Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the steel products in the black building materials sector is "Oscillating and Slightly Weak" [1] Group 2: Core View of the Report - After the short - term macro - stimulus, the futures prices of rebar and hot - rolled coil have returned to the previous oscillation range. The market is currently dominated by industry logic and expectations, and the market expectations are not optimistic. The supply of steel has increased recently, the export of steel in April continued to grow at a high rate, and the demand for construction steel and plate has shown a differentiation [1] Group 3: Summary According to the Report's Content Market Conditions - On Friday, the main contract of rebar 2510 closed at 3082, down 1.15%. The main contract of hot - rolled coil closed at 3226, down 0.95%. The main contract of stainless steel closed at 12925, down 0.54%. All closed down at night [1] Important Information - China's steel demand will remain in the peak platform range for a long time. It is predicted that the crude steel output will be 800 - 900 million tons in 2035 and about 800 million tons after 2050 [1] - In April 2025, China exported 1.59 million tons of steel bars, a year - on - year increase of 47.1%; from January to April, the cumulative export was 5.71 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 48.1% [1] - From January to April, the national water conservancy construction investment reached 294.36 billion yuan, and the water conservancy investment scale remained at a high level [1] - Russia's government has introduced a new shipbuilding industry development strategy, planning to build more than 1634 ships by 2036 and another 2637 ships by 2050 [1] - As of this week, the capacity utilization rate of independent electric furnace enterprises in the country was 56.57%, a month - on - month increase of 1.49 percentage points, basically the same as the same period last year [1] - From January to April 2025, the national shipbuilding completion volume was 15.32 million deadweight tons, a year - on - year decrease of 8.4%; the new order volume was 30.69 million deadweight tons, a year - on - year decrease of 11.1%. As of the end of April, the order - on - hand volume was 229.78 million deadweight tons, a year - on - year increase of 43.6% [1] Market Logic - On Friday, the spot prices of rebar and hot - rolled coil fluctuated, and the trading volume was average. The impact of macro - factors on the market has weakened, and the market has returned to industry logic and expectations. The fundamentals show that last week, the output and apparent demand of rebar increased, and the inventory decreased. The output and inventory of hot - rolled coil decreased, and the apparent demand increased. Recently, the output of electric furnaces has increased significantly, and the supply of steel has increased. The export of steel in April continued to grow at a high rate, and after the relaxation of Sino - US tariffs, the export is expected to perform well. The ship orders have continued to grow at a high rate, and the demand for medium and heavy plates is good. There is a differentiation in the demand for construction steel and plate [1] Trading Strategy - Wait for the direction to become clearer or conduct short - term operations [1]

美国4月产能利用率 77.7%，预期77.8%，前值77.80%。 ...

Group 1: Company Performance and Market Demand - The company expects strong performance in Q2 2025 due to sufficient production orders and robust downstream customer demand [2] - The overall gross margin is influenced by market competition, capacity utilization, and the supporting industrial chain [2] - The company has established long-term partnerships with several domestic wind power manufacturers, reflecting its market penetration strategy [2] Group 2: Production and Efficiency Enhancements - The company is maximizing capacity to meet downstream market demands through increased R&D, equipment upgrades, process improvements, and workforce expansion [3] - Various heat treatment processes are utilized, tailored to customer requirements, product characteristics, application scenarios, and processing costs [3] Group 3: Compliance and Transparency - The investor relations activity adhered to regulations, ensuring participants signed a research commitment letter, and the company guarantees truthful, accurate, complete, timely, and fair information disclosure [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 43.0 HKD [7][8]. Core Views - The company achieved Q1 2025 revenue of 541 million USD, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 17.6% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 0.3%, primarily driven by increased wafer shipments [16][20]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 9.2%, up 2.8 percentage points year-over-year but down 2.2 percentage points quarter-over-quarter due to depreciation from new production lines [16][20]. - For Q2 2025, the company guides revenue between 550-570 million USD, with a gross margin forecast of 7-9%, mainly impacted by depreciation [21]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - Q1 2025 revenue reached 541 million USD, with wafer shipments of 1.231 million pieces, a year-over-year increase of 20.0% [16][20]. - The company expects full-year revenue growth driven by sustained capacity utilization and an increase in 12-inch capacity [16][18]. Capacity and Production - The production capacity utilization rate was 102.7% in Q1 2025, with the second 12-inch production line expected to ramp up steadily [2][21]. - The company aims to shorten ramp-up time and increase shipment volumes to stabilize gross margins [2]. Pricing and ASP - The average selling price (ASP) in Q1 2025 decreased by 0.9% quarter-over-quarter, but the company anticipates stable pricing for the year, with potential increases in 12-inch prices [3][5]. - The company believes that 2024 will be the price low point, with opportunities for price increases if supply-demand conditions tighten [3]. Segment Performance - Q1 2025 revenue from analog and power management grew by 12% quarter-over-quarter, benefiting from increased demand for power management chips [4][26]. - The 12-inch wafer revenue reached 310 million USD in Q1 2025, a year-over-year increase of 40.8% [24]. Financial Forecast - The report maintains revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 2.168 billion USD, 2.453 billion USD, and 2.739 billion USD respectively, with net profit estimates of 52.31 million USD, 82.49 million USD, and 97.02 million USD [5][18][19]. - The target price of 43.0 HKD is based on a 1.5 times price-to-book ratio for 2025 [5][29].

合成橡胶产业日报 2025-05-12 涨，注意风险控制。 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为 瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 研究员: 林静宜 期货从业资格号F03139610 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0021558 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 主力合约收盘价:合成橡胶(日,元/吨) 370 主力合约持仓量:合成橡胶(日,元/吨) | 11820 | | 25672 | 1552 | | | 合成橡胶6-7价差(日,元/吨) -45 仓单数量:丁二烯橡胶:仓库:总计(日,吨) | -145 | | 7210 | -60 ...

Group 1 - The Shanghai Export Container Freight Index reported a rise of 4.24 points to 1345.17 as of May 9, while the China Export Container Freight Index decreased by 1.3% to 1106.38 [1] - Mysteel's survey indicated that the operating rate of blast furnaces in 247 steel mills reached 84.62%, an increase of 0.29 percentage points week-on-week and up 3.12 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The average daily pig iron output was 2.4564 million tons, showing a week-on-week increase of 0.022 million tons [1] Group 2 - The General Administration of Customs and six other departments announced adjustments to management measures for customs special supervision zones, effective June 10, 2025 [2] - ITS reported that Malaysia's palm oil exports from May 1 to 10 totaled 293,991 tons, a decrease of 9% compared to the same period last month [2] - The China Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry Association urged major nitrogen fertilizer companies to reduce urea factory prices within three days to not exceed levels prior to May 6 [2]

宏观层面，央行宣布实施降准降息及下调公积金利率三大举措，但对需求端实际提振有限，玻璃行业仍 面对过剩压力。供应端继续收缩，本周开工率75.24%，环比减少0.22%，产能利用率78.02%，环比减少 0.41个百分点，周产量也回落至109.19万吨，为2个月最低。需求端起色缓慢，加工厂倾向于轻仓运行， 中游较大库存的压制下，一定程度上使得短期反弹被压制。本周全国浮法玻璃样本企业总库存环增近 4%或257.1万重箱至6756重箱，同比增加10.38%。总之，供应端压力缓慢减弱，但需求端起色缓慢，对 行业运行仍存负反馈，意味着玻璃在未来将继续面临过剩的压力，市场预期偏悲观。关注全球市场风险 偏好、下游产销情况。【策略推荐】:FG关注【1040，1070】，5日均线承压。 机构 核心观点 中辉期货 玻璃市场预期偏悲观 新世纪期货 玻璃基本面缺乏推涨动力 5月9日盘中，玻璃期货主力合约弱势震荡，最低下探至1042.00元。截止发稿，玻璃主力合约报1045.00 元，跌幅0.95%。 玻璃期货主力跌近1%，对于后市行情如何，相关机构该如何评价？ 中辉期货：玻璃市场预期偏悲观 新世纪期货：玻璃基本面缺乏推涨动力 近期部分 ...

数据来源第三方，观点仅供参考。市场有风险，投资需谨慎！ ，短期产能利用率有望逐步回升。br2506合约短线建议在11000-11800区间交易。 研究员: 林静宜 期货从业资格号F03139610 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0021558 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为 瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 合成橡胶产业日报 2025-05-08 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 主力合约收盘价:合成橡胶(日,元/吨) -5 主力合约持仓量:合成橡胶(日,元/吨) | 11370 | 24034 | -1070 | | | 合成橡胶6-7价差(日 ...

环比明显下降，主要因假期到来部分企业逐步进入检修或降负运行阶段，进而拖拽企业产能利用率下行， 数据来源于第三方，仅供参考。市场有风险，投资需谨慎！ 节后产能利用率有望逐步回升。ru2509合约短线建议在14500-15300区间交易，nr2506合约短线建议在124 研究员: 林静宜 期货从业资格号F03139610 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0021558 50-13000区间交易。 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为 瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 天然橡胶产业日报 2025-05-07 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 沪 ...

Group 1: Report Title and General Outlook - The report is titled "Asphalt: Oil Price Rebound, Oscillating with an Upward Bias" dated May 7, 2025 [1] - The trend strength of asphalt is 1, indicating a moderately positive outlook, with the range of trend strength being integers from -2 (most bearish) to 2 (most bullish) [10] Group 2: Futures Market Data Futures Prices and Changes - BU2506 closed at 3,361 yuan/ton yesterday with a -1.38% change and 3,424 yuan/ton in the night session with a 1.87% change - BU2507 closed at 3,342 yuan/ton yesterday with a -1.42% change and 3,400 yuan/ton in the night session with a 1.74% change [1] Trading Volume and Open Interest - BU2506 had a trading volume of 194,405 lots yesterday with an increase of 23,855 lots and an open interest of 113,918 lots with an increase of 984 lots - BU2507 had a trading volume of 53,094 lots yesterday with an increase of 8,137 lots and an open interest of 111,608 lots with an increase of 3,751 lots [1] Warehouse Receipts - The total asphalt warehouse receipts in the market were 87,690 lots yesterday with no change [1] Spreads - The basis (Shandong - 06) was 209 yuan/ton yesterday, up 57 yuan from the previous day - The 06 - 07 inter - period spread was 19 yuan/ton yesterday, up 1 yuan from the previous day [1] Group 3: Spot Market Data Spot Prices - The Shandong wholesale price was 3,570 yuan/ton yesterday, up 10 yuan, with the factory - warehouse spot equivalent to 3,679 yuan/ton and the warehouse spot equivalent to 3,821 yuan/ton - The Yangtze River Delta wholesale price was 3,570 yuan/ton yesterday, unchanged, with the factory - warehouse spot equivalent to 3,608 yuan/ton and the warehouse spot equivalent to 3,670 yuan/ton [1] Refinery Data - As of May 3, the refinery operating rate was 29.81%, up 2.10% from April 28 - As of May 3, the refinery inventory rate was 29.17%, down 0.42% from April 28 [1] Group 4: Market News - From April 30 to May 5, 2025, the capacity utilization rate of 77 domestic heavy - traffic asphalt enterprises was 27.0%, a 1.3% decrease from the previous period, mainly due to Jiangsu Xinhai switching to producing residual oil during the holiday and Henan Fengli having no production plan during the holiday [11] - As of May 5, 2025, the total inventory of 54 asphalt sample factory warehouses was 85.6 tons, a 0.7% decrease from April 28. The North China region had the largest de - stocking, mainly because local refineries had a low operating level and shipped goods under contracts [11] - As of May 5, 2025, the total inventory of 104 asphalt social warehouses was 197.3 tons, a 2.0% increase from April 28. The Yangtze River Delta region had obvious inventory accumulation, mainly due to good shipping and some cargoes arriving at ports and entering warehouses [11]