Market Overview - The GBP/USD is showing a fluctuating pattern, while the USD/JPY is exhibiting a weak trend. The EUR/USD has potential for upward movement, and the AUD/USD is under significant downward pressure from a trendline. The dollar index is supported by the middle band in the short term [1] Key Economic Insights - Federal Reserve's Williams stated that the policy remains moderately tight and inflation is gradually decreasing. Each meeting is considered "real-time" [2] - Brazil's Finance Minister emphasized that the dollar will continue to be a reserve of value for many years unless the U.S. makes significant mistakes [2] - Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary announced the cancellation of a planned visit to the U.S. by the trade negotiation representative, insisting on lower U.S. tariffs [2] - The Bank of Japan's committee member reiterated the stance on interest rate hikes, noting concerns over tariff impacts [2] - Japan's two-year government bond auction demand hit a new low since 2009 [2] - The Russian Finance Minister projected that Russia's economic growth will not be less than 1.5% by 2025 [3] - The Slovak central bank governor appealed to the Supreme Court regarding a bribery case [4] - The Bank of Korea maintained its benchmark interest rate at 2.5%, aligning with market expectations, and expressed caution regarding potential exchange rate volatility [5] - The Bank of Korea's governor defended foreign exchange interventions aimed at preventing the depreciation of the won, which subsequently strengthened [6] Technical Analysis - GBP/USD is in a delicate balance, likely to fluctuate between 1.3405 and 1.3585. A clear market driver could break this balance and set a new direction [7] - The USD/JPY has a 14-day RSI of 45.967, indicating a neutral to slightly weak state, suggesting a potential for continued fluctuation [7] - The EUR/USD's 14-day RSI has just entered 50, indicating a need to monitor for upward movement, with a bullish flag pattern suggesting a breakout target of 1.2120 if it closes above 1.1740 [7] - The dollar index has key resistance levels at 98.83 and 98.95, with support levels at 98.27 and 97.5877. A drop below 97.54-97.59 could redefine the market structure [8] Upcoming Economic Data - The European Central Bank will release the minutes from the July monetary policy meeting at 19:30 [10] - Canada’s Q2 current account data and U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending August 23 will be released at 20:30 [10] - The U.S. will also revise its Q2 annualized GDP rate at 20:30 and report on the July pending home sales index at 22:00 [10] - The EIA natural gas inventory data will be available at 22:30, followed by a speech on monetary policy by Fed Governor Waller at 06:00 the next day [10]

金十数据7月22日讯，巴克莱策略师在报告中指出，在日本上周日的参议院选举后，超长期日本国债收 益率可能面临温和上行压力。"考虑到选举后日本执政党与在野党的力量平衡，30年期日债期限溢价的 合理估值应在150个基点左右，"该行表示。这意味着较周四145个基点的水平存在约5个基点的上行压 力。报告补充称，部分临时性因素可能额外带来5个基点的上行压力。 巴克莱：超长期日债收益率或面临温和上行压力 ...

Group 1 - The Japanese Finance Minister, Kato Katsunobu, has indicated a significant rise in ultra-long-term Japanese government bond yields [1] - This increase in yields reflects broader trends in the financial markets and may impact government borrowing costs [1] - The rise in bond yields could influence investor sentiment and market dynamics in Japan [1]

金十数据6月9日讯，据报道，日本政府正考虑回购部分此前以低利率发行的超长债券。此举将与近期收 益率急剧上升背景下其削减超长债发行的既有计划形成政策组合拳。日本财务省正试图与日本央行合 作，后者目前也不得不重新考虑明年的缩减计划。但所有这一切仍需要政府及其财政计划的帮助，以降 低日本已经庞大的公共债务。 据悉日本政府考虑回购部分超长期日本国债 ...

市场消息：日本政府考虑回购过去发行的超长期日本国债。 ...

日本政府考虑回购过去发行的超长期日本国债。 ...

据报道，消息人士表示，日本财务省将考虑削减超长期债券的发行。日本政府顾问小组警告日债收益 率上升将对财政造成冲击。 此前，超长期日本国债收益率飙升，机构相继发出警告，日债危机会否触发？外溢冲击如何？浙商银 行财富管理部总行投顾周锦舜分析认为，日本财政扩张倾向叠加国债拍卖遇冷 ，市场担心超长日债 供需失衡。本次日元套息交易逆转对全球流动性带来的外溢冲击或相对可控。关注后续日债拍卖情况 以及日本央行会否入场干预。超长期日债目前已被低估，回调后价值有所凸显。 今日午后，日本股债汇明显异动，日本国债市场大涨。日本40年国债收益率跌超3%，至3.424%； 30年期国债收益率下跌20个基点至2.835%， 为自5月8日以来的最低水平；日本20年期国债收益率 跌17.5个基点。对应地，日本6年期以上国债全线上涨。美国长期限国债收益率也全线杀跌，美国30 年期国债大跌1.25%，20年期收益率大跌1.17%，10年期收益率跌近0.9%。 与此同时，汇市也有大变化。美元兑日元短线拉升超60点，目前报143.10。欧元兑美元半小时左右 走低约20点，报1.1375。美元指数重回99上方。日经指数午后也是持续拉升。截至收盘，日经 ...

Core Viewpoint - Nomura Securities suggests that if the Japanese government decides to reduce issuance, the ultra-long Japanese government bond market may continue to stabilize in the future [1] Group 1 - Nomura Securities strategist Jin Moteki believes that the Ministry of Finance may shift towards short-term borrowing starting in the third quarter, reducing the issuance of ultra-long bonds while increasing the issuance of short-term bonds [1] - This expectation appears to have led to a bull flattening of the Japanese government bond yield curve today [1] - Close attention is required on the results of the Japanese government bond primary dealer meeting scheduled for June 20 [1]