Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced a significant decline, closing down 1.95%, with nearly 4,800 stocks falling, indicating a broad market downturn across various sectors, including defensive industries like liquor, coal, and banking [1][3]. Market Performance - The number of declining stocks approached 4,800, with a median decline of 2.16%, reflecting a widespread sell-off across the market [3]. - Technology stocks were particularly hard hit, with many retail investors feeling the impact of the downturn [4]. Financing and Investor Behavior - Despite the market's decline, there was a net inflow of 7.6 billion in financing balances, suggesting that some investors were still adding to their positions even as stocks fell [6][7]. - Retail investors often tend to buy into stocks that have recently seen significant declines (10%-20%), believing it to be a buying opportunity [9][10]. Market Trends and Signals - Current trend signals indicate a defensive stance across various indices, with the technology growth sector showing signs of a potential downturn [22]. - The trend quantification signals for the selected indices have shifted to a defensive state, with no current upward trends identified in key sectors such as technology and communications [29][30]. Investment Strategies - The company is monitoring grid trading strategies, with several trades triggered recently, indicating active management of investment positions [27]. - The company has also engaged in arbitrage opportunities, specifically in oil and silver LOFs, with premium rates of 4.19% and 5.54% respectively [24][26].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core View of the Report - The main contracts of rebar and iron ore futures are in the sideways consolidation stage, and corresponding grid trading strategies are recommended [7][33] 3. Summary by Directory Rebar Futures 3.1 Mid - term Market Analysis - According to the comprehensive analysis of the Great Wall Futures AI intelligent big - data quantitative strategy model, the main contract of rebar futures is in the sideways consolidation range. The weekly output of rebar is 2.13 million tons, the apparent consumption is 1.92 million tons, the inventory of major steel mills is 1.78 million tons, and the social inventory is 7.25 million tons. A grid trading strategy can be considered during the consolidation stage, with the antenna at 3330, the ground line at 2882, the grid spacing at 32, and the number of grids at 14 [7] 3.2 Variety Trading Strategy - Last week, the main contract of rebar futures entered the shock consolidation range. This week, according to the Great Wall Futures AI intelligent big - data quantitative strategy model, it has entered the sideways consolidation range, and a large - grid trading strategy can be considered. Spot enterprises are advised to wait and see until the mid - term trend is clear [10][11][12] 3.3 Relevant Data Situation - The data sources of this report are Wind, MySteel, and the Great Wall Futures Trading Consultation Department. The variety diagnosis shows that the long - short flow is 44.2 (the main force is slightly bullish), the capital energy is 10.6 (the capital is basically stable), and the long - short divergence is 75.2 (there is a certain risk of market reversal) [26][16] Iron Ore Futures 3.1 Mid - term Market Analysis - According to the comprehensive analysis of the Great Wall Futures AI intelligent data model, the main contract of iron ore futures is in the sideways consolidation stage. In terms of supply, the global shipment volume of iron ore last week was 2.756 million tons, the arrival volume at 45 major ports in China was 2.443 million tons, the inventory of steel enterprises was 8.995 million tons, and the inventory at major domestic ports was 13.842 million tons. A grid trading strategy can be considered during the consolidation stage [33] 3.2 Variety Trading Strategy - Last week, the mid - term price of iron ore was in the shock consolidation stage. This week, the AI intelligent system suggests implementing a grid trading strategy during the consolidation stage, with the antenna at 872, the ground line at 732, the grid spacing at 10, and the number of grids at 14 [36][37] 3.3 Relevant Data Situation - The data sources of this report are Wind, MySteel, and the Great Wall Futures Trading Consultation Department [49]

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced fluctuations, closing slightly up by 0.04%, while the Hong Kong stock market, particularly the Hang Seng Index, showed stronger performance, reaching a recent high, influenced by foreign capital flows due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index had over 3,600 stocks rising, with a median increase of 0.71%, indicating a generally volatile market [1]. - The Hang Seng Index has benefited from significant inflows from southbound capital, with a cumulative net inflow nearing 4.8 trillion yuan, potentially reaching 5 trillion yuan this year [5]. - The Hang Seng Index's PE valuation has increased from 9 times to 12 times, with a percentile of 80.08%, suggesting it is no longer in a valuation trough [4][11]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - The largest sectors in the Hang Seng Index are finance (31.7%), consumer discretionary (23.6%), and information technology (19.9%), with the latter two including internet stocks [7]. - The decline in financial sector weight from 48.33% in 2019 to 31% currently is attributed to the influx of internet companies returning to the Hong Kong market [9][11]. - The current PE ratios for various indices include: - China Concept Internet Index: PE 20.46, percentile 16.09% [13] - Hang Seng Tech Index: PE 23.37, percentile 32.84% [15] - Hang Seng Consumer Index: PE 18.70, percentile 38.12% [19]. Group 3: Valuation Insights - The absolute valuation for the Hang Seng Index is considered high-risk at around 15 times PE, while the current valuations for consumer indices are relatively lower, making them more attractive compared to A-shares [11][23]. - The Hang Seng Consumer ETF has the lowest valuation at around 19 times PE, which is below the 20 times threshold [24]. - The dividend yields for the Hang Seng Consumer Index and the China white liquor index are approximately 3.22% and 3.64%, respectively, indicating a stable income potential [26].

Group 1 - The A-share market has experienced a significant recovery since the "9.24" market event in 2024, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 36.99%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 49.92%, and the ChiNext Index by 81.39% from September 24, 2024, to September 4, 2025 [1] - The margin trading balance in the A-share market has remained above 2 trillion yuan from August 5 to September 3, 2024, indicating strong liquidity [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index is considered a key benchmark for asset allocation due to its broad industry coverage and high correlation with the macro economy, making it sensitive to policy changes [1] Group 2 - The ETF products linked to the Shanghai Composite Index, such as the Fortune Shanghai Composite Index ETF (510210), have shown high transparency, low cost, and strong liquidity, making them suitable for long-term investment [1] - Since the "9.24" event, the Fortune Shanghai Composite Index ETF has increased by over 40%, demonstrating the ability to generate excess returns compared to the index [1] - Regulatory bodies have introduced favorable policies to support the healthy development of the stock market, including optimizing trading mechanisms and encouraging long-term capital inflow [1] Group 3 - Multiple institutions maintain an optimistic outlook for the A-share market, citing factors such as liquidity support and rising policy expectations, with a forecast of continued upward trends in the medium to long term [2] - The position of the Shanghai Composite Index as a benchmark for asset allocation is expected to strengthen due to trends like the migration of household savings and declining risk-free interest rates [2] - Investors are encouraged to utilize related ETF products to seize systematic investment opportunities amid China's high-quality economic development [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the effectiveness of grid trading strategies in volatile markets, allowing investors to profit from price fluctuations without predicting market trends [3][11]. - The report identifies suitable characteristics for grid trading targets, including low trading costs, good liquidity, and significant volatility, suggesting that equity ETFs are appropriate for this strategy [3][11]. Group 2 - The report highlights specific ETFs for grid trading, including the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180.SH), which is expected to attract foreign investment due to improved liquidity and favorable valuation amid anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [3][12]. - The New Economy ETF (159822.SZ) is noted for capturing new economic growth drivers in China, benefiting from policy support and industrial upgrades, and indirectly tracking the S&P China New Economy Index [4][15]. - The S&P Consumer ETF (159529.SZ) is positioned to benefit from rising expectations of interest rate cuts in the U.S., which could boost consumer demand [5][16].

Market Overview - The market experienced a sudden drop, with the index falling from a gain of 0.48% to a closing loss of 1.76% without much resistance [1] - The current market sentiment reflects a transition from a bullish phase to a bearish one, as investors are now more cautious and reactive to news [3][4] Investment Strategies - The concept of "bull market sharp declines" is explained, indicating that during bullish phases, high investor sentiment leads to quick sell-offs at the slightest negative news [4] - Historical patterns suggest that sharp declines in bull markets do not typically signal the end of the market; rather, adjustments often lead to subsequent upward movements [7] - A grid trading strategy has been implemented, allowing for systematic buying and selling to manage risks and capitalize on market movements [7][15] Fund Management - Recent fund management actions include limiting purchases in high-performing funds, indicating a belief that valuations have become too high [6][5] - The trend-following strategy has shown a cumulative return of 68.69% since September 24, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which returned 36.52% [10] Sector Performance - The technology and innovation sectors, particularly semiconductor-related funds, have seen significant price increases, prompting fund managers to impose purchase limits [4] - The communication equipment and robotics indices have been added to the trend monitoring system, indicating ongoing interest in these sectors [13][18] New Investment Opportunities - A new convertible bond, Shenglan Convertible Bond 02, is available for subscription, with a focus on electronic connectors and components for the new energy vehicle sector [20] - The current stock-bond yield spread stands at 5.43%, indicating a relatively favorable environment for equity investments compared to historical averages [21]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the effectiveness of grid trading strategies, which are based on price fluctuations rather than predicting market trends, making them suitable for volatile markets [3][13] - The report identifies key characteristics for suitable grid trading targets, including low trading costs, good liquidity, and significant volatility, suggesting that equity ETFs are appropriate for this strategy [3][13] Group 2 - The report highlights specific ETFs for grid trading, including the S&P Consumer ETF (159529.SZ), which benefits from the anticipated interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, potentially boosting consumer demand in the U.S. [5][14] - The Hang Seng Technology Index ETF (513180.SH) is noted for its improved liquidity and valuation attractiveness, making it a target for foreign capital allocation amid the Fed's rate cut expectations [6][17] - The New Economy ETF (159822.SZ) is positioned to capture new economic growth drivers in China, supported by policy incentives and industrial upgrades, making it a passive index tool for diversified regional exposure [7][19]

Group 1 - The report outlines a grid trading strategy that focuses on capitalizing on price fluctuations rather than predicting market trends, making it suitable for volatile markets [3][13] - Characteristics of suitable grid trading targets include being exchange-traded, having stable long-term trends, low transaction costs, good liquidity, and high volatility, with equity ETFs being particularly appropriate [3][13] - The report highlights specific ETFs for grid trading, including the China Concept Internet ETF, which aims to reduce vicious competition costs and promote technological innovation in the internet sector [4][14] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Technology ETF benefits from improved liquidity in the Hong Kong market and the return of quality listed companies, making it a cost-effective investment tool in a low-interest-rate environment [4][17] - The Software ETF is positioned to leverage opportunities in AI development, with significant policy support encouraging the integration of AI technologies across various sectors [6][20] - The Chip ETF reflects a short-term easing of overseas pressures while emphasizing the long-term trend of domestic substitution in the semiconductor industry, supported by substantial investments in domestic chip manufacturing [7][21]

Group 1: Grid Trading Strategy Overview - The essence of "grid trading" is a high buy low sell trading strategy, which does not predict market trends but utilizes natural price fluctuations within a certain range to generate profits, suitable for frequently fluctuating markets [3][12] - Characteristics of suitable grid trading targets include: selecting on-market targets, stable long-term trends, low transaction costs, good liquidity, and high volatility, with equity ETFs being relatively suitable for grid trading [3][12] Group 2: ETF Grid Strategy Target Analysis - The Hang Seng Technology ETF (513010.SH) benefits from improved liquidity in the Hong Kong stock market and the return of quality listed companies, making it a cost-effective investment tool in a low-interest-rate environment. In the first half of 2025, net inflows from southbound funds into Hong Kong stocks reached HKD 731.2 billion, equivalent to 91% of last year's total net purchases [3][13] - The Robotics ETF (562500.SH) is positioned in a strategic core area of China's technological innovation and high-end manufacturing, supported by government policies aimed at accelerating technological autonomy and industrial cluster breakthroughs [4][16] - The Chip ETF (159995.SZ) sees a temporary easing of overseas suppression factors, while "domestic substitution" remains the long-term development theme, with significant investments planned in critical areas of the semiconductor industry [5][17] - The Infrastructure ETF (516950.SH) is expected to benefit from fiscal expansion and the implementation of major projects, with the government planning to issue special bonds totaling CNY 1.3 trillion and project lists supporting 1,459 projects in key areas [6][18]

Group 1 - The report outlines a grid trading strategy, which is essentially a high buy low sell trading approach that capitalizes on price fluctuations without predicting market trends, making it suitable for volatile markets [4][14] - Characteristics of suitable grid trading targets include selecting on-market assets, stable long-term trends, low transaction costs, good liquidity, and high volatility, with equity ETFs being particularly appropriate for this strategy [4][14] - The report highlights key ETFs for grid trading, including the New Economy ETF, which benefits from policy incentives and industrial upgrades, capturing new economic growth drivers in China [4][15] Group 2 - The report discusses the Germany ETF, which tracks the DAX index and benefits from Germany's economic stimulus policies, focusing on high-end manufacturing and technology leaders [5][18] - The Chip ETF is noted for its short-term easing of overseas pressures and long-term focus on domestic substitution, with significant investments in the semiconductor industry to enhance self-sufficiency [6][19] - The Robot ETF is emphasized as a strategic core area for technological innovation and high-end manufacturing in China, supported by government policies aimed at advancing intelligent manufacturing [8][24]