联合国秘书长警告以伊冲突可能失控 呼吁"给和平一个机会" 智通财经6月21日电，据新华社，联合国安理会20日就以色列与伊朗冲突举行紧急公开会。联合国秘书 长古特雷斯在会上警告中东地区紧张局势可能失控，呼吁"给和平一个机会"。古特雷斯说，以伊冲突正 在迅速升级。世界不是在"滑向危机"，而是在"奔向危机"。他说，目前唯一能够预测的是，如果以伊冲 突持续下去，后果将不可预测。国际社会应共同采取负责任的行动，把中东地区和全世界从危险边缘拉 回来。 ...

随着中东时局变化，原油市场高位大震荡。 周五晚间，美、布两油突然短线大跳水。 截至发稿，布伦特原油期货跌幅迅速扩大跌超3%，报76.34美元/桶。WTI原油也紧跟下跌，现跌0.91%报73.21美元/桶。 6月以来，虽然国际油价经历了几番大涨大落。不过整体表现仍十分强劲。 当前，欧洲大国的作用更为突出。伊朗官员称，伊朗需要听取欧洲三国在核问题上的"倡议"。 整体来看，伊朗官员的最新言论似乎为核谈判重启又提供了一线希望。 月初至今，布伦特原油价格已上涨超 20%。而随着以伊局势升级，或有望创下2020年以来最大单月涨幅。 核谈判希望重燃？ 据说，伊朗准备讨论核问题。 在以色列袭击的背景下，伊朗不愿与美国接触。 路透最新报道称，有伊朗高级官员透露，伊朗已准备好就其铀浓缩的限制问题进行讨论。 不过其随后又迅速表示，伊朗"毫无疑问将拒绝零铀浓缩的提议"，"特别是现在，在以色列的打击下"。 稍早前，伊朗外长曾表示，只要以色列继续袭击，伊朗就不会与任何一方进行对话。 不过就在今天（当地时间6月20日），伊朗外长和欧洲三国（英法德）正在日内瓦举行会谈。 但据说，欧洲各国外长已向伊朗发出美国愿意直接谈判的信息。 他们表示，美 ...

伊朗方面对于上述消息暂无回应。 （本文来源：央视新闻） 总台记者当地时间20日获悉，以色列情报部门（辛贝特）已发现伊朗正在试图袭击欧洲的部分以色 列目标，其中包括以色列航空公司停在欧洲各机场的客机和以色列驻欧洲多国的使领馆。 以色列12频道报道称，以色列军方已经实施了周密的安防计划，并正在向欧洲增派安保人员。 以色列日前启动撤离侨民计划，计划将约10万名因以伊冲突而滞留在他国的以色列人分阶段接 回以色列。 ...

以色列情报部门(辛贝特)已发现伊朗正在试图袭击欧洲的部分以色列目标，其中包括以色列航空公司停 在欧洲各机场的客机和以色列驻欧洲多国的使领馆。以色列12频道报道称，以色列军方已经实施了周密 的安防计划，并正在向欧洲增派安保人员。以色列日前启动撤离侨民计划，计划将约10万名因以伊冲突 而滞留在他国的以色列人分阶段接回以色列。(央视新闻) ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the ongoing volatility in the gold market, with a significant focus on the current bearish trend led by short sellers, despite some fluctuations in price [3][5] - The average daily volatility of gold has decreased to between $30 and $60, compared to previous periods where it was often over $80 or even $100 [3] - The current gold price behavior resembles the pattern observed in 2011 before a significant drop in 2013, indicating a prolonged period of market fluctuations [5] Group 2 - The analysis suggests that geopolitical tensions, such as the conflict in the Middle East, are being used as excuses for short sellers to drive prices down rather than as a catalyst for a safe-haven rally [5] - Specific price levels for gold are highlighted, with resistance noted at $3372-75 and potential support at $3345-50, indicating a cautious trading strategy [5] - Silver is also experiencing upward pressure, with resistance at $37.3 and potential short positions suggested if prices exceed this level [5] Group 3 - The Shanghai gold and silver markets are following the international gold trend, with recommendations for short positions above certain price levels [7] - The crude oil market is experiencing significant volatility due to geopolitical factors, with recent price movements comparable to the past two months [7] - The U.S. dollar index shows signs of stabilization, with a potential rebound target set at the 102 level, contingent on market movements [12]

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing military conflict between Israel and Iran has escalated, with the U.S. President Trump indicating a decision on military action against Iran will be made within two weeks [1][2][4]. Group 1: U.S. Involvement and Diplomatic Efforts - Trump stated that the U.S. may negotiate or cancel negotiations with Iran soon, emphasizing that Iran must not possess nuclear weapons and must reach an agreement with the U.S. [2][3]. - U.S. officials, including Middle East envoy Steven Wittekov, have been in contact with Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif to seek a diplomatic resolution to the crisis [3]. - Trump has approved military plans against Iran but has delayed final decisions to observe Iran's actions regarding its nuclear program [3][4]. Group 2: Iran's Position and Military Actions - Iran's leadership asserts that they do not seek war but will defend their nation and retaliate against aggressors, rejecting any notion of surrender [5][6]. - The Iranian Revolutionary Guard has appointed a new intelligence chief amid ongoing military actions, indicating a focus on internal security and intelligence operations [7][9]. - Iran has conducted multiple missile and drone strikes against Israeli military targets, with reports of significant casualties and damage to military infrastructure [10][14]. Group 3: Humanitarian Impact and International Response - The ongoing conflict has severely impacted civilians, with extensive damage to civilian infrastructure and a rising number of casualties [15]. - The United Nations has expressed concern over the humanitarian consequences of the conflict, urging both parties to exercise restraint and adhere to international law [15]. Group 4: Evacuations and Safety Measures - A group of 119 Chinese citizens has been evacuated from Israel to Egypt, highlighting the international implications of the conflict and the need for safety measures for foreign nationals [16][18].

巴基斯坦国家电视台（PTV）当地时间18日晚些时候援引未具名消息人士证实了此次会面，称其为"重要且 历史性的"，反映出美方"对巴基斯坦军方领导层日益增长的信任"。巴基斯坦政治学家里兹维表示，这是巴 基斯坦在任陆军参谋长与美国领导人之间的首次此类会面，"这是特朗普总统给予的一种特殊姿态"。 【环球时报报道 记者 杜天琦】据路透社报道，当地时间18日，美国总统特朗普在白宫会见巴基斯坦军队 领导人、陆军参谋长穆尼尔，双方就以色列与伊朗的冲突等议题进行了讨论。一些媒体评论称，此次会 晤"非常罕见"。卡塔尔半岛电视台称，此次会晤对美巴关系产生了重大推动作用。目前，印度官方没有对 此次会晤做出表态。 据《阿拉伯新闻报》19日报道，在白宫与穆尼尔会晤后，特朗普对记者表示："他们非常了解伊朗，比大 多数国家都更了解，而且他们对现状很不满。他们看到了正在发生的事情，而且他同意我的看法。" 特朗 普没有具体说明穆尼尔与他达成了什么共识，接着便谈到了上个月印巴之间的军事冲突。特朗普此前曾公 开宣称，是他促成了停火从而结束了这场冲突。"我邀请他（穆尼尔）来这里，是想感谢他没有（与印 度）开战，就是说，感谢他结束了战争"，特朗普说。半 ...

Group 1 - President Putin expressed the desire to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict as soon as possible, preferably through peaceful means, while emphasizing the need for Ukraine's demilitarization [3][6] - Putin indicated that if a peaceful agreement cannot be reached, Russia would resort to military means to achieve its objectives [3][6] - The Russian side is in communication with Ukraine regarding the next round of negotiations scheduled after June 22, focusing on humanitarian exchanges and feedback on peace agreement drafts [5][6] Group 2 - Putin highlighted the importance of maintaining open communication with the U.S. and expressed readiness for a meeting with President Trump, indicating a gradual restoration of Russia-U.S. relations [4] - The Russian government is open to discussions with Germany but does not view it as a neutral mediator in the Russia-Ukraine conflict [4] - Russia's stance on the Israel-Iran conflict involves ensuring Iran's right to peaceful nuclear energy while addressing Israel's security concerns, advocating for a resolution that respects mutual interests [3][6] Group 3 - Putin noted the growing interest among the Russian public in the Chinese language and acknowledged China's significant achievements in artificial intelligence [3] - The Russian government maintains an open attitude towards economic cooperation and opposes trade wars and barriers [6]

当地时间19日，伊朗外交部副部长卡泽姆.加里布阿巴迪表示，如果美国决定介入冲突并支持以色列， 伊朗将被迫动用必要手段捍卫国家安全。他说，伊方对美国的建议是：如果不打算阻止侵略者，至少应 该只做旁观者。自13日凌晨以来，以伊大规模冲突持续升级。以色列对伊朗多地发动大规模空袭，轰炸 伊朗核设施和军事目标，造成大量人员伤亡。作为报复，伊朗向以色列境内不同目标发动多轮导弹和无 人机袭击。(央视新闻) ...

"巴基斯坦陆军参谋长与特朗普讨论以伊冲突"，彭博社当地时间18日以此为题称，美国总统特朗普周三 在华盛顿会见了巴基斯坦军队领导人、陆军参谋长穆尼尔。这场会晤正值美国正在考虑是否可能对伊朗 实施打击之际。 据报道，特朗普在白宫会见穆尼尔后表示，巴基斯坦非常了解伊朗，"他们看到发生了什么，他同意我 的看法。"不过，特朗普并未进一步说明双方达成的共识内容。 报道提到，在此次会晤前，巴基斯坦曾表示有意在中东冲突中扮演调解人角色。（环球时报） ...