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兗煤RSI逼近超買區!是獲利回吐還是繼續上攻?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-20 20:34
煤炭板塊重點股兗州煤業(01171)近期走勢引發市場關注,股價在資源板塊輪動中尋找明確方向。截止14点32分,股價升4.91%,報10.48元,突破保力加通道底部。 從技術分析角度觀察,兗煤當前RSI指標處於68水準,接近超買區域但尚未完全進入,技術指標總結信號顯示"賣出",顯示賣壓相對溫和。多個震盪指標呈 現分歧走勢,動量震盪指標發出買入信號,但變動率指標卻顯示賣出信號,這種技術面矛盾預示短期可能維持震盪格局。 在關鍵價位分析方面,兗煤當前第一支持位設於9.7元,第二支持位則在9.4元水準,這兩個價位將成為短期重要防守關口。上方阻力位方面,第一阻力位 10.7元與第二阻力位11.1元構成明顯壓力區間,特別是10.7元關口將成為多空雙方爭奪的焦點。從移動平均線系統觀察,MA10的9.75元高於MA30的9.46元和 MA60的9.09元,整體維持多頭排列格局,為股價提供技術支撐。 對於衍生產品投資者而言,在當前市況下,您更傾向於選擇低槓桿穩健型產品還是高槓桿進攻型產品?歡迎分享您對兗煤後市的看法與交易策略,別忘了關 注「港股窩輪Jenny」帳號,獲取更多港股衍生工具的最新分析與專業建議,助您在板塊輪動中把握投 ...
中銀嘉賓Niki早前點評:寧徳時代橫盤後有望再發力,看好倉工具部署中銀嘉賓Niki早前點評:寧徳時代橫盤後有望再發力,看好倉工具部署
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-20 10:44
Niki:寧德時代的股價在上周都上到443元樓上,近期看,市場關注這類行情。消息面看到鋰電池方面反內卷,行情是否規範之後,大家都不會那 麼卷,令到市場更加健康的發展,所以都看好這類的行業。回到寧德時代的股價上到443元,都比較高的。但近兩日回落一些,挨近420元附近。 而大家都看好中長線,短期當回落的時候都吸引短線投資者上車好倉的工具部署。近期整個月股價在400-420元區間,如果有機會橫盤一段時候 再有力再上高位的話,近期看到有機會流入好倉。工具方面,在公司上市的時候,我們的產品都出的比較齊,同時上市相關衍生工具。不同行使 價的條款都有,投資者選擇適合的條款。我們發現有些投資者選擇價內產品長線持有,也有投資者做短線,搏股價420上至450元的話,都喜歡高 槓桿的產品,可以留意中銀認購證(16933),行使價500.5元,今年12月到期,槓桿有7-8倍。認沽方向也有選擇,畢竟這段時間股價開始擴 大,差不多有40元區間上下。比如選擇中銀認沽證(18309),行使價298.88元,明年1月份到期,槓桿3-4倍。值得留意的是,股價9月2日收市 報417.6元,今日(19日)股價現報518.5元,走勢十分靚麗。 從技 ...
匯豐多空指標現分歧!短線交易機會如何把握
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-19 04:32
Core Viewpoint - HSBC Holdings (00005.HK) is currently experiencing a delicate balance between technical overbought conditions and favorable fundamentals, attracting significant investor attention [1][11]. Technical Analysis - The current RSI for HSBC is at 74, indicating an overbought status, which may lead to short-term price adjustments [1]. - The technical summary signals a "sell" with a strength of 8, suggesting moderate selling pressure [1]. - Key support levels are identified at 103.3 and 99.1, while resistance levels are at 108.2 and 115.3, with 108.2 being a focal point for market contention [3][9]. Derivative Products - HSBC-related derivative products offer a variety of options for investors. For bullish investors, the Bank of China call option (16930) provides a leverage of 20.2 times, while UBS call option (16458) offers 21.4 times leverage [6]. - For bearish investors, UBS put option (18811) offers a leverage of 7 times, serving as a hedging tool [6]. Market Performance - HSBC's stock price was reported at 106.9, down 0.28% at one point during the trading session [1]. - The trading volume for HSBC maintained a moderate level at 1.469 billion HKD, indicating that institutional investors may still be in a wait-and-see mode [12]. Historical Context - Recent performance of HSBC-related derivatives has shown significant leverage effects, with certain products outperforming the underlying stock, highlighting the potential for enhanced returns in trending markets [3].
RSI 52卡中立區!港交所反彈機會有幾大?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-19 03:57
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) is experiencing fluctuations in trading volume, leading to mixed short-term performance expectations, but long-term prospects remain positive due to the anticipated listing of new economy companies [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Recent trading data indicates a significant drop in HKEX stock price, returning to the middle of the Bollinger Bands [1] - Short-term technical signals suggest a "buy" recommendation, with resistance levels at HKD 459 and HKD 470, while support levels are at HKD 436 and HKD 428 [1] - The probability of HKEX stock price increasing is assessed at 55%, with a recent volatility of 3.9% over the past five days, indicating potential speculative opportunities [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis - Multiple technical indicators collectively signal a "buy" with a strength rating of 8; however, several oscillators are in a "neutral" position [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 52, also indicating a neutral market sentiment towards HKEX's short-term direction [1] Group 3: Derivative Products - Historical performance of HKEX-related warrants and certificates shows significant leverage effects, with products like the Morgan Stanley bear certificate (66719) rising by 20% and UBS bear certificate (60541) by 24% following a 1.73% drop in HKEX [3] - Current warrants available for HKEX include high-leverage options such as the Societe Generale call warrant (16900) with a leverage of 15.6 times and a strike price of HKD 484.08, suitable for investors seeking high potential returns [5][6] - For bearish positions, UBS put warrant (18808) offers a leverage of 9.6 times with a strike price of HKD 368.48, providing options for investors anticipating further price adjustments [5][6] Group 4: Future Outlook - The market is currently at a crossroads, with HKEX needing to stabilize above the support level of HKD 436 or risk further declines to HKD 427 [7] - Investors are encouraged to consider their trading strategies, whether opting for warrants or bull/bear certificates, based on their market outlook [7]
理想汽車超買但信號中立!阻力102.1元能否突破?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-17 11:24
#理想汽車 #02015 #港股 #窩輪 #牛熊證 #技術分析 #投資策略 #汽車股 #新能源車 #股票分析#港股窩輪Jenny 各位股友,大家好!今日就同大家講下理想汽車嘅短線走勢、技術分析與窩輪市場機會。 根據上日(15日)收市資料顯示,理想汽車(02015)全日收報97.55元,股價勁升 4.56%,成交額達 25.33 億元。近日市場普遍預期理想汽車未來幾個月會 推出更多新車型以進一步擴大市場份額,加上其銷量數據一直表現出色,這些因素都為股價提供了一定支援。 | 10:28 | | | 10:28 II S (D) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | OAL Q C. < | | | | 圖表 輪證 評論 資訊 | | | 圖表 | 輪滑 評論 資訊 | | | 20458 比迪匯豐六三購B.C | | | | 20006 比迪中銀六三購, | | | 交易中 09/16 10:28:20 | | | 88 42 | 交易中 09/16 10:26:52 | | | 0.194+ | 最高 0.201 開 | | 市 0.201 0. ...
舜宇光學挑戰85.3元阻力 蘋果新品拉動光學需求
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-16 03:38
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index has reached a new high of 26,500 points, with an increase of nearly 31% year-to-date [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index has also risen for four consecutive trading days, up over 30% this year [1] Company Performance - Sunny Optical (02382) showed a stable performance on Monday morning, with its stock price fluctuating around a key technical level at 81.25 HKD [1] - The stock's recent support levels are at 78.2 HKD and 74.6 HKD, while resistance is at 85.3 HKD, with a potential target of 88.2 HKD if the resistance is broken [3] Product Launch Impact - Apple announced the launch of the iPhone 17 series, AirPods Pro 3, and Apple Watch Series 11, with key features including blood pressure monitoring and AI real-time translation [1] - Citic Securities views Apple's pricing strategy for the new iPhone models as relatively stable, maintaining the same starting price as previous models despite upgrades [1] Technical Analysis - Sunny Optical's RSI reading is at 60, indicating a healthy bullish zone, with moving averages showing a bullish arrangement [1] - The stock's 5-day volatility is at 5.7%, suggesting relative stability [3] Derivative Products Performance - On September 9, when Sunny Optical's stock rose by 3.99%, related derivative products performed well, with notable gains of 33% and 35% for Morgan Stanley and UBS bull certificates, respectively [3] - Investors are encouraged to consider high-leverage derivative products, such as the UBS call option with a strike price of 89.5 HKD, offering a leverage of 5.3 times [6] Investment Strategy - For bullish investors, the recommended products include the UBS call option (strike price 89.5 HKD) and the Barclays call option (strike price 89.55 HKD), both offering high leverage and low implied volatility [6] - For bearish investors, options like the UBS put option (strike price 73.88 HKD) and the Citic put option (strike price 73.82 HKD) are suggested, providing lower premiums and implied volatility [6] Conclusion - The overall market sentiment appears positive, with Sunny Optical reflecting demand expectations in the consumer electronics and automotive optical sectors [3]
【匯豐技術警報】RSI77嚴重超買 ;107.9元阻力位成多空焦點
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-15 20:25
Core Viewpoint - HSBC Holdings (00005.HK) is currently experiencing a technical overbought condition, with significant resistance levels identified at 107.9 HKD and 114 HKD, suggesting potential for a price correction in the near term [1][3]. Technical Analysis - As of the latest trading session, HSBC's stock price was hovering around 106.2 HKD, facing critical resistance levels [1]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading of 77 indicates a deep entry into the overbought territory, with technical indicators collectively signaling a "sell" [1]. - The stock's volatility is relatively stable, with a 5-day amplitude of 5.6%, while moving averages indicate a bullish arrangement, providing support at 102.05 HKD (MA10), 100.37 HKD (MA30), and 98.60 HKD (MA60) [3]. Derivative Products Performance - On September 10, when HSBC's stock rose by 1.82%, related derivative products performed exceptionally well, with notable gains of 44% for Guotai Junan call warrants (16871) and Bank of China call warrants (16930) [3]. - Other products like Societe Generale bull certificates (53270) and UBS bull certificates (68629) also reported returns of 15% and 18%, respectively, highlighting the potential for significant excess returns in a rising banking stock market [3]. Investment Opportunities - For bullish investors, Guotai Junan call warrants (16871) and Bank of China call warrants (16930) are recommended, with exercise prices of 115.98 HKD and leverage ratios of 23x and 19.9x, respectively [6]. - For bearish investors, Bank of China put warrants (16855) and UBS put warrants (18811) are suggested, with exercise prices of 81.5 HKD and 94.39 HKD, and leverage ratios of approximately 7.6x and 6.5x [6]. Bull and Bear Certificates - For bullish positions, UBS bull certificates (65343) with a redemption price of 97 HKD and a leverage of 13x, as well as Morgan Stanley bull certificates (65901) with a redemption price of 96 HKD and a leverage of 11.9x, are recommended [8]. - For bearish positions, Societe Generale bear certificates (60879) with a redemption price of 113.8 HKD and a leverage of 12.5x are suggested, emphasizing the importance of selecting products with a safe distance from the current price [8].
工行技術信號 多頭排列格局面臨考驗
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-12 12:14
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong banking sector, particularly Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), has shown a strong upward trend, with its stock price rising from HKD 5.66 on September 2 to a peak of HKD 6.03, nearing the upper Bollinger Band of HKD 6.04 [1] Technical Analysis - The RSI reading for ICBC is at 58, indicating a healthy bullish zone, while moving averages show mixed signals with MA10 at HKD 5.82, MA30 at HKD 5.94, and MA60 at HKD 6.06, suggesting a search for a clear short-term direction [1] - Current support levels are at HKD 5.79 and HKD 5.59, with resistance at HKD 6.19; a breakthrough could target HKD 6.39 [3] - The stock's volatility is relatively low, with a 5-day amplitude of 5.5%, making it suitable for conservative investors [3] Derivative Products Performance - On September 9, when ICBC's stock rose by 1.70%, related derivative products performed well, with Citibank's call option (16438) and UBS's call option (15583) recording gains of 27%, while Societe Generale's bull certificate (57199) and UBS's bull certificate (65682) achieved returns of 19% and 13% respectively [3] - Investors bullish on the market are recommended to consider Citibank's call option (16438) due to its reasonable strike price of HKD 6.6 and a leverage of 19.7 times, which is the highest among similar products [6] - UBS's call option (15583) offers a strike price of HKD 6.67 with a leverage of 14.4 times, while the Hong Kong and Shanghai Banking Corporation's call option (16703) provides a strike price of HKD 7.01 with a leverage of 12.9 times, both presenting good risk-reward ratios [6] Investment Strategy - For bearish investors, JPMorgan's put option (18332) with a strike price of HKD 5.22 offers a leverage of 12 times, making it a strong tool for short positions [6] - In terms of bull and bear certificates, JPMorgan's bull certificate (68394) has a redemption price of HKD 5, providing a safe distance from the current price, while UBS's bull certificate (65682) also has a redemption price of HKD 5, offering a leverage of 6.2 times [8]
BTC反彈穩了?不可跌回這條線!漲到XX就行了?
Cryptocurrency Exchange Platforms - Bybit is highlighted as suitable for technical analysis [1] - Binance is mentioned for spot trading with up to 40% fee reduction [1] - OKX is noted for its longevity, reliability, and low fees [1] - Bitget is promoted for copy trading, especially beneficial for beginners [1] Educational Resources and Community - Free one-month membership trial is offered upon registration and deposit (or reactivating old accounts) [1] - Discord community support is available via @tiahelper [1] - Resources include a Twitter account, online courses, and a Telegram channel [1] Trading and Investment Topics - The document references various technical analysis concepts such as Dow Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci, Harmonic Patterns, and Gann Theory [1] - It also mentions trading strategies like bottom fishing, going long, going short, and hedging [1] - The content includes hashtags related to Bitcoin halving in 2024, Bitcoin ETFs, and general cryptocurrency market analysis [1] Cryptocurrencies Mentioned - Specific cryptocurrencies mentioned include Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Dogecoin (DOGE), Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), Binance Coin (BNB), Ripple (XRP), Polkadot (DOT), and Avalanche (AVAX) [1]
【資金流向】近期2000萬資金流入中芯好倉
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-11 15:31
Group 1: Stock Performance and Technical Analysis - Semiconductor sector in Hong Kong showed strong performance, with SMIC (00981) stock price at 58.8 HKD, up 1.03% as of 10:43 AM [1] - Technical indicators suggest a bullish trend for SMIC, with RSI at 56 indicating room for upward movement, and MACD showing buy signals [1] - Current support levels are at 53.8 HKD and 50.2 HKD, while resistance levels are at 63.5 HKD and 68.5 HKD [1] Group 2: Product Review and Derivative Performance - As of September 4, SMIC-related derivatives performed well, with UBS bull certificates rising 24% and HSBC bull certificates increasing by 19% [3] - Call options such as Societe Generale's and HSBC's recorded returns of 10% and 11%, respectively, indicating significant leverage during SMIC's stock price increase [3] Group 3: Market Insights and Investor Behavior - SMIC's stock price has risen from around 20 HKD at the beginning of the year to recent highs near 65 HKD, attracting market capital and retail investors [5] - Recent inflows into SMIC's bullish instruments totaled 20 million HKD over the past five trading days, ranking fourth among individual stocks [5] - The preference for call options over put options reflects investor sentiment, with many investors favoring bullish strategies [7] Group 4: Investment Products and Strategies - Investors bullish on SMIC can consider options like the Bank of China call option (19343) with a strike price of 69.04 HKD and a leverage of approximately 2.7 times [8] - Bearish investors may look at put options such as Bank of China (19573) or HSBC's, both with strike prices around 49.8 HKD and leverage of about 2.2-2.3 times [8] - For bull certificates, UBS's (68925) and Societe Generale's (55424) options are highlighted for their low premiums and high leverage [10]