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【光大研究每日速递】20250728
光大证券研究· 2025-07-28 01:28
Group 1: Market Strategy - The current market trend is characterized by "rotational supplementary gains," with a focus on sectors that have lagged behind in performance but have shown strong historical results. Key sectors to watch include electronics and machinery, with specific attention to sub-sectors like chemical fibers, engineering machinery, military electronics, aerospace equipment, and automation equipment [3][5][6]. Group 2: Credit Bonds - During the week of July 21 to July 25, 2025, a total of 414 credit bonds were issued, amounting to 592.83 billion yuan, representing a week-on-week increase of 47.80%. The issuance of industrial bonds accounted for 219.28 billion yuan, up 24.66%, while municipal investment bonds and financial bonds saw increases of 2.90% and 122.44%, respectively [4]. Group 3: Banking Sector - As of the end of Q2 2025, the total balance of bank wealth management products reached 30.67 trillion yuan, with an increase of 0.72 trillion yuan in the first half of the year. Open-ended products maintained an 80% share, while the scale of current management products decreased to 6.4 trillion yuan. The asset allocation in Q2 showed a preference for public funds, cash, deposits, and interest rate bonds, while credit bond holdings decreased [5]. Group 4: Non-Banking Sector - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from a shift in preset interest rates, which may lead to a growth window for dividend insurance. Although new single growth may face short-term pressure, the increase in value rates is likely to support new business value (NBV). The recovery of the equity market, driven by stable growth policies, is anticipated to enhance the investment performance of insurance companies [6]. Group 5: Petrochemical Industry - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission emphasized the importance of long-term strategies and the development of new productive forces in state-owned enterprises. The focus is on optimizing the allocation of state-owned assets and resisting "involution" competition, which includes restructuring and enhancing the integration of resources [7].