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長城汽車(02333)短線攻略:技術面轉強,13.3元阻力位能否一舉突破?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-23 18:35
Core Viewpoint - Great Wall Motors (02333) has shown a strengthening trend, with a recent stock price increase of 2.10% to HKD 12.62, indicating potential bullish momentum in the market [1]. Technical Analysis - The stock price has successfully broken through the MA10 (HKD 12.36) and MA30 (HKD 11.94), forming a bullish alignment, while the MACD indicator has issued a buy signal [1]. - The Bollinger Bands are expanding, suggesting an increase in upward momentum, although the RSI at 55 indicates a neutral zone, and other indicators show overbought conditions, hinting at possible short-term volatility [1]. - The stock is facing a key resistance level at HKD 13.3, with a potential challenge to the yearly high of HKD 13.9. Important support levels are at HKD 12.1 and a stronger support at HKD 11.7 [2]. Trading Opportunities - For investors optimistic about Great Wall Motors' breakout, options include the JPMorgan call warrant (15880) with a leverage of 4.7 times and an exercise price of HKD 14.9, which has a relatively low implied volatility [2]. - Another option is the credit warrant (13639) with a leverage of 4.9 times and an exercise price of HKD 14.88, noted for its lowest premium and implied volatility among similar products, offering better cost-effectiveness [2]. - Products expiring in November, such as UBS call warrant (13608) and JPMorgan call warrant (14482), with an exercise price of HKD 18.82 and effective leverage of 4.5 times, have shown a recent increase of 9.52% [3].
紫金礦業(02899)短線爆發;技術指標全線亮燈
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-22 02:02
Group 1 - Zijin Mining (02899) has shown strong performance recently, with a stock price increase of 7.58% to HKD 18.52, indicating a potential upward trend [1] - The stock has broken through the Bollinger Bands upper limit at HKD 17.97, reaching an intraday high of HKD 18.54, suggesting a bullish momentum [1] - Technical indicators are signaling a strong buy, with 19 buy signals, 7 neutral signals, and 2 sell signals, indicating a robust bullish sentiment [3] Group 2 - Current stock price is hovering around HKD 18.24, with resistance levels at HKD 18.6 and HKD 19.1, while support levels are at HKD 17.5 and HKD 17.3 [4] - If trading volume maintains around HKD 788 million, the probability of a short-term price increase is estimated at 53% [4] - Recent performance of warrants linked to the stock has shown significant gains, with HSBC and UBS call warrants rising by 34% and 33% respectively, reflecting the high leverage potential of these products [6] Group 3 - Investors are advised to consider call warrants with a strike price of HKD 19.01, which have a leverage of approximately 5.1 times, suitable for capturing upward movements after breaking resistance [9] - For those concerned about potential technical pullbacks, UBS bear warrants with a redemption price of HKD 21 provide a safety margin, with a leverage of 5.5 times [9] - The recent rebound in gold prices and positive earnings expectations have benefited Zijin Mining, although overbought signals are emerging, indicating a possible price correction before further gains [9]
吉利汽車(00175)績前破頂,關鍵阻力位能否一舉突破?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-15 18:06
在2025年5月9日提及的吉利汽車(00175)相關衍生產品表現亮眼,其中瑞銀認購證15942兩日後升幅達8%,跑贏正股同期1.74%的升幅;滙豐認購證16184亦 錄得6%升幅,而花旗牛證68585則上漲7%,反映市場資金積極部署吉利短線升勢,槓桿產品表現明顯優於正股。 吉利汽車(00175)同樣將於日內公佈業績,截止11點43分,最新價報19.54港元,單日升幅達2.09%,盤中曾高見19.66元,創52周新高。成交量顯示資金持續 流入。技術指標方面,RSI升至69,接近超買區,但「強力買入」信號仍佔主導,MACD、保利加通道及一目均衡表均發出買入訊號,顯示短線仍有上行動 支持位與阻力位分析 支持位方面,首個關鍵位在17.6元,第二支持位15.5元;阻力位則看19.9元,突破後有望挑戰22.1元。10天線(17.88元)已升穿30天線(16.51元),形成黃金交 叉,短線趨勢偏強。 窩輪方面,滙豐認購證29483行使價19.64元,槓桿7倍,適合看好吉利突破阻力位的投資者;花旗認購證28798行使價19.5元,引伸波幅最低,槓桿6.34倍, 成本效益較高。牛證方面,瑞銀牛證54535收回價16.1元,溢價 ...
小米短線技術分析:關鍵位與策略
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-15 09:59
Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's stock price is currently facing short-term pressure, with key support levels identified at 47.2 HKD, 44.2 HKD, and 40.8 HKD, while resistance levels are at 53.1 HKD and 55.6 HKD. The market sentiment appears slightly optimistic with a 53% probability of short-term price increase [1]. Technical Analysis - The stock closed at 48.65 HKD, with a potential drop to 47.2 HKD being a critical level to watch [1]. - Technical indicators show a bearish crossover with the 10-day moving average (50.11 HKD) falling below the 30-day moving average (46.86 HKD) [1]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 53, indicating a neutral position, while the MACD shows a buy signal but with weakening momentum [1]. - The stock's volatility is at 10.9%, suggesting significant price fluctuations recently [1]. - Current technical signals include 9 sell signals, 8 neutral signals, and 11 buy signals, leading to an overall "buy" recommendation [1]. Derivative Instruments - For bullish investors, options such as the Morgan Stanley call option (14642) with a strike price of 55.05 HKD and a leverage of 5.6 times are recommended [6]. - UBS call option (14991) has similar terms with a leverage of 5.3 times [6]. - For bearish strategies, HSBC bear certificate (61377) offers an 8 times leverage, while Societe Generale bear certificate (61240) provides an 8.4 times leverage [9]. Market Sentiment - The market is currently observing a mixed performance in derivative products, with HSBC bear certificates rising by 61% and Societe Generale bear certificates increasing by 53% during a 5.26% drop in stock price [3].