美元兑日元最近真是上演了一出精彩的"多空对决"。周三这天，汇率先是跌破了146.20这个重要支撑位，就在市场以为要继续下探时， 却突然上演绝地反击，一口气反弹150多点，重新站上147关口，让不少交易者直呼意外。 下面的支撑也很明确。146.00-146.20这个区域经过上次的假突破考验，证明还是比较可靠的。不过万一真的跌破了146，那可能就要往 下看到145.50甚至145.00了。 最近日本的经济数据不太理想，7月核心机械订单环比下降4.6%，确实让人有些失望。而美联储虽然降息，但态度还是挺鹰派的，这让 美元获得了一些支撑。不过市场更关注的可能是日本央行接下来的动作，毕竟现在日本通胀起来了，劳动力市场也很紧张，货币政策正 常化的预期一直都在。 眼下市场目光都聚焦在147.40到148.00这个关键区域。这个位置可不简单，汇聚了前期多个高点，特别是148这个整数关口，堪称多空分 水岭。要是能突破这里，往上看就是200日均线和本月高点149附近了。不过从MACD和RSI这些指标来看，现在的上涨动能还不够强 劲，需要再积蓄一些力量。 ...

（责任编辑：贺翀 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 每经AI快讯，9月17日，美元兑日元汇率跌至146.205，创8周以来新低。 每日经济新闻 ...

美元/日元汇率周二连续第二个交易日下跌，日元兑美元汇率升至147.19日元左右。此举反映了美元普遍疲软以及美联储即将降息的预期升温。 市场目前预计美联储本周将降息25个基点，预计今年剩余时间将总共降息67个基点。近期数据显示劳动力市场正在降温，通胀正在放缓，这进一步强化了这 些预期。 日本央行也将于本周召开会议，普遍预计将维持利率在0.5%不变。与此同时，政策制定者需要评估美国关税政策对日本出口依赖型经济的潜在影响。 即将发布的经济数据可能继续显示疲软：预计出口和进口都将保持疲软，核心消费者物价指数(CPI) 预计将放缓至2.7%，创下2024 年11 月以来的最低水 平。 在全球波动加剧的背景下，日元表现出相对强势，凸显了其作为避险资产的地位。 KVB技术分析：美元/日元 四小时图： 一小时图： 四小时图上，美元/日元继续在以147.33 日元为中心的盘整区间内交易，近期上行方向延伸至148.14 日元，下行方向延伸至146.90 日元。可能进一步跌向 146.30 日元。如果触及该水平，则可能出现回调至147.33 日元的走势，之后可能再次下跌至145.30 日元。MACD指标支持看跌预期，其信号线位于零 ...

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup indicates that the appointment of a pro-reflation figure as Japan's next Prime Minister will not hinder the normalization of the Bank of Japan's monetary policy [1] Group 1: Currency Exchange Rate Expectations - Analysts, including Osamu Takashima, predict that the narrowing of the interest rate differential between the US and Japan may exert downward pressure on the USD/JPY exchange rate over time [1] - The USD/JPY exchange rate is expected to peak around 150 this summer before retreating to approximately 140 in the fourth quarter [1] - In a risk-on environment, the downward pressure on the yen is increasing, as the Fed's potential rate cuts could boost the US stock market [1] Group 2: Key Levels for USD/JPY - The current outlook suggests limited downside for the USD/JPY exchange rate, with a potential bottom around 145 [1] - The key resistance level for the USD/JPY exchange rate remains at 148 [1]

Group 1 - The USD/JPY exchange rate maintains an increase of approximately 0.3%, currently at 148.50 yen [1] - The White House announced that President Trump signed an order to implement the US-Japan trade agreement [1]

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，美元兑日元短线下挫近30点，现报148.24。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The US dollar against the Japanese yen rose by 0.46% on September 3, reaching 149, marking the first time since August 1 that this level has been achieved [1] Group 1 - The increase in the USD/JPY exchange rate indicates a strengthening of the US dollar relative to the Japanese yen [1] - This movement in currency could have implications for international trade and investment strategies involving both currencies [1]

日本共同社：日本自民党总务会长铃木俊一拟辞任。外汇交易员 (@myfxtrader):#行情 日元日内持续走贬值，美元兑日元日内涨幅达1%，报148.64。共同社等日媒消息称，日本自民党2日上午召开有关参院选举大败的总结委员会会议，列举了“政治与金钱”问题等多条败因，还强调“要像解散政党一样重新出发”。石破茂政权的中流砥柱、干事长森山裕曾暗示会在总结完毕后辞职。 https://t.co/ciB0j1Xe4q ...

每经AI快讯，9月2日，美元兑日元涨幅达0.50%，现报147.92。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Core Viewpoint - The USD/JPY exchange rate is approaching a critical technical level ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech, with market focus shifting back to the 200-day moving average [1] Summary by Relevant Sections - **Current Exchange Rate Dynamics** - Since April, the USD/JPY pair has struggled to maintain stability above 148.65, with a key resistance level at 149.13 represented by the 200-day moving average (200DMA) [1] - The USD/JPY has not closed above the 200DMA for two consecutive days since December of the previous year [1] - **Market Expectations and Potential Outcomes** - There is a risk of hawkish sentiment in Powell's upcoming speech, which could lead the USD/JPY to test and potentially break through the long-term resistance level [1] - Conversely, if Powell's remarks are dovish or meet expectations, the support level is identified at 146.62, corresponding to the 55-day moving average [1]