Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China, along with financial regulatory authorities, has launched a comprehensive financial policy package aimed at stabilizing and invigorating the capital market in response to external uncertainties and pressures on foreign trade [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Policy Characteristics - The financial policy package is characterized by being timely, well-planned, and precise in its measures, addressing various aspects such as providing medium to long-term liquidity, stabilizing the real estate market, and supporting technological innovation [1]. - The policy includes both aggregate measures and targeted structural policies to effectively support specific sectors and industries [1]. Group 2: Impact on Capital Markets - The policy is expected to stabilize market sentiment, especially during global market volatility, by mobilizing state-backed entities to support the market [1]. - On the investment side, the policy aims to strengthen the alignment of interests between investors and funds, promoting the growth of equity funds and enhancing the long-term stability of investment behaviors [2]. - The financing side of the policy accelerates reforms in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market, enhancing the efficiency of mergers and acquisitions and improving the capital market's resource allocation capabilities [2]. Group 3: Role of Securities Firms - Securities firms are positioned as "tree planters" for financing technology enterprises, providing comprehensive financial services that include underwriting and investment [3][4]. - They are tasked with identifying high-potential technology companies and customizing financing solutions to support innovation and growth [4]. Group 4: Recommendations for Future Actions - The industry should focus on enhancing the institutional environment for long-term investments, increasing the proportion of medium to long-term funds entering the market, and improving the overall quality of listed companies [5]. - There is a need to deepen reforms in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market, optimizing listing conditions and supporting high-quality technology companies, particularly those with core technologies [5][6]. - Financial institutions should align their services with national strategies, optimizing resource allocation to support sustainable economic development [6].

Group 1 - The Shanghai government announced that over 370 companies will distribute nearly 39 billion yuan in dividends for 2024 [1] - Since the release of the "Eight Measures for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board," nearly 200 companies have announced share repurchase and increase plans, totaling around 18 billion yuan [1] - The government is enhancing investor rights protection and establishing mechanisms for multi-channel dispute resolution in collaboration with judicial authorities and arbitration institutions [1] Group 2 - The next steps include the continued implementation of the "Eight Measures for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board" to further support technological innovation and the development of new productive forces [1]

Key Points - In April, China's national economy showed resilience with stable growth, as industrial value added increased by 6.1% year-on-year, and the service production index rose by 6.0% [1] - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that from January to April, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) grew by 4.0% year-on-year, while retail sales of consumer goods totaled 1618.45 billion yuan, up 4.7% [1] - Real estate development investment from January to April was 2773 billion yuan, down 10.3% year-on-year, with residential investment decreasing by 9.6% [1] - The State Council emphasized the importance of accelerating the high-quality development of the technology service industry, focusing on areas such as research and development, technology transfer, and technology finance [3] - The introduction of the Harmony operating system for personal computers marks a significant breakthrough for domestic operating systems in the PC sector [5] Economic Environment - The National Bureau of Statistics indicated that the international environment remains complex and uncertain, but the long-term positive fundamentals of China's economy have not changed [2] - The potential reduction of tariffs between China and the U.S. is expected to benefit trade growth for both countries and support global economic recovery [2] - In April, there was a net inflow of cross-border funds amounting to 17.3 billion USD, with significant contributions from foreign trade and foreign investment in domestic bonds [4] Market Overview - The latest market data shows slight declines in major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3367.58, down 0% [7] - The onshore and offshore RMB exchange rates have decreased by 24 and 46 points respectively, indicating a slight depreciation [7] - Commodity prices such as WTI crude oil and Brent crude oil have also seen minor declines, while gold and silver prices have increased [7]

Group 1 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) held a meeting to discuss support for private technology enterprises, emphasizing the importance of deepening capital market reforms and enhancing the inclusiveness and adaptability of the market [1][3] - The meeting was the second of its kind in March, following a previous session focused on financial support for the high-quality development of private enterprises [1][2] - CSRC Chairman Wu Qing expressed hope that private entrepreneurs would leverage the capital market for transformation and contribute to high-quality economic development [4] Group 2 - The government work report highlighted the commitment to support the development of private enterprises and protect their legal rights, while also addressing issues like overdue payments to businesses [3] - Private entrepreneurs have expressed urgent demands for reforms in stock issuance, refinancing, and merger and acquisition systems to enhance investment efficiency [3] - There is a call for improved mechanisms for identifying and supporting technology companies, as well as facilitating the return of overseas-listed tech firms to optimize the structure of listed companies [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The importance of the capital market is highlighted, with a focus on the allocation value of the brokerage sector. The government work report emphasizes stabilizing the real estate and stock markets, indicating a sustained increase in capital market activity, which is expected to support brokerage performance and valuation recovery. Additionally, the acceleration of mergers and acquisitions is likely to optimize the industry structure and enhance brokerage profitability. Attention is recommended for leading brokerages benefiting from increased industry concentration and those with expected mergers and acquisitions [7][31]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The brokerage sector experienced a slight increase but underperformed compared to the CSI 300 index. During the week of March 3-7, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.6%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 2.2%, and the CSI 300 Index by 1.4%. The brokerage index increased by 0.7%, lagging behind the CSI 300 by 0.7 percentage points. The brokerage index's price-to-book (PB) ratio is 1.43x, with a 37% valuation percentile over the past decade. The top five performing brokerages were Guotai Junan (+5.9%), Xinda Securities (+3.5%), Huaxi Securities (+3%), Huachuang Yinxin (+2.9%), and Shouguang Securities (+2.7%) [3][10]. Industry Weekly Data - **Brokerage Business**: The average daily stock trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 15,064 billion yuan, a 9.1% decrease week-on-week. Despite this decline, the trading volume remains at a relatively high level since the beginning of the year. New fund issuance saw stock, mixed, and bond funds at 7 billion, 4.4 billion, and 6.4 billion units respectively, with significant fluctuations in issuance [5][19]. - **Investment Banking**: Six companies conducted equity financing during the week, raising a total of 9.6 billion yuan, with three IPOs raising 1.7 billion yuan and three refinancing deals raising 7.9 billion yuan [23]. - **Capital Intermediation**: As of March 7, the margin financing and securities lending balance reached 19,110 billion yuan, a 0.7% increase week-on-week, marking a two-year high. The financing balance was 18,992 billion yuan, up 0.6%, while the securities lending balance was 11.7 billion yuan, up 5.9%. The margin balance accounted for 2.57% of the total market capitalization of A-shares [6][23].

SAC 执业证书编号： S0340524070001 电话：0769-22119430 邮箱： wuxiaotong@dgzq.com.cn 金融指数走势 金融行业 | 银行：超配（维持） | | --- | | 证券：标配（维持） | 2025 年 3 月 7 日 分析师：吴晓彤 行 业 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFind 金融行业双周报（2025/2/21-2025/3/6） 保险：超配（维持） 政府工作报告提出适时降准降息，首次把稳住楼市股市写进总体要求 投资要点： ◼ 证券：政府工作报告首次提出"稳住楼市股市"，并强调"深 化资本市场投融资综合改革，大力推动中长期资金入市，加强战略性力 量储备和稳市机制建设"，彰显出国家对资本市场稳定与发展的高度重 视。证监会主席吴清在记者会上也指出，将进一步增强资本市场制度包 容性、投融资发展协同性、监管执法有效性以及市场基础制度适配性。 具体举措包括深化科创板、创业板、北交所改革；推动社保、保险、理 财等中长期资 ...