Core Viewpoint - The role of pensions is undergoing a historic reconstruction as the aging population in China increases, with those aged 65 and above reaching 15.6% of the population and expected to rise to 26% by 2050, creating pressure for value preservation and growth of pension funds [1][3] Group 1: Pension Investment Strategy - Pensions are designed for long-term stability and should not act as short-term speculators; they must support the real economy and optimize resource allocation across economic cycles [3][4] - The rapid development of new technologies provides opportunities for pension investments, which should focus on creating suitable investment products to enhance returns [4][6] - Pensions should direct funds towards strategic emerging industries such as artificial intelligence, new energy, and biomedicine, which require long-term capital support [3][8] Group 2: Long-term Investment Mechanisms - A long-term assessment mechanism is necessary for pensions to align financial supply with technological demand, ensuring they act as a capital engine for technological progress while sharing in the returns from innovation [6][7] - The valuation system for pensions needs to shift from traditional financial capital to strategic operational value, particularly in recognizing and pricing intangible assets like data and algorithms [6][7] - Pensions should transition from focusing on short-term volatility to a comprehensive dynamic risk management approach that emphasizes long-term value realization [7] Group 3: Market Ecosystem Support - The development of financial instruments that cater to long-term capital needs, such as long-term bonds and infrastructure REITs, is essential for matching pension durations [7] - Enhancing transparency and information disclosure standards for technology companies will improve asset pricing and market conditions for pension investments [7] - A performance-based incentive mechanism should be established to encourage asset management institutions to engage in long-term investments, creating a favorable market environment for pensions [7][8]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Stock Index Futures: Bullish [1] - Treasury Bond Futures: Volatile in the short - term, then bullish [1][2] 2. Core Viewpoints - The A - share market opened higher and closed higher, with the technology sector leading the gains. The content of the "Communiqué" of the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China boosted market confidence, and the structured market is expected to continue. However, the valuation of the science - innovation index is at a historical extreme, so be cautious about chasing high prices. The Sino - US economic and trade consultations released positive signals, and this week is the intensive release period of the third - quarter reports, so focus on important data such as the year - on - year revenue of the index [1]. - The recovery of risk appetite pushed up the equity market, and the positive signals from the Sino - US economic and trade talks further boosted the capital market sentiment, suppressing the bond market. But the central bank's restart of treasury bond trading strengthened the expectation of reasonable and abundant future liquidity, boosting the bond market sentiment, and the bond market will run bullishly in the short term [2]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Research Viewpoints - **Stock Index Futures**: On October 27, 2025, the A - share market performed well, with the Wind All - A rising 1.19% and a trading volume of 2.36 trillion yuan. The content of the "Communiqué" focused on three main lines, which met market expectations and boosted confidence. The Sino - US economic and trade consultations were constructive. This week is the intensive release period of the third - quarter reports, so pay attention to relevant data [1]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: On October 27, 2025, treasury bond futures closed higher. The central bank carried out 3373 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchases and announced 9000 billion yuan of MLF, with a net injection of 3483 billion yuan. The recovery of risk appetite and positive Sino - US economic and trade signals suppressed the bond market, but the central bank's restart of treasury bond trading boosted the bond market [1][2]. 3.2 Daily Price Changes - **Stock Index Futures**: On October 27, 2025, compared with October 24, IH rose 0.60%, IF rose 1.07%, IC rose 1.32%, and IM rose 0.34% [3]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: On October 27, 2025, compared with October 24, TS rose 0.05%, TF rose 0.12%, T rose 0.16%, and TL rose 0.34% [3]. 3.3 Market News - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange will introduce 9 new policy measures to promote trade facilitation, including expanding the scope of high - level opening - up pilot projects for cross - border trade and optimizing the foreign exchange settlement of new trade formats [4]. - The central bank governor said that the central bank will resume treasury bond trading [4]. 3.4 Chart Analysis - **Stock Index Futures**: There are charts showing the trends of IH, IF, IM, IC main contracts and their respective monthly basis trends [6][7][8][9][10]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: There are charts showing the trends of treasury bond futures main contracts, treasury bond spot yields, basis, inter - period spreads, cross - variety spreads, and capital interest rates [13][15][17]. - **Exchange Rates**: There are charts showing the central parity rates of the US dollar, euro against the RMB, forward exchange rates, the US dollar index, euro - US dollar, pound - US dollar, and US dollar - yen exchange rates [20][21][22][24][25].

Core Insights - The speech emphasizes China's significant contribution to global economic resilience and trade, particularly in the context of high-level opening up and cooperation with other countries [2][3]. Group 1: Global Trade Resilience - Global trade has shown strong resilience despite challenges such as the pandemic and geopolitical tensions, with an average annual growth rate of 5.4% from 2019 to 2024, an increase of 4.6 percentage points compared to the previous five years [2][4]. - The World Bank predicts that global trade will exceed $33 trillion in 2024, marking a historical high [2][4]. Group 2: Technological and Cooperative Drivers - A new wave of technological revolution and industrial transformation is injecting new momentum into global trade, with semiconductor trade surpassing $1 trillion annually and green trade in new energy growing from $10 billion a decade ago to over $100 billion in recent years [4]. - The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and other trade agreements have strengthened multi-level economic cooperation, maintaining a stable international economic landscape [4][5]. Group 3: China's Role in Global Trade - China, as the world's second-largest economy and largest goods trader, plays a crucial role in enhancing global economic resilience by stabilizing supply chains and providing a vast consumer market, with an average annual import of $3 trillion in goods and services over the past five years [5]. - The digital economy in China is projected to contribute around 10% to GDP by 2024, with digital service exports exceeding $400 billion, highlighting its importance in global digital trade [5]. Group 4: Foreign Exchange and Investment Reforms - China is advancing deep reforms in the foreign exchange sector, with a 37% increase in foreign exchange market trading volume and a 64% increase in foreign-related income and expenditure compared to 2020 [6]. - New policies are being introduced to enhance cross-border trade and investment facilitation, including expanding pilot programs for high-level opening up and optimizing foreign exchange management for new trade formats [7][8]. Group 5: Beijing's Economic Role - Beijing has maintained a goods trade volume exceeding 3.6 trillion yuan in recent years, with a service trade growth rate of nearly 10% annually, positioning it as a key player in global economic stability [9].

Core Insights - The speech by Zhu Hexin emphasizes the resilience of global trade despite challenges such as the pandemic, geopolitical tensions, and rising protectionism, with global trade expected to exceed $33 trillion this year, marking a historical high [1][2] Group 1: Global Trade Resilience - Global trade has shown strong resilience in the face of multiple challenges, with a projected total trade volume of over $33 trillion in 2023 according to the latest UN forecasts [1] - Key drivers of this resilience include technological advancements and open cooperation among nations, with significant growth in sectors like artificial intelligence and semiconductor trade [1] Group 2: Foreign Exchange Management Reforms - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) is committed to deepening reforms and enhancing openness in the foreign exchange sector to facilitate effective allocation of foreign exchange resources and manage exchange rate risks [2] - SAFE plans to introduce nine new policy measures focused on trade facilitation, including expanding cross-border trade pilot programs and optimizing foreign exchange settlement for new trade business models [2] Group 3: High-Level Institutional Opening - In September, SAFE launched a comprehensive policy package for cross-border investment and financing, with upcoming policies for multinational companies' integrated currency pools and management of funds for domestic companies listed abroad [2] - The implementation of integrated foreign exchange management reforms in free trade pilot zones aims to foster a new landscape of autonomous openness [2] Group 4: Risk Management and Regulatory Enhancements - SAFE will enhance its foreign exchange regulatory and risk prevention capabilities under open conditions, employing macro-prudential and micro-regulatory approaches [2] - The use of artificial intelligence and big data will empower smart regulation, improve monitoring of cross-border capital flows, and enhance the effectiveness of combating illegal activities [2]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has reached a significant milestone with the Shanghai Composite Index hitting a 10-year high, approaching the 4000-point mark, driven by strong market sentiment and positive economic indicators [1][5]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed up 1.18% at 3996.94 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.51% to 13489.40 points, and the ChiNext Index increased by 1.98% to 3234.45 points [4]. - Over 3300 stocks in the market showed gains, with a total trading volume of 23.566 billion yuan across the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges [1][4]. Sector Performance - Technology stocks led the market rally, with significant gains in sectors such as telecommunications, electronics, and materials [4]. - Notable stocks included Jiangbolong, which surged 17.88%, and several others in the storage chip sector hitting their daily limits [4]. - Conversely, sectors like gaming and real estate experienced declines, with companies such as Youzu Interactive and Giant Network seeing notable drops [4]. Economic Indicators - Recent economic data has shown positive trends, with industrial profits for large enterprises in China reaching 53,732 billion yuan from January to September, marking a 3.2% year-on-year increase [5]. - In September alone, profits grew by 21.6%, indicating a strong recovery in the industrial sector, particularly in high-tech manufacturing [5]. Future Outlook - Analysts express confidence in the A-share market's future performance, citing factors such as the emergence of competitive enterprises in the tech sector and a favorable interest rate environment [6][7]. - The overall valuation of A-shares is considered reasonable, with the Shanghai Composite Index's dividend yield remaining attractive compared to 10-year government bond yields [6][7]. - The potential for the index to break the 4000-point barrier is viewed positively, with expectations of continued upward momentum in the market [6][7].

Economic Development Goals - The "15th Five-Year Plan" aims for significant achievements in high-quality development and substantial improvements in self-reliance in technology[8] - The plan emphasizes deepening reforms, enhancing social civilization, improving living standards, and advancing ecological progress[8] - The economic growth target for the "15th Five-Year Plan" period is expected to be around 5% annually, maintaining a focus on stability despite challenges[9] Industrial and Economic Trends - Industrial production is improving, with a blast furnace operating rate reaching 84.71%[25] - Real estate sales rebounded post-holiday, with a weekly transaction area of 2 million square meters in 30 major cities, a month-on-month increase of over 50%[25] - Vegetable prices are experiencing seasonal increases, while the SCFI shipping index continues to rise significantly[25] Financial Market Insights - As of October 24, major global risk assets are recovering, with the A-share market showing a slow bull trend supported by policy measures[37] - The RMB's share in global payment currencies rose to 3.17% in September, improving its ranking by one position from August[37] - The U.S. CPI growth in September was below expectations, reinforcing the outlook for a potential interest rate cut in October, which positively impacted U.S. stock markets[37] Policy and Economic Support - The LPR interest rate remains unchanged, and MLF has been increased for eight consecutive months, with 189.35 billion yuan allocated for new policy financial tools as of October 17[47] - The government is focusing on enhancing employment quality, income distribution, and social security systems to improve living standards during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period[24] Risk Factors - Potential risks include macroeconomic policies falling short of expectations, a downturn in the real estate market, and escalating geopolitical tensions[4]

Core Insights - The seventh China-Belgium Technology Exchange Seminar focused on the integration of artificial intelligence in life sciences, healthcare, and sustainable development, exploring new cooperation opportunities between China and Belgium [1][2] Group 1: Event Overview - The seminar was held on October 24 at the China-Belgium Technology Park in Leuven, Belgium, with over 130 participants from various fields including biomedicine, artificial intelligence, new energy materials, and intellectual property [1] - The event was co-hosted by the China-Belgium Technology Park and the Association of Chinese Professionals in Belgium [1] Group 2: Key Speakers and Statements - Li Yan, the acting charge d'affaires of the Chinese Embassy in Belgium, emphasized the importance of seizing opportunities from the new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation, highlighting the successful cooperation in biomedicine and green energy [1] - Bernard Deweert, Chairman of the China-Belgium Economic and Trade Committee, noted that China has become a global innovation leader while Belgium possesses excellent universities and research centers, advocating for deeper collaboration in academic exchange and industry development [1] Group 3: Seminar Activities - Experts shared insights on topics such as molecular imaging system development, artificial intelligence-related research, and European patent applications during the thematic report session [2] - The seminar included group discussions on the latest applications of artificial intelligence in life sciences, drug development, medical engineering, and public health [2] - A roadshow segment showcased six quality projects focused on life and health innovation, with some projects planned to be established in Wuhan, Hubei Province, or localized in China [2]

全会提出，加快高水平科技自立自强，引领发展新质生产力。抓住新一轮科技革命和产业变革历史机 遇，统筹教育强国、科技强国、人才强国建设，提升国家创新体系整体效能，全面增强自主创新能力， 抢占科技发展制高点，不断催生新质生产力。要加强原始创新和关键核心技术攻关，推动科技创新和产 业创新深度融合，一体推进教育科技人才发展，深入推进数字中国建设。 据新华社，中国共产党第二十届中央委员会第四次全体会议，于2025年10月20日至23日在北京举行。 要加强原始创新和关键核心技术攻关，推动科技创新和产业创新深度融合。 ...

Core Insights - China Chengtong Holdings Group has led the investment in state-owned enterprises (SOEs) through fund investments, completing over 230 billion yuan in investment transactions, with over 90% directed towards SOE-related fields and more than 70% towards strategic emerging industries [1][2] Group 1: Fund Investments - The company manages eight different types of funds with a total scale exceeding 710 billion yuan, including the State-Owned Enterprise Structural Adjustment Fund and the Mixed Ownership Reform Fund [1] - Investments have been made to guide social capital towards key industries of SOEs, forming industrial clusters in sectors such as new energy vehicles, integrated circuits, and artificial intelligence [1] Group 2: Strategic Restructuring and Governance - In addition to fund investments, the company has self-raised over 93 billion yuan to participate in strategic restructuring and professional integration of SOEs, becoming a significant shareholder in various enterprises [2] - The company has explored governance mechanisms different from solely state-owned enterprises, actively participating in decision-making processes of the SOEs it invests in [2] Group 3: Focus on Emerging Industries - The company has cumulatively invested over 10 billion yuan in the new energy vehicle industry chain, collaborating with multiple SOEs in areas such as lithium battery raw materials and energy storage [1]

本届大会以"智造世界·创造美好"为主题，来自全球40多个国家和地区的1000多位嘉宾参加。 新华社合肥9月20日电 2025世界制造业大会20日在安徽合肥开幕，全国政协副主席王勇出席开幕式 并致辞。 王勇表示，习近平主席高度重视制造业发展，2019年向世界制造业大会亲致贺信。六年来，中国在 习近平主席重要贺信精神指引下，与各方秉持互利共赢理念，发挥大会平台作用，深化务实合作，为全 球制造业发展提供有力支撑。面对新一轮科技革命和产业变革，中国将坚定践行习近平主席提出的四大 全球倡议，愿同各方加强制造业等关键领域合作，打破技术、人才、数据等要素流动壁垒，推进产学研 用深度融通，突破关键核心技术，推动成果转化应用，实现绿色低碳发展，共创高质量发展美好未来。 ...