Group 1 - Domestic refined oil prices are expected to rise by 600 yuan per ton, translating to an increase of 0.49 to 0.51 yuan per liter, with 92-octane gasoline potentially reaching 7.5 to 7.7 yuan per liter and 95-octane gasoline entering the "8 yuan era" [2] - The primary reason for the price increase is the uncertainty in the international crude oil market, exacerbated by escalating geopolitical risks in the Middle East and a surge in global transportation demand during the summer travel season [2] - The influx of speculative funds into the futures market has further pushed up oil prices, with Brent crude futures maintaining levels above 85 USD per barrel, providing cost support for domestic refined oil price adjustments [2] Group 2 - China's crude oil production has increased to 209 million tons from 2019 to 2023, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.9%, with production further rising to 143 million tons in the first eight months of 2024 [3] - The crude oil processing volume in China has shown a stable upward trend, reaching 70.3554 million tons in 2021, with a cumulative growth of 4.3% [4] - Analysts suggest that the tight supply-demand balance in the international crude oil market is unlikely to ease in the short term, and geopolitical risks remain, indicating that oil prices may continue to operate at high levels [4]

据今日油价消息，7月1日24时，国内成品油价格或将迎来上涨，预计汽、柴油每吨上调 600元，折合每升上涨0.49一0.51元。按此计算，加满一箱50升的92号汽油，将多花24一 25元。 目前，全国多地92号汽油已普遍回升至7元以上，如果此次油价上调落地，92号汽油或将 全面进入7.5一7.7元/升区间，95号汽油将进入"8元时代"。 来源：每日经济新闻综合自湖南日报、公开消息等 更多财经视频，请关注视频号"新浪财经" 往期回顾 业内人士分析指出，近期伊以冲突持续发酵导致国际原油供应紧张，全球原油需求强劲，促 使油价居高不下。 下一轮成品油零售调价窗口2025年7月1日24时，油价调整日历请收好： ...

Core Viewpoint - The international oil prices are experiencing significant increases, with expectations of the largest price hike of the year due to geopolitical tensions and strong global demand [1][2]. Group 1: Oil Price Trends - As of June 27, 2023, the price of light crude oil futures for August delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose by $0.28 to $65.52 per barrel, an increase of 0.43% [1]. - The Brent crude oil futures for August delivery increased by $0.04 to $67.77 per barrel, marking a rise of 0.06% [1]. - Domestic refined oil prices are expected to rise, with gasoline and diesel projected to increase by 600 yuan per ton, translating to an increase of approximately 0.49 to 0.51 yuan per liter [1]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts that from 2024 to 2030, global oil demand will increase by an average of 2.5 million barrels per day, while global oil production capacity is expected to rise by over 5 million barrels per day [2]. - By 2030, global oil demand is projected to reach approximately 105.5 million barrels per day, while production capacity will reach about 114.7 million barrels per day [2]. - The IEA's director highlighted that while oil supply is expected to remain ample in the coming years, recent events underscore significant geopolitical risks to oil supply security [2].

油价调整日历请收好 7月1日24时，国内成品油价格或将迎来上涨， 预计汽、柴油每吨上调 600元 ，折合每升上 涨 0.49~0.51元 。按此计算，加满一箱50升的92号汽油，将多花 24~25元 。 目前，全国多地92号汽油已普遍回升至7元以上，如果此次油价上调落地，92号汽油或将全 面进入 7.5~7.7元/升 区间，95号汽油将进入 "8元时代" 。 业内人士分析指出，国际原油供应紧张，全球原油需求强劲，促使油价居高不下。 下一轮成品油零售调价窗口 2025年7月1日24时 来源：今日油价查询、湖北日报 关注" 新华网财经 "视频号 更多财经资讯等你来看 往期推荐 王化回应网传"小米前总监大瓜"：系食堂切菜工，因旷工被开除 西贝致歉 ...

美、布两油短线走高0.5美元，现分别报65.91美元/桶和66.92美元/桶。 ...

Core Insights - The current interest rates are only slightly restrictive and may remain stable for some time [1] - The Federal Reserve is still some distance from achieving its inflation target, and official data may not fully reflect recent changes, including the recent rise in oil prices [1] - There is a divergence among Federal Reserve officials regarding the timing of interest rate cuts, with some suggesting as early as July and others indicating a wait until the fall [1] - Chairman Powell prefers to observe economic performance further before making any policy adjustments [1]

霍尔木兹海峡，持续刷屏！ 据最新消息，两艘超级油轮在霍尔木兹海峡突然掉头，驶离波斯湾入口。此外，航运巨头马士基22日表示，目 前仍在通行霍尔木兹海峡，但准备根据现有信息重新评估。 据彭博社最新报道，国际货币基金组织（IMF）总裁格奥尔基耶娃23日在接受该媒体采访时警告称，随着全球 不确定性加剧，美国对伊朗发动袭击可能在能源领域以外带来更广泛影响。格奥尔基耶娃表示，当前最大的冲 击主要体现在能源价格方面，IMF正密切关注其走势，但"还可能出现二级和三级影响。比如，如果局势更加 动荡，冲击到大型经济体的增长前景，全球经济增速预期将会面临下调的连锁反应"。 在上述背景下，国际油价6月23日一度飙升超过4%，创下今年1月以来新高。截至发稿，油价涨幅有所回落， 布伦特原油涨0.61%报75.955美元/桶，WTI原油涨0.51%报74.24美元/桶。 然而，当前中东局势仍处于高度不稳定状态。当地时间23日，伊朗武装部队总参谋长穆萨维表示，由于美国公 然直接参战，侵犯了伊朗的主权，伊朗武装力量将会放手采取任何行动打击美国在中东地区的利益和美军，决 不退缩。 另据央视新闻援引伊朗迈赫尔通讯社23日报道，知情人士称，位于叙利 ...

汇丰：由于美国对伊朗的空袭可能引发霍尔木兹海峡关闭或其他伊朗报复行动的可能性增加，油价将上 涨。 ...

欧洲能源股因油价上涨而上涨 金十数据6月23日讯，随着油价攀升，欧洲能源股早盘走高。布伦特原油价格上涨1%，至每桶78.02美 元，并可能进一步上涨。市场观察人士正等着看伊朗如何回应美国。周末，美国对伊朗发动了一系列袭 击。IG Morning Call分析师写道，霍尔木兹海峡的关闭或中断可能会推动油价飙升至每桶100-110美 元。在伦敦股市，英国石油上涨1.5%，壳牌上涨0.8%，港湾能源上涨3%。法国道达尔上涨0.6%，西班 牙Repsol石油公司上涨1.1%，意大利埃尼集团持平。 布伦特原油 ...

在美国空袭伊朗核设施、油价走高之际，英国石油公司盘初股价上涨1.8%。 ...