[Table_Main] 行业研究|电信服务 证券研究报告 电信服务行业周报 2025 年 4 月 29 日 [Table_Title] 多个 AI agent 内测上线，主动权益基金减配通信 ——通信行业周报 [Table_Summary] 报告要点： 市场整体行情及通信细分板块行情回顾 周行情：本周（2025.4.21-2025.4.25）上证综指上涨 0.56%，深证 成指上涨 1.38%，创业板指上涨1.74%。本周申万通信上涨 1.32%。 考虑通信行业的高景气度延续，AI、5.5G 及卫星通信持续推动行业 发展，我们给予通信行业"推荐"评级。 细分行业：本周（2025.4.21-2025.4.25）通信板块三级子行业中， 通信网络设备及器件上涨幅度最高，涨幅为 5.62%，通信应用增值服 务回调幅度最高，跌幅为 3.52%，本周各细分板块主要呈上涨趋势。 个股方面：本周（2025.4.21-2025.4.25）通信板块涨幅板块分析方 面 ， 仕佳光子 （ 66.54% ） 、 武 汉 凡 谷 （ 28.87% ） 、 新易盛 （22.22%）涨幅分列前三。 Q1 主动权益型公募持仓：2025Q1 ...

5G通信高景气度有望延续。国元证券研报指出，近期通信行业多家公司发布Q1业绩预告，多预增。受 益于AI基础硬件的部署，锐捷网络、星网锐捷、中际旭创等算力硬件供应商业绩呈较快增长。同时， 随着模型能力架构优化，能力增强，应用端渗透或加速。考虑到目前模型仍以云端部署为主，以移远通 信为首的物联网模组供应商业绩表现强劲。此外，多家通信行业公司公告回购/增持计划，彰显公司层 面对未来行业前景的信心。考虑通信行业的高景气度延续，AI、5.5G及卫星通信持续推动行业发展， 我们给予通信行业"推荐"评级。 相关ETF全称：华夏中证5G通信主题ETF（515050），场外联接（A类：008086；C类：008087）。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 4月18日，5G概念持续走高，盛路通信、硕贝德、武汉凡谷等多股涨停，创远信科30%涨停，金信诺、 信维通信、中兴通讯等快速跟涨。全市场规模最大5G通信ETF（515050）快速走强，近10个交易日获得 资金净流入超6亿元。 工业部在4月18日新闻发布会上表示，加快推进6G技术研发、标准制定、中试验证和产业落实，加强通 信、感知、智能、计算等融合技术突破，前瞻布局和培育面向6G的应用 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for China Mobile (600941.SH) [1] Core Views - In 2024, China Mobile achieved revenue of 1,040.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.1%, with a net profit of 138.4 billion yuan, up 5.0% year-on-year [2][3] - The company is focusing on new business areas such as 5.5G, AI, and reasoning computing, which are expected to drive future growth [10] - The report anticipates steady growth in the company's overall business, with a projected net profit of 147.8 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 6.8% [12] Summary by Sections Personal Market - As of December 31, 2024, the total number of mobile customers reached 1.004 billion, with 5G network customers increasing to 552 million, a penetration rate of 55.0% [3] - The personal mobile cloud revenue grew by 12.6% year-on-year to 8.9 billion yuan, while the mobile ARPU decreased slightly by 0.8 yuan to 48.5 yuan [3][4] Family Market - The number of broadband customers reached 315 million, with gigabit broadband customers increasing by 25.0% to 99 million [4] - The family customer ARPU increased by 0.7 yuan to 43.8 yuan, indicating a positive trend in the family market [4] Business and New Markets - The enterprise market revenue reached 209.1 billion yuan, up 8.8% year-on-year, with a significant increase in mobile cloud revenue, which surpassed 100 billion yuan, growing by 20.4% [6][9] - Emerging markets, including international business and digital content, saw revenue growth of 8.7% year-on-year, with international business revenue at 22.8 billion yuan [9] Capital Expenditure - Capital expenditure for 2024 was 164 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.0% year-on-year, with a focus on new areas such as 5.5G and AI [10] - The company plans to invest 98 billion yuan in 5G-A in 2025, reflecting a significant increase of 227% [10] Dividend Policy - The company plans to increase its dividend payout, with a total dividend of 5.09 HKD per share for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.4% [11] Financial Forecasts - The report forecasts net profits of 147.8 billion yuan, 156.2 billion yuan, and 164.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 6.85, 7.24, and 7.62 yuan [12][14]