Core Viewpoint - The company reported significant growth in bus sales and production for June 2025, indicating a strong recovery and improvement in the structure of sales, particularly in the new energy sector [1] Group 1: Sales and Production Performance - In June 2025, the company achieved bus sales of 5,919 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 24.8% and a month-on-month increase of 93.9% [1] - The bus production for June 2025 reached 5,528 units, showing a year-on-year growth of 29.9% and a month-on-month growth of 61.0% [1] - For the first half of 2025, the company sold 21,000 buses, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%, while the sales for Q2 2025 were 12,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 4.0% but a month-on-month increase of 36.6% [1] Group 2: Market Expansion and Orders - The company secured a project for the replacement of 68 old buses in Sanmenxia, Henan Province, with a total bid amount exceeding 40 million yuan, averaging 635,000 yuan per bus [2] - The domestic market is expected to see accelerated orders and deliveries for new energy buses in the second half of the year due to effective implementation of bus scrapping and replacement policies [2] - In the overseas market, the company has made significant progress in Central Asia, winning contracts for 700 fuel buses in Turkmenistan and 200 new energy buses in Uzbekistan, along with a recent order for 1,000 units in Kazakhstan [2] Group 3: Product Development and Delivery - The company delivered its first batch of six new generation pure electric intercity buses, IC12E, to an Italian operator, marking a breakthrough in the European market [2] - The IC12E model is designed for high-frequency intercity operations, featuring a continuous power output of 215/250 kW and a peak output of 350 kW, with a range of 610 kilometers under Sort2 conditions [2] Group 4: Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 42.97 billion yuan, 48.43 billion yuan, and 52.97 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with net profits attributable to the parent company expected to be 4.88 billion yuan, 5.68 billion yuan, and 6.30 billion yuan respectively [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in bus sales for June 2025, with total sales reaching 5,919 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 24.8% and a month-on-month increase of 93.9%. The sales of medium and large buses were 4,998 units, up 20.1% year-on-year and 99.9% month-on-month [2][4][10] - For the first half of 2025, total bus sales amounted to 21,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.7%, while medium and large bus sales were 17,000 units, down 4.8% year-on-year [2][4][10] - The company is positioned as a global leader in the bus industry, showcasing strong long-term growth potential and a consistent high dividend capability, highlighting its investment value [2][10] - The domestic market is experiencing growth in seated buses, supported by the "old-for-new" policy, which is boosting the demand for new energy buses. The overseas market is benefiting from a globalization and high-end strategy, with exports enhancing profitability and supporting continuous performance improvement [2][10] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In June 2025, the company sold 5,919 buses, with a year-on-year increase of 24.8% and a month-on-month increase of 93.9%. Medium and large bus sales were 4,998 units, up 20.1% year-on-year and 99.9% month-on-month. For the first half of 2025, total sales were 21,000 units, a 3.7% increase year-on-year, while medium and large bus sales were 17,000 units, down 4.8% year-on-year [2][4][10] Market Strategy - The company is enhancing its direct sales and service model to improve service quality and efficiency. The "old-for-new" policy is expected to continue driving the recovery of the domestic bus market. Internationally, the company is expanding its presence with a new energy commercial vehicle factory in Qatar, expected to be operational by the end of 2025, with an initial capacity of 300 units per year, expandable to 1,000 units [10] Financial Outlook - The company is projected to have a robust financial performance, with expected net profits of 48.2 billion and 56.0 billion for 2025 and 2026, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are estimated to be 11.9X and 10.2X [10]

Core Insights - The first batch of 10,000 buses manufactured by Yutong in Zhengzhou, Henan, is set to be exported to Uzbekistan for operational use [2][4] - Yutong buses have been operating in Central Asia for 20 years, demonstrating resilience against extreme weather conditions [2] Group 1: Market Demand and Orders - Yutong has secured multiple key project orders in Central Asia this year, including 700 fuel buses for Turkmenistan, 200 new energy buses for Uzbekistan, and over 100 buses and road vehicles for Kyrgyzstan [5] - A representative from Kazakhstan noted that over 100 Yutong buses are already in operation in the capital, Astana, with additional orders for thousands more [4] Group 2: Product Features and Adaptability - The buses are designed to withstand the extreme temperature variations and harsh environments typical of Central Asia, which is known for its diverse climate [5] - Specific features include battery pre-heating technology and independent heating systems for cold winters in Kazakhstan, as well as high-capacity air conditioning that performs well in summer temperatures of 45°C to 50°C in Uzbekistan [5] Group 3: Future Collaboration and Innovation - Central Asian customers express interest in deeper collaboration with Henan in areas such as smart transportation, local talent development, and green energy systems [5]

Group 1 - The UITP Summit 2025 in Hamburg showcased the achievements of China's new energy bus industry, with Suzhou King Long's FENCER f1 Integral EV making a significant impression [1] - The UITP Summit set a new record with over 50,000 square meters of exhibition space, attracting over 400 exhibitors from more than 110 countries and over 10,000 professional visitors [1] Group 2 - Suzhou King Long's participation marked its fourth appearance at the UITP, engaging with operators and media from various countries to discuss technological advancements [2] - Key discussions included future development directions and collaboration opportunities in the global public transport sector, emphasizing King Long's technological accumulation in the new energy field [2] - The company highlighted its achievements in hydrogen energy buses during a presentation at the summit, indicating a focus on future developments in this area [2] Group 3 - The FENCER f1 Integral EV, a star model of King Long, was first unveiled at the 2023 Busworld in Belgium and features a design inspired by fencing, combining elegance and tactical flexibility [3] - The vehicle is equipped with a 440 kWh battery, advanced ADAS systems, and is designed to operate efficiently in extreme weather conditions, enhancing passenger and driver experience [3] - The FENCER f1's design includes a spacious interior and low noise levels, contributing to a comfortable riding environment while reducing maintenance costs and improving operational efficiency [3] Group 4 - The FENCER f1 has gained traction in the European market, with multiple orders delivered in cities across Germany, Sweden, the UK, and Poland, as well as a significant order of 450 units in Chile [4] - The launch of the FENCER f1 Integral EV represents a major breakthrough for King Long in the new energy sector and is a key initiative towards achieving zero emissions in public transport [4] - King Long aims to deepen its presence in the European market, leveraging innovative technology and high-quality products to contribute to the green development of the global public transport industry [4]

Group 1 - The bus industry is entering an adjustment phase in 2025 after rapid growth in 2024, leading to structural changes in demand and fluctuations in sales for many bus companies [1] - Yutong Bus has shown strong performance in overseas markets, with nearly a thousand units delivered in Central Asia and deepened cooperation in Saudi Arabia, showcasing its market expansion capabilities and brand influence [1] - Yutong has deepened its strategic cooperation in Saudi Arabia, with 165 customized buses operating in Medina, supporting the local public transport system [1][2] Group 2 - The success of Yutong in the Saudi market is attributed to its precise understanding of local market demands and continuous investment in technology research and development [2] - Yutong is set to deliver 700 buses to Turkmenistan, serving the capital Ashgabat's one million residents, highlighting its strengths in smart connectivity and interior quality [2] - By 2025, Yutong's total sales in five Central Asian countries have surpassed 10,000 units, including approximately 1,000 new energy vehicles, supported by a comprehensive service network [3] Group 3 - Yutong has established a significant market presence in Central Asia, with a focus on local production and service networks, effectively reducing costs and enhancing product competitiveness [3] - The company has tailored its products to meet the specific climate and road conditions of Central Asia, further solidifying its market position [3] - Yutong's ongoing investments in technology innovation, market expansion, and localized cooperation will continuously strengthen its competitive edge in the global bus market [3]

Group 1 - The company reported a total bus sales of 3,053 units in May 2025, representing a year-on-year decline of 12.3% and a month-on-month decline of 8.5% [1] - The cumulative sales from January to May 2025 reached 15,000 units, showing a slight year-on-year decrease of 2.6% [1] - The sales structure improved in May, with large, medium, and light bus sales of 1,603, 897, and 553 units respectively, showing a year-on-year decline of 25.5%, 2.6%, and an increase of 34.9% [1] Group 2 - The company achieved a significant breakthrough in overseas markets, with Saudi Arabia ordering 91 buses after successful operation of the company's electric buses in extreme conditions [2] - In the Netherlands, the company received an additional order for 62 electric buses from Qbuzz, filling a supply gap due to competitors facing supply chain issues [2] - The European market for electric buses currently has a significant supply gap, which the company is rapidly filling due to its product strength and delivery capabilities [2] Group 3 - The company is expected to see a peak in export deliveries by the end of the quarter, with a clear trend of improvement compared to the previous year [3] - The company has established a global operational system with over 60 subsidiaries and a service network covering six major regions, ensuring strong end-service capabilities [3] - The company has a cash reserve exceeding 10 billion yuan and offers a stable dividend policy with a current yield of over 6%, making it an attractive investment option [3] Group 4 - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 429.7 billion, 484.3 billion, and 529.7 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 48.8 billion, 56.8 billion, and 63.0 billion yuan respectively [3]

Group 1: Company Overview and Strategy - The company focuses on value creation through innovative business models, optimized governance, and enhanced R&D and talent development [2] - The strategic goal is to be a leader in road transportation and a value innovator in modern services [9] - The company aims to strengthen its asset quality and operational efficiency by exiting underperforming business segments [8] Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of CNY 300,064.27 million, a decrease of 19.26% compared to the previous year [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY -34,846.22 million, with significant impairments including CNY 6,819.90 million for goodwill [8] - The logistics segment, primarily focused on the asphalt supply chain, reported a revenue of CNY 200,777.28 million, down 10.30% year-on-year [6] Group 3: Business Segments Performance - The automotive manufacturing and sales segment saw a revenue increase of 11.71%, totaling CNY 43,575.79 million [6] - The subsidiary Changfeng Special Vehicle achieved a revenue of CNY 39,972.04 million, up 45.83% year-on-year [6] - The automotive passenger transport segment experienced a revenue decline of 35.47%, totaling CNY 21,926.37 million [6] Group 4: Industry Insights - The asphalt supply chain industry is experiencing growth due to increased infrastructure investment, with a mature and competitive market [4] - The emergency vehicle manufacturing sector is expanding, supported by government policies and rising awareness of emergency management [5] - The public transportation sector is shifting towards faster and more convenient options, impacting the traditional road passenger transport market [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and profit, with 2024 revenue reaching 37.22 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 37.6%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 4.12 billion yuan, up 126.5% [1] - The domestic tourism market recovery and the "old-for-new" policy have positively impacted sales, with total bus sales reaching 46,900 units in 2024, a 28.5% increase year-on-year [1] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from policy-driven domestic replacement demand and has expanded its presence in overseas markets, particularly in the high-end European market [3] Financial Performance - The company's net profit margin improved from 3.52% in 2022 to 11.16% in 2024, with net profit increasing from 768 million yuan to 4.15 billion yuan during the same period [2] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 6.42 billion yuan, a decrease of 3% year-on-year, but net profit increased by 14.9% to 755 million yuan [1][2] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders is 4.8 billion yuan in 2025, 5.5 billion yuan in 2026, and 6 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12, 11, and 10 times [3] Market Dynamics - The report highlights a strong growth in the domestic bus market, with sales of buses over 6 meters increasing by 33.4% in 2024, and a significant rise in exports of large and medium-sized buses [3] - The company has made strategic investments in new energy vehicles, with a notable increase in exports of 2,700 units, representing a year-on-year growth of 84.6% and a market share of 17.5% [3] - Recent policy changes, such as increased subsidies for new energy city buses, are expected to further boost demand for the company's products [3]

证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 05 09 年 月 日 事件。公司发布财报，2024 年营业收入 372.2 亿元，同比增长 37.6%， 归母净利润为 41.2 亿元，同比增长 126.5%；2025Q1 营业收入 64.2 亿 元，同比减少 3%，归母净利润 7.55 亿元，同比增长 14.9%。 内需与出口共振，业绩增长突出。受益于国内旅游市场向好、以旧换新带 动及国产客车产品竞争力的提升，2024 年，宇通客车累计销售客车 4.69 万辆，同比+28.5%，对内和出口销售分别为 3.29 万辆/1.4 万辆，同比分 别+24.9%/+37.7%，内需及出口均实现较好增长，带动公司业绩表现超 预期，同比增长超 100%。2024 年归母净利润/Q4 单季度归母净利润分别 为 41.2/16.8 亿元，盈利靠近历史高点。2025Q1，公司客车销售 9011 台， 同比 16.6%，根据客车网数据，公司大中型客车出口 1329 台，同比 +35.5%，市场占比 21.09%，超行业 2 成，归母净利润实现 7.55 亿元， 同比增长 14.9%。 会计调整影响毛利率，盈利 ...

国内外在手订单饱满，Q2 有望走出"前低后高"态势：展望后续，我们认为，1）出口方面，当前在手订 单饱满，海外批量订单持续流入，预计季末将迎来集中交付，有望走出销量环比上行的较好表现，同期 Q3 为公司全年出口交付低点，往后同环比改善趋势明确。长期来看，以公司为代表的中国客车企业出 海大势所趋，有望借助新能源实现份额端的加速提升。2）国内方面，报废更新政策再加码，各地方政 策加速落地中，公交替换需求有望持续释放，带动公司国内销量向上。 海外客车需求持续复苏，新能源转型加速推进：2024 年海外客车需求恢复至约28 万辆，已基本修复至 2019 年疫情前水平。其中，海外新能源市场呈现加速渗透态势，2024 年需求达2.4 万辆，同比 +17.6%，渗透率提升至8.5%。分区域看，欧洲、亚洲等市场新能源渗透率持续领先。展望未来，在政 策端低碳转型持续推进、充电等配套基础设施逐步完善的背景下，预计新能源客车将呈现两大发展趋 势：1）公交领域渗透率持续提升；2）欧洲等领先市场有望在中长途城际客运场景实现突破，进一步打 开行业增长空间。 盈利预测：2025-2027 年公司有望实现营收429.7、484.3、529.7 ...