Workflow
全域零售
icon
Search documents
滔搏(06110.HK):聚焦全域零售和运营效率 保持高比例派息
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-25 20:03
Core Viewpoint - The company's 1HFY26 performance met expectations, with a revenue decline of 6% year-on-year to 12.3 billion yuan and a net profit drop of 10% to 800 million yuan, while maintaining a high dividend payout ratio of approximately 102% [1][2]. Performance Review - Revenue was impacted by fluctuations in terminal retail, leading to a focus on optimizing offline channels and expanding online retail operations [1]. - The main brands, Nike and Adidas, saw a revenue decline of 5%, accounting for 88% of total revenue, while other brands experienced a 12% decline [1]. - Direct sales and wholesale revenues fell by 3% and 20% respectively, with a total of 4,688 direct stores, a decrease of 332 stores from the beginning of the fiscal year [1]. - The company opened a new running concept store, ektos, in Shanghai, showcasing innovation in offline retail formats [1]. - Online retail sales grew by double digits, supported by a diversified operational model [1]. Profitability and Cost Control - Gross margin remained stable, with a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points to 41%, influenced by increased promotional activities in online sales and a higher retail proportion [2]. - The overall expense ratio only increased by 0.1 percentage points to 33.2%, demonstrating effective cost management despite revenue decline [2]. - The net profit margin decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 6.4%, with a net profit decline of 9.8% [2]. - Inventory management was effective, with a 4.7% decrease in inventory by the end of August [2]. - The operating cash flow was healthy, with a net cash flow of 1.35 billion yuan, supporting a high dividend payout ratio [2]. Development Trends - Management indicated that terminal retail performance in September and October would align with 2QFY26, focusing on profit maintenance and improvement in net profit margin for FY26 [2]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its EPS forecasts for FY26 and FY27 at 0.21 yuan and 0.26 yuan respectively, with current stock prices reflecting 15 and 12 times the FY26 and FY27 earnings [2]. - The target price has been raised by 23% to 4.17 HKD, corresponding to 18 and 15 times the FY26 and FY27 earnings, indicating a potential upside of 20% [2].
滔搏(06110):开启全域零售新业态布局,多个垂类新品牌丰富品牌矩阵
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-10-25 08:52
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company is initiating a comprehensive retail strategy with new brand expansions across various categories, enhancing its brand matrix [4] - Despite challenges in the retail environment, the company's strategy is expected to sustain traffic and sales through diversified channels [6] - Collaborations with leading international brands like Nike and Adidas are anticipated to drive future growth [6] Financial Performance Summary - For FY25/26, the company reported a revenue of 12.299 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 5.79%, with a gross profit of 5.037 billion RMB, down 6.06% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for FY25/26 was 789 million RMB, reflecting a decline of 9.69% [6] - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio, achieving 102.2% in FY25/26, and a cumulative payout ratio of 107.3% since FY2019/20 [6] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 28,933.20 million RMB in 2024, 27,012.90 million RMB in 2025, and 26,443.89 million RMB in 2026, with a forecasted growth rate of -6.64% for 2025 [5] - Net profit forecasts are 2,213 million RMB for 2024, 1,286 million RMB for 2025, and 1,417.56 million RMB for 2026, with a significant decline of 41.89% expected in 2025 [5] - The company is projected to achieve earnings per share of 0.36 RMB in 2024, decreasing to 0.21 RMB in 2025, and recovering to 0.23 RMB in 2026 [5]
滔搏(06110):中报毛利率与费用管控表现优异,全额派息重视股东回报
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a strong performance relative to the market [7][6][17] Core Insights - The company reported a 6% year-on-year decline in revenue to 12.3 billion RMB for the first half of FY26, with a net profit decrease of 10% to 0.79 billion RMB, aligning with expectations [7][9] - The company proposed a mid-term dividend of 0.13 RMB per share, achieving a high payout ratio of 102%, emphasizing shareholder returns [7] - The main brand's revenue decline narrowed to 5%, while other brands faced a 12% drop, attributed to fluctuations in consumer environment and reduced foot traffic [7] - The company is enhancing operational efficiency through channel optimization and a multi-channel approach, resulting in double-digit growth in online retail [7][6] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for FY2024 to FY2028 are as follows: 28.93 billion RMB (FY2024), 27.01 billion RMB (FY2025), 25.94 billion RMB (FY2026E), 27.34 billion RMB (FY2027E), and 29.04 billion RMB (FY2028E) [6][17] - Net profit forecasts are 2.21 billion RMB (FY2024), 1.29 billion RMB (FY2025), 1.29 billion RMB (FY2026E), 1.42 billion RMB (FY2027E), and 1.55 billion RMB (FY2028E) [6][17] - The gross margin is projected to be 41.8% (FY2024), declining to 38.4% (FY2025) and stabilizing around 39.3% to 40% in subsequent years [6][17] Operational Performance - The company has reduced its direct store count by 332 to 4,688 stores, with a 3% decline in direct sales to 10.6 billion RMB, indicating a strategic focus on operational efficiency [7] - Inventory levels decreased to 5.8 billion RMB, with inventory turnover days at 150 days, reflecting improved inventory management [7] - The company maintains a strong online presence with over 800 Douyin and WeChat video accounts, and more than 3,600 mini-program stores, establishing a comprehensive online-offline operational network [7]
滔搏(06110):中报毛利率与费用管控表现优异,全额派息重视股东回报
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company reported a 6% year-on-year decline in revenue to 12.3 billion RMB for the first half of FY26, with a net profit decrease of 10% to 0.79 billion RMB, aligning with expectations. A high dividend payout ratio of 102% was proposed, emphasizing shareholder returns [7] - The main brand's revenue decline has narrowed to 5%, while other brands faced a 12% drop, attributed to fluctuations in consumer environment and reduced foot traffic [7] - The company is enhancing operational efficiency through channel optimization and multi-channel integration, with a notable increase in online retail sales [7] - Gross margin remained stable with a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points to 41.0%, supported by brand partnerships and improved retail business proportions [7] - The company is focused on high-quality growth in the sports apparel retail sector, maintaining strong partnerships with Nike and Adidas, and expanding its brand portfolio [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for FY2024 to FY2028 are as follows: 28.93 billion RMB, 27.01 billion RMB, 25.94 billion RMB, 27.33 billion RMB, and 29.04 billion RMB respectively, with a forecasted net profit of 2.21 billion RMB for FY2024 [6][17] - The company expects net profits for FY26 to be 1.29 billion RMB, with corresponding PE ratios of 15, 14, and 13 for FY26, FY27, and FY28 respectively [7]
滔搏(06110):弱零售下新品售罄亮眼,延续高派息
HTSC· 2025-10-24 06:41
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 4.00 [1][10]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 12.3 billion for the first half of FY25/26, representing a year-on-year decrease of 5.8%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of RMB 790 million, down 9.7% year-on-year. The interim dividend proposed is HKD 0.13 per share, with a payout ratio increasing by 2.8 percentage points to 102.2% [6][10]. - The company is accelerating its omnichannel retail strategy and optimizing operational efficiency to enhance resilience, maintaining a robust performance despite market challenges. The outlook is positive with expectations of improved retail and discount conditions as inventory levels decrease and new product sales increase [6][10]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profit Forecasts**: - FY25 revenue is projected at RMB 27,013 million, a decrease of 6.64% from FY24. The net profit for FY25 is expected to be RMB 1,286 million, down 41.86% year-on-year [5][10]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - EPS for FY25 is projected at RMB 0.21, with a gradual increase to RMB 0.27 by FY28 [5][10]. - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: - ROE is expected to improve from 12.97% in FY25 to 17.56% in FY28 [5][10]. - **Dividend Yield**: - The dividend yield is projected to be 8.81% for FY25, decreasing to 6.61% in FY26, and then increasing to 8.63% by FY28 [5][10]. Market and Operational Insights - **Sales Performance**: - The main brands (Nike and Adidas) saw a revenue decline of 4.8%, while other brands experienced a 12.2% drop. Online retail continues to grow, achieving double-digit growth despite a decline in offline traffic [7][10]. - **Inventory Management**: - The company reported a 4.7% decrease in inventory year-on-year, with inventory turnover days increasing by 1.7 days to 150 days [8][10]. - **Omnichannel Strategy**: - The company is enhancing its omnichannel retail capabilities, with over 800 accounts on platforms like Douyin and WeChat, and more than 3,600 mini-program stores [7][10]. Valuation and Comparison - **Valuation Metrics**: - The company is valued at a PE ratio of 14.89 for FY25, decreasing to 11.26 by FY28. The average PE for comparable companies is 12.0x for FY26 [5][10]. - **Target Price Adjustment**: - The target price has been adjusted to HKD 4.00, reflecting the company's leading position in omnichannel retail and attractive dividend yield [10].
深化全域战略并加码细分赛道 滔搏业绩彰显韧性
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-10-24 05:42
Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the resilience and strategic shifts of the company, Tmall International Holdings Limited, in the face of market challenges and evolving consumer demands [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For the period ending August 31, 2025, the company reported revenue of approximately 12.3 billion and a net profit of about 790 million, demonstrating strong cash generation with cash and cash equivalents reaching around 2.54 billion [1]. - The company has maintained a robust cash position despite the challenging retail environment, showcasing its operational resilience [1]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The company is transitioning from a focus on "scale expansion" to "value cultivation," enriching its new scene layout under a holistic approach [1]. - Digital transformation is a key support for the company's retail operations, advancing in three main directions: integrated, intelligent, and panoramic [1]. - The company emphasizes balancing supply and demand and improving circulation efficiency in its product management, allowing for quick responses to market demand changes [1]. Group 3: Consumer-Centric Approach - The company places consumers at the core of its business, focusing on three dimensions: demand matching, scene penetration, and experience value [2]. - It aims to enhance member lifecycle management and upgrade its membership tier system, integrating multiple platforms to achieve unified rights and benefits in a holistic scene [2].
滔搏2025/26上半财年营收123亿元,全域零售筑牢发展根基
Cai Fu Zai Xian· 2025-10-24 05:24
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 12.3 billion and a net profit of 790 million for the period ending August 31, 2025, with cash and cash equivalents amounting to 2.54 billion, indicating a strong financial position [1] - The company has over 20 cooperative brands and a user base exceeding 89 million, showcasing its extensive market reach [1] Business Strategy - The company employs a forward-looking omnichannel retail strategy, focusing on refined user operations and innovative service offerings to build a competitive brand moat [1] - It aims to enhance consumer experience by expanding interaction spaces and optimizing store structures based on brand characteristics and customer demographics [1][2] Online and Offline Integration - The company operates over 800 Douyin and WeChat video accounts, more than 3,600 mini-program stores, and over 3,700 instant retail stores, achieving double-digit growth in online sales [2] - The integration of online and offline channels is emphasized through a "1 (offline store) + N (multiple online scenarios)" model, enhancing operational efficiency and value extension [1][2] Brand Collaboration - The company focuses on building long-term, trust-based strategic partnerships with core brands, facilitating resource sharing and collaborative market activities [3] - Innovative retail practices, such as the Future of Style concept store with Adidas, aim to provide fresh experiences for younger consumers [3][4] Market Positioning - The company is actively exploring new business formats and scenarios in response to the structural transformation towards specialization and segmentation in the sports consumption market [4] - Exclusive partnerships with brands like norda™, soar, Ciele, and Norrøna are established to strengthen its position in the running and high-end outdoor segments [4] User Engagement - The company focuses on user value activation through demand matching, scenario penetration, and experience enhancement, with a significant contribution from membership programs [5] - Membership accounts for 92.9% of total retail sales from offline stores and WeChat mini-programs, indicating strong customer loyalty and potential for higher spending [5] Digital Transformation - The company is advancing its digital infrastructure by enhancing inventory sharing capabilities and implementing AI tools for supply chain and marketing efficiency [6] - The goal is to create a "smart retail ecosystem" that integrates virtual and physical experiences, driven by data connectivity [6] Industry Recognition - The company has been included in the Fortune China 500 list and consistently ranks in the top ten of the CCFA's "Top 100 Fashion Retail and Consumption" [7] - It has received an AA rating from MSCI ESG, reflecting its commitment to sustainable development [7]
【滔搏(6110.HK)】上半财年需求波动致业绩下滑,持续提升全域零售能力——2026财年中期业绩点评(姜浩/孙未未/朱洁宇)
光大证券研究· 2025-10-23 23:04
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of the 2026 fiscal year, with a revenue of 12.3 billion RMB, down 5.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 790 million RMB, down 9.7% year-on-year, while maintaining a high dividend payout ratio of 102.2% [4][5]. Financial Performance - The company achieved total sales of 12.3 billion RMB in the first half of the 2026 fiscal year, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 5.8% in revenue and a net profit of 790 million RMB, down 9.7% [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) stood at 0.13 RMB, with an interim dividend proposed at 0.13 RMB per share [4]. - The gross profit margin decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 41.0%, while the operating profit margin fell by 0.5 percentage points to 8.1%, and the net profit margin declined by 0.3 percentage points to 6.4% [5]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from the main brands (Nike and Adidas) decreased by 4.8%, while other brands saw a decline of 12.2%. The total number of stores decreased by 332 [6]. - The revenue distribution by brand shows that the main brands accounted for 87.9% of total revenue, while other brands contributed 11.5% [6]. - Retail and wholesale revenues declined by 3.0% and 20.3%, respectively, with retail accounting for 86.2% of total revenue [6]. Operational Metrics - The total number of stores decreased to 4,688 as of August 2025, with a total sales area down 14.1% year-on-year, while the average store size increased by 6.5% [6]. - Inventory as of August 2025 decreased by 2.8% quarter-on-quarter to 5.83 billion RMB, down 4.7% year-on-year, with an inventory turnover period of 150 days, an increase of 2 days year-on-year [7]. - Operating net cash flow decreased by 48.2% year-on-year to 1.35 billion RMB [7].
滔搏(06110):维持全年指引,高分红下期待高弹性
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-10-23 14:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 12.299 billion yuan for H1 FY2026, a decrease of 5.8% year-on-year, with a net profit of 789 million yuan, down 9.7% year-on-year. The interim dividend declared is 0.13 yuan per share, with a payout ratio of approximately 102% [2]. - The consumer environment has impacted sales, but channel optimization and overall growth have mitigated some pressure. The main brands (Nike and Adidas) saw revenue declines of 4.8% and 12.2%, respectively [2]. - The company continues to optimize its store strategy, reducing the number of direct stores to 4,688, a net decrease of 332 stores, while increasing same-store sales area by 6.5% year-on-year [2]. - The user base has grown to 89.1 million, with member sales contributing 92.9% of total sales, and repeat members accounting for about 60% of member consumption [2]. - Online sales have seen double-digit growth, effectively offsetting the decline in offline traffic [2]. Financial Performance - The gross margin for H1 was 41.0%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points, supported by retail business contributions and brand support from Nike and Adidas [3]. - The company has maintained stable sales and management expense ratios, reflecting prudent cost control and flexibility from its omnichannel retail strategy [3]. - Inventory turnover days increased to 150 days, up by 2 days year-on-year, indicating a healthy inventory level [3]. Future Outlook - The company expects stable performance for the full year, with guidance for an increase in net profit margin. Focus will remain on omnichannel retail and operational efficiency improvements [3]. - The recovery of Nike's sales in FY26 Q1 exceeded expectations, suggesting potential for a rebound in the main brand's business [3]. - New brand expansions into running and outdoor segments, including brands like nordaTM and Norrøna, are anticipated to inject new growth momentum [3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for FY2026 to FY2028 are projected at 0.21, 0.24, and 0.28 yuan, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14, 12, and 10 times, respectively [4].
深化全域布局 滔搏上半财年营收123亿元
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-10-23 11:46
Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of Tmall, a leading sports retail operator in China, which reported a revenue of approximately 12.3 billion yuan and a net profit of about 790 million yuan for the six months ending August 31, 2025, driven by policy benefits and market segmentation [2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first half of the fiscal year, the company achieved a revenue of approximately 12.3 billion yuan and a net profit of about 790 million yuan, with cash and cash equivalents reaching around 2.54 billion yuan [2]. - The online retail sales experienced a double-digit growth year-on-year, indicating a strong performance in the digital sales channel [2]. Group 2: Retail Strategy and Market Positioning - The company is enhancing its retail strategy by innovating store formats and expanding its store network, positioning stores as brand experience hubs rather than just sales points [2]. - Tmall aims to become a "one-stop sports retail operator," expanding its brand partnerships and operational capabilities, including exclusive operations for brands like Norrna and trend-setting running brands [3]. Group 3: Consumer Engagement and Membership - The company is focusing on community operations, with membership sales accounting for 92.9% of total retail sales, and repeat member sales contributing about 60% of total membership sales [3]. - Tmall has launched a new multi-product running store brand, ektos, which integrates retail, community activities, and cultural promotion for runners, enhancing its influence in the running segment [3]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company plans to continue focusing on omnichannel retail, user operations, and innovative business models to strengthen its core capabilities and operational efficiency in the sports consumption market [4].