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国轩高科股价下跌2.14% 碳酸锂价格波动引关注
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 15:20
Company Overview - Guoxuan High-Tech's stock price is reported at 29.21 yuan, down 0.64 yuan from the previous trading day. The opening price was 29.96 yuan, with a high of 29.96 yuan and a low of 29.06 yuan. The trading volume was 447,429 hands, with a transaction amount of 1.312 billion yuan [1]. Business Operations - Guoxuan High-Tech specializes in the research, production, and sales of power lithium batteries, which are widely used in the new energy vehicle sector. The company is located in Hefei, Anhui Province [1]. Market Conditions - Recently, the price of lithium carbonate futures has shown significant volatility, with the main contract rising by 18.5% from August 7 to August 12 [1]. - The lithium mine project in Yichun, Jiangxi, is currently in normal operation, and the mining license remains valid. The company is cooperating with relevant departments to conduct self-inspection to ensure orderly production and business activities [1]. Financial Performance - On August 12, Guoxuan High-Tech experienced a net outflow of main funds amounting to 247 million yuan, accounting for 0.49% of the circulating market value. Over the past five trading days, the cumulative net outflow reached 265 million yuan, representing 0.53% of the circulating market value [1].
碳酸锂价格重回8万元 汽车价格战可能打不动了
2020年4万元/吨, 4万元/吨× 0.036吨 = 0.144万元(1440元)。 2022年60万元/吨,60万元/吨 × 0.036吨 = 2.16万元。 电池生产企业仅碳酸锂的成本就要增加:2.16万元 - 0.144万元 = 2.016万元。 2022年是碳酸锂价格涨幅最疯狂的一年,面对狂飙的价格,超20家新能源车企发布调价通知,单车涨价幅度在0.3万-3万元不等。 2022年11月,碳酸锂价格攀升至每吨60万元后,开始走上下跌通道。进入2023年,碳酸锂价格迅速回落。至2023年4月,价格已跌破20万元/吨 关口,跌幅超过60%。碳酸锂价格开始回落后,2023年1月,残酷的价格战接踵而来。 前段时间,汽车价格战是所有汽车企业绕不开的话题,也引起有关部门的高度重视。而过去2年的价格战与碳酸锂释放降价空间有密切 联系。如今,碳酸锂价格触底反弹,碳酸锂释放的空间不复存在,这场汽车价格战可能打不动了。 碳酸锂降价释放空间 曾经碳酸锂价格有多疯狂?汽车圈、动力电池圈的人今天谈论起来仍然感到不可思议。从2020年约4万元/吨涨至2022年11月峰值60万元/吨, 涨幅超1400%。碳酸锂的价格创造了历史纪录 ...
碳酸锂期货大涨!新浪财经APP助力投资者抓住每一次机会
Xin Lang Qi Huo· 2025-08-12 08:43
2025年8月11日,碳酸锂期货全部合约涨停,次日,高开近10%,但临近尾盘跌幅收窄至2%。碳酸锂期 货究竟发生了什么?在当前市场信息爆炸的时代,投资者该用哪款软件,才能把握住机会?关注新浪财 经APP,这里有你想知道的一切期货信息。 8月9日晚:靴子落地 8月12日:冲高回落 周二,碳酸锂期货开盘涨近10%,据市场消息,锂生产商雅保在智利的碳酸锂生产线因生产安全问题导 致部分产线停产。午后广州期货交易所碳酸锂主力合约也因此大幅上涨,较上午再度上行超过3000元。 据了解,雅保在智利的碳酸锂总产能为8万吨/年。据SMM与相关人员核实,对方表示暂未收到相关信 息。 在过去几周里,"关于大厂矿区是否停产"的消息备受关注。该消息也成为碳酸锂价格波动的核心原因之 一。 从市场各方交叉求证获悉,宁德时代枧下窝矿区采矿端将于今晚12点确定停产。自8月10日起,该明天 就矿山采矿端就不开展工作了,且短期内没有复产计划。 8月10日:情绪发酵 宁德时代宜春锂云母矿准时停产,有人深夜上山蹲守!有投资者表示,"昨天,我们晚上9点多从小路爬 上山顶,11点达到山顶,到晚上12点,所有的作业挖掘机、推土机,都是准时停产。" 8月11 ...
供应端扰动未平息 碳酸锂期货全线涨停
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-08-12 00:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the lithium carbonate futures market has experienced a significant price increase due to the suspension of mining operations at the Jiangxiawo mine, operated by CATL, which has impacted market sentiment and prices [1][2][3] - The Jiangxiawo mine's carbon lithium supply is approximately 10,000 tons per month, and its suspension could lead to a potential supply reduction of about 6.8 million tons in the second half of the year, representing a decrease of 13% in domestic monthly supply [2] - Analysts suggest that while the current market sentiment is bullish, the actual impact of the mine's suspension on supply and demand dynamics needs to be closely monitored, as price increases may stimulate additional lithium resource supply [2][3] Group 2 - The suspension of the Jiangxiawo mine is expected to create a temporary supply gap, but the overall supply-demand balance may not fundamentally change unless there are significant shifts in demand or additional supply disruptions [2][3] - The current high prices of lithium carbonate may encourage high-cost mines and smelters to resume production, which could lead to an influx of overseas supply, potentially exerting downward pressure on prices if domestic policies do not impose capacity constraints [3] - Market analysts emphasize the importance of rational investor sentiment, warning against potential price corrections following the recent price surge driven by market emotions [1][2][3]
市场快讯:宁德枧下窝锂矿停产碳酸锂开盘涨停
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2025-08-11 11:43
宁德时代8月11日在互动平台表示,公司在宜春项目采矿许可证8月9日到期后已 暂停了开采作业,正按相关规定尽快办理采矿证延续申请,待获得批复后将尽早恢 复生产、该事项对公司整体经营影响不大。 机下窝采矿规模4500万吨/年,平均品位(氧化锂含量)0.27%,满产状态下年 产碳酸锂 6 万吨,每月产量可达 5000-6000吨,占去年全国总产量的9.4%。2024年 生产碳酸锂生产现金成本8.77万,叠加锂资源税,完全成本超10万,成本明显偏高, 市场竞争力较低。 本次视下窝停产,市场已有预期,上周四、五两个交易日,碳酸锂主力合约价 对宜春其他锂矿而言,由于其余矿山采矿证到期时间均在2027年之后,短期并 综合来看,短期情绪掉下碳酸锂价格价格偏强运行,但需警惕高价不可持续 格已上涨10.54%,现消息落地后预期兑现,价格继续上涨至8.1万元/吨。一方面, 目前下游大量备库意愿较低,多以刚需为主,难以接受如此高价位原料;另一方面, 若长时间维持该价格,其余碳酸锂厂家盈利空间恢复,供给将迅速得到补充,综合 来看,目前基本面供过于求情况下,短期超涨概率较大,之后价格仍将面临回调。 无到期重新审批问题。而新《矿产资源法》 ...
宁德时代旗下锂矿停产引爆市场 碳酸锂期、现、股联动大涨
Core Viewpoint - The confirmation of the shutdown of the Jiangxiawo mine by CATL has reignited market sentiment to buy lithium prices, leading to significant increases in lithium futures and related stocks [1][10] Group 1: Market Reactions - Following the shutdown announcement, all lithium carbonate futures contracts, except for the soon-to-be-delivered LC2508, hit the daily limit, with domestic lithium carbonate spot prices and lithium mining stocks rising sharply [1][9] - Ganfeng Lithium's H-shares saw an intraday increase of over 20% [1] - The average market price of domestic battery-grade lithium carbonate rose by 2,560 yuan to 74,520 yuan per ton, with other benchmarks also reflecting significant increases [9] Group 2: Trading Activity - The trading activity in lithium carbonate futures has intensified, with the trading position ratio for the "new main" LC2511 contract rising to approximately 2.8 times [2][16] - The total open interest for lithium carbonate futures increased from 69,000 contracts to 78,200 contracts between August 6 and 8, indicating a net increase of about 9,000 contracts [7] Group 3: Supply Dynamics - The shutdown of the Jiangxiawo mine is expected to reduce supply by approximately 0.9 million tons per month, as the associated three lithium carbonate refining enterprises have a combined capacity of 100,000 tons [13] - The mine's mining rights, which began on August 9, 2022, are set to expire on August 9, 2025, and there is potential for resumption of operations if the renewal application is approved [6][14] Group 4: Future Outlook - Despite the current bullish sentiment, there are differing opinions on the future price trajectory of lithium carbonate, with some analysts suggesting limited further price increases due to potential increases in imports and domestic processing output [13][14] - The market is also experiencing increased speculation, as evidenced by the significant fluctuations in trading positions and the potential for regulatory adjustments by exchanges in response to rapid price movements [17][18]
市场快讯:宁德枧下窝锂矿停产,碳酸锂开盘涨停
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2025-08-11 08:12
Report's Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. Report's Core View - The short - term sentiment drives the lithium carbonate price to run strongly, but it is necessary to be vigilant that the high price is unsustainable. After a short - term over - increase, the price will face a callback, and it is necessary to be cautious about chasing long positions [3][4] Summary by Related Catalog News of Lithium Carbonate Production Suspension - Ningde Times' Shixiawo mining area in Yichun suspended production on August 10th with no short - term restart plan. The lithium carbonate futures contract price reached the daily limit of 81,000 yuan/ton at the opening on August 11th [3] - Ningde Times stated on the interactive platform on August 11th that the mining operation of its Yichun project was suspended after the mining license expired on August 9th, and it is applying for the renewal of the mining license as soon as possible [3] Production Capacity and Cost of Shixiawo Mining Area - The annual mining scale of Shixiawo is 45 million tons, with an average grade (lithium oxide content) of 0.27%. Under full - production status, the annual output of lithium carbonate is 60,000 tons, and the monthly output is 5,000 - 6,000 tons, accounting for 9.4% of the national total output last year [3] - The cash cost of lithium carbonate production in 2024 was 87,700 yuan, and the full cost exceeded 100,000 yuan after adding the lithium resource tax, with relatively low market competitiveness [3] Market Reaction and Price Trend - The market had anticipated the suspension of Shixiawo. The price of the lithium carbonate main contract had risen 10.54% in the two trading days last Thursday and Friday, and continued to rise to 81,000 yuan/ton after the news was confirmed [3] - Currently, downstream demanders have a low willingness to stock up in large quantities and mainly focus on rigid demand, and it is difficult to accept such high - priced raw materials. If the high price persists, the supply will quickly increase as other manufacturers' profit margins recover [3] Impact of New Mineral Resources Law - Other lithium mines in Yichun do not have the problem of immediate mining license expiration. The Yichun Natural Resources Bureau has required relevant mines to supplement resource reserve reports by the end of September, and will comprehensively consider whether to re - approve mining licenses according to the new mineral law [3] - The new mineral law increases the resource tax rate for low - grade lithium mines and has higher environmental protection requirements, which raises the production cost of mica - extracted lithium and provides some support for the lithium carbonate price [3]
锂矿停产风波扰动 碳酸锂所有合约均触及涨停
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-11 06:16
8月11日,国内期市有色金属板块涨幅居前前。其中,碳酸锂期货所有合约均触及涨停,主力合约 (2511)涨幅8%,现报81000元/吨。 据国泰君安期货分析,锂矿停产风波扰动,价格预期走强。根据期货日报发布信息,宁德时代枧下窝矿 区停产,且短期不复产,预计碳酸锂价格将明显抬升。锂元素月度供需平衡的过剩幅度将呈现明显收 窄,并且下游企业碳酸锂客供比例预期将有下调的可能。价格上行的节点来看,在国内锂矿库存消耗、 日韩转口贸易、海外矿山发运增量、智利阿根廷进口碳酸锂、硫酸锂等明显增加以弥补缺口前,预计碳 酸锂价格将维持上行格局。考虑到贸易物流时间,给予锂价提供上行的时间空间。与此同时,仍需高度 关注项目的复工进展,复工后价格将快速下跌至成本抬升的价格中枢。截止上周五SMM长协基准价期 现基差(2509合约)周环比下跌7170元/吨至-4740元/吨,后续盘面继续大幅上行则存在较强的基差修复 可能。受事件型驱动影响,预计近期锂价波动加剧,建议投资者谨慎持仓。 申银万国期货表示,短期核心矛盾仍集中在仓单库存,特别是海外矿山财报将陆续披露,需要关注停 产/减产的项目情况。中期来看,新增产能还在陆续上车,不认为具备中期反转基 ...
【财经分析】供应再生变局 碳酸锂上行驱动能持续多久?
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 05:25
新华财经北京8月11日电(记者王小璐)在宁德时代宜春项目枧下窝矿区停产影响下,碳酸锂期货主力 合约11日开盘即涨停,报81000元/吨。相关锂矿股同样受到提振,天齐锂业、盛新锂能等概念股开盘 一度涨停。 具体来看需求端,当前碳酸锂需求端正呈现出"淡季不淡"的特征,对其价格也形成一定支撑。根据鑫椤 锂电发布的锂电产业链8月预排产数据,样本企业中电池排产110.3GWh,环比增长1.5%。从终端需求来 看,根据中国汽车流通协会乘用车市场信息联席分会数据,7月全国新能源乘用车厂商批发销量约118万 辆,同比增长25%,环比下降4%。2025年1-7月累计批发销量763万辆,同比增长35%。 陈婧预计,等到"金九银十"传统旺季来临,碳酸锂下游电池排产数据预计保持环比平稳小幅增长。 矿山政策变化成为最大风险 在枧下窝矿区停产带来的利多影响下,市场仍存在担忧,若国内其他矿区增产及海外进口量增长,是否 会抵消该矿区停产的供应量,从而对碳酸锂价格形成压制。 市场分析人士认为,该矿区停产后,短期内将对碳酸锂形成明显提振,而长期来看,随着碳酸锂价格上 涨,国内其他项目及进口端有望提供新的供应增量,碳酸锂或将再度承压。对于投资者而 ...
突传大消息:江西大厂矿区停产 短期无复产计划!“对碳酸锂市场影响有限”
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-08-11 00:58
"一会儿传言说停,一会儿又说没停,这些'小作文'太让人揪心了。我们干采购的,不关注行情肯定不 行,要是没及时察觉价格变动,错过了低价采购的机会,会被领导狠狠地批评一顿。"一家头部材料厂 的采购负责人李欢(化名)无奈地告诉期货日报记者,当市场行情随着"小作文"波动时,产业企业 很"受伤"。 作为下游材料厂的采购人员,李欢的工作是依据原材料价格变化制定相关采购策略。此前,他踩准节奏 选择了合适的价格进行套保,但几天后市场情绪又因"小作文"出现变化,价格朝着反方向走。 "作为产业企业,我们必须严格遵循套保规则,如果频繁地调整买卖策略,就有投机交易的嫌疑,可能 被财务和审计问责。"李欢说。 当下,大多数产业企业也面临和李欢一样的困境。碳酸锂价格被"小作文"牵着鼻子走,确实让整个行业 都陷入进退两难的境地。 "我们真切地希望'小作文'能少一些,碳酸锂价格在合理区间平稳运行。"李欢说。 期货日报记者留意到,过去几周,江西大厂矿区(宁德时代枧下窝矿区)停产的消息备受关注,该消息 也成为碳酸锂价格波动的核心原因之一。 从供应端来看,张维鑫认为,尽管碳酸锂价格在上半年持续下跌,但供给并未有效出清,供给弹性仍较 高。"当前,碳酸 ...