具体来说，不失3320一线才有转圜余地，突破3380-3400才可能出现机会，一旦失守3300一线则危险就会降临。真正的机会出现需要突破3442-3461大缺 口，而一旦危险降临则会有可能回打3250-3220一带，极限甚至可能回打3174-3140一带（小概率对待）。强压力在3494-3509，想攻击这里的难度极大（小 概率对待）。 总体来看：目前属中期转强出现疑问。四月收上3380才行，收上3410才好，收上3440为强，收上3350是最低要求。 实盘：开盘3340，最高3361，最低3040，收盘3279，收出一根高开探底回升的小阴，跌幅1.70%。收盘在5季线上、在5月线下、在5周线下。实盘是清明 节后被不靠谱发动的关税战完全打乱了节奏，同时也是错失机会陷入危局之态。收盘结果属中期走坏。 大盘月线图： 上次月评《四月危机并存、不进则退》主要观点：四月危机并存、不进则退。 五月的技术面： 季线图看：5季线向上，在3254附近；10季线向上，在3187附近；20季线向上，在3278附近；30季线向上，在3155附近；60季线向上，在2952附近。不失5 季线中长期才有反转可能。 月线图看：5月线向下，在3 ...

Market Overview - The market is expected to experience a pullback, with a potential support level around 3200, and a resistance level at 3240 [1][2] - The current market position is suitable for holding 40-50% of positions, with a focus on technology stocks, particularly in the semiconductor and computing sectors [1][3] Semiconductor Sector - The semiconductor sector is highlighted as a key area of focus, with a V-shaped reversal observed in daily structures, although it is currently facing pressure at high levels [2] - Equipment and chips within the semiconductor space are recommended for investment, with specific attention to lithography equipment [2] - The best support level for semiconductor stocks is near the low point of a recent bullish candle, suggesting a potential for adding or replenishing positions [2][3] Investment Strategy - The strategy involves waiting for optimal entry points for adding positions, particularly around the opening price of a bullish candle from April 9 [3] - The first week after the holiday is deemed critical, with expectations of maintaining market support before potentially testing lower levels [3] - A focus on the 3200-3220 range is advised for future positioning, with a plan to increase holdings if the market breaks below 3250 [3]

前一交易日收评：收盘为空头占优但优势不大，若再失守3280就会有回打3260的可能。午评：总体呈现弱势整理状态，明天是本周的关键时点 午后窄振，最终收在3288之下，结果不可接受。个股涨多跌少。大盘和创指均按早盘分型定式报收了小k线。 大盘收出低开的缩量小k，中期走坏，短线空头占优。创指收出低开的缩量小k，中期走坏，短线空头占优。 前一交易日收盘点评"今天是有分寸的弱势振荡状态，3280一线失而复得，收盘为空头占优但优势不大。继续小心：一根中大阳完成任务或一 根中大阴调整展开。站稳3300才有转强可能，突破3317-3342才能转强，若再失守3280就会有回打3260的可能"。今天弱势整理状态延续，收盘 依旧是空头占优但优势不大。明天月周收官，也是本周关键时点，月k收阴已难改，周k还存变数。站稳3300才有转强可能，突破3317-3342才 能转强，若再失守3280就会有回打3260附近的可能。操作上，上下俩缺口间振荡，反复做T；先补上面，看多；先补下面，看空。 短线技术面：明天日生命线在3285附近，运行在其上才能看多。大盘日级别关键区域大致3285－3304，在上沿之上运行才是强势，才会反复上 攻，失守上 ...

Market Index Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower, filling the long upper shadow left by the previous day's candlestick, indicating a technical correction [3] - The index's candlestick showed a small body with a noticeable upper shadow, signaling a potential stabilization [3] - The weekly moving averages are currently under pressure, suggesting that the index may need further adjustment before a mid-term turnaround [3] Technology Innovation 50 Index - The Technology Innovation 50 Index has reached its fifth effective adjustment cycle, indicating a potential turning point [4] - Today's candlestick showed a low open and a subsequent rise, forming a small bullish candle that compensates for previous technical deficiencies [4] - The index is expected to stabilize and rebound on Wednesday, but a significant mid-term adjustment is still anticipated [4] A-Share Market Outlook - The A-share market is expected to continue experiencing structural trends as long as there are no significant declines in the major indices [4] - Successful trend trading is essential for achieving stable profits, with a focus on K-line analysis and structural patterns [4] - The market environment is challenging, and careful navigation is advised to avoid prolonged losses [4]

Market Overview - The market is currently experiencing a rotational trend with daily fluctuations controlled within 20 points, indicating a stable yet cautious environment [1][3] - The index has entered a protective state, with a focus on maintaining stability as it approaches the holiday period [3] Investment Strategy - It is advised to maintain a position of 40-50% in the market, with a recommendation to reduce holdings to 30% for profitable positions before the holiday [1] - For stocks that have reached a suitable entry point, particularly in the semiconductor and equipment sectors, there is an opportunity to consider adding to positions, but caution is advised regarding the overall market index [2][3] Sector Focus - The semiconductor and photolithography sectors are highlighted as having performed well recently, although adjustments are still needed before significant investments can be made [2] - Equipment in the semiconductor sector is currently in a profitable state, suggesting a favorable risk-reward ratio for investments [2] Support Levels - The major support level for the market is identified at 3240-3250, with a warning that a breach below 3200 could lead to further declines [3] - The market is expected to remain stable until new external funds enter, which would require positive news or policy changes to stimulate activity [3]

今天低开在3292，最低3279，最高3296，收盘在3288。个股涨跌家数比1216：4110，跌多涨少。 就调整来说，不下10日线的就还不能说是已走弱，如果20日线的支撑还在，调整也还是可以说是良性的状态，如果20日线都撑不住了，那就真的是走弱 了。不失20日线就不能说那只"无形之手"撒手了。 继续小心在这里又一次走成局部喇叭口的形态。 补掉3317周缺口是一定的，只是早晚的事。但3342缺口则未必能一口气补掉。 中期态势：已见底，转好可能已增大。站回250日线避免了陷入熊市状态，目前处于非牛非熊的状态中。 目前的策略：上下俩缺口间振荡，反复做T；先补上面，看多；先补下面，看空。 三大指数明天日级别关键区域：在上沿之上为强，跌破上沿为弱，跌破下沿为坏。 大盘在3285－3304，目前收在下沿之上。强弱点看3342。 创指在1941－2040，目前收在下沿之下。强弱点看2065。 今天明显是在调整的，是拒绝深调之相。盘中击穿了3280，收盘卡位在关键点位3288。无聊磨叽了一整天，几乎啥也没改变。空头占优但优势不大。所以 也就没啥可说的。 继续小心两点：一根中大阳完成任务或一根中大阴调整展开。 收盘结论：收 ...

Group 1 - The market showed a weak oscillation with more stocks declining than rising, indicating a cautious outlook for the upcoming trading sessions [2] - The critical support level is at 3280, and if it is lost, there is a possibility of a drop to 3260 [2] - The market needs to close above 3288 to maintain a bullish sentiment, with stronger signals coming from closing above 3308 and 3317 [4] Group 2 - The daily life line is at approximately 3289, and the market must stay above this level to maintain a bullish outlook [3] - The key range for the market is between 3285 and 3305, with a strong trend only if it operates above the upper boundary [3] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that the market must remain above the 60-day moving average to sustain a bullish phase and above the 250-day moving average to avoid returning to a bearish market [4]

Group 1 - The article discusses the impact of the U.S.-China trade tensions, highlighting that the recent tariff increase of 34% on U.S. imports has significantly weakened their competitiveness, potentially benefiting Chinese alternatives [1] - It suggests that despite the current challenges in U.S.-China relations, there is an opportunity for China to capitalize on the situation and aims for a comprehensive victory in the trade conflict [1] Group 2 - The three major indices experienced a collective decline, indicating a weak market performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping to a low of 3279.88 points before stabilizing [3] - The market is characterized by a narrow range of fluctuations, with a notable lack of momentum, suggesting that if the situation does not improve, bearish sentiment may prevail [5] Group 3 - The trading volume for the day was 1.06 trillion, a decrease of 57.2 billion compared to the previous trading day, with over 4100 stocks declining and nearly 100 stocks falling by more than 9% [6] - Despite the overall index not showing significant declines, the majority of individual stocks faced substantial losses, indicating a challenging environment for investors [6][7]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index is expected to have short-term entry opportunities tomorrow, but no medium-term opportunities until after the May Day holiday [1] - The index closed at 3288, with a support level at 3262, indicating potential upward movement despite a recent top formation [1][2] Technical Analysis - The market is currently in a downward oscillation from the peak of 360074, without completing a reversal [2] - Key resistance is at 3319, while support remains at 3262, with a focus on the 30-minute chart for potential buying opportunities [2] - The 5-minute chart indicates a need for a pullback before any upward movement can be confirmed [2] Sector Performance - The ChiNext Index is showing a different trend, with a continued pullback and a need for confirmation of upward movement [3] - Most sectors are experiencing declines, with notable drops in cross-border payments, communication equipment, and general equipment [3][4] - The software development sector saw a significant outflow of capital, indicating bearish sentiment [4] Market Sentiment - The market sentiment is negative, with 48 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 77 hitting the limit down, suggesting a lack of strong buying interest [4] - The number of stocks with declines exceeding 7% is concerning, with nearly 200 stocks affected, indicating a cautious approach for investors [4]

另外讲一下板块问题，重点关注半导体，整个半导体设备它最大的支撑就是4月9号这根大阳线的一半左 右，整体走势维持震荡往下，所以这个位置防止再下来。另外就是芯片，芯片整个指数它的跌幅是不到 位的，但是今天有很多芯片跌幅差不多，包括它是因为业绩不好导致的下跌，还是因为其他方面的原 因，很多的芯片已经给到了4月9号缺口附近，这类芯片可以选择先补仓，但是也不要补太多。因为整个 芯片指数它是上涨以后的小a小b小c回调然后再涨，目前处于小c浪往下位置支撑，就是4月9号高点缺口 附近，所以整个芯片整个指数下方空间，还有到了这个位置以后，芯片才可以选择补仓。 另外就是创业板整个指数说过它是1950上不去，目前依然是 a浪级别承压，结构上是下跌以后走a走b走 c认为目前还有b浪回调位置最大支撑就是1850附近，这个位置直接往上突破它突破，就得出放量实体阳 线，至少目前这根阳线没有出现量能缩，这是对的。 （原标题：和讯投顾陈满堂：一定要稳住） 指数不跌，但是跌票今天又是4000多家，咱们的观点不变，在没有经过深度回调之前，不选择去补仓， 两个字稳住。 和讯投顾陈满堂，整个大盘指数很明显，就是护盘指数波动幅度基本不大，但是两市每天都 ...