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谷歌前CEO: 超级智能临界点逼近,中美只差“最后一脚”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-27 00:40
主持人:AI技术具有军民两用性,您认为我们该如何应对伦理困境? 施密特:美国军方已有某项指令,确保系统受控,当前的中美竞争将定义这一领域。 首先,当前美国政府的对等报复性145%关税政策, 对全球供应链影响深远。 文章节选翻译自埃里克·施密特4月的TED访谈内容。 01 AI时代大国之间的较量 博雅小学堂 给孩子受益终生的人文底色 谷歌前CEO兼董事长埃里克·施密特指出,DeepSeek的开源AI技术将引发全球范围内的快速扩散,带来"指数级跃迁"般的爆发式增长。 在我们行业,尽管听起来平淡无奇,但那些来自中国的包装材料和零部件——比如计算机里的小型封装盒、胶黏剂等——实则至关重要。 若中国切断这些供应,将是重大打击。与此同时,我们正试图阻止中国获得最先进芯片,这已引发他们的强烈不满。 基辛格博士(美国前国务卿、外交家)曾委托克雷格与我同中方开展"双轨对话",目前相关磋商仍在进行,他们最关注的首要议题正是这一问题。 事实上,看看DeepSeek的案例就明白了——他们通过提升算法效率,成功绕过了技术封锁。 由于中国坚持开源开放(如公开模型权重),我们反而能立即吸收他们的创新成果,并将其融入美国的技术体系。 因此, ...
当《黑镜》预言成真:AI接管世界后,人类还剩什么?
3 6 Ke· 2025-05-19 23:15
Group 1 - The article discusses the resurgence of science fiction in popular culture, highlighting the return of series like "Black Mirror" and "Love, Death & Robots," which reflect the increasing relevance of sci-fi themes in contemporary society [1][15] - It emphasizes the concept of a technological singularity, where advancements in AI and other technologies could lead to a utopian society characterized by abundance and reduced need for work [3][10] - The article references Nick Bostrom's book "Deep Utopia," which explores three progressive future scenarios: post-scarcity, post-work, and post-instrumental eras, each representing different stages of societal evolution in response to technological advancements [4][10] Group 2 - The post-scarcity era is described as a time of material abundance where basic needs are easily met, drawing parallels to the myth of Cockaigne, a utopian land of plenty [6][8] - The post-work era envisions a future where automation eliminates the need for human labor, raising questions about the meaning of work and how society will adapt to reduced employment opportunities [10][11] - The post-instrumental era suggests a world where human effort is no longer required to achieve desires, leading to a potential shift in societal values and the concept of personal achievement [12][13] Group 3 - The article raises critical questions about the implications of advanced technology on human purpose and meaning, particularly in a future where work may no longer be necessary [17][19] - It highlights the need for society to redefine concepts of work and learning in light of these technological advancements, suggesting a potential shift towards leisure and community engagement [11][14] - Bostrom's work is positioned as a philosophical exploration of these themes, encouraging readers to consider the future of humanity in a world dominated by superintelligent AI [15][17]
谷歌前CEO埃里克·施密特:“非人类智能”崛起将重塑全球格局
3 6 Ke· 2025-05-19 11:31
Group 1 - The arrival of "non-human intelligence" is a significant event that will fundamentally change the world, yet society's understanding of AI's disruptive potential remains severely underestimated [1][2] - AI technology is rapidly advancing, moving from language generation to strategic decision-making, with autonomous systems capable of performing complex tasks beyond public expectations [1][4] - The current global governance system is unprepared for the transformative changes brought by AI, facing challenges such as energy and computational bottlenecks, potential misuse of open-source models, and unclear safety boundaries [1][5][6] Group 2 - Three core challenges for AI development include energy and hardware limitations, data exhaustion, and the boundaries of knowledge, which must be addressed to prevent hindering progress [7][8] - The energy demand for AI systems is projected to require an additional 90 gigawatts in the U.S., equivalent to building 90 nuclear power plants, highlighting the urgent need for sustainable energy solutions [7][8] - AI systems are consuming nearly all available public data, necessitating a shift towards AI-generated data for future advancements [8][9] Group 3 - The risks associated with AI autonomy include recursive self-improvement, control over military systems, and unauthorized self-replication, necessitating the establishment of "power-off" mechanisms to maintain oversight [10][11] - A consensus exists in the industry that clear, executable regulatory frameworks are needed rather than a blanket halt on AI development [10][11] Group 4 - The competition between the U.S. and China in AI technology is critical, with potential implications for global security and technological leadership, particularly in the context of open-source versus proprietary systems [12][13][16] - The dual-use nature of AI raises ethical dilemmas, especially regarding military applications, necessitating robust human oversight in weapon systems [12][13] Group 5 - AI has the potential to revolutionize sectors such as healthcare and education, with advancements that could lead to significant improvements in drug development and personalized learning experiences [20][21] - The future of AI could enable a new era of productivity, with projections suggesting annual productivity growth of up to 30% through the integration of AI in various sectors [22][23] Group 6 - The ongoing technological revolution is likened to a marathon rather than a sprint, emphasizing the need for continuous adaptation and proactive engagement with AI technologies [22][24] - Companies and individuals must embrace AI tools to remain competitive, as the rapid evolution of AI systems is reshaping industries and job functions [24][25]
刚刚,OpenAI 官宣新 CEO!奥特曼发文祝贺
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-08 06:48
APPSO 刚刚,OpenAI 官宣新 CEO!奥特曼发文祝贺 就在刚刚,OpenAI 宣布一项关键人事任命:Fidji Simo 将出任 OpenAI 应用业务的 CEO,并直接向现任 CEO Sam Altman 汇报。 OpenAI 宣布重大人事调整 奥特曼狠抓技术 OpenAl Simo 于去年 3 月加入 OpenAI 董事会,曾在 Meta 担任 Facebook 主应用的产品负责人,后于 2021 年接任 Instacart CEO,并成功带领公司完成首次公开募 股。 她还主导了广告业务扩张,使得 Instacart 自 IPO 以来股价上涨了 52%,远超同期纳斯达克指数近 30% 的涨幅。 外媒 The Information 指出,Simo 在电商与广告业务的丰富经验,也被视为推动 OpenAI 商业化的关键补充。 今年早些时候,OpenAI 预计「免费用户变现」以及其他产品(比如广告)将在 2029 年带来 250 亿美元营收,占总收入的五分之一,而这一部分目前还为 零。 实际上,今年 3 月份,Altman 就宣布将更加专注于技术方向,首席运营官 Brad Lightcap 将全面接手 ...
AI如何改变产品、护城河与创业法则?
Hu Xiu· 2025-04-28 05:42
Group 1: Core Insights on AI Product Development - The rapid pace of AI development necessitates constant re-evaluation of technology and product strategies, contrasting with traditional tech environments where foundational technologies evolve slowly [2] - OpenAI aims to integrate research and product development, emphasizing that the best products emerge from collaboration between design and research teams [2][3] - OpenAI's product development follows key principles: iterative deployment, model-centric approach, and bottom-up innovation [3][4][5] Group 2: Key Skills in the AI Era - Evaluating benchmarks (evals) is crucial for understanding model performance and guiding product development, as large models exhibit inherent ambiguity [7][8] - The design of AI interactions should mimic human communication, enhancing user experience by making AI responses feel more natural and conversational [9][10] Group 3: Future of AI Product Development - The future will see more researchers integrated into product teams, with fine-tuning models becoming a central workflow in product development [11] - AI serves as a powerful tool in creative processes, enhancing productivity and creativity rather than replacing human input [12][13] Group 4: Insights for Future Generations - Emphasizing the importance of curiosity, independence, and critical thinking skills for children in an AI-driven world, alongside traditional programming skills [14] - OpenAI recognizes the vast opportunities in industry-specific data and use cases, indicating that many areas remain unexplored for AI applications [15] Group 5: Learning from Failures and Optimism for the Future - Reflecting on past projects, such as the Libra cryptocurrency initiative, highlights the importance of learning from failures and adapting to changing circumstances [15] - The company maintains a positive outlook on AI's potential to drive societal progress and innovation, viewing current models as just the beginning of technological evolution [16]
7x24小时非人类科学家入场:当AI开始自主探索科学未知领域 | 多伦多大学
量子位· 2025-04-27 08:19
universea 投稿 量子位 | 公众号 QbitAI 自主通才科学家(AGS)正成为现实! 来自多伦多大学、IIT、清华大学、浙江大学、罗格斯大学、哈佛大学、佐治亚理工学院和伦敦大学学院的跨学科团队的最新研究指出,融合 人工智能与机器人技术的"自主通才科学家(AGS)"不仅能独立完成从文献综述到实验验证的全流程,更可能以指数级速度推动科学发现,突 破人类能力的物理与认知边界。 除此之外,其团队还构建了将AI大脑与机器人躯体深度融合的通用科研系统概念框架,展示了机器人与AI科学家在自然科学、形式科学、应用 科学、人文科学,以及跨学科科学等全科学领域的原创性发现的潜力。 超级智能的曙光:AI与机器人科学家引领科研新时代 相比AI在工业生产或家庭生活中替代人类劳动,其在科学发现中的应用更能体现通用人工智能的真正价值——引领并超越人类水平的科研成 果,或许正是衡量超级智能的关键标准。 机器人与AI科学家正携手突破科学的边界,迎来一个全新的扩展定律(Scaling Laws),开启一个自主科学探索的新时代。 一、当AI大脑邂逅机器人躯体:通才自主科学家的诞生 自主通才科学家(AGS)正成为现实,这种系统将AI的智 ...
深度|前谷歌高管Mo Gawdat万字访谈:AI将重新定义经济学、工作、人生目标和人际关系
Z Potentials· 2025-03-20 02:56
Core Insights - The essence of AI has evolved from basic image recognition to a revolution in unsupervised learning, indicating a significant leap in capabilities and understanding [3][4][6] - The acceleration of AI performance is governed by a law of accelerating returns, with capabilities doubling approximately every 5.9 months, leading to exponential growth in intelligence [3][46] - The emergence of AI technologies like ChatGPT marks a pivotal moment in public awareness and interaction with AI, akin to the introduction of the Netscape browser for the internet [10][11] AI Development Milestones - The first major realization of AI's potential occurred around 2007 with Google's advancements, particularly highlighted by the "cat paper" which demonstrated unsupervised learning [3][4] - A second significant moment was in 2016, when breakthroughs in reinforcement learning and deep learning led to revolutionary training methods for machines, exemplified by AlphaGo's success [11][13] - The concept of AI as a tool for enhancing human intelligence is emphasized, with the potential for individuals to significantly increase their cognitive capabilities through effective use of AI [46][48] Skills Required in the AI Era - Three essential skills for thriving in the AI era are identified: mastering AI as a tool, engaging in truth-seeking debates, and fostering human connections [46][49] - The importance of human connection is highlighted, as businesses that prioritize genuine human interaction will likely outperform those relying solely on AI [49][50] Ethical and Philosophical Considerations - The discussion touches on the ethical implications of AI development, emphasizing that the true challenge lies not in the technology itself but in the values and motivations driving its evolution [38][40] - The potential for AI to surpass human intelligence raises questions about decision-making authority and the implications of transferring critical decisions to AI systems [42][43] Future Outlook - Predictions suggest that Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) could emerge as early as 2025, with profound implications for society and human interaction with technology [38][41] - The narrative warns against the dangers of a singular focus on AI's capabilities without addressing the underlying human values that shape its development and application [40][41]