【导读】首批基金三季报出炉 基金经理调仓换股更看重成长性 中国基金报记者 若晖 首批 2025 年基金三季报出炉。部分基金的规模变动、基金经理调仓换股情况浮出水面。 数据显示，三季度，受益于份额增长及基金单位净值上涨，部分跟踪人工智能指数的 ETF 及 主投新能源、电子等领域的基金规模的增长。 基金经理操作方面，增持锂电产业链、港股互联网、以及有色板块内部的铜类资源股为调仓 的主要方向。 部分基金业绩、规模 " 双丰收 " 今年三季度， A 股市场在算力等科技板块带动下，走出一波极致的上涨行情，部分基金的规 模也跟着水涨船高。 基金三季报显示，赵诣管理的泉果旭源三年持有期混合基金规模从二季度末的 130.81 亿元 增长至三季度末的 190.69 亿元，单季度规模增长近 60 亿元。份额变化方面，该基金三季 度份额增长约 0.15% ，规模增长主要靠基金单位净值上涨带动。 Wind 数据显示，该基金 A 类份额三季度单位净值增长 45.58% ，今年前三季度单位净值上涨 48.80% 。 跟着人工智能指数的 ETF 在三季度获得基民踊跃申购。三季度数据显示，华富中证人工智能 产业 ETF 三季度末规模达到 8 ...

Group 1 - China has been the global leader in steel production since 1996, reaching 1.033 billion tons in 2021, accounting for over 50% of global output [1] - The consumption of steel in China also mirrors its production, with a total of 952 million tons, nearly 50% of global consumption [1] Group 2 - The production of high-quality bearing steel is technically challenging, requiring precise control over chemical composition, dimensions, and surface defects [3] - Historically, China lagged in this technology, leading to reliance on low-end raw material exports and high-priced imports of finished products [3][5] Group 3 - The high-end bearing steel market was dominated by foreign companies, particularly from the US, Japan, Germany, and Sweden, with Japanese firms controlling 98% of the Chinese market [6][8] - This monopoly affected critical sectors like aviation and military, highlighting China's weakness in high-end bearing production despite its large steel output [8] Group 4 - Xingtai Special Steel was established in 1993 to focus on high-quality bearing steel production, overcoming initial technological barriers to become a global leader [10] - The company achieved significant milestones, including a 1150-hour fatigue life for bearing steel, surpassing European products, and becoming the first Chinese firm to gain a green procurement channel from SKF [12][13] Group 5 - China's advancements in bearing steel have reduced dependency on imports, with projections indicating a decrease in import reliance to below 30% by 2025 [12] - The domestic bearing industry is expected to exceed 300 billion yuan in scale by 2025, reflecting the impact of increased R&D investments [12] Group 6 - Recent international market dynamics show Japanese companies, previously dominant, are now sourcing Chinese bearing steel due to production shortages [19] - Scandals involving Japanese firms mislabeling Chinese components as domestic products have highlighted the competitive pressures they face from Chinese manufacturing [21] Group 7 - The evolution of China's bearing steel technology has led to a gradual dismantling of foreign monopolies, with domestic firms increasing their market share and improving product quality [23] - The overall landscape of the manufacturing industry is shifting, with China's steel sector poised to become a dominant force in the global market [25]

Core Conclusions - The report indicates that the North Exchange has shown a significant underperformance compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets over the past month, suggesting potential for a rebound [1][5] - There are signs of a gradual shift in market style, with recommendations to monitor the increasing trading volume for potential rebound opportunities [1][5] Domestic Market Indices - The closing values and percentage changes of major domestic indices are provided, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3,916.23 (+0.10%) and the Shenzhen Component Index at 13,086.41 (-0.25%) [2] Market Review - On October 15, the North Exchange A-shares had a trading volume of 17.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.886 billion yuan from the previous trading day, with the North Exchange 50 Index closing at 1,508.31 (+1.62%) and a PE_TTM of 70.85 times [3] - Among 278 companies listed on the North Exchange, 213 saw an increase in stock price, while 58 experienced a decline [3] News Summary - As of September 2025, the total social financing scale was 437.08 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.7%, with the balance of RMB loans to the real economy at 267.03 trillion yuan, up 6.4% year-on-year [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission plans to establish 28 million charging facilities by the end of 2027, aiming to meet the charging needs of over 80 million electric vehicles [4] Investment Recommendations - The North Exchange is showing a strong upward trend with a shrinking volume, particularly in the technology sector, with notable performances in the pharmaceutical and electric equipment sectors [5] - The report highlights that the North Exchange 50 Index has outperformed the CSI 300 and the Sci-Tech 50 indices, indicating a recovery in market sentiment [5] - Key market drivers include reasonable liquidity, a weakening dollar index alleviating capital outflow pressures, and upcoming industry events [5]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the North Exchange market, suggesting a potential rebound due to recent underperformance compared to other markets [3][4]. Core Insights - The North Exchange A-share trading volume reached 17.8 billion yuan on October 15, 2025, a decrease of 2.886 billion yuan from the previous trading day, with the North Exchange 50 Index closing at 1508.31, up 1.62% [1][7]. - The report highlights that 213 out of 278 companies listed on the North Exchange saw an increase in stock prices, indicating a recovering market sentiment [1][14]. - Key sectors showing strength include technology, pharmaceuticals, and electric equipment, with the innovative drug sector benefiting from the upcoming ESMO conference and the charging pile sector supported by a new government policy [3][18]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The North Exchange 50 Index outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 indices but slightly lagged behind the ChiNext Index, indicating a recovery in market sentiment [3][12]. - The report notes a significant increase in social financing, with the total social financing scale reaching 437.08 trillion yuan by the end of September 2025, a year-on-year growth of 8.7% [1][17]. Important News - The National Development and Reform Commission plans to establish 28 million charging facilities nationwide by the end of 2027, aiming to double the charging service capacity [2][18]. - The report emphasizes the positive impact of recent financial data, suggesting that a moderately loose monetary policy will continue to support the real economy [17]. Key Company Announcements - Development Technology announced the use of 500 million yuan of idle fundraising for cash management [19]. - Kexin New Materials disclosed a reduction of 1.72 million shares by a major shareholder, accounting for 2% of total equity [20]. - Nengzhiguang plans to use up to 80 million yuan of idle funds for cash management [21].

Group 1 - Zhang Dong, the newly appointed chairman of Bosera Fund, highlighted that Q4 2025 may become a critical turning point for expectations in the capital market [1][3] - The Chinese economy has shown a remarkable GDP growth of 5.3% in the first half of 2025, distinguishing itself in the global economic landscape [2][3] - Major stock indices in China have seen significant increases in Q3 2025, with the CSI 300 up by 17.9%, the CSI 500 up by 29.46%, and the STAR 50 up by 51.2% [2][3] Group 2 - The capital market in China is expected to continue to highlight its value in global asset allocation, supported by proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies [3][4] - The upcoming Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China will discuss the 15th Five-Year Plan, which is anticipated to further enhance economic policies [3][4] - The public fund industry is undergoing significant transformation, focusing on enhancing asset management and comprehensive wealth management capabilities [4][6] Group 3 - Bosera Fund aims to maintain a long-term perspective while navigating market volatility, ensuring that investor value creation remains a core focus [5][6] - The company plans to improve its integrated investment research capabilities and enhance pricing and allocation abilities across various asset classes [6] - As a state-owned enterprise under China Merchants Group, Bosera Fund is committed to participating in public fund reforms and innovations to promote high-quality industry development [6]

Core Insights - The event highlighted the importance of developing China's own AI large models and maintaining a focus on the equipment manufacturing sector, emphasizing the need for innovation and perseverance in these fields [1] Group 1: AI Development - Wang Shaolan, president of Beijing Zhipu Huazhang Technology Co., emphasized the significance of creating a Chinese general-purpose AI foundation, stating that technology should serve the people and contribute to social governance and national development [2] - The latest version of the GLM series, GLM-4.6, was introduced, showcasing significant improvements in programming, context handling, reasoning, information retrieval, and writing capabilities [2] - Wang encouraged students to embrace challenges in AI, asserting that breakthroughs in technology are essential for reducing dependency on foreign technologies [2][3] Group 2: Equipment Manufacturing - Wang Feifei shared the journey of China's CNC system over the past two decades, highlighting the importance of experimentation and perseverance in achieving technological breakthroughs [3][4] - The narrative of overcoming challenges in high-end manufacturing was presented, illustrating that each technological advancement contributes to the broader goal of national development [4] - Wang Feifei's experiences underscored the notion that individual contributions, no matter how small, can significantly impact the industry [4] Group 3: Innovation and Entrepreneurship - Cong Junzhuang recounted the growth of his startup from two to over 120 employees, focusing on providing solutions for nano-level motion in extreme environments [5][6] - The application of piezoelectric nano-motion technology in scientific research was discussed, emphasizing its role in advancing studies in fields like disease research and quantum dot analysis [5] - Cong highlighted the supportive policies for technological innovation in China, encouraging students to pursue research in niche areas, as opportunities for innovation lie in these "small yet beautiful" endeavors [6] Group 4: Educational Impact - The event inspired students to integrate their personal aspirations with national development, emphasizing the need for interdisciplinary approaches in design and technology [6][7] - The demand for high-composite talents in the design industry was noted, with students encouraged to embrace new technologies and contribute to societal progress [7]

Market Performance - A-shares showed strong performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.22% to 3912.21 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 1.73%, and the ChiNext Index increasing by 2.36% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.09 trillion yuan, significantly lower than the previous day [1] - The technology sector, particularly photovoltaic, machinery, and communication stocks, led the gains, while defensive assets like gold also saw an increase [1] Investor Sentiment - Investor risk appetite was strong today, with over 4,300 stocks gaining [1] - Small-cap stocks outperformed large-cap stocks, and growth stocks were favored over value stocks [1] Trade Tensions and Market Outlook - The escalation of US-China trade tensions has led to a cautious sentiment among investors, particularly affecting high-valuation technology stocks [2][3] - Despite the trade tensions, the market has shown resilience, with investors having anticipated the complexities of US-China relations, limiting panic selling [2] - The trade conflict is viewed as a "lose-lose" situation, which may prevent further deterioration of the situation [2] Structural Opportunities - The A-share market is expected to exhibit more structural characteristics, with a recommendation to avoid previously high-flying sectors linked to overseas tech stocks [3] - Future opportunities may arise from domestic policies, particularly in high-end manufacturing and self-sufficient supply chains [3] Bond Market - The bond market remains neutral, with some signs of improvement, as the yield on 10-year government bonds has dipped below 1.75% [3] - Recent economic data has raised concerns about China's economic outlook, prompting a watchful stance on bond investments [3] Gold Market - Gold prices reached new highs, with COMEX gold trading above $4,200 per ounce [5] - The medium-term outlook for gold remains positive, driven by factors such as the weakening dollar credit system and ongoing geopolitical tensions [7][8] - Short-term geopolitical issues may lead to further spikes in gold prices, but the long-term fundamentals remain strong [8]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a significant surge in rare earth stocks, with 19 stocks hitting the daily limit or rising over 10% due to favorable policies and price adjustments in the industry [2]. Group 1: Market Performance - On October 13, the A-share market opened lower but rebounded, with rare earth concept stocks leading the gains [2]. - The rare earth ETFs, such as the Jiashi Rare Earth ETF, saw an increase of around 7% due to the rise in heavy-weight stocks [2]. - Major companies like Baotou Steel and Northern Rare Earth announced price increases for rare earth concentrates, with a new price set at 26,205 yuan/ton (excluding tax), reflecting a 37% increase from the previous quarter [2]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The domestic rare earth spot market is currently showing weak performance, with limited consumption capacity from downstream producers and a general lack of confidence among suppliers, leading to price declines for many rare earth products [3]. - Despite the current price drop, the production cost support and positive developments in downstream industries have led rare earth holders to maintain rational pricing strategies [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Multiple brokerages express optimism about the future of the rare earth market, highlighting that rare earths are crucial for high-end manufacturing and strategic emerging industries [3][4]. - The Chinese government's export controls and quota management are expected to strengthen the strategic position of the rare earth industry, ensuring resources are directed towards high-end applications [3]. - The demand for key elements like praseodymium and neodymium is anticipated to rise due to global green transitions and carbon neutrality goals, which will further expand the market for permanent magnet materials [4]. - The global demand for neodymium-iron-boron is projected to reach 329,000 tons by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 13% [4].

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth industry is experiencing fluctuations in stock performance, with notable movements in the China Rare Earth Industry Index and the performance of key ETFs, indicating a dynamic market environment influenced by supply and demand factors [1][4][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of October 15, 2025, the China Rare Earth Industry Index decreased by 1.67%, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [1]. - Shenghe Resources led the gains with a rise of 7.12%, while Northern Rare Earth saw a decline of 5.65% [1][7]. - The rare earth ETF, Jiashi, experienced a recent adjustment but had a cumulative increase of 7.97% over the past week as of October 14, 2025 [1]. Group 2: ETF Activity - The Jiashi Rare Earth ETF recorded a turnover rate of 15.94% and a trading volume of 1.458 billion yuan, indicating active market participation [4]. - The ETF's latest scale reached 9.091 billion yuan, marking a new high since its inception and ranking first among comparable funds [4]. - Over the past three months, the Jiashi ETF saw a significant increase of 26.03 million shares, also leading in new share issuance among comparable funds [4]. Group 3: Import and Export Trends - From January to August 2025, China's rare earth imports totaled 72,000 tons, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 21.4%, while exports increased by 14.5% to 44,400 tons [5]. - The report from Debang Securities highlights the strategic importance of rare earths in high-end manufacturing and emerging industries, emphasizing the dual resonance of supply and demand [5]. Group 4: Key Stocks and Weightings - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Rare Earth Industry Index accounted for 61.96% of the index, with Northern Rare Earth and Wolong Electric Drive being significant players [4][7]. - The performance of these stocks varied, with some experiencing declines while others, like Shenghe Resources, showed positive growth [7].

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth industry is experiencing significant profit growth, with major companies forecasting substantial increases in net profits for the first three quarters of 2025, driven by favorable market conditions and rising product prices [1][2][3]. Company Performance Forecasts - Zhongke Sanhuan expects a net profit of 80 million to 100 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 290.24% to 337.79%, with the third quarter alone projected to grow by 18.87% to 84.91% [1][2]. - Shenghe Resources anticipates a net profit of 740 million to 820 million yuan for the same period, reflecting a staggering year-on-year growth of 696.82% to 782.96% [1][2]. - Northern Rare Earth forecasts a net profit of 1.51 billion to 1.57 billion yuan, indicating a year-on-year increase of 272.54% to 287.34% [2]. - Jieli Yongci predicts a net profit of 505 million to 550 million yuan, marking a growth of 157% to 179% compared to the previous year [3]. Market Dynamics - The increase in profits is attributed to improved market demand and rising prices for rare earth products, as companies optimize production and marketing strategies while enhancing cost control [3]. - The price of rare earth concentrate has been raised to 26,205 yuan per ton, a 37% increase, reflecting ongoing adjustments in pricing mechanisms due to market conditions [4]. Trade and Import/Export Trends - From January to August 2025, China's rare earth imports decreased by 21.4% to 72,000 tons, while exports increased by 14.5% to 44,400 tons, indicating a shift in trade dynamics [5]. - The stock prices of key rare earth companies have surged significantly, with Northern Rare Earth, China Rare Earth, Shenghe Resources, and Guangsheng Nonferrous seeing increases of 168%, 119%, 146%, and 122% respectively since the beginning of the year [5].