我最常用Bybit，最符合技術分析：https://bit.ly/tiabtc 全球最大幣安，累減40%手續費：https://bit.ly/tiaba 最老牌OKX歐易，佣金最高減免：https://bit.ly/tiok 註冊入金（或重啟老賬戶），免費體驗會員一月：https://bit.ly/tia_discord 客服：Discord社群中找@tiahelper 推特：https://x.com/tiabitcoin 課程：https://www.tiabtc.com Telegram：https://t.me/tiaalert #bitcoin #比特幣 #以太幣 #以太坊 #btc #大餅 #eth #doge #狗狗幣 #技術分析 #道氏理論 #波浪理論 #斐波拉契 #諧波形態 #自然交易理論 #自然交易法 #江恩理論 #sol #ada #bnb #xrp #dot #avax #luna #uni #大作手回憶錄 #傑西利弗莫爾 #李佛摩 #美聯儲 #美股 #幣圈 #加密貨幣 #數字貨幣 #硬件錢包 #中本聰 #比特幣合約 #比特幣期權 #比特幣ETF #比特幣 #以太幣 #泰達幣 #tot ...

Core Viewpoint - China Life Insurance's stock price has shown significant volatility, currently at 22.65 HKD, down 2.37%, with various technical indicators suggesting potential upward and downward movements in the near term [2]. Technical Analysis - The stock price is currently above the 10-day moving average of 21.93 HKD, indicating a bullish formation, but the RSI at 78 suggests it is severely overbought, creating a technical divergence with sell signals from the Williams indicator [2]. - The MACD maintains a buy signal, but the shortening of the red momentum bars indicates a potential weakening of upward momentum [2]. - The Bollinger Bands are expanding, with the stock price closely following the upper band, reflecting increased short-term volatility risk, evidenced by a 10.4% 5-day amplitude [2]. - A critical support level is identified at 20.9 HKD, which combines the 30-day moving average and a psychological barrier; a breach could lead to a drop to the 18.8 HKD yearly line [2]. - The upper resistance level is at 24 HKD, and a breakthrough could challenge the previous high of 26.3 HKD [2]. - The Ichimoku Cloud shows a bullish arrangement, but the distance from the cloud indicates accumulating technical correction pressure [2]. - Divergence in momentum oscillators and sell signals from the VR ratio indicator suggest short-term adjustment risks [2]. Derivative Products Strategy - The Morley call option 28512 stands out with a leverage of 6.7 times and the lowest premium, with an exercise price set 7% below the current stock price of 20.93 HKD [5]. - The Morgan Stanley call option 29456 offers similar terms with a leverage of 6.5 times and a lower premium as an alternative [5]. - On the bearish side, the Bank of China put option 18645 is preferred for hedging downside risk, featuring a leverage of 5.1 times and the lowest premium [5]. - The Xinda put option 18677 has an exercise price of 18.28 HKD, with a leverage of 3.4 times and is 19.11% out of the money [5].

即時行情與技術觀察 精選窩輪產品分析 摩利認購證17483提供4倍實際槓桿，行使價10.99元接近現價，具有全市場最低溢價優勢，適合短線參與突破行情。中銀認購證17351則以3.3倍更穩健的槓桿 水準，為保守型投資者提供選擇。瑞銀認購證17646，行使價10.95元，槓桿有2.83倍，同個行使價的產品還有中銀認購證17640，行使價10.95元，槓桿2.8 倍，溢價28.93%。 石藥集團股價報10元，上漲0.71%，延續近期強勢表現。從技術面來看，股價已突破所有主要均線，10日均線9.29元與30日均線8.5元形成完美多頭排列。值 得注意的是，RSI指標74已進入超買區域，威廉指標同樣顯示超買狀態，但MACD維持強勢買入信號，快慢線持續向上發散，反映上漲動能仍然充沛。 關鍵價位分析 當前下方9.1元構成重要支撐位，該位置同時彙聚30日均線及心理關口；更強支撐位於8.5元年線位置。上方阻力先看11.1元前高，突破後將挑戰12元整數關 口。布林通道呈現明顯擴張態勢，股價緊貼上軌運行，配合21.5%的5日超高振幅，顯示短期波動可能進一步加劇。成交額11.93億元保持活躍，為衍生品操 作提供充足流動性。 窩輪市場表 ...

即時行情觀察 紫金礦業股價報21.3元，上漲1.67%。從技術圖表來看，股價正處於關鍵轉捩點，10日均線22.14元與30日均線20.84元形成膠著狀態，反映短期方向尚未明 朗。成交額1.98億元顯示市場交投活躍度適中，為後續走勢提供觀察依據。 技術指標解析 當前RSI指標52處於中性區域，威廉指標與隨機震盪指標均顯示中立信號，反映市場觀望情緒濃厚。MACD指標呈現賣出信號，但綠色動能柱開始縮短，下 跌動能有所減弱。布林通道呈現收窄態勢，股價在中軌附近徘徊，配合8.6%的5日振幅，暗示短期可能迎來方向選擇。 | 信號總結 | 賣出信號 中立信號 | | 買入信號 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 中立 | C | 10 | | 精選窩輪策略 中銀認購證16128提供3.8倍實際槓桿，行使價21.88元接近現價，屬於輕度價外狀態。該產品時間價值損耗相對較慢，適合看好紫金礦業短期反彈的投資者。 法興認購證16404，行使價25.33元，價外19.2%，槓桿5.6倍；瑞銀認購證16416，槓桿有5.6倍，溢價25.41%，行使價25.33元。 關鍵價位分析 下方20.4元為近期重要支撐位， ...

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi Group's stock has been underperforming due to a 3% quarter-over-quarter decline in overseas smartphone shipments and disappointing electronic consumer goods retail data, leading to a significant drop in stock price over the past two days [1]. Technical Analysis - The overall technical indicators for Xiaomi signal a "sell" with a strength of 13, indicating a bearish medium to long-term trend [1]. - Multiple moving averages are showing a "strong sell" signal, while several oscillators are in a neutral state, suggesting a potential for short-term oversold rebound [1]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 43, indicating it is within a normal range [1]. - The system's assessed probability of an upward movement is 57%, with a recent 5-day price fluctuation of 7.7%, reflecting moderate volatility but clear short-term downward pressure [1]. Support and Resistance Levels - The first support level is at 53.7 HKD; if this level is breached, the next target is 52.1 HKD [3]. - The initial resistance level is at 57.6 HKD, and a breakthrough here would allow for a challenge of 60.5 HKD [3]. - The current stock price is positioned between the support and resistance levels, leaning towards the lower end, making the maintenance of the 53.7 HKD support critical for a potential short-term rebound [3]. Product Performance - Previously recommended leveraged products, such as the Societe Generale bear certificates (54560) and HSBC bear certificates (59572), showed significant gains of 48% and 54% respectively within two days [3]. - Other put options from JPMorgan and UBS also outperformed, with increases of 18% and 16%, significantly exceeding the underlying stock's decline of 3.66% [3]. Investment Products - For investors anticipating a short-term rebound, UBS call options (15800) offer a leverage of 8.1 times with a strike price of 63.05 HKD, while Bank of China call options (13385) provide a leverage of 8.4 times, presenting a better cost-performance ratio [6]. - For bearish investors, HSBC put options (14333) and Morgan Stanley put options (14322) offer a leverage of 3.5 times with a strike price of 46.45 HKD, suitable for those expecting significant downside [6]. Market Sentiment - Despite the bearish technical outlook for Xiaomi, the probability of an upward movement remains above 50%, indicating market divergence [12]. - The ability to hold the 53.7 HKD support level is crucial; a breakdown with increased volume could trigger further selling pressure, while support at this level could lead to a short-term rebound opportunity [12].

Core Viewpoint - Ganfeng Lithium has recently shown strong upward momentum, with its stock price reaching 30.8 HKD, marking a significant increase of 10.39% on Thursday (24th) with a trading volume of 1.568 billion HKD, indicating a bullish technical pattern [1][3] Technical Analysis - The stock price has encountered key technical levels, with immediate support at 26.3 HKD and strong support at 24.2 HKD, while the upper resistance is at 34.7 HKD, which is a critical psychological barrier [3] - Multiple indicators are signaling overbought conditions, with an RSI of 78, suggesting a higher probability of short-term pullbacks when RSI exceeds 75 [1] - The volatility has been significant, with a 5-day price fluctuation of 22.7%, and the implied volatility has surged by 25 percentage points, indicating potential for continued volatility [1] Market Sentiment - The recent surge in Ganfeng Lithium's stock has positively impacted related derivative products, with notable increases in warrants, such as Huatai's warrant rising by 34% and Bank of China's warrant increasing by 30% following a 7.5% rise in the underlying stock [3] - The market sentiment has improved significantly, driven by a rebound in lithium carbonate prices and a recovery in electric vehicle sales [3] Investment Products - Investors may consider bullish strategies with warrants like JPMorgan's warrant (exercise price 29.29 HKD, leverage 3.3) and Bank of China's warrant (exercise price 29.34 HKD, leverage 3.4), which are deemed relatively stable [5] - Caution is advised as the implied volatility of Ganfeng Lithium has increased, necessitating careful comparison of time decay when selecting warrants [5]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is expected to continue rising to 25,800-26,000 next week, with a support level at 24,600 and a resistance level at 25,894 [1] - Technical signals indicate a "strong buy" for the semiconductor sector, with a potential price target of 56-60 HKD for SMIC [3] - China Southern Airlines has recently broken through its previous high, with a key resistance level at 6.19 HKD [6] Group 2: Individual Stock Analysis - Ganfeng Lithium is showing a gradual upward trend, with a support level at 27 HKD and a resistance level at 33.6 HKD, potentially reaching 35 HKD [9] - Alibaba's stock is currently viewed as a buying opportunity, with a target of 130 HKD and support levels at 112.3 HKD and 105.7 HKD [12] - AAC Technologies has a neutral technical signal, with resistance levels at 41.2 HKD and 42.5 HKD, indicating a lack of clear direction [15]

Core Viewpoint - Semiconductor industry is experiencing a recovery, and SMIC's stock has shown strong performance, with a current price of 50.7 HKD, up 4% [1] Technical Analysis - The stock price has stabilized above the 10-day moving average of 47.21 HKD and the 30-day moving average of 44.06 HKD, indicating a positive mid-term trend [1] - MACD has formed a golden cross, and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands is trending upwards, suggesting bullish momentum [1] - However, the RSI indicator at 73 indicates an overbought condition, and the Williams indicator shows a sell signal, suggesting a potential need for consolidation before challenging the resistance at 53.3 HKD [1] - Key support is at 46.7 HKD, with a potential drop to 43.4 HKD if this level is breached; resistance is at 53.3 HKD, with a breakthrough potentially leading to a challenge at 55.6 HKD [1] - Despite the bullish indicators, the momentum oscillators show divergence, indicating possible short-term volatility [1] Market Opportunities - Bullish strategies include UBS call options 15627 (strike price 58.93 HKD, 4.4x leverage) with the lowest premium, and UBS call options 13340 (strike price 58.05 HKD, 3.9x leverage) with the lowest implied volatility [6] - HSBC bull certificate 56886 (redemption price 43 HKD, 5.4x actual leverage) and UBS bull certificate 58014 (redemption price 43.1 HKD, 5.7x actual leverage) are also good choices for bullish strategies [6] - For bearish strategies, Societe Generale bear certificate 67110 (redemption price 55 HKD, 10.6x actual leverage) and UBS bear certificate 58475 (redemption price 54.5 HKD, 10.6x actual leverage) provide hedging options [6] Market Sentiment - There is market speculation on how long SMIC's current upward momentum can last amid the semiconductor industry's recovery [9] - Investors are considering whether the stock price will first test the support at 46.7 HKD or directly challenge the resistance at 53.3 HKD [9]

Core Viewpoint - HSBC Holdings (00005.HK) has shown a strong upward trend, reaching a high of 100 HKD, with a closing price of 99.7 HKD, indicating a "strong buy" signal. The first resistance level is at 101 HKD, and the second at 106 HKD [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The stock price is above the 10-day moving average of 97.62 HKD and the 30-day moving average of 95.05 HKD. The MACD indicator shows a golden cross, and the Bollinger Bands indicate an upward trend. However, the RSI has reached 75, entering the overbought zone, suggesting a potential need for consolidation before testing the 101.1 HKD resistance level [1][3]. - Key support is at 96.5 HKD, with a potential drop to 93.2 HKD if this level is breached. The important resistance level is at 101.1 HKD, with a possible test of 106.2 HKD upon a breakout [3]. Derivative Products - In the options market, several products are available, including the China Bank call option (16930) with a leverage of 15.5 times and an exercise price of 115.98 HKD, and the UBS call option (16458) with a leverage of 14.9 times, also at 115.98 HKD. There are also UBS call options (14280) with a higher leverage of 26 times and an exercise price of 107 HKD, expiring in September [6][10]. - UBS bull certificates (56446) and JPMorgan bull certificates (56622) offer 11 times actual leverage with a redemption price of 88 HKD. On the bearish side, UBS bear certificates (60586) provide 14.4 times leverage with a redemption price of 105 HKD, while Citibank bear certificates (58283) offer 16.1 times leverage, also with a redemption price of 105 HKD [10][11]. Market Sentiment - The market is currently stable, with a 3.3% five-day volatility, and the stock price is positioned in the upper half of the Bollinger Bands. The market sentiment reflects a mix of buy signals from the bull-bear power indicator, while the stochastic oscillator shows signs of overbought conditions, indicating potential short-term fluctuations [3][14].

Core Viewpoint - Tencent's stock performance shows positive momentum with a closing price of 526 HKD, reflecting a daily increase of 0.86% and a trading volume of 9.212 billion HKD, indicating active market participation [1] Technical Analysis - Multiple technical indicators suggest a "buy" signal with a strength of 14, indicating a favorable medium to long-term trend [1] - Various oscillators are in a "neutral" state, with the RSI at 63, suggesting a balanced short-term market sentiment [1] Support and Resistance Levels - The first support level for Tencent is at 510 HKD, with a second support at 494 HKD; the first resistance level is at 530 HKD, and the second at 558 HKD [3] - The stock is currently near its first resistance level, making the ability to break through this level crucial [3] - The system assesses a 54% probability of an upward movement, with a recent 5-day volatility of 2.9%, indicating potential trading opportunities [3] Product Performance - On July 17, 2025, Tencent's stock rose by 0.87% two days later, with related products like JPMorgan's bull certificate (58311) increasing by 11% and UBS's bull certificate (58237) by 7%, showcasing the leverage effect of these products [3] Notable Derivative Products - For bullish sentiment, Bank of China call options (16356) have a leverage of 14.3 times with a strike price of 600.5 HKD, while UBS call options (15943) have a leverage of 14.4 times, both offering good value [5] - For bearish sentiment, Bank of China put options (18276) have a leverage of 9.2 times with a strike price of 434.8 HKD, and UBS put options (17893) have a leverage of 9.7 times, suitable for risk-averse investors [6] Bull and Bear Certificates - For bullish outlooks, UBS bull certificates (58594) and JPMorgan bull certificates (58695) both have a leverage of 21 times with a redemption price of 507 HKD, presenting strong potential [7] - For bearish outlooks, UBS bear certificates (54414) have a leverage of 21.9 times with a redemption price of 550 HKD, and Societe Generale bear certificates (58795) have a leverage of 26.3 times with a redemption price of 546 HKD, indicating higher leverage but also increased risk [8]