Domestic News - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange reported that in May, foreign investment in domestic stocks increased further compared to the previous month, with a net inflow of $33 billion in cross-border funds from non-bank sectors [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission announced an increase in domestic gasoline and diesel prices by 260 yuan/ton and 255 yuan/ton respectively, which will raise the cost of driving and logistics [2] - The cross-border e-commerce import and export volume in China is projected to reach approximately 2.71 trillion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 14%, with exports accounting for about 2.15 trillion yuan, up 16.9% [2] - Shanghai's fixed asset investment from January to May increased by 6.2% year-on-year, with infrastructure investment growing by 19.1% [3] International News - The Iranian government reported nearly 1,500 casualties due to Israeli attacks, which they claim have crossed all red lines [5] - The Bank of Japan decided to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 0.5%, marking the third consecutive time it has kept rates stable, while continuing its bond reduction plan until March 2026 [5] - The World Gold Council's survey indicated that over 95% of central banks expect to continue increasing their gold reserves in the next 12 months [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that as of the first quarter of 2025, the average completion rate of key reform tasks for central enterprises and local state-owned enterprises has exceeded 80% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming National Two Sessions are expected to focus on "stabilizing growth" and emphasize macro policy support to boost domestic demand, with a particular focus on enhancing consumer spending [2][3]. Economic Policy Focus - UBS's chief economist Wang Tao predicts increased fiscal spending on consumption and households, including doubling the scale of trade-in subsidies, establishing childbirth and childcare subsidies, raising basic pension payments, and enhancing government support for basic social security [2]. - Nomura's chief economist Lu Ting highlights the government's potential focus on four areas: transfer payments to local governments, funding for large-scale equipment upgrades and trade-in programs, financial support for the real estate sector, and fiscal assistance for low-income families [3]. - The macroeconomic policy is expected to maintain a "moderately loose" stance, with measures to lower financing costs for enterprises and households, reduce reserve requirements and policy interest rates, and promote reasonable inflation rebound [2]. Industry Trends - The emergence of AI applications, particularly driven by DeepSeek, is expected to stimulate investment in emerging sectors like AI and cloud computing, with the AI core industry projected to exceed 17.3 trillion yuan by 2035, accounting for over 30% of the global market [3]. - The focus on innovation, technology, and modernization is evident in the frequency of related terms in government work reports, indicating a strong emphasis on sectors like AI, quality consumption, new urbanization, infrastructure expansion, and food security [3][4]. Consumption and Market Dynamics - The stock market's recovery has shown a certain wealth effect, and the real estate sector has performed slightly better than expected, indicating a potential shift in consumer sentiment and spending [2]. - The National Two Sessions are anticipated to maintain a GDP growth target of around 5%, with a strong emphasis on boosting consumption as a key priority [4].