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管涛:“十五五”时期资本市场将迎来四大机遇 资管配置能力重要性进一步提升
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-27 03:49
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the "14th Five-Year Plan" period presents four significant opportunities for China's capital market, including policy dividends from deepened reforms, new momentum from economic transformation, improved institutional foundations, and value reassessment to invigorate market vitality [1][2][3] Group 2 - The first opportunity is the comprehensive deepening of reforms that will release policy dividends, with structural issues needing resolution through high-level opening and reform, which is expected to return economic growth to a reasonable range [2][3] - The second opportunity involves economic transformation that will foster new momentum, with emerging industries and the upgrading of traditional industries expected to create a market space of approximately 10 trillion yuan over the next five years [2][3] Group 3 - The third opportunity is the improvement of capital market systems, emphasizing "investor first" principles and promoting coordinated reforms in investment and financing, which will solidify the foundation for healthy market development [3][4] - The fourth opportunity is the value reassessment that will stimulate market vitality, driven by domestic economic transformation, diversification of resident assets, and global asset rebalancing [3][4] Group 4 - Wealth management institutions are expected to play a larger role in asset allocation, particularly in a low-interest and high-volatility environment, with a focus on four key areas for equity asset allocation over the next five years [4] - Gold is highlighted as having continued allocation value, with its share in private investment potentially increasing from just over 2% to 4-5% due to ongoing economic uncertainties [4] Group 5 - The future investment opportunities arising from transformation and upgrading will require enhanced asset allocation capabilities from wealth management institutions to navigate through economic cycles [4][5]
学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神省委宣讲团在信阳市、延津县、华龙区、湖滨区宣讲 深学细悟全会精神 实干笃行谱写新篇
He Nan Ri Bao· 2025-11-26 23:22
Group 1 - The core message of the reports emphasizes the significance of the 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session and its implications for the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [1][2][3][4] - The reports highlight the importance of understanding the historical position of the "14th Five-Year Plan" in the context of achieving socialist modernization [2][3][4] - The reports outline the guiding principles and main objectives for economic and social development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [2][3][4] - The strategic tasks and major initiatives for economic and social development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period are comprehensively explained [2][3][4] - The necessity of upholding and strengthening the Party's leadership to mobilize efforts towards Chinese-style modernization is emphasized [2][3][4] Group 2 - The reports include interactive discussions with local officials, enterprise employees, and farmers to convey the spirit of the 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session [2][3][4][5] - The presentations are noted for their clarity, depth, and relevance, providing significant guidance for understanding and implementing the session's spirit [1][3][4]
“十五五”时期应充分发挥外需对中国经济的引领作用|宏观经济
清华金融评论· 2025-11-26 09:51
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the opportunities and challenges in the context of China's economic development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan," emphasizing the importance of global trade dynamics and external demand in driving China's economic growth [2][3]. Group 1: Globalization and Trade Dynamics - The "15th Five-Year Plan" period is crucial for China's modernization, requiring a systematic understanding of the globalized environment [2]. - Favorable factors for China's development include advancements in technology and industry, which provide new engines for global economic growth [4]. - However, challenges such as rising unilateralism and protectionism pose significant threats to international trade and economic order [4]. - Historical data shows that world trade growth has fluctuated, with recent trends indicating a recovery in trade growth outpacing GDP growth [5][6]. Group 2: Trade Growth Drivers - The export value of manufactured goods has significantly increased, with a 28.7% growth from the beginning to the end of the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [6]. - High-tech and high-value-added products are becoming a larger share of global trade, indicating a shift in trade dynamics [6]. - The article predicts that global trade will continue to recover, with world exports expected to reach $25.8 trillion by 2025, reflecting a 5.5% year-on-year growth [5]. Group 3: China's Economic Performance - China's net exports have played a significant role in GDP growth, contributing approximately 1.5 percentage points in 2024 and the first three quarters of 2025 [8]. - Despite challenges in domestic consumption and investment due to structural changes, net exports have shown robust growth, averaging 11.8% during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [8]. - Recent data indicates that while domestic consumption and investment have slowed, external demand remains strong, with exports showing resilience [9]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Strategic Recommendations - The article suggests that to address domestic demand issues, China should focus on expanding international market demand and leveraging external demand to counteract internal structural changes [13]. - Recommendations include optimizing trade structures, enhancing service trade, and promoting digital trade to stimulate economic growth [13]. - The importance of maintaining a favorable external environment for trade and investment is emphasized, as it remains a critical driver for China's economic stability and growth [13].
省委宣讲团宣讲党的二十届四中全会精神
Liao Ning Ri Bao· 2025-11-25 00:40
Group 1 - The Provincial Propaganda Team is conducting in-depth presentations on the spirit of the 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session to promote its implementation in Liaoning [1][2] - The presentations emphasize the significance of the session and the importance of the "14th Five-Year Plan" in achieving socialist modernization [1][2] - Reports include systematic interpretations of the guiding principles, main objectives, strategic tasks, and major initiatives for economic and social development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [1][2] Group 2 - Presentations are being held in various locations including Shenyang, Fushun, Huludao, and the Shenyang-Fushun Demonstration Zone, with different speakers addressing local audiences [1][2] - The use of vivid examples and detailed data is highlighted to enhance understanding and application of the session's spirit [2] - Engagement with community leaders and residents is part of the initiative to ensure the learning outcomes are translated into practical measures for high-quality development [2]
韩文秀发表署名文章
财联社· 2025-11-24 00:09
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the significant role of the "14th Five-Year Plan" period in the historical process of achieving socialist modernization in China, highlighting the need for a combination of goal-oriented and problem-oriented approaches to ensure steady progress in economic and social development [3][4]. Group 1: Importance of the "14th Five-Year Plan" Period - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period is crucial for advancing China's modernization, requiring a strategic focus on consolidating advantages, breaking bottlenecks, and addressing weaknesses [5][8]. - The period is characterized by a need to adapt to profound changes in domestic development conditions, including a shift towards a more balanced and sustainable economic model [6][7]. Group 2: Economic and Social Development Strategies - The article outlines the importance of formulating and implementing five-year plans as a key political advantage for the governance of the country, aiming for significant progress towards modernization by 2035 [5]. - It stresses the need to enhance the quality and efficiency of economic growth while maintaining reasonable growth rates, with a target of achieving per capita GDP at the level of moderately developed countries by 2035 [11]. Group 3: Addressing Challenges and Opportunities - The article discusses the dual challenges of strategic opportunities and risks in the current global landscape, emphasizing the need for resilience and proactive measures to strengthen domestic capabilities [6][9]. - It highlights the necessity of overcoming bottlenecks in high-quality development, particularly in technology and industry, to ensure sustainable progress [9][10]. Group 4: Enhancing National Strength - The article calls for a comprehensive enhancement of both hard and soft national power, focusing on economic, technological, and cultural strengths to improve China's global influence [16]. - It emphasizes the importance of ensuring security in development, advocating for a unified approach to development and safety to foster a stable and prosperous society [17].
韩文秀:“十五五”时期在基本实现社会主义现代化进程中具有承前启后的重要地位
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-11-23 23:22
Core Viewpoint - The "15th Five-Year Plan" period is crucial for achieving basic socialist modernization, serving as a transitional phase that connects past achievements with future goals [1][2]. Group 1: Economic and Social Development - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is essential for systematically advancing Chinese-style modernization, requiring continuous efforts from the "14th" to the "16th" Five-Year Plans to achieve the second centenary goal [3]. - The period is characterized by both strategic opportunities and challenges, necessitating a focus on self-reliance and high-quality development to navigate complex international dynamics [4]. - Domestic economic conditions are changing significantly, with a shift towards a dual circulation model emphasizing domestic demand and structural adjustments in the economy [5]. Group 2: Key Focus Areas for Development - The "15th Five-Year Plan" aims to consolidate advantages, break through bottlenecks, and strengthen weak links in the economy, ensuring a stable and progressive development trajectory [6][7]. - Addressing bottlenecks in high-quality development is critical, particularly in technology self-sufficiency and risk management in key sectors [8]. - The plan emphasizes the need to strengthen agricultural modernization, improve public services, and enhance safety in foundational sectors [9]. Group 3: Goals for Achieving Modernization - By 2035, achieving a per capita GDP at the level of moderately developed countries is a key indicator of basic socialist modernization [10]. - The development of a modern industrial system and fostering innovation are strategic goals for the "15th Five-Year Plan," with a focus on enhancing the manufacturing sector and emerging industries [11]. - The plan aims to optimize supply and demand structures, emphasizing domestic consumption and investment to drive economic growth [12]. Group 4: Green and Sustainable Development - Green development is a priority, with goals to peak carbon emissions by 2030 and reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 7%-10% from peak levels by 2035 [13]. - The plan integrates carbon neutrality goals with modernization efforts, promoting a low-carbon economy and improving environmental quality [13]. Group 5: Enhancing National Strength - The "15th Five-Year Plan" seeks to enhance both hard and soft national power, focusing on cultural influence and international cooperation [14]. - The plan emphasizes the importance of security in development, aiming to create a new security framework that supports high-quality growth [15].
“十五五”时期在基本实现社会主义现代化进程中具有承前启后的重要地位(学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-11-23 22:20
我们党的初心使命是为中国人民谋幸福,为中华民族谋复兴。建党百余年来,党团结带领人民所进行的 一切奋斗,就是为了把我国建设成为现代化强国,让中华民族巍然屹立于世界民族之林。新民主主义革 命时期,经过浴血奋战,实现了民族独立、人民解放,建立了新中国,为现代化建设创造了根本社会条 件。社会主义革命和建设时期,确立了社会主义基本制度,提出努力把我国逐步建设成为一个具有现代 农业、现代工业、现代国防和现代科学技术的社会主义强国。改革开放和社会主义现代化建设新时期, 我们党制定了到21世纪中叶分三步走、基本实现社会主义现代化的发展战略。党的十八大以来,中国特 色社会主义进入新时代,在以习近平同志为核心的党中央坚强领导下,我们全面建成小康社会、实现第 一个百年奋斗目标,迈上了全面建设社会主义现代化国家新征程,正在向第二个百年奋斗目标进军。 "十五五"时期是承前启后、继往开来的重要时期,我们要乘势而上、奋力开创中国式现代化建设新局 面,为基本实现社会主义现代化奠定更加坚实的基础。 (一)做好"十五五"时期经济社会发展工作,对于分阶段有步骤推进中国式现代化意义重大。科学制定 和接续实施五年规划,是我们党治国理政的重要经验,是中 ...
学习规划建议每日问答|如何理解“十五五”时期在基本实现社会主义现代化进程中的重要地位
Xin Hua She· 2025-11-19 00:50
第一,实现社会主义现代化是一个阶梯式递进、不断发展进步的历史过程。科学制定和接续实施五年规 划,是我们党治国理政一条重要经验,也是中国特色社会主义一个重要政治优势。改革开放之初,我们 党确定到本世纪中叶基本实现社会主义现代化的目标,此后每个五年规划都围绕这一目标来制定和实 施。党的十九大提出到本世纪中叶全面建成社会主义现代化强国"两步走"的战略安排,综合考虑我国改 革开放以来的发展成就和现实条件,将基本实现社会主义现代化的时间提前到2035年。党的二十大明确 了全面建成社会主义现代化强国、实现第二个百年奋斗目标,以中国式现代化全面推进中华民族伟大复 兴的中心任务。做好"十五五"时期经济社会发展工作,必须紧紧围绕新时代新征程党的中心任务,锚定 到2035年基本实现社会主义现代化的战略目标,逐个领域对标对表、盘点算账,明确思路、完善举措, 不懈努力、接续奋斗。 第二,"十五五"时期是基本实现社会主义现代化夯实基础、全面发力的关键时期。从全面建成小康社 会、实现第一个百年奋斗目标,到基本实现社会主义现代化,需要用15年时间、通过实施3个五年规划 来完成。其中,"十四五"是开局起步时期,"十五五"是夯实基础、全面发力 ...
学习规划建议每日问答丨如何理解“十五五”时期在基本实现社会主义现代化进程中的重要地位
Xin Hua She· 2025-11-18 06:08
第三,"十五五"时期要巩固拓展优势、破除瓶颈制约、补强短板弱项,在激烈国际竞争中赢得战略主 动,推动事关中国式现代化全局的战略任务取得重大突破,为基本实现社会主义现代化奠定更加坚实的 基础。做好"十五五"时期经济社会发展工作,要立足国际国内形势发生的重大变化,坚持问题导向和目 标导向相结合,精准聚焦、牢牢锁定对现代化整体进程牵一发而动全身的重点领域、关键环节,全力以 赴、攻坚拔寨。对于需要在"十五五"时期完成的标志性、战略性任务,比如重点领域关键核心技术快速 突破、高水平对外开放体制机制更加健全、碳排放达峰、如期实现建军一百年奋斗目标等,要采取有力 有效措施,确保圆满完成。对于到2035年需要完成的标志性、战略性任务,比如人均国内生产总值达到 中等发达国家水平,实现高水平科技自立自强,基本实现新型工业化、信息化、城镇化、农业现代化, 建成教育强国、科技强国、人才强国、文化强国、体育强国、健康中国,基本公共服务实现均等化,基 本实现国防和军队现代化等,要抓住关键性、决定性因素,把握好节奏和进度,集中力量、加大投入, 确保在"十五五"时期取得重大突破和决定性进展。 第一,实现社会主义现代化是一个阶梯式递进、不断发 ...
学习规划建议每日问答丨如何认识“十四五”时期我国发展取得重大成就
Xin Hua She· 2025-11-17 05:04
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the strategic planning and top-level design for China's development during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, highlighting the achievements and challenges faced during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1] - The article outlines that China's economy is expected to reach approximately 140 trillion yuan by 2025, with a continuous increase in economic quality and productivity, indicating China's role as a major driver of global economic growth [2] - It mentions significant advancements in technology and innovation, with record-high investments in R&D and breakthroughs in key technologies such as integrated circuits and artificial intelligence, which are crucial for industrial upgrades [2] Group 2 - The article discusses the deepening of reforms and expansion of high-level opening-up, focusing on institutional development and the Belt and Road Initiative, which provide new opportunities for economic and social development [2] - It highlights the progress in cultural development and the enhancement of public cultural services, which contribute to the improvement of social civilization and national cultural influence [3] - The article notes the solidification of poverty alleviation achievements and the implementation of various policies aimed at improving employment, income distribution, and social welfare, marking a significant step towards common prosperity [3][4] Group 3 - The article emphasizes the acceleration of green and low-carbon transformation, with the establishment of the world's largest carbon trading market and improvements in ecological quality [4] - It outlines advancements in national defense and military construction, reinforcing the absolute leadership of the Party over the military and enhancing modern capabilities [5] - The article discusses the expansion of China's diplomatic efforts, promoting a community with a shared future for mankind and enhancing China's international influence [6] Group 4 - The article concludes by stating that the achievements during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period are attributed to the leadership of the Party and the guiding principles of Xi Jinping's thought, setting the stage for further advancements in the "15th Five-Year Plan" period [7]