近日，无锡新区公共交通有限公司发布纯电动城市客车采购项目，计划采购车型为长度9米以 上的新能源客车17辆，总预算2040万元。 1、招标条件 本招标项目为无锡新区公共交通有限公司纯电动城市客车采购项目。项目业主为无锡新区公共 交通有限公司,资金来自国有。项目已具备招标条件，现对该项目进行公开招标，特邀请有兴 趣的潜在投标人参加投标。 2、项目概况与招标范围 2.1 项目概况 2.1.1合同估算价：2040.0万元 2.1.2其他： 2.2招标范围：本次招标范围为无锡新区公共交通有限公司纯电动城市客车采购项目，采购车 型为长度9米以上的新能源客车，数量17辆，具体内容包括：车辆的制造（采购）、运输、装 卸、安装、调试、售后服务、技术培训等直至通过招标人的验收以及质量保修、免费维保等全 部工作。 3、投标人资格要求 3.1 投标人及拟派项目负责人应具备的要求： 3.1.1投标人须是在中华人民共和国境内注册的法人企业或其他组织； 3.1.2、投标人须提供通过"信用中国"网站（www.creditchina.gov.cn）渠道查询企业信用记 录报告并网上打印，未提供上述信用记录或被列入失信被执行人、严重违法失信行为记 ...

未经许可，不得转载或者引用。 投资要点 本周复盘总结：八月第二周交强险42.9万辆，环比上周/上月周度+14.4%/+10.5%。 本周细分板块涨跌幅排序:SＷ商用载货车(+6.2%) > SW乘用车(+4.9%) >SW汽车零部件(+4.8%) >SW汽车（+4.7%）> SW商用载客车(+2.74%) >SW摩托车及其他(+2.71%) 。本周已覆盖标的 蔚来-SW，松原安全，拓普集团，小鹏汽车-W，福耀玻璃涨幅前五。 本周团队研究成果： 外发华阳集团、松原安全、小鹏汽车、零跑汽车、继峰股份、北汽蓝谷中报点评，外发客车8 月月报。 本周行业核心变化： 本周汽车A-H股表现都不错，各个子版块都有不同幅度反弹，其中商用载货车最佳。本周核心 变化：8月第二周交强险数据符合预期。东风H股私有化；小鹏Q2业绩符合预期；蔚来新ES8定 价超预期；长安Q2业绩略低于预期；长城坦克/哈弗新车订单亮眼；福耀Q2业绩超出预期 价超预期；长安Q2业绩略低于预期；长城坦克/哈弗新车订单亮眼；福耀Q2业绩超出预期。 当前时点汽车板块如何配置？ 我们认为汽车行业或又进入了新的十字路口阶段：汽车电动化红利进入尾声，汽车智能化正 在"黎 ...

Core Viewpoint - The bus industry represents China's automotive manufacturing sector becoming a global leader in technology output, with overseas market contributions expected to create a new market equivalent to China within 3-5 years [4]. Group 1: Driving Factors for the Bus Cycle - Timing: The bus industry aligns with the national strategy of "China's Special Valuation" and is a strong advocate of the "Belt and Road" initiative, leveraging over a decade of international experience to follow national strategies and promote Chinese manufacturing abroad [4]. - Location: The technology and products of the bus industry have reached world-class standards, with China leading in new energy buses and being competitive in traditional buses in terms of cost-effectiveness and service [4]. - Human Factors: The end of the price war in the domestic market is expected to resonate positively, with demand recovering due to tourism and public transport renewal needs, potentially returning to 2019 levels [4]. Group 2: Profitability Outlook for the Bus Industry - The absence of price wars domestically, an oligopolistic market structure, and higher profit margins in overseas markets for both new energy and traditional buses are expected to drive profitability [5]. - The continuous decline in lithium carbonate costs will further support profitability [5]. Group 3: Market Capitalization Potential - The short-term goal is to challenge the market capitalization peak from 2015-2017, while the long-term goal is to establish a new ceiling, witnessing the emergence of a true global bus leader [6]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Yutong Bus is highlighted as a "model student" with high growth and dividend attributes, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 at 4.63 billion, 5.52 billion, and 6.68 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 12%, 19%, and 21% [7]. - King Long Motor is noted as the "fastest improving student," with a significant profit rebound expected, projecting net profits for 2025-2027 at 440 million, 640 million, and 830 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of 182%, 45%, and 28% [8].

Core Viewpoint - The automotive industry is entering a new crossroads phase, with the end of the electric vehicle (EV) dividend and the dawn of intelligent driving technology. The recommendation is to increase the allocation weight of "dividend style" investments in the second half of 2025 [6][12]. Group 1: Weekly Review Summary - In the fifth week of July, the compulsory insurance for vehicles reached 462,000 units, with a week-on-week increase of 5.0% and a month-on-month increase of 16.2% [11]. - The performance ranking of segmented automotive sectors this week is as follows: SW motorcycles and others (+9.6%) > SW automotive parts (+4.5%) > SW automobiles (+2.7%) > SW commercial passenger vehicles (+2.6%) > SW passenger vehicles (-0.7%) > SW commercial freight vehicles (-4.2%) [11][19]. - The top five stocks covered this week include Chunfeng Power, Xinquan Co., Xiaopeng Motors-W, Mingyang Technology, and Hengshuai Co. [11][25]. Group 2: Industry Core Changes - Xiaopeng's new P7 will debut on August 6, featuring design, intelligent cockpit, control range, and intelligent driving assistance, with an expected launch in August [5][11]. - The Li Auto i8 has undergone SKU adjustments and price reductions, standardizing to the max version and reducing prices by 10,000 yuan for max and 20,000 yuan for ultra [5][11]. - The new Wanjie M7 has been announced, adopting the latest family design language with a wheelbase of 3030mm, offering five/six-seat versions and EV/EREV energy types [5][11]. Group 3: Market Focus and Configuration - The A-share automotive market performed well this week, while the Hong Kong automotive sector lagged behind the broader market. The motorcycle segment performed the best [7][12]. - The recommendation is to increase the allocation weight of "dividend style" investments, focusing on buses (Yutong Bus), heavy trucks (China National Heavy Duty Truck Group A-H/Waichai Power), two-wheelers (Chunfeng Power/Lonxin General), and parts (Fuyao Glass, Xingyu Co., Xinquan Co., Jifeng Co.) [12]. - For AI intelligent vehicles, the preference is for Hong Kong stocks (Xiaopeng Motors-W, Li Auto-W, Xiaomi Group-W) over A-shares (Seres, SAIC Group, BYD) [12]. Group 4: Sales and Forecasts - The total number of passenger vehicles insured this week was 462,000, with a week-on-week increase of 5.0% and a month-on-month increase of 16.2%. New energy vehicles accounted for 245,000 units, with a penetration rate of 53.1% [47]. - The forecast for 2025 indicates a total retail sales volume of 2,369,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.1% [48][49]. - The expected sales volume for heavy trucks in 2025 is 750,000 units, with a year-on-year increase of 24.9% [53].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the automotive sector, suggesting an increase in investment weight towards automotive dividend style configurations for the second half of 2025 [2][3]. Core Insights - The automotive sector is experiencing a recovery, with a 5.0% week-on-week increase in compulsory insurance for passenger vehicles, totaling 462,000 units in the last week of July [2][50]. - The report highlights significant developments in the industry, including the launch of new models from major players like Xiaopeng and Li Auto, which are expected to enhance market competitiveness [2][3]. - The report anticipates a structural market opportunity as the industry transitions towards electric and intelligent vehicles, with a recommendation to focus on companies leading in AI and robotics innovation [3][54]. Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - The automotive sector ranked 6th in A-shares and 21st in Hong Kong stocks for the week, with motorcycles showing the best performance [7][15]. - The report notes that the SW motorcycle and other segments increased by 9.6%, while the SW passenger vehicle segment decreased by 0.7% [2][16]. Industry Changes - Key changes include the unveiling of Xiaopeng's new P7 model and pricing adjustments for Li Auto's i8, which aims to enhance customer appeal [2][3]. - The report discusses the introduction of new policies to support vehicle scrappage and replacement, which are expected to boost domestic consumption [51][59]. Sales and Forecasts - The report projects a total of 23.69 million passenger vehicles to be sold in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.1% [51][52]. - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles is expected to reach 60.6% by 2025, with significant growth in both domestic and export markets [52][59]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests increasing allocations in sectors benefiting from the automotive dividend, including buses, heavy trucks, and two-wheelers, while also focusing on AI and robotics components [3][54]. - Specific stocks recommended include Spring Power, Yutong Bus, and major players in the electric vehicle market such as Xiaopeng and Li Auto [3][64].

Core Viewpoint - The bus industry is experiencing a growth phase driven by both export increases and domestic demand recovery, with leading companies expected to continue releasing performance elasticity [1][2] Export Growth - In 2024, China's medium and large bus exports are projected to reach 45,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 38%, benefiting from demand in the Middle East, Asia, and Latin America, as well as an increase in market share for Chinese brands [2][3] - The top five export markets for Chinese buses in 2024 will be the Middle East, Asia, the Commonwealth of Independent States, Latin America, and Africa, accounting for approximately 90% of total exports [4][5] Domestic Market Recovery - Domestic sales of medium and large buses are expected to reach 71,000 units in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 27%, driven by public transport subsidies and the recovery of the tourism market [2][6] - The new round of public transport subsidies will increase the single vehicle subsidy from 60,000 to 80,000, further stimulating domestic demand [2][6] Industry Structure - The bus industry has a high concentration, with the top three companies accounting for over 70% of exports and over 60% of domestic sales [2][5] - The gross profit margin for leading companies, especially in the new energy sector, is significantly higher than that of domestic sales, which will help improve profitability [2][4] New Energy Bus Market - In 2024, global sales of new energy medium and large buses are expected to reach approximately 62,000 units, with a penetration rate of 18%, and domestic penetration reaching 56% [3][4] - The average selling price (ASP) for new energy buses exported from China is around 1.2 to 1.8 million yuan per vehicle, which is 2 to 4 times that of fuel buses [4]

Group 1: Automotive Sector - The recent issuance of the third batch of "old-for-new" national subsidies is expected to improve consumer sentiment in the passenger vehicle sector [1][2] - From 2026 to 2027, the exemption of purchase tax for new energy vehicles will be adjusted from a full exemption of 30,000 yuan to a half exemption of 15,000 yuan, indicating a reduction in tax incentives [1][2] - The adjustment in purchase tax is anticipated to lead to an upward beta, benefiting brands in the 300,000 yuan price range as the product cycle shifts from weak to strong [1][2] - The L2 autonomous driving national standard is expected to be implemented soon, further strengthening industry trends amid concentrated catalysts [1][2] - The recovery of domestic demand in commercial vehicles and the rising export sentiment outside of Russia have led to strong performance from leading companies in the first half of the year, making them attractive to defensive funds due to their stable low valuation [1][2] Group 2: Intelligent Driving Sector - The L4 autonomous driving industry is approaching a turning point in terms of costs and technology, with ongoing evolution in technology iterations, industry structure, and new business models [2] - The upcoming release of the L2 strong standard consultation draft signifies national endorsement, making intelligence a quantifiable brand strength [2] - Focus is recommended on the intelligent testing segment and the L3-L4 autonomous driving operation sector [2] Group 3: Robotics Sector - The robotics sector has shown significant strength since mid-July, although recent weeks have seen some volatility and differentiation among individual stocks [3] - The sector remains in a strong event-driven and industry trend reinforcement phase, with high market attention due to events like the WAIC conference and the upcoming WRC [3] - Quality stocks with alpha potential, particularly those entering the Tesla supply chain or representing technological iteration directions, are recommended for fund allocation [3] Group 4: Bus and Heavy Truck Sector - The Q2 performance surge in the bus and heavy truck sectors is primarily driven by increased exports of heavy trucks and large/mid-sized buses [3] - With domestic subsidies accelerating since May, the fundamentals of these two core sectors remain strong, and growth rates are expected to rise further in Q3 due to a low base [3] - Core stocks in these sectors are currently in an important allocation window [3]

Core Viewpoint - Ankai Bus (000868) reported a total sales volume of 668 units for July 2025, with a cumulative sales volume of 4,410 units for the year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 39.38% [1] Company Summary - Ankai Bus achieved a sales volume of 668 units in July 2025 [1] - The company has recorded a total of 4,410 units sold in the current year, indicating a significant increase of 39.38% compared to the previous year [1]

Core Viewpoint - Jinlong Automobile (600686) reported a significant increase in bus sales for July, indicating a positive trend in the company's performance [1] Sales Performance - In July, the company sold 3,402 buses, representing a year-on-year increase of 21.85% [1] - The cumulative bus sales for the year reached 25,912 units, showing a slight year-on-year growth of 0.70% [1]

Core Insights - The domestic bus market in China showed significant growth in the first half of 2025, with passenger vehicle sales reaching 265,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 8.7%, more than double the growth rate of 3.9% in the same period of 2024 [2] - The growth in bus sales was particularly pronounced in June, with sales of 53,000 units, reflecting a month-on-month and year-on-year increase of 22.6% [2] - Key drivers of this growth include the rising penetration of new energy vehicles (NEVs), a resurgence in large public transport orders, and an increase in export activities [2] New Energy Vehicle Market - In the first half of 2025, sales of large and medium-sized buses (over 6 meters) reached 55,857 units, a year-on-year increase of 6.58%, with NEV sales accounting for 20,788 units, up 33.14% [3] - The growth in NEV sales is largely attributed to the government's "old-for-new" policy for electric buses, which increased subsidies for replacing old buses [3] - Local policies, such as higher subsidies in Jiangsu and Qinghai for replacing old buses with new energy buses, further support this growth [3] Export Market Performance - The export of large and medium-sized buses reached 25,396 units in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.51%, accounting for 50.02% of total bus sales [5] - Since 2016, domestic bus manufacturers have increasingly focused on overseas markets, with significant growth in exports observed in 2023 and 2024 [5] - Major companies like Yutong, King Long, and Zhongtong have prioritized export growth, with Yutong securing multiple large orders in Central Asia [5] Financial Performance of Key Companies - King Long Automobile expects a net profit of 116 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 74.71%, while Zhongtong Bus anticipates a net profit between 165 million and 210 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 48.72% to 89.28% [6] - Both companies attribute their profit growth primarily to the increase in export business [6][7] - The overall performance of the bus industry in the first half of 2025 is considered strong, driven by high export growth and the need to expand into overseas markets due to domestic overcapacity [7]