2025.11.24-11.28 螺纹钢、铁矿石 期货品种周报 01 P A R T 螺纹钢期货 01 中线行情分析 目录 02 品种交易策略 趋势判断逻辑 螺纹钢周度产量208万吨，表观消费量230万吨，主要钢厂库存153万 吨，社会库存597万吨。长城期货AI智能投询品种诊断报告显示螺纹钢 期货主力合约运行于横盘整理区间。 2 03 相关数据情况 Contents 中线行情分析 根据长城期货AI智能大数据量化策略模型综合分析，螺纹钢期货主 力合约运行于2882至3330的横盘整理区间。 中线趋势判断 1 整理阶段可考虑网格交易策略，系统策略建议：天线3330，地线 2882，网格间距32，网格数量14。 中线策略建议 3 品种交易策略 上周策略回顾 螺纹钢期货主力合约进入震荡整理区间。 本周策略建议 根据长城期货AI智能大数据量化策略模型，螺纹钢期货主力 合约进入横盘整理区间，可考虑实施大网格交易策略。 现货企业套期保值建议 整理阶段建议观望等待新一轮中线趋势明朗。 相关数据情况 本报告数据来源为Wind、Mysteel、长城期货交易咨询部 相关数据情况 本报告数据来源为Wind、Mysteel、长城期货 ...

Group 1: Overview of Grid Trading Strategy - The essence of "grid trading" is a high buy low sell strategy, which is based on price fluctuations rather than predicting market trends, making it suitable for markets with frequent price movements [3][11] - Characteristics of suitable grid trading targets include: selecting on-market targets, stable long-term trends, low transaction costs, good liquidity, and high volatility, with equity ETFs being particularly suitable [3][11] Group 2: Analysis of ETF Grid Strategy Targets - Financial Technology ETF (159851.SZ) is driven by capital market reforms and technological innovations, with a reported revenue of 419.56 billion yuan and a net profit of 169.05 billion yuan for 42 listed brokerages in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a net profit growth of over 60% [3][12] - Military Industry Leader ETF (512710.SH) is expected to benefit from a new round of military procurement cycles, with China's defense budget for 2025 set at 1.81 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.2%, although still below 1.3% of GDP [4][15] - Robotics ETF (159530.SZ) is positioned for explosive growth in 2025, supported by policies promoting intelligent robotics and significant investments in the sector, with over 200 investment events and total financing exceeding 24 billion yuan by July 2025 [5][6][17] Group 3: Recommendations for Investors - Investors are advised to use grid trading strategies by selecting a combination of suitable ETFs with low correlation, such as pairing broad-based and sector-specific ETFs or combining A-shares and Hong Kong stocks to diversify risk and enhance capital utilization [20]

2025.11.17-11.21 螺纹钢、铁矿石 期货品种周报 01 P A R T 螺纹钢期货 01 中线行情分析 目录 02 品种交易策略 03 相关数据情况 Contents 中线行情分析 根据长城期货AI智能大数据量化策略模型综合分析，螺纹钢期货主 力合约运行于2882至3330的横盘整理区间。 中线趋势判断 1 趋势判断逻辑 螺纹钢周度产量200万吨，表观消费量216万吨，主要钢厂库存160万 吨，社会库存620万吨。长城期货AI智能投询品种诊断报告显示螺纹钢 期货主力合约运行于横盘整理区间。 2 整理阶段可考虑网格交易策略，系统策略建议：天线3330，地线 2882，网格间距32，网格数量14。 中线策略建议 3 品种交易策略 现货企业套期保值建议 观望等待新一轮中线趋势明朗。 相关数据情况 本报告数据来源为Wind、Mysteel、长城期货交易咨询部 上周策略回顾 螺纹钢期货主力合约进入震荡整理区间。 本周策略建议 根据长城期货AI智能大数据量化策略模型，螺纹钢期货主力 合约进入横盘整理区间，可考虑实施大网格交易策略。 相关数据情况 本报告数据来源为Wind、Mysteel、长城期货交易咨询部 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the effectiveness of grid trading strategies in volatile markets, allowing investors to profit from price fluctuations without predicting market trends [4][12]. - The report identifies suitable characteristics for grid trading targets, including low trading costs, good liquidity, and significant volatility, suggesting that equity ETFs are appropriate for this strategy [4][12]. Group 2 - The report highlights the focus on specific ETFs for grid trading strategies, including the Military Industry ETF (512710.SH), which is expected to benefit from a new procurement cycle driven by the "14th Five-Year Plan" and increased defense budget [4][13]. - The Pharmaceutical ETF (512010.SH) is noted for its strong pipeline of innovative drugs, with China holding the second-largest number of drug development projects globally, and the potential for accelerated commercialization as domestic policies support innovation [5][16]. - The Hang Seng New Economy ETF (513320.SH) is positioned to capture the benefits of China's industrial upgrade and technological development, aligning with the "14th Five-Year Plan" goals [6][18].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Report Core View - The report focuses on the weekly analysis of rebar and iron ore futures, including mid - line trend analysis, trading strategies, and related data [2]. 3. Summary by Directory Rebar Futures - **Mid - line行情分析**: The main contract of rebar futures is in a sideways consolidation range of 2882 - 3330. The weekly output is 2080000 tons, apparent consumption is 2180000 tons, major steel mill inventory is 1660000 tons, and social inventory is 6340000 tons. A grid trading strategy can be considered during the consolidation phase, with an antenna of 3330, a ground line of 2882, a grid spacing of 32, and 14 grids [7]. - **品种交易策略**: Last week, the main contract of rebar futures entered an oscillatory consolidation range. This week, it is recommended to implement a large - grid trading strategy. Spot enterprises are advised to wait and see until a new mid - line trend becomes clear [10][11][12]. - **相关数据情况**: The data sources for this report are Wind, Mysteel, and the trading consultation department of Great Wall Futures [21]. Iron Ore Futures - **Mid - line行情分析**: The main contract of iron ore futures is in an interval consolidation stage of 732 - 872. Last week, the global shipment volume was 3218000 tons, the arrival volume at 45 major Chinese ports was 3213000 tons, steel enterprise inventory was 9009000 tons, and domestic major port inventory was 14898000 tons. A grid trading strategy can be considered during the oscillatory consolidation stage [31]. - **品种交易策略**: Last week, the mid - line price of iron ore was in an oscillatory consolidation stage. This week, the AI intelligent system suggests implementing a grid trading strategy, with an antenna of 872, a ground line of 732, a grid spacing of 10, and 14 grids [34][35]. - **相关数据情况**: The data sources for this report are Wind, Mysteel, and the trading consultation department of Great Wall Futures. Some specific trading data of the iron ore 2601 contract are also provided, such as the price, trading volume, and position changes [41][51].

Group 1 - The report outlines a grid trading strategy, which is essentially a high buy low sell trading approach that capitalizes on price fluctuations without predicting market trends, making it suitable for volatile markets [4][12] - Characteristics of suitable grid trading targets include selecting on-market assets, stable long-term trends, low transaction costs, good liquidity, and high volatility, with equity ETFs being identified as appropriate for this strategy [4][12] Group 2 - The report highlights key ETFs for grid trading strategies, including the Military Industry Leader ETF (512710.SH), which is expected to benefit from a new round of military procurement driven by the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan," with a projected defense budget of CNY 1.81 trillion for 2025, a 7.2% increase year-on-year [4][13] - The Hang Seng New Economy ETF (513320.SH) is noted for its potential to capture the benefits of China's industrial upgrade and technological development, tracking the Hang Seng New Economy Index, which includes leading companies in internet, semiconductors, innovative pharmaceuticals, and new energy sectors [5][16] - The Saudi ETF (159329.SZ) is recognized as a tool to capture long-term economic transformation opportunities under Saudi Arabia's "Vision 2030," which aims to diversify the economy away from oil dependency, with over 40% of its holdings in the financial sector and significant allocations in consumption and technology [6][18]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The main contract of rebar futures is in a sideways consolidation range of 2882 - 3330, and the iron ore futures main contract is in a range - bound consolidation stage of 732 - 872 [7][31]. - For both rebar and iron ore futures in the consolidation stage, grid trading strategies can be considered [7][31]. 3. Summary by Directory Rebar Futures - **Mid - line Market Analysis** - The main contract of rebar futures operates in a sideways consolidation range of 2882 - 3330. Weekly production is 212000 tons, apparent consumption is 218000 tons, major steel mill inventory is 186000 tons, and social inventory is 658000 tons. A grid trading strategy can be considered, with an antenna of 3330, a ground line of 2882, a grid spacing of 32, and 14 grids [7]. - **Variety Trading Strategy** - Last week, the main contract of rebar futures entered an oscillatory consolidation range. This week, it enters a sideways consolidation range, and a large - grid trading strategy can be considered. Spot enterprises are advised to wait and see until a new mid - line trend becomes clear [10][11][12]. - **Related Data Situation** - No specific data details are provided other than the above - mentioned production, consumption, and inventory data. The data sources are Wind, Mysteel, and the Great Wall Futures Trading Consultation Department [7][26]. Iron Ore Futures - **Mid - line Market Analysis** - The main contract of iron ore futures is in a range - bound consolidation stage of 732 - 872. Last week, the global shipment volume was 33.36 million tons, the arrival volume at 45 major Chinese ports was 25.16 million tons, steel enterprise inventory was 90.73 million tons, and domestic major port inventory was 144.26 million tons. A grid trading strategy can be considered [31]. - **Variety Trading Strategy** - Last week, the mid - line price of iron ore was in an oscillatory consolidation stage. This week, the AI intelligent system suggests a grid trading strategy, with an antenna of 872, a ground line of 732, a grid spacing of 10, and 14 grids [34][35]. - **Related Data Situation** - No specific data details other than the above - mentioned shipment, arrival, and inventory data. The data sources are Wind, Mysteel, and the Great Wall Futures Trading Consultation Department [31][49].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the effectiveness of grid trading strategies, which capitalize on price fluctuations rather than predicting market trends, making them suitable for volatile markets [4][12]. - The report identifies key characteristics for suitable grid trading targets, including low trading costs, good liquidity, and significant volatility, suggesting that equity ETFs are particularly appropriate for this strategy [4][12]. Group 2 - The report highlights three specific ETFs for grid trading: - The Computer ETF (159586.SZ) aligns with China's 14th Five-Year Plan, focusing on AI applications and digital infrastructure, indicating long-term growth potential driven by strategic policy support [4][13]. - The Saudi ETF (159329.SZ) aims to capture opportunities from Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030, which seeks to diversify the economy away from oil dependency, with over 40% of its holdings in the financial sector [5][16]. - The Bank ETF (159887.SZ) offers a high dividend yield of 4.40%, making it an attractive option for long-term capital allocation, particularly for insurance companies looking to mitigate interest rate risks [6][18].

Group 1: Report Overview - Report period: October 27 - 31, 2025 [1] - Reported futures varieties: Rebar and iron ore [2] Group 2: Rebar Futures 1. Mid - term Market Analysis - Mid - term trend: The main contract of rebar futures is in a sideways consolidation range [7] - Trend judgment logic: Weekly rebar production is 2.07 million tons, apparent consumption is 2.16 million tons, major steel mills' inventory is 1.84 million tons, and social inventory is 6.53 million tons [7] - Mid - term strategy suggestion: Consider a grid trading strategy with an antenna of 3330, a ground line of 2882, a grid spacing of 32, and a grid number of 14 [7] 2. Variety Trading Strategy - Last week's strategy review: The main contract of rebar futures entered an oscillatory consolidation range [10] - This week's strategy suggestion: Implement a large - grid trading strategy as the contract enters a sideways consolidation range [11] - Hedging suggestion for spot enterprises: Wait and see until a new mid - term trend becomes clear [12] 3. Relevant Data - Includes variety diagnosis and selected indicator data (not detailed in the given text) [21][23] Group 3: Iron Ore Futures 1. Mid - term Market Analysis - Mid - term trend: The main contract of iron ore futures is in a sideways consolidation stage [30] - Trend judgment logic: Global iron ore shipments last week were 3.333 billion tons, arrivals at 45 major Chinese ports were 2.519 billion tons, steel enterprises' inventory was 9.079 billion tons, and domestic major ports' inventory was 14.423 billion tons [30] - Mid - term strategy suggestion: Consider implementing a grid trading strategy during the consolidation stage [30] 2. Variety Trading Strategy - Last week's strategy review: The mid - term price of iron ore was in an oscillatory consolidation stage [33] - This week's strategy suggestion: Implement a grid trading strategy with an antenna of 872, a ground line of 732, a grid spacing of 10, and a grid number of 14 [34] 3. Relevant Data - Includes variety diagnosis and selected indicator data (not detailed in the given text) [45][47]

Group 1: Overall Information - Report period: October 20 - 24, 2025 [1] - Reported futures varieties: Rebar and iron ore [2] Group 2: Rebar Futures 1. Mid - term Market Analysis - Mid - term trend: The main contract of rebar futures is in a sideways consolidation range [7] - Trend judgment logic: Weekly rebar production is 2.01 million tons, apparent consumption is 2.19 million tons, major steel mill inventory is 1.84 million tons, and social inventory is 6.81 million tons [7] - Mid - term strategy: Consider a grid trading strategy with an antenna of 3330, a ground line of 2882, a grid spacing of 32, and a grid quantity of 14 [7] 2. Variety Trading Strategy - Last week's strategy review: The main contract of rebar futures entered an oscillatory consolidation range [10] - This week's strategy: The main contract of rebar futures enters a sideways consolidation range, and a large - grid trading strategy can be considered [11] - Spot enterprise hedging advice: Wait and see until the mid - term trend becomes clear [12] 3. Related Data - Data includes variety diagnosis and selected indicators, but specific data is not detailed in the provided text [21][23] Group 3: Iron Ore Futures 1. Mid - term Market Analysis - Mid - term trend: The main contract of iron ore futures is in a sideways consolidation stage [29] - Trend judgment logic: In terms of supply, the global iron ore shipping volume last week was 3.207 million tons, the arrival volume at 45 major Chinese ports was 3.045 million tons, steel enterprise inventory was 8.982 million tons, and domestic major port inventory was 14.278 million tons [29] - Mid - term strategy: Consider implementing a grid trading strategy [29] 2. Variety Trading Strategy - Last week's strategy review: The iron ore mid - term price was in an oscillatory consolidation stage [32] - This week's strategy: The AI intelligent system suggests implementing a grid trading strategy with an antenna of 872, a ground line of 732, a grid spacing of 10, and a grid quantity of 14 [33] 3. Related Data - Data includes variety diagnosis and selected indicators, but specific data is not detailed in the provided text [44][48]