identified the challenges faced by small and medium-sized enterprises in accessing national subsidies and created solutions to help them participate effectively [2] Group 2: Supply Structure Optimization - Over 400 categories, 500 brands, and 60,000 products have been made available through Tmall Youpin's online self-operated flagship store, leading to significant consumer opportunities [5] - The GMV of Tmall Youpin's online self-operated flagship store increased from over 1 billion during the 2024 Double Eleven to over 2.5 billion during the 2025 618 event [5] Group 3: User Operation and Growth - The industry is shifting towards refined operations as the old-for-new policy becomes normalized, necessitating a focus on user lifecycle management and differentiated service experiences [8] - Tmall Youpin has developed a comprehensive operational system that enhances brand exposure and integrates online and offline resources, resulting in over 1 million members [8][9] Group 4: Integrated Retail Ecosystem - Tmall Youpin is committed to breaking down online and offline barriers to create a seamless retail ecosystem centered around consumer needs [12] - The company has launched various subsidy forms and enhanced its retail service capabilities to provide comprehensive discounts and improve consumer experience [14] Group 5: Market Expansion and Brand Engagement - Tmall Youpin has conducted over a thousand user interaction events to attract new users for the old-for-new program and has sponsored popular events to promote its brand [16] - The company is expanding its market reach from traditional lower-tier cities to first and second-tier cities, enhancing its retail presence [18][19] Conclusion - Tmall Youpin's achievement of a 100 billion GMV in a single year reflects the broader transformation in China's home appliance and home goods consumption ecosystem, effectively connecting national policies, enterprise supply, and consumer demand [20]
单年百亿GMV背后,看天猫优品自营店铺如何下活全域零售一盘棋?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 08:19
Core Insights - The home appliance industry is currently facing significant challenges such as stagnant growth, intensified homogenization competition, and evolving consumer demands, while also experiencing opportunities from policy changes like the "trade-in for new" subsidy program in 2024 [1][17] - Tmall Youpin's online self-operated flagship store achieved a remarkable GMV of over 10 billion in its first year, showcasing a successful business model that aligns with market demands and policy directions [1][17] Group 1: Industry Challenges and Opportunities - The home appliance sector is grappling with issues of resource allocation inequality and insufficient exposure for small brands, particularly in the context of the new subsidy policies [3] - The "trade-in for new" policy aims to stimulate market activity and support industry growth, but smaller enterprises face challenges in accessing these opportunities due to high entry barriers [3][12] Group 2: Tmall Youpin's Strategic Development - Tmall Youpin has established a comprehensive infrastructure to facilitate participation in the subsidy program, benefiting both major and small brands [3][5] - Over 400 categories, 500 brands, and 60,000 products have been made available through Tmall Youpin's online self-operated flagship store, significantly enhancing consumer opportunities [5] Group 3: Supply Chain and Consumer Engagement - Tmall Youpin is optimizing its supply structure by expanding its product matrix to include a wide range of categories, thus meeting the evolving consumer preference for one-stop shopping [6][10] - The store has successfully integrated online and offline channels, enhancing customer experience and driving sales through initiatives like the "Youpin Evening 8 PM" live streaming event [7][12] Group 4: Future Outlook and Ecosystem Development - The company is focused on building an integrated retail ecosystem that connects resources, traffic, and services seamlessly, catering to diverse consumer needs [10][16] - Tmall Youpin's growth reflects broader trends in the home appliance and home goods market, indicating a shift towards a more consumer-centric approach in retail [17]