技術分析
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支持阻力全解析:贛鋒鋰業技術位階深度研判
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-11 13:25
消息面上,11月10日,贛鋒鋰業發佈公告,關於本公司與Lithium Argentina共同開發合併專案的相關事宜。近日,阿根廷薩爾塔省礦業和能源秘書處已為合 併專案一期頒發了《環境影響評估報告》(DIA),標誌著合併專案取得關鍵進展。花旗:將 贛鋒鋰業 A股評級上調至買進;目標價85.51元人民幣。市場上, 投資者看至60元。 贛鋒鋰業股價近期隨鋰價走勢震盪,昨日(10日)收報54元,單日上升2.47%,成交金額20.62億元,顯示市場交投活躍。今日(11日)升1.02%,股價報 54.55元。從技術走勢觀察,股價目前正處於關鍵轉捩點,短期支持位在49元,若調整加深可能下探43.7元水準。上方阻力方面,59.1元構成重要關卡,突破 後下一目標將看向64.3元。 | 10:27 | | | 11 2 6 11 10:27 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | AL Q C. ( | | | | 圖表 輪脂 評論 | 資訊 | | 圖表 輪證 評論 | | 資訊 | | 22130 贛鋒星展六五購A.C | | | | 14802 贛鋒匯豐六五購 ...
平保區間突破在即?短線交易的全方位解析
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-11 13:16
Core Insights - China Ping An's stock price has shown a steady upward trend, currently at 59.25 HKD, reflecting a 2.24% increase [1] - The stock is at a critical technical position, with short-term support at 56.5 HKD and potential downside to 54.3 HKD if adjustments deepen [1] - The upper resistance level is at 59.5 HKD, with a breakthrough potentially targeting 61.8 HKD [1] - Moving averages indicate a bullish arrangement, with the 10-day moving average at 56.96 HKD significantly above the 30-day and 60-day moving averages [1] - The recent 5-day volatility of 5.7% provides reasonable trading space for short-term traders, although the RSI has reached 66, indicating an overbought condition [1] Technical Indicators - Technical indicators present mixed signals; while several oscillators indicate neutrality, the Williams and Stochastic indicators show overbought conditions, and the CCI has issued a sell signal [3] - Conversely, MACD and Bollinger Bands maintain buy signals, indicating a divergence in technical indicators [3] Derivative Products Performance - Recent derivative products have shown remarkable performance, with products recommended on November 5 achieving significant gains; for instance, Bank of China call option 18122 and UBS call option 18154 recorded increases of 41% and 38% respectively, against a backdrop of a 3.02% rise in the underlying stock [3] - JPMorgan's bull certificate 59648 and UBS bull certificate 61834 also saw increases of 29% and 24% respectively [3] Options and Leverage - UBS call option 18154 offers a leverage of 16.7 times with a strike price of 67.23 HKD, while Bank of China call option 18122 provides a leverage of 15.7 times with the same strike price [6] - HSBC put option 19792 offers a leverage of 13.7 times with a strike price of 49.16 HKD, noted for its low premium and implied volatility [6] - Morgan Stanley put option 20419 provides a leverage of 12.9 times with the same strike price, also characterized by favorable leverage and implied volatility [6] Bull and Bear Certificates - UBS bull certificate 58105 offers a leverage of 9.9 times with a redemption price of 53 HKD, noted for its high actual leverage and low premium [8] - UBS bull certificate 61986 provides a leverage of 8.8 times with a redemption price of 52 HKD, recognized for its lowest premium and high actual leverage [8] - HSBC bear certificate 61965 offers a leverage of 25.5 times with a redemption price of 60 HKD, while Societe Generale bear certificate 51885 provides a leverage of 27.9 times with the same redemption price, both noted for their low premiums [8]
港交所多空策略佈局:從技術面到衍生產品選擇
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-11 12:36
在港交所相關衍生產品中,法巴認購證29424提供7.9倍槓桿,行使價518元,具有槓桿最高且溢價與引伸波幅最低的特點。中銀認沽證19860提供10.6倍槓 桿,行使價387.8元,引伸波幅相對較低。瑞銀認沽證19854提供9.9倍槓桿,行使價387.8元,同樣具有引伸波幅相對較低的優勢。 | | | | | | CAL Q C | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 電表 | 輪設 | 評論 | 資訊 | | | | 間表 | | | 29424 港交法巴六五購B.C | | | | | | | 1986 | | | 交易中 11/10 13:51:22 | | | | | | 88 42 | 交易中 | | | 最 高 0.14.8+ | | | | 0.150 開 市 | | | OLO | 0.143 | | 最 低 +0.009 +6.47% | | | | 0.139 前 收 | | | -0.014 | 0.139 | | 成交量 4394.00萬股 成交額 | | | | 631.77萬 有效槓桿 | | ...
BTC反彈開始!回落哪裡有支撐?長線空,短線多?
提阿非羅大人TiaBTC· 2025-11-10 19:11
朋友們2025年11月10日 華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的周線圖,從周線級別來看 我們發現上周的周線 是把前面的低點 出現了一個跌破收回 同時也測試了這樣的一個 周線級別的開盤價 我們可以看到收回去表明著說還是不錯的 但是你可以看到 下面的成交量 好像並不是那麼的少 如果說它是一個下跌到 沒有什麼陰線 成交量了之後的上漲 我會覺得那是一個非常樂觀的情況 但是如果說往下面跌 還有成交量我就非常的懷疑 有沒有可能它仍然是在盤整區間內做派發 那麼也就是說如果說它之後 依然是往上面漲 我們要留意有沒有可能 來到這個上面的時候 依然是一個派發的價位 也就是說很有可能還會再繼續往下跌 這是它k線和成交量的情況 從k線來講好像是不錯 那麼略微收回去一點 我就看到有很多的觀點 就在說比特幣的牛市誰說結束了 按他們看比特幣的牛市還更本 就還沒有開始 現在的下跌只是牛市准備剛開始 那麼對於這樣的論點 我想說的是如果說再繼續往上面反彈 再反彈一點 這樣的一些論點可能還會更多 但是從量價關系來看 並不是這個樣子 牛市不是這個樣子的 不是牛市的開始的樣子 它一定要提醒大家 反倒是有那麼一點點派發區間的意思 好 ...
從均線系統看山東黃金:突破還是回調?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-10 16:17
國際金價持續震盪,山東黃金股價跟隨市場波動,股价升5.74%,股价报34.64元。從技術走勢觀察,股價目前處於關鍵技術位置,短期支持位在31.4元,若調 整加深可能下探29.8元。上方阻力方面,37.1元構成首道關卡,突破後下一目標將看向40.6元。 移動平均線呈現複雜格局,10日線32.6元與60日線33.86元形成下方支撐,但30日線36.03元仍構成壓力。這種均線排列顯示股價正處於方向選擇的關鍵階 段,近5日11.4%的振幅更反映市場情緒的波動。 對於持續看好山東黃金後市走勢的投資者,可關注以下兩隻認購證產品。中信證券認購證(20124)行使價設定在42.08元,較現價存在約21%的價外幅度, 到期日為明年3月,這隻產品適合預期股價在中期內能突破42元關口的投資者。另一選擇中銀認購證(20315)行使價為45.8元,價外幅度約32%,同樣於明 年3月到期,這隻產品適合風險承受能力較高、預期股價能有較大突破的投資者。這兩隻產品均具有明確的時間價值和槓桿特性,投資者需仔細評估自身風 險承受能力與市場預期是否匹配。 山東黃金 34.640 +1.880 +5.74% 父勿甲 II/IU 15.24.30 0. ...
11月7日【港股Podcast】恆指、華虹半導體 、中海油 、嗶哩嗶哩、中國移動 、贛鋒鋰業
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-09 20:29
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) experienced a slight decline, closing at 26,241 points, which is a minor drop of less than 1% after a significant rise the previous day [1][2] - Technical signals indicate a majority "sell" signal, with support around 25,700 points and resistance at approximately 26,700 points, suggesting a potential trading range of about 1,000 points [2] - Investors are advised to choose safer products with recovery prices further from the current levels, such as 25,600 or 25,500 for bullish options, and above 26,700 for bearish options [2] Group 2 - Semiconductor company Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) showed a slight price drop, closing at 79.45 HKD, with support at around 73 HKD and resistance at 87.5 HKD [6] - Technical signals for Hua Hong indicate a slight majority of "buy" signals, with 8 buy signals compared to 6 sell signals [6][10] - CNOOC (00883.HK) is experiencing an upward trend, closing at 21.18 HKD, with resistance at 21.6 HKD and potential for further gains if it breaks this level [12][16] Group 3 - Bilibili (09626.HK) is showing weak performance, closing at 216 HKD, with potential further declines to 205 HKD if the downward trend continues [18] - China Mobile (00941.HK) is performing well, closing at 87.15 HKD, close to the upper Bollinger Band, with resistance at 88.1 HKD [19][22] - Ganfeng Lithium (01772.HK) closed at 52.7 HKD, near the upper Bollinger Band, with resistance at 55.9 HKD and a prevailing "sell" signal in the market [24][27]
黃金賽道再發力?紫金礦業短線佈局全透視
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-08 03:53
Core Viewpoint - Recent strong performance in gold prices has shifted market focus towards gold stocks, particularly Zijin Mining, which has shown a robust upward trend and technical strength [1][9]. Technical Analysis - Zijin Mining's stock price is currently at 32.66 HKD, up 1.87%, having successfully broken through the 10-day moving average of 31.83 HKD, indicating a strong market position [1]. - The stock is at a critical point in a triangular consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential breakout could occur soon [1]. - Key technical levels include support at 30.7 HKD and 29.4 HKD, with resistance at 34.4 HKD and a challenge to the previous high of 35.5 HKD if broken [1]. - The stock price is closely aligned with the 30-day moving average of 32.45 HKD, indicating a consolidation phase with defined support and resistance levels [1]. Market Signals - Technical indicators show a neutral to slightly bullish trend, with several oscillators remaining neutral, while momentum indicators signal a buy, indicating accumulating market momentum [3]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 54, suggesting ample room for future movement [3]. Product Performance - Recent performance in the warrants market related to Zijin Mining has demonstrated strong leverage effects, with a notable increase in related call options [3]. - On November 5, the stock rose by 5.47% over two days, leading to significant gains in related call options, with Morgan Stanley's call option 20232 rising by 36% and Bank of China's call option 20015 increasing by 25% [3]. Investment Opportunities - For investors optimistic about Zijin Mining's future, two selected call options are available: Morgan Stanley's call option 20232, offering 5.3 times leverage with the lowest premium and implied volatility, suitable for cost-effective investors [6]. - Bank of China's call option 20015 provides 4.1 times leverage and is the highest leverage option available, with relatively low implied volatility [7].
中銀市場觀察與技術分析:建行關鍵位攻防策略
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-06 12:46
Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of the Hong Kong financial sector has been stable, with China Construction Bank (CCB) as a key focus due to its leading position among domestic banks. The stock price is consolidating around HKD 8.05, with market attention on potential short-term breakout directions [1][7]. Technical Analysis - CCB's technical indicators show a mixed pattern, with the stock price remaining above several moving averages. The MA10 is at 7.9, MA30 at 7.6, and MA60 at 7.67, indicating a bullish trend in the medium to long term. The RSI is at 68, nearing the overbought zone but not at extreme levels. Various oscillators like MACD and Bollinger Bands maintain buy signals, while the Williams indicator suggests overbought conditions and issues a sell signal, indicating divergence in technical indicators [1][4]. Key Support and Resistance Levels - Immediate support is at HKD 7.78, with a potential drop to HKD 7.51 if this level is breached. The key resistance level to watch is HKD 8.24; a successful breakout could lead to a target of HKD 8.44. The stock has shown a volatility of 5.1% over five days, providing a favorable environment for conservative investors [2]. Derivative Product Performance - Recent market data indicates strong performance of CCB-related derivative products. For instance, JPMorgan's call option (17265) saw a remarkable increase of 131% within two days, while Societe Generale's bull certificate (62134) rose by 35%, and UBS's bull certificate (62178) increased by 43%. These products demonstrated the leverage effect, as the underlying stock rose by 4.55% during the same period [4]. Market Sentiment and Fund Flows - There has been a noticeable shift in market sentiment, with funds moving from high-growth sectors to traditional financial stocks like CCB. Since October, CCB's stock price has risen from around HKD 7 to above HKD 8, reflecting a broader trend of capital reallocating towards safer, income-generating stocks amid expectations of continued interest rate cuts in the U.S. [7][8]. Investment Tools and Strategies - Investors looking to capitalize on CCB's potential can consider high-leverage options such as the call option (20261) with a strike price of HKD 9.08, expiring in March next year, which offers a leverage of approximately 12 times. Other options include the Bank of China call option (19572) with a strike price of HKD 8.07, providing about 5.5 times leverage, and UBS's call option (20935) with similar characteristics [8][9]. Bull and Bear Certificates - For bullish strategies, Societe Generale's bull certificate (62134) has a buyback price of HKD 7, offering an actual leverage of about 9.7 times. UBS's bull certificate (62178) also has a buyback price of HKD 7, with a leverage of approximately 8.8 times. For bearish strategies, JPMorgan's bear certificate (68463) has a buyback price of HKD 8.3, with a high leverage of 17.1 times, suitable for investors with higher risk tolerance [11].
港交所短線攻略:捕捉突破關鍵點的交易良機!
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-06 12:33
Group 1: Stock Performance and Technical Analysis - The stock price of Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) has shown positive momentum, rising by 2.12% to HKD 432.6, successfully breaking through the 10-day moving average resistance [1] - The current price is in the overlapping range of the 10-day and 30-day moving averages, with the 10-day line providing initial support at approximately HKD 427.98 and the 30-day line forming short-term pressure at around HKD 433.24 [1] - The 5-day volatility reached 4.6%, indicating that market fluctuations have created good opportunities for short-term trading [1] Group 2: Technical Indicators - Technical indicators are showing mixed signals; the RSI is at a neutral level of 50, the stochastic oscillator has issued a buy signal, while the MACD indicates a sell signal, reflecting the market's current indecisiveness [1] - Support and resistance analysis shows the first support level at HKD 422, with strong support at HKD 416; on the upside, initial resistance is at HKD 443, with key resistance at the psychological level of HKD 450 [1] Group 3: Derivative Products Performance - Three HKEX-related derivative products mentioned on November 4 performed well in the following two days, with UBS bull certificate 64102 rising by 11%, HSBC bull certificate 57036 increasing by 10%, and HSBC call warrant 29458 up by 7% [3] - These products outperformed the underlying stock's increase of 1.6% during the same period, showcasing the leverage effect of derivative instruments when the market direction is correctly identified [3] Group 4: Recommended Derivative Products - For bullish investors, recommended call warrants include Bank of China call warrant 13855 and UBS call warrant 15854, both offering approximately 7.7 times leverage with a strike price set at HKD 518.5, featuring relatively low premiums to reduce time value loss [6] - For bearish investors, HSBC put warrant 19847 and Bank of China put warrant 19860 are suggested, both with a strike price of HKD 387.8 and leverage exceeding 10 times, also benefiting from low premiums [6] Group 5: Bull and Bear Certificates Recommendations - For bullish investors, UBS bull certificate 62570 and Societe Generale bull certificate 56665 are recommended, with leverage of 12.5 times and 12 times respectively, and recovery prices set at HKD 403 and HKD 400.5, featuring the lowest premiums in the current market [9] - For bearish investors, UBS bear certificate 56683 and HSBC bear certificate 56027 are available, both with recovery prices at HKD 460 and leverage of 15.7 times and 14.4 times, also characterized by relatively low premiums [9] Group 6: Market Sentiment and Trading Strategies - The article poses a question regarding whether HKEX can successfully break through the resistance at HKD 443, highlighting the mixed technical signals in the current environment [11] - It invites readers to share their trading plans and uncertainties, suggesting a focus on either waiting for a clear breakout or engaging in high sell-low buy strategies within the range [11]
平保技術分析:短線突破機會與輪證選擇策略
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-04 21:13
平保技術分析:短線突破機會與輪證選擇策略 港股近日氣氛回暖,金融板塊蠢蠢欲動,平保(02318)近期走勢引起市場關注。股價在57.7元 水準爭持,上升近2.03%,動力有所增強。從技術走勢來 看,目前正處於關鍵的三角整理末端,短線會否出現突破行情? | 1百5院総結 | 賞山信號 | | --- | --- | | 賣出 | o | 技術分析透視 從數據來看,平保目前處於多條移動平均線之上,MA10(56.21)已經突破MA30(54.27)和MA60(55.41),形成短線黃金交叉,這是一個 積極信號。RSI指標在60水準,尚未進入超買區,顯示仍有上升空間。多個震盪指標如隨機震盪指標和CCI均發出買入信號,MACD也呈現利好態勢,技術 條件相對樂觀。不過,投資者需要留意,威廉指標顯示已經接近超買狀態,而ADX指標強度一般,意味著趨勢力量尚未完全確立。股價目前處於保力加通 道中上部,若突破上軌,可能會加速上行。 支持與阻力關鍵位 即市支持位方面,55.2元 是第一個重要防線,若失守則可能下探53.9元 水準。阻力方面,59.1元 是近期需要突破的關口,若能成功突 破,下一目標將指向60.9元 。考慮到5日振幅 ...