Core Viewpoint - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated a potential for interest rate cuts in the coming months due to signs of slowing employment growth and economic risks [1][3] Group 1: Economic Conditions - The U.S. economy shows resilience despite high tariffs and tightened immigration policies, but there are significant slowdowns in the labor market and economic growth [1] - Powell noted that the core PCE price index rose by 2.9% year-on-year in July, attributing part of the inflation to tariffs [3] Group 2: Monetary Policy Stance - The Federal Reserve is open to adjusting its policy stance in response to changes in economic risks and outlook, emphasizing the need to balance maximum employment and price stability [1][3] - The Fed's interest rate levels are now closer to "neutral" compared to last year, and Powell stressed the importance of preventing temporary price increases from leading to long-term inflation issues [3] - The Fed has revised its long-term goals and monetary policy strategy, including the removal of the "average inflation targeting" framework in favor of a more flexible inflation target [3]

Core Viewpoint - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated a potential shift in monetary policy due to risks in employment growth and economic slowdown, suggesting an openness to interest rate cuts in the coming months [1] Economic Conditions - The U.S. economy shows resilience despite high tariffs and tightened immigration policies, but there are signs of significant slowdown in the labor market and economic growth [1] - Powell noted that the core PCE price index rose by 2.9% year-on-year in July, with tariffs contributing to increased prices for certain goods [1] Policy Stance - The Federal Reserve's interest rate levels are now closer to "neutral" compared to last year, and future assessments will be cautious to avoid transient price increases leading to long-term inflation issues [1] - Powell emphasized the importance of maintaining the 2% inflation target to ensure long-term expectations remain stable, reflecting on the high inflation experienced over the past five years [1] Strategic Updates - The Federal Reserve released a revised statement on its long-term goals and monetary policy strategy, which includes the removal of the "average inflation targeting" framework and a return to a more flexible inflation target [1]

Group 1 - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that current conditions suggest a downside risk to employment growth, which may require policy adjustments [2] - Powell expressed an openness to interest rate cuts in the coming months, despite existing inflationary pressures [3] - The U.S. economy shows resilience amid high tariffs and tightened immigration policies, but significant slowdowns in the labor market and economic growth have been observed [3] Group 2 - U.S. stock indices experienced significant gains, with the Dow Jones and Nasdaq rising nearly 2%, and the S&P 500 increasing over 1.5% [4] - The Dow Jones index reached 45,669.45, up 1.97%, while the S&P 500 index was at 6,473.61, up 1.62% [5] - Powell noted that tariffs have raised prices for certain goods, with the core PCE price index rising 2.9% year-on-year in July [5] Group 3 - The Federal Reserve revised its long-term goals and monetary policy strategy, including the removal of the "average inflation targeting" framework and a return to a more flexible inflation target [6] - Powell emphasized the importance of maintaining a balance between maximum employment and price stability, reaffirming the commitment to a 2% inflation target [5]

Group 1 - The annual Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Conference commenced on August 21, with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell delivering a significant speech indicating rising downside risks to U.S. employment and suggesting a potential policy adjustment by the Fed [1][17] - Following Powell's remarks, traders increased bets on a Fed rate cut in September, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut soaring to 91.1%, while the chance of maintaining the current rate dropped to 8.9% [1] - U.S. stock indices rose sharply after the speech, with the Dow Jones up 1.82%, Nasdaq up 1.83%, and S&P 500 up 1.52% [1] Group 2 - Major tech stocks experienced a collective rise, with Tesla increasing over 5% [3] - The U.S. dollar index fell below the 98 mark, reported at 97.8371, down 0.82% for the day, while non-U.S. currencies strengthened [4] - International gold prices rose, with spot gold surpassing $3,370 per ounce, and silver increasing over 2% to $38.965 per ounce [8][9] Group 3 - Popular Chinese concept stocks saw a significant increase, with the China Golden Dragon Index rising over 1.5%. Notable gains included Miniso up over 15%, NIO up nearly 14%, and Pinduoduo up over 4% [12] - Miniso reported a 23% increase in revenue and an 11% rise in non-IFRS net profit for Q2, exceeding expectations and prompting Bank of America to raise its target price for Miniso from HKD 32 to HKD 46.9 [14]

Group 1 - Powell's recent speech indicates an increase in downside risks to employment, suggesting a potential adjustment in monetary policy by the Federal Reserve [1][2] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September has surged to 91.1%, with traders fully pricing in two rate cuts by the end of the year [1][2] - Global risk assets experienced a significant rally, with major U.S. stock indices rising over 1%, and Chinese assets also showing strong performance [1][5] Group 2 - Powell emphasized that the current economic situation may require a shift in policy due to changing risk balances, moving away from a rigid economic condition framework [2][3] - The impact of tariffs on consumer prices is becoming clearer, with potential upward pressure on inflation that needs to be assessed and managed [2][3] - Goldman Sachs predicts that the Federal Reserve may implement three 25 basis point rate cuts this year, citing slowing employment growth and manageable market pressures [3] Group 3 - U.S. stock markets saw a strong uptick, with the Dow Jones rising 1.7%, Nasdaq up 1.64%, and S&P 500 increasing by 1.42% following Powell's dovish remarks [5] - Chinese assets, particularly the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index, surged by 2.4%, with various ETFs also experiencing significant gains [5][6] - Foreign investment outlook for Chinese assets is becoming increasingly optimistic, with improved growth expectations noted in recent surveys [5][6]

当地时间8月22日，美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会上表示，当前形势暗示就业增长面临 下行风险，风险平衡点的变化可能要求调整政策。鲍威尔称，美联储对降息持开放态度。 当天，美联储还发布了修订后的《长期目标与货币政策战略声明》。修订要点包括取消"平均通胀目标 制"，回归灵活通胀目标等。 （文章来源：央视新闻） 在通胀方面，鲍威尔指出关税已推高部分商品价格，7月核心PCE物价同比上涨2.9%。他强调，关税效 应可能是一次性冲击，但若通胀预期被推升，风险不可忽视。 在政策立场上，鲍威尔称，美联储利率水平已较去年更接近"中性"，未来将谨慎评估风险，确保不会让 一次性物价上涨演变成长期通胀问题。他重申，美联储将始终在实现最大就业和物价稳定的双重使命间 保持平衡。 "就业市场风险上升可能使美联储在9月降息" 鲍威尔指出美国经济在高关税与收紧移民政策背景下仍展现韧性，但劳动力市场与经济增长已出现显著 放缓。他表示，尽管通胀仍受关注，但就业市场风险上升可能使美联储在9月降息。他强调，在政策维 持紧缩的背景下，经济前景及风险变化或需调整政策立场。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a new monetary policy framework that adapts to the current economic conditions characterized by rising inflation and a strong labor market, with "uncertainty" being a key theme [1][2] Group 1: New Monetary Policy Framework - The new framework may emphasize that stable inflation is essential for a healthy labor market, potentially limiting previous concepts to periods of economic weakness or low inflation [1] - The current policy framework has faced criticism for its complexity, which may have delayed the Fed's response to rising inflation in 2021 [2] - The Fed's benchmark interest rate currently stands at 4.25%-4.50%, significantly higher than the near-zero levels maintained from March 2008 to September 2022 [2] Group 2: Dual Mandate Reevaluation - The challenge for the Fed is to avoid appearing to prioritize inflation control at the expense of the labor market, especially after the slow recovery from the 2007-2009 financial crisis [3] - The Fed's perspective has shifted to allow for continued employment growth without immediate inflation concerns, as evidenced by low unemployment rates without corresponding inflation increases [3] - Powell's recent statements suggest a return to the idea that price stability is a prerequisite for achieving a strong labor market, aligning with historical views from former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan [4]

Core Viewpoint - The Central Bank of Chile will initiate an international reserve accumulation plan over the next three years, aiming to gradually replace some existing foreign currency credit lines with domestic international reserves [1] Group 1: Reserve Accumulation Plan - The plan will allow for a maximum daily accumulation of $2.5 million [1] - It is expected to accumulate approximately $18.5 billion over three years [1] - The plan will be reviewed every six months, with potential adjustments based on significant market changes [1] Group 2: Financial Management Strategy - This measure is part of a broader financial management strategy [1] - The initiative aligns with the inflation targeting regime and floating exchange rate system [1]

智通财经7月31日电，南非央行行长称将基于3%通胀目标制，调整经济预测框架。 ...

Group 1 - The current trading price of silver T+D is above 8500, with a recent increase of 2.85% [1] - The highest price reached today is 8500, while the lowest was 8382, indicating a bullish short-term trend [1] - Resistance levels for silver T+D are identified in the 8500-8530 range, while support levels are noted in the 8150-8190 range [3] Group 2 - Japan's real wage levels are improving, contributing to moderate consumption growth [2] - Historical negative growth in real wages poses a long-term constraint on consumption capacity, necessitating sustained wage growth to solidify domestic demand [2] - The average wage increase in the 2024 "Shunto" labor negotiations is reported at 5.46%, marking the second consecutive year of surpassing previous levels [2]