证券研究报告 能源转型：可控核聚变发展加速，助力能源转型 华安证券研究所 张志邦（SAC职业证书号S0010523120004）zhangzhibang@hazq.com 王 璐（SAC职业证书号S0010525040001）wanglu1@hazq.com 2025年6月20日 目录 1.为什么现在关注核聚变？ 2.国内外核聚变行业进展及格局如何？ 2.1国内：科研院所引领，商业公司跟进 2.2国外：美国公司数量领先/技术多元，最早在2028实现聚变能源商业化 3.如何展望行业后续节奏？ 3.1后续展望：核聚变商业化发电时间在2030年代、落地场景多样、存在供给侧约束问题 4.核聚变板块投资机会梳理 4.1核聚变制造端产业链解析 附录：可控核聚变介绍 2 1.1短期有进展：国内外聚变项目招标/融资密集落地，商业/技术进展加快 1.2中期有加速：AI/高端材料等技术创新的带动下，聚变输出功率提升超预期 1.3重要性提升：全球竞赛的重要一环，能源转型的重要导向 1 为什么现在关注核聚变？ 3 1.1 国内外核聚变项目的近期进展 4 国内聚变项目开工/招标/技术进展加速 | 1 | 项目开工建设 | | --- ...

Core Viewpoint - Company is actively engaging with various institutional investors and has a diverse range of products across multiple sectors, indicating strong market interest and potential for growth [1] Business Overview - Company operates in four main business segments: 1. Industrial Testing Instruments, including helium mass spectrometers and leak detectors, primarily used in sectors like new energy and automotive [2] 2. Online Monitoring Instruments, focusing on environmental and industrial process monitoring, applicable in industries such as petrochemicals and metallurgy [2] 3. Laboratory Analytical Instruments, offering a wide range of products for life sciences and food testing [2] 4. Medical Instruments, with products like ultrasonic knives and blood dialysis devices, entering collective procurement in Guangdong [2] Product Applications - Company's leak detection technology is crucial for vacuum systems in nuclear fusion devices, ensuring operational safety and stability [3][4][5] - Various products, including helium mass spectrometers, are applicable in semiconductor manufacturing processes [7] R&D Progress - Development of blood dialysis equipment is on track, with prototypes undergoing third-party testing and expected to submit for regulatory approval by the end of 2025 [9] Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, company reported a main revenue of 134 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.87%, with a net profit loss of 5.45 million yuan, but an improvement of 83.78% [10] - The company maintains a debt ratio of 37.31% and a gross margin of 50.04% [10] Market Sentiment - In the last 90 days, four institutions rated the stock, with three buy ratings and one hold rating, indicating positive market sentiment [11] - The average target price set by institutions is 22.6 yuan [11] Earnings Forecast - Earnings projections for 2025 to 2027 show a steady increase in net profit, with estimates ranging from 53 million to 124 million yuan by 2027 [12]

Group 1 - The core point of the announcement is that China Petroleum Group Capital Co., Ltd. plans to invest 655 million yuan in Kunlun Capital to explore opportunities in the energy and chemical industry strategic transformation [1][7] - The transaction is classified as a related party transaction as China Petroleum Group is the controlling shareholder of the company, and China Petroleum Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of China Petroleum Group [1][3] - The approval process for the transaction has been completed, with the board of directors agreeing to submit the matter for review [2][8] Group 2 - China Petroleum Group has a registered capital of 48.69 billion yuan and reported a net profit of 161.34 billion yuan for the year ending December 31, 2024 [2][4] - China Petroleum Co., Ltd. has a registered capital of 18.30 billion yuan and reported a net profit of 164.68 billion yuan for the year ending December 31, 2024 [4][5] - As of the announcement date, China Petroleum Group holds 77.35% of the company's total shares [3][5] Group 3 - Kunlun Capital's total assets as of December 31, 2024, were approximately 108.72 billion yuan, with a net profit of approximately 50.05 million yuan for the same period [5][6] - The capital increase will not change the shareholding structure of Kunlun Capital, with the company maintaining a 20% stake post-investment [6][7] - The transaction is aimed at enhancing the competitive advantage and potential profitability of Kunlun Capital in the strategic emerging industries [8]

标配（维持） 有色金属行业双周报(2025/06/06-2025/06/19) 行 业 有色金属行业 美联储维持利率区间不变，金价短期小幅承压 2025 年 6 月 20 日 投资要点： 分析师：许正堃 SAC 执业证书编号： 行情回顾。截至2025年6月19日，申万有色金属行业近两周上涨1.95%，跑赢 沪深300指数2.83个百分点，在申万31个行业中排名第4名。截至2025年6月19 日，近两周有色金属行业子板块中，贵金属板块上涨4.05%，能源金属板块上 涨3.22%，工业金属板块上涨2.03%，金属新材料板块上涨1.19%，小金属板块 下跌0.97%。 周 报 有色金属行业重要新闻及观点 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFind S0340523120001 电话：0769-23320072 邮箱： xuzhengkun@dgzq.com.cn 申万有色金属行业指数走势 黄金。6月19日，美联储公布6月议息会议决定，宣布维持基准利率不变，将 联邦基金利率目 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant advancements in nuclear fusion research in Hefei, particularly the achievements of the EAST (Experimental Advanced Superconducting Tokamak) device, which has set world records in plasma operation, marking a crucial step towards the realization of nuclear fusion as a viable energy source [1][4][8]. Group 1: Progress of "Artificial Sun" - The EAST device achieved a plasma temperature of 100 million degrees Celsius for 1066 seconds, setting a new world record for high confinement mode operation [1][4]. - The CRAFT (Kua Fu) low ripple current drive system has passed expert testing and has been fully domesticated, playing a key role in heating plasma to extreme temperatures [1][4]. - Since its establishment in 2006, the EAST device has conducted over 150,000 experiments, contributing valuable data for understanding nuclear fusion processes [7][8]. Group 2: Energy Industry's "Butterfly Effect" - Nuclear fusion energy offers unique advantages such as abundant raw materials, safety, efficiency, and low carbon emissions, with deuterium extracted from seawater providing energy equivalent to 300 liters of gasoline per liter of seawater [11]. - The nuclear fusion industry chain is expected to grow significantly, with upstream materials like lithium and beryllium becoming increasingly in demand as research progresses [12]. - The midstream involves high-precision equipment manufacturing, which will accelerate the overall upgrade of China's high-end equipment manufacturing industry [13]. - The downstream sector will see a transformation in energy supply, potentially replacing traditional fossil fuels with clean nuclear fusion energy, enhancing energy security and reducing environmental pollution [14]. Group 3: Hefei's Support for "Artificial Sun" - Hefei has become a focal point for nuclear fusion research, establishing itself as a national scientific center with significant infrastructure and innovation platforms [16]. - The city has formed a fusion industry alliance with over 1,000 units to collaboratively tackle key technologies and accelerate the full industry chain layout [18]. - Hefei is actively promoting the transformation of scientific achievements into production, providing a conducive environment for technology commercialization [19].

Core Insights - The company has made significant breakthroughs in the manufacturing of core components for fusion reactors, focusing on vacuum chamber manufacturing processes since 2021 [1] - In 2024, the company won a bid for the BEST vacuum chamber project from Fusion New Energy (Anhui) Co., Ltd., with a total bid amount of 209 million [1] - The company has conducted over 50 experiments related to vacuum chamber forming, processing, welding, non-destructive testing, and measurement [1] Breakthrough Achievements - The company has resolved issues related to the precision control of hyperbolic thick plate forming, large rebound, and phase changes due to deformation during the forming process, which led to an increase in ferrite [1] - Significant progress has been made in electron beam welding of thick-walled austenitic stainless steel [1] - Advanced non-destructive testing techniques, such as coarse-grained weld seam array ultrasound, have been developed [1]

金 融 期 货 研 究 2025 年 6 月 20 日 期指：延续震荡，关注今日 LPR 毛磊 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0011222 maolei@gtht.com 【期指期现数据跟踪】 | 期指数据 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅% | 基 差 | 成交额-亿 | 成交量 | 变 动 | 持仓量 | 变 动 | | 沪深300 | 3843.09 | ↓0.82 | | 2348.4 | | | | | | IF2506 | 3840.4 | ↓0.80 | -2.69 | 505.7 | 43781 | ↓8584 | 37486 | ↓18151 | | IF2507 | 3798.4 | ↓0.82 | -44.69 | 325.8 | 28537 | ↑11110 | 55095 | ↑12489 | | IF2509 | 3766 | ↓0.93 | -77.09 | 427.5 | 37749 | ↑7758 | 117192 | ↑8211 | | I ...

Market Overview - A-shares opened mixed with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.1%, Shenzhen Component Index down 0.13%, and the ChiNext Index flat [1] - Sectors such as gaming, photovoltaic equipment, and paper-making showed strong gains [1] Institutional Insights - Dongfang Securities highlighted that geopolitical conflicts remain a significant negative factor, but with policy support, the market is expected to undergo daily adjustments with potential for a rebound next week, particularly in the technology sector [1] - Everbright Securities noted that despite market adjustments, indices are still in a range-bound oscillation pattern, with a focus on humanoid robot concepts [2] - Guotai Haitong expressed that external uncertainties are not sufficient to trendily disrupt the Chinese stock market, emphasizing that new technologies are the main focus and the financial cycle could be a dark horse [3] Sector Recommendations - Financial and high-dividend sectors are recommended due to the benefits from the domestic risk-free interest rate decline, including banks, brokerages, operators, and highways [3] - Emerging technology growth is emphasized, with recommendations for sectors such as Hong Kong internet, media, innovative pharmaceuticals, military, and robotics [3] - The revival of cyclical consumption is viewed differently, with a positive outlook on tightly supplied cyclical goods and new consumption driven by supply, recommending sectors like non-ferrous rare earths, chemicals, retail, and cosmetics [3]

Market Overview - The three major indices opened mixed, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.10%, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 0.13%, and the ChiNext Index unchanged [1][2] - Sectors such as rail transit equipment, photovoltaic, and gaming showed strong gains, while digital currency, oil and gas, and precious metals sectors experienced declines [1] Sector Analysis - According to Everbright Securities, the market is undergoing an overall adjustment, influenced by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which have led to a decline in the Asia-Pacific stock markets. However, the oil and gas sector saw gains despite the overall market downturn [3] - The report from CICC indicates that the global IP (Intellectual Property) and its derivative products industry is expected to enter a new growth cycle, with the global IP toy market projected to reach 525.1 billion yuan by 2024, growing at a CAGR of 8% from 2024 to 2029. The Chinese IP toy market is expected to reach 75.6 billion yuan by 2024, with a CAGR of 17.2% during the same period [4] - Galaxy Securities emphasizes that investment in the white goods sector should focus on the stability of company performance, while the black goods sector presents opportunities due to improved global competitiveness. The clean appliance sector is expected to benefit from industry consolidation, and AI and robotics technologies are anticipated to introduce attractive new smart products [5] Economic Outlook - Tianfeng Securities notes that the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates in June aligns with market expectations, but the likelihood of a rate cut in September remains low. The Fed is expected to adopt a cautious approach due to uncertainties surrounding government policies and inflation risks [6]

证券研究报告 | 浙商早知道 报告日期：2025 年 06 月 20 日 浙商早知道 2025 年 06 月 20 日 ：张延兵 执业证书编号：S1230511010020 ：021-80106048 ：zhangyanbing@stocke.com.cn 市场总览 重要推荐 【浙商机械 邱世梁/王华君/李思扬】应流股份（603308）公司深度：高端铸造龙头，受益 AIDC+航空科技+核聚 变产业大趋势 ——20250619 重要观点 http://www.stocke.com.cn 1/4 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 大势：周四上证指数下跌 0.8%，沪深 300 下跌 0.8%，科创 50 下跌 0.5%，中证 1000 下跌 1.4%，创业板指下跌 1.4%， 恒生指数下跌 2.0%。 行业：周四表现最好的行业分别是石油石化（+0.9%)、银行（-0.2%)、传媒（-0.5%)、电子（-0.6%)、食品饮料（-0.7%)， 表现最差的行业分别是纺织服饰（-2.4%)、美容护理（-2.3%)、轻工制造（-2.0%)、有色金属（-2.0%)、医药生物 （-1.9%)。 资金：周四全 A 总成交额为 1 ...