分析师：卫以诺 分析师登记编码：S0890518120001 电话：021-20321014 邮箱：weiyinuo@cnhbstock.com 2026 年 01 月 06 日 证券研究报告 | 财富生态周报 ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报 2026/1/6 分析师登记编码：S0890522110001 电话：021-20321297 邮箱：chengbingzhe@cnhbstock.com 分析师：薛婧怡 分析师登记编码：S0890525070001 电话：021-20321092 邮箱：xuejingyi@cnhbstock.com 021-20515355 2025/12/30》2025-12-30 2、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/12/23》2025-12-23 3、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/12/17》2025-12-17 4、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/12/9》2025-12-09 5、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/12/2》2025-12-02 投资要点 分析师：程秉哲 ◆网格交易策略概述：简单来说，"网格交易"本质上 ...

2025.12.29-12.31 螺纹钢、铁矿石 期货品种周报 01 P A R T 螺纹钢期货 Contents 01 中线行情分析 02 品种交易策略 03 相关数据情况 目录 整理阶段可考虑网格交易策略，系统策略建议：天线3330，地线 2882，网格间距32，网格数量14。 中线策略建议 3 品种交易策略 上周策略回顾 中线行情分析 根据长城期货AI智能大数据量化策略模型综合分析，螺纹钢期货主 力合约运行于2882至3330的横盘整理区间。 中线趋势判断 1 趋势判断逻辑 螺纹钢周度产量186万吨，表观消费量218万吨，主要钢厂库存142万 吨，社会库存545万吨。长城期货AI智能投询品种诊断报告显示螺纹钢 期货主力合约运行于横盘整理区间。 2 螺纹钢期货主力合约进入震荡整理区间。 本周策略建议 根据长城期货AI智能大数据量化策略模型，螺纹钢期货主力 合约进入横盘整理区间，可考虑实施大网格交易策略。 现货企业套期保值建议 整理阶段建议观望等待新一轮中线趋势明朗。 相关数据情况 本报告数据来源为Wind、Mysteel、长城期货交易咨询部 相关数据情况 本报告数据来源为Wind、Mysteel、长城期货 ...

Group 1 - The report outlines a grid trading strategy that capitalizes on price fluctuations rather than predicting market trends, making it suitable for volatile markets [4][13] - Characteristics of suitable grid trading targets include being exchange-traded, having stable long-term trends, low transaction costs, good liquidity, and high volatility, with equity ETFs being particularly appropriate [4][13] Group 2 - The report highlights key ETFs for grid trading, including the Robot ETF (159770.SZ), which is expected to benefit from a confluence of policy support, technological advancements, and increasing demand, projecting a significant growth year in 2025 [4][14] - The Central Enterprise Technology ETF (560170.SH) focuses on state-owned enterprises in core technology sectors, aligning with national strategies for technological self-reliance and modernization [5][17] - The Securities ETF Leader (159993.SZ) indicates growth potential for leading brokerage firms, supported by improved market conditions and ongoing capital market reforms, with a reported 62.48% year-on-year increase in net profit for the sector [6][20] - The Hong Kong Central Enterprise Dividend ETF (513910.SH) emphasizes high dividend yields, which are expected to gain traction in a low-interest-rate environment, supported by government policies promoting shareholder returns [7][23]

2025.12.22-12.26 螺纹钢、铁矿石 期货品种周报 01 P A R T 螺纹钢期货 Contents 01 中线行情分析 02 品种交易策略 03 相关数据情况 目录 中线行情分析 整理阶段可考虑网格交易策略，系统策略建议：天线3330，地线 2882，网格间距32，网格数量14。 中线策略建议 3 螺纹钢期货主力合约进入震荡整理区间。 本周策略建议 品种交易策略 上周策略回顾 根据长城期货AI智能大数据量化策略模型综合分析，螺纹钢期货主 力合约运行于2882至3330的横盘整理区间。 中线趋势判断 1 趋势判断逻辑 螺纹钢周度产量183万吨，表观消费量216万吨，主要钢厂库存142万 吨，社会库存547万吨。长城期货AI智能投询品种诊断报告显示螺纹钢 期货主力合约运行于横盘整理区间。 2 根据长城期货AI智能大数据量化策略模型，螺纹钢期货主力 合约进入横盘整理区间，可考虑实施大网格交易策略。 现货企业套期保值建议 整理阶段建议观望等待新一轮中线趋势明朗。 相关数据情况 本报告数据来源为Wind、Mysteel、长城期货交易咨询部 相关数据情况 本报告数据来源为Wind、Mysteel、长城期货 ...

Group 1: Overview of Grid Trading Strategy - The grid trading strategy is essentially a high buy low sell trading approach, focusing on price fluctuations rather than predicting market trends, making it suitable for volatile markets [3][12] - Characteristics of suitable grid trading targets include: selecting on-market targets, stable long-term trends, low transaction costs, good liquidity, and high volatility, with equity ETFs being particularly appropriate [3][12] Group 2: Analysis of ETF Grid Strategy Targets - The military industry ETF (512710.SH) is expected to benefit from a new round of military procurement driven by the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan," with China's defense budget for 2025 projected at 1.81 trillion yuan, a 7.2% increase year-on-year [3][13] - The Hang Seng Pharmaceutical ETF (159892.SZ) focuses on innovative drugs, with China's pipeline of 7,041 projects, accounting for 29.5% of the global total, and a year-on-year growth of 15.1%, indicating strong development in the pharmaceutical sector [4][16] - The Hong Kong Automotive ETF (520600.SH) is positioned to benefit from the trends of electrification and globalization in the automotive industry, with domestic sales of new energy vehicles reaching 10.929 million units, a 25.7% increase year-on-year, and exports growing by 90.4% [5][18] - The Gaming ETF (159869.SZ) is supported by the normalization of game license approvals, with 1,624 licenses issued from January to November 2025, and overseas sales of Chinese-developed games reaching $9.501 billion, an 11.07% increase year-on-year [6][21]

2025.12.15-12.19 螺纹钢、铁矿石 期货品种周报 01 P A R T 螺纹钢期货 Contents 01 中线行情分析 02 品种交易策略 03 相关数据情况 目录 中线行情分析 根据长城期货AI智能大数据量化策略模型综合分析，螺纹钢期货主 力合约运行于2882至3330的横盘整理区间。 中线趋势判断 1 趋势判断逻辑 螺纹钢周度产量186万吨，表观消费量211万吨，主要钢厂库存145万 吨，社会库存542万吨。长城期货AI智能投询品种诊断报告显示螺纹钢 期货主力合约运行于横盘整理区间。 2 整理阶段可考虑网格交易策略，系统策略建议：天线3330，地线 2882，网格间距32，网格数量14。 中线策略建议 3 品种交易策略 上周策略回顾 本周策略建议 根据长城期货AI智能大数据量化策略模型，螺纹钢期货主力 合约进入横盘整理区间，可考虑实施大网格交易策略。 现货企业套期保值建议 整理阶段建议观望等待新一轮中线趋势明朗。 相关数据情况 本报告数据来源为Wind、Mysteel、长城期货交易咨询部 螺纹钢期货主力合约进入震荡整理区间。 本报告数据来源为Wind、Mysteel、长城期货交易咨询部 相 ...

Group 1 - The report outlines a grid trading strategy that focuses on profiting from price fluctuations rather than predicting market trends, making it suitable for volatile markets [4][13] - Characteristics of suitable grid trading targets include being exchange-traded, having stable long-term trends, low transaction costs, good liquidity, and high volatility, with equity ETFs being particularly appropriate [4][13] - The report highlights key ETFs for grid trading, including the military industry ETF, which is expected to benefit from a new procurement cycle driven by the "14th Five-Year Plan" and a projected defense budget of 1.81 trillion yuan for 2025, a 7.2% increase [4][14] Group 2 - The gaming ETF is noted for its strong growth potential due to the normalization of game license approvals, with 1,624 licenses issued from January to November 2025, significantly surpassing the previous year's total [5][17] - The software ETF is positioned to capture opportunities from domestic software replacement and AI-driven transformations, supported by policies promoting technological self-reliance and innovation [6][20] - The Hang Seng Internet ETF is expected to enhance commercial monetization through AI integration, as major internet companies are increasingly deploying AI products to improve user engagement and service capabilities [7][23]

2025.12.08-12.12 螺纹钢、铁矿石 期货品种周报 01 P A R T 螺纹钢期货 01 中线行情分析 目录 02 品种交易策略 03 相关数据情况 Contents 中线行情分析 根据长城期货AI智能大数据量化策略模型综合分析，螺纹钢期货主 力合约运行于2882至3330的横盘整理区间。 中线趋势判断 1 趋势判断逻辑 螺纹钢周度产量189万吨，表观消费量216万吨，主要钢厂库存142万 吨，社会库存548万吨。长城期货AI智能投询品种诊断报告显示螺纹钢 期货主力合约运行于横盘整理区间。 2 整理阶段可考虑网格交易策略，系统策略建议：天线3330，地线 2882，网格间距32，网格数量14。 中线策略建议 3 品种交易策略 上周策略回顾 螺纹钢期货主力合约进入震荡整理区间。 本周策略建议 相关数据情况 根据长城期货AI智能大数据量化策略模型，螺纹钢期货主力 合约进入横盘整理区间，可考虑实施大网格交易策略。 现货企业套期保值建议 整理阶段建议观望等待新一轮中线趋势明朗。 相关数据情况 本报告数据来源为Wind、Mysteel、长城期货交易咨询部 本报告数据来源为Wind、Mysteel、长城期货 ...

Report Overview - Report Title: Weekly Report on Rebar and Iron Ore Futures [2] - Report Period: December 01 - 05, 2025 [1] 1. Rebar Futures 1.1 Mid - term Market Analysis - Mid - term Trend: The main contract of rebar futures is in a sideways consolidation range of 2882 - 3330 [7]. - Trend Logic: Weekly production is 2.12 million tons, apparent consumption is 2.33 million tons, major steel mills' inventory is 1.56 million tons, and social inventory is 5.9 million tons [7]. - Strategy Suggestion: Consider a grid trading strategy with an antenna of 3330, a ground line of 2882, a grid spacing of 32, and 14 grids [7]. 1.2 Variety Trading Strategy - Last Week's Strategy Review: The main contract of rebar futures entered an oscillatory consolidation range [10]. - This Week's Strategy Suggestion: Implement a large - grid trading strategy as the contract is in a sideways consolidation range [11]. - Hedging Suggestion for Spot Enterprises: Wait and see until a new mid - term trend becomes clear [12]. 1.3 Relevant Data - Data Sources: Wind, Mysteel, and the Trading Consultation Department of Great Wall Futures [15][20][21] 2. Iron Ore Futures 2.1 Mid - term Market Analysis - Mid - term Trend: The main contract of iron ore futures is in a range - bound consolidation stage of 732 - 872 [31]. - Trend Logic: Last week, global shipment volume was 34.73 million tons, arrivals at 45 major Chinese ports were 22.17 million tons, steel enterprises' inventory was 89.93 million tons, and major domestic ports' inventory was 150.52 million tons [31]. - Strategy Suggestion: Consider implementing a grid trading strategy during the consolidation stage [31]. 2.2 Variety Trading Strategy - Last Week's Strategy Review: The mid - term price of iron ore was in an oscillatory consolidation stage [34]. - This Week's Strategy Suggestion: Implement a grid trading strategy with an antenna of 872, a ground line of 732, a grid spacing of 10, and 14 grids [35]. 2.3 Relevant Data - Data Sources: Wind, Mysteel, and the Trading Consultation Department of Great Wall Futures [41]

Group 1 - The concept of "buying low and selling high" is rooted in the market principle of "mean reversion," where prices eventually return to their intrinsic value [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index is expected to fluctuate around the 3000-point mark until 2025, suggesting that buying opportunities may arise below this level [1] - Current market conditions indicate that the index has reached 4000 points, raising questions about future investment strategies [1] Group 2 - Different industries exhibit varying degrees of valuation and profitability, with the AI sector currently valued at 40 times earnings, while consumer sectors are valued below 10 times [2] - Valuation percentiles are crucial for assessing whether an industry is at a low point, allowing investors to compare current valuations with historical data [2] - Non-bank financials and metals industries show strong growth in profitability while maintaining valuation percentiles below 35% [5] Group 3 - The performance of specific ETFs, such as the Guangfa CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank Financial ETF, has exceeded 40% returns this year, indicating strong performance within its category [5] - The E Fund CSI 300 Non-Bank Financial ETF has also performed well, achieving nearly 8% positive returns this year, placing it among the "billion club" ETFs [5] Group 4 - Historical data shows that market downturns can last significantly long, with the longest drop lasting 754 days, indicating the need for patience in identifying market bottoms [6][7] - Investors are encouraged to adopt a grid trading strategy to manage investments during volatile market conditions, allowing for systematic buying and selling based on price fluctuations [6][8] - Setting thresholds for incremental buying during market declines can help investors capitalize on potential recoveries, with suggested thresholds ranging from 5% to 25% [8]