"据我所知，关于巴美矿产合作的事宜，中巴双方有沟通。"林剑指出，巴方强调，巴方与美方的交往绝 不会损害中方利益和中巴合作，巴方领导人向美方领导人展示和赠送的矿石，是工作人员购买的巴宝石 的原矿样品。 "你刚才提到的相关报道，或是不了解实情，或是捕风捉影，甚至是挑拨离间，是缺乏根据的。"林剑强 调，中方日前发布的关于稀土等相关物项的出口管制措施，与巴基斯坦没有任何关联，这是中国政府依 据法律法规完善自身出口管制体系的正当做法，旨在更好地维护世界和平与地区稳定，履行防扩散等国 际义务。 10月13日，外交部发言人林剑主持例行记者会。有记者提问，近日有媒体报道，巴基斯坦利用中国设备 和技术向美国出口稀土，触发了中国出台严格管控稀土相关技术出口的新规。部分自媒体发表视频和文 章，称"巴基斯坦向美国赠送稀土样品，并同意开展稀土合作。中国出招反制巴基斯坦向美国出口稀 土"。请问发言人对此有何评论？ 林剑表示，中国和巴基斯坦是全天候战略合作伙伴，两国的铁杆友谊历久弥坚。双方始终保持高度的战 略互信，在事关双方共同利益的重大问题上密切沟通。 智通财经记者 杨文钦 朱郑勇 ...

据北京日报，10月13日，外交部发言人林剑主持例行记者会。 有记者提问，近日有媒体报道，巴基斯坦利用中国设备和技术向美国出口稀土，触发了中国出台严格管控稀土相关技术出口的新规。部分自媒体发 表视频和文章，称"巴基斯坦向美国赠送稀土样品，并同意开展稀土合作。中国出招反制巴基斯坦向美国出口稀土"。请问发言人对此有何评论？ 林剑表示，中国和巴基斯坦是全天候战略合作伙伴，两国的"铁杆友谊"历久弥坚。双方始终保持高度的战略互信，在事关双方共同利益的重大问题上 密切沟通。 "据我所知，关于巴美矿产合作的事宜，中巴双方有沟通。"林剑指出，巴方强调，巴方与美方的交往绝不会损害中方利益和中巴合作，巴方领导人向 美方领导人展示和赠送的矿石，是工作人员购买的巴宝石的原矿样品。 "你刚才提到的相关报道，或是不了解实情，或是捕风捉影，甚至是挑拨离间，是缺乏根据的。"林剑说。 林剑强调，中方日前发布的关于稀土等相关物项的出口管制措施，与巴基斯坦没有任何关联，这是中国政府依据法律法规完善自身出口管制体系的 正当做法，旨在更好地维护世界和平与地区稳定，履行防扩散等国际义务。 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the rare earth industry as "Overweight," indicating an expectation for the industry to outperform the overall market [3][9]. Core Insights - The new export control regulations on rare earths, issued by the Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs, expand the range of controlled heavy rare earth elements and strengthen the control over export purposes, particularly for military and advanced semiconductor applications [3]. - The regulations create a comprehensive control system over the entire rare earth industry chain, enhancing China's pricing power in the sector [3]. - The report suggests focusing on leading companies with resource integration capabilities and growth potential, such as China Rare Earth, Northern Rare Earth, Baotou Steel, Guangsheng Nonferrous, Jinli Permanent Magnet, and Zhenghai Magnetic Materials [3]. Summary by Sections Regulatory Changes - On October 9, new regulations were announced, expanding the list of controlled rare earth elements from 7 to 12, including holmium, erbium, thulium, ytterbium, and europium [3]. - Export controls will now apply to military uses and advanced semiconductor applications, requiring case-by-case approval [3]. Industry Impact - The new regulations are expected to enhance the strategic value of the rare earth sector amid the ongoing US-China competition, with potential for upward valuation in the sector [3]. - The comprehensive regulatory framework covers all aspects of the rare earth supply chain, including raw materials, auxiliary materials, equipment, technology, export destinations, end users, and final uses [3]. Company Valuations - The report provides a valuation table for key companies in the rare earth sector, highlighting their stock prices, earnings per share (EPS), price-to-earnings (PE) ratios, and price-to-book (PB) ratios for the years 2024 to 2027 [4]. - For instance, China Rare Earth is projected to have an EPS of 0.34 in 2025 with a PE ratio of 162, while Northern Rare Earth is expected to have an EPS of 0.77 with a PE ratio of 68 [4].

Core Viewpoint - China's comprehensive control over the rare earth industry is expected to lower global supply growth forecasts, benefiting the domestic rare earth sector's high-quality development [1][2]. Group 1: Policy and Regulation - The Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs have announced that starting from November 8, 2025, export controls will be implemented on certain medium and heavy rare earth items, related equipment, raw materials, and technologies [1][2]. - The recent upgrade in export controls includes an expanded range of controlled items, now including five additional medium and heavy rare earth elements [2]. - Export controls now extend to overseas operators, requiring them to obtain export licenses from the Chinese Ministry of Commerce for items containing or mixed with controlled rare earth materials [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The demand for rare earths is expected to benefit from the continuous growth in the production of electric vehicles and wind power installations [4]. - As of August this year, China's exports of rare earth permanent magnets have increased by 15.4% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in export volumes [4]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Companies to watch in the rare earth sector include Northern Rare Earth (600111.SH), China Rare Earth (000831.SZ, 00769), Guangsheng Nonferrous (600259.SH), and magnetic material producer Jieli Permanent Magnet (300748.SZ, 06680) [5]. Group 4: Supply Chain Challenges - The difficulty of reconstructing the rare earth supply chain overseas has increased due to China's strengthened controls, enhancing the strategic position of Chinese rare earth products [3].

Core Viewpoint - China's rare earth export controls are seen as a strategic response to U.S. actions, reflecting a shift towards a more institutionalized deterrence approach, which may complicate future negotiations and economic relations between the two countries [1][4][5]. Group 1: China's Export Control Strategy - The export control is based on a licensing system rather than a ban, serving as a deterrent rather than an immediate retaliatory measure, indicating a cautious approach to escalation [5]. - The timing of the announcement is perceived as a response to U.S. provocations, particularly following Trump's threats of 100% tariffs, suggesting a calculated move to leverage negotiation power [1][2]. - The implementation of these controls may create a long-term structural tension in U.S.-China economic relations, complicating potential compromises [4][6]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Implications - Financial markets reacted to the uncertainty surrounding negotiations, indicating a shift from previous assumptions of stability to a need for re-evaluation of trade factors [2][6]. - The potential for a "derisking" strategy by the U.S. and its allies could diminish the value of China's rare earth resources, as alternative supply chains are being developed [7]. - The market's perception of the effectiveness and credibility of China's deterrent measures will be crucial in determining future trade dynamics [6][7]. Group 3: International Audience and Strategic Considerations - The export controls are not solely aimed at the U.S. but also impact global supply chains, particularly in sectors like semiconductors and automotive industries, raising concerns among other nations [9]. - Managing the international audience's perception is critical; if countries view China's actions as reasonable, cooperation may continue, but if seen as aggressive, it could accelerate supply chain decoupling [9][10]. - The effectiveness of China's strategy will depend on its ability to communicate its intentions clearly and maintain a balance between deterrence and cooperation with other nations [10].

Core Insights - The Ministry of Commerce has tightened rare earth control measures, leading to price increases from two major rare earth companies. This has positively impacted the rare earth permanent magnet sector, with the rare earth ETF (159713) experiencing a significant intraday surge of 4.74%, closing with a gain of 3.90% and a trading volume of 331 million shares and a turnover of 445 million yuan [1] - Since the low point on April 8, the rare earth ETF has accumulated a rise of over 85%. The Ministry of Commerce has issued four documents to strengthen rare earth export controls, adding restrictions on five categories of medium and heavy rare earths, as well as controls on equipment, technology, and raw materials across the entire industry chain. This further solidifies the strategic position of rare earths [2] - In this context, the allocation value of the rare earth ETF (159713) is becoming increasingly prominent [3]

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth permanent magnet sector has seen significant gains, with companies like Galaxy Magnetic, Beikong Technology, and Antai Technology reaching their daily limit up due to the tightening of export controls by the Chinese government and escalating trade tensions with the U.S. [1][2] Group 1: Industry Dynamics - The U.S. government is actively working to rebuild its rare earth industry chain, but China continues to dominate global supply due to its comprehensive production capabilities across the entire rare earth industry chain [1] - China's recent announcements regarding stricter export controls on rare earths, including coverage of semiconductors, may impose constraints on overseas chip manufacturing processes [1] - The U.S. has announced a 100% tariff on rare earth exports from China, indicating a potential escalation in trade tensions [1] Group 2: Strategic Value and Market Impact - The recent upgrade in China's rare earth export controls expands the scope from upstream mining and separation to downstream metals, magnetic materials, and recycling, enhancing the strategic value of the sector [2] - This move is seen as a strong response to U.S. semiconductor export controls and may serve as leverage in upcoming APEC negotiations [2] - The tightening of export controls is expected to increase foreign governments' determination to establish rare earth processing lines, potentially raising the baseline prices for rare earths and leading to price increases domestically [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes China's strategic position in the rare earth elements (REEs) sector and its implications for U.S.-China trade relations, particularly in light of recent export controls and tariffs [8][54][86]. Group 1: China's Export Control Measures - In October 2025, China announced stricter export controls on rare earth elements and processing technologies, particularly for military and semiconductor applications [4][11]. - The export license system implemented by China has a validity period of six months, impacting global supply chains and prompting industries to adapt [8][11]. - China's management of rare earth exports reflects the vulnerabilities in the U.S. industrial and defense supply chains, leading to adjustments in trade negotiations [12][54]. Group 2: U.S. Dependency on Chinese Rare Earths - The U.S. relies on China for over 80% of its refined rare earths, which are critical for defense, electronics, and clean energy sectors [8][53]. - Experts estimate that establishing an independent U.S. supply chain for rare earths could take 5 to 15 years, highlighting the challenges in reducing dependency on China [10][54]. - The U.S. has initiated measures such as the Defense Production Act to boost domestic rare earth production, but these efforts face significant obstacles [55][61]. Group 3: Impact on Trade Relations - The role of rare earths has become a key factor in U.S.-China trade negotiations, with both sides recognizing the importance of these resources [9][12]. - China's export management of rare earths has led to a shift in trade dynamics, with the U.S. showing a willingness to make concessions in negotiations [12][90]. - The recent trade tensions have prompted the U.S. to reconsider its approach to tariffs and trade policies, particularly concerning critical materials [93][95]. Group 4: Strategic Importance of Rare Earths - Rare earth elements are essential for modern military systems, including advanced weaponry and communication technologies [42][45]. - The geopolitical significance of rare earths has increased, with China leveraging its dominance in this sector to influence international trade and security discussions [86][88]. - The ongoing tensions and management of rare earth resources underscore their role as strategic assets in global economic interactions [17][85].

Group 1: Rare Metal ETF Performance - The Rare Metal ETF has a turnover rate of 11.57% during trading, with a transaction volume of 359 million yuan, indicating active market trading [3] - The latest scale of the Rare Metal ETF reached 3.08 billion yuan, marking a new high since its inception and ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The ETF's share reached 3.67 billion shares, also a new high since inception, and ranks first among comparable funds [3] - Over the past three days, the Rare Metal ETF has seen continuous net inflows, with a maximum single-day net inflow of 358 million yuan, totaling 551 million yuan [3] - As of October 10, the net value of the Rare Metal ETF has increased by 17.31% over the past three years [3] - The highest monthly return since inception is 24.02%, with the longest consecutive monthly increase being five months and a maximum increase of 66.25%, averaging a monthly return of 8.60% [3] Group 2: Cobalt Export Quotas and Market Dynamics - According to CITIC Construction Investment, cobalt export quotas for Congo (Kinshasa) have been finalized, with Luoyang Molybdenum, Glencore, and Eurasian Resources holding the top three shares at 35.9%, 27.3%, and 21.6% respectively [4] - The total quota for 2026 and 2027 is set at 96,600 tons, which includes a basic quota of 87,000 tons allocated to production enterprises and a strategic quota of 9,600 tons [4] - Under the quota system, only about 44% of production can be exported, resulting in a reduction of over 100,000 tons [4] - Based on estimates for 2024, with a supply of 270,000 tons and demand of 230,000 tons, the market is expected to shift from a surplus of about 70,000 tons to a shortage of about 30,000 tons, potentially driving cobalt prices higher [4] Group 3: Rare Earth Export Controls - The Ministry of Commerce has issued four documents to strengthen rare earth export controls, adding five categories of medium and heavy rare earths to the export control list [4] - The controls also extend to the entire industrial chain, including equipment, technology, and raw materials, with additional regulations on overseas military and high-end semiconductor demands [4] - The strategic position of rare earths has been further reinforced through these measures [4] Group 4: Rare Metal Index and Investment Opportunities - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Rare Metal Theme Index include Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, Huayou Cobalt, and others, collectively accounting for 59.91% of the index [4] - Investors can also participate in the rare metal sector through the Rare Metal ETF linked fund (014111) [4]

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth sector has experienced a significant surge, driven by new export controls, rising prices of rare earth concentrates, and strong performance forecasts from companies in the industry [3][5]. Group 1: Export Controls - On October 9, 2025, the Ministry of Commerce announced new export controls on certain medium and heavy rare earths, related materials, equipment, and technologies, requiring export licenses for overseas organizations and individuals [3]. - The new regulations expand the scope of previous export controls, including additional categories of rare earths, equipment, raw materials, and technologies, covering the entire rare earth production chain [5]. Group 2: Price Adjustments - On October 10, North Rare Earth announced an adjustment of the rare earth concentrate trading price for Q4 2025 to 26,205 yuan/ton, a 37.13% increase compared to the previous period [3]. - Baogang Group also announced a similar price adjustment for Q4 2025, aligning with North Rare Earth's pricing [4]. Group 3: Company Performance - North Rare Earth expects to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.5 billion to 1.57 billion yuan for the first three quarters of this year, representing a year-on-year increase of 272.54% to 287.34% [3]. - The company's non-recurring net profit is projected to be between 1.33 billion and 1.39 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 399.90% to 422.46% [3]. Group 4: Market Outlook - Analysts suggest that the comprehensive upgrade of export controls may enhance the valuation of the rare earth sector, coupled with the release of company performance and continued price increases for rare earth concentrates [5]. - The demand side shows strong orders from downstream magnet manufacturers, with stable raw material demand, particularly in the fourth quarter, which is expected to support prices due to increased procurement for sectors like new energy vehicles and wind power equipment [6].