Core Viewpoint - The meeting of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee emphasizes the need to effectively unleash domestic demand potential and implement special actions to boost consumption, focusing on both goods and service consumption growth [1] Group 1: Economic Strategy - The meeting will report on work to the Central Committee and discuss the formulation of the 15th Five-Year Plan for national economic and social development [1] - There is a strong emphasis on expanding consumption demand while ensuring the improvement of people's livelihoods [1] Group 2: Investment and Risk Management - The meeting highlights the importance of high-quality promotion of "two重" construction to stimulate private investment and expand effective investment [1] - Continuous prevention and resolution of risks in key areas is a priority, including managing local government debt risks and prohibiting new hidden debts [1] - The need to enhance the attractiveness and inclusiveness of the domestic capital market is stressed to consolidate the positive momentum of market stabilization [1]

Economic Performance - Shenzhen's GDP for the first half of the year reached 1832.226 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.1% [1] - The primary industry added value was 1.033 billion yuan, growing by 2.8%; the secondary industry added value was 650.556 billion yuan, growing by 3.3%; and the tertiary industry added value was 1180.637 billion yuan, growing by 6.1% [1] Industrial Growth - The industrial added value above designated size in Shenzhen increased by 4.3% year-on-year, with the growth rate accelerating by 0.1 percentage points compared to the first quarter [1] - Key sectors such as general equipment manufacturing grew by 17.1%, and high-tech product output saw significant increases, including civilian drones (59.0%), industrial robots (38.0%), and 3D printing equipment (35.8%) [1] Service Sector Development - The added value of the service industry reached 1180.637 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.1%, also accelerating by 0.1 percentage points from the first quarter [2] - Specific sectors like finance (10.9%), transportation, warehousing, and postal services (9.0%), and information transmission, software, and IT services (8.1%) showed strong growth [2] Consumer Market Trends - Retail sales of consumer goods totaled 494.868 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.5%, and an acceleration of 0.4 percentage points from the first quarter [2] - The online retail sector continued to grow, with sales through the internet increasing by 19.4% [2] Investment and Trade - Fixed asset investment in Shenzhen decreased by 10.9%, with real estate development investment down by 15.1%, while infrastructure investment grew by 7.7% [3] - The total import and export volume was 2167.545 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.1%, with exports at 1308.681 billion yuan (down 7.0%) and imports at 858.864 billion yuan (up 9.5%) [3] Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that Shenzhen should leverage its technological advantages to develop high-tech industries and enhance industrial upgrading while optimizing the consumption environment to counter external pressures [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles is the positive assessment of China's economic performance in the first half of the year, with GDP exceeding 66 trillion yuan and a year-on-year growth of 5.3%, surpassing market expectations [1] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised its forecast for China's economic growth in 2025 by 0.8 percentage points to 4.8% compared to its April prediction [2] - The meeting emphasized the need for macro policies to continue to exert force and to be timely and flexible, particularly in implementing more proactive fiscal policies and moderately easing monetary policies [2][3] Group 2 - The focus for the second half of the year will be on domestic demand, with an emphasis on effectively releasing its potential and implementing special actions to boost consumption [4] - The government plans to increase disposable income through measures such as a new childcare subsidy program, which is expected to directly boost consumption by approximately 70 billion yuan, equivalent to about 0.05% of GDP in 2024 [5] - The meeting highlighted the importance of supporting foreign trade enterprises, particularly those impacted by international challenges, and emphasized the need for high-level opening up to stabilize foreign trade and investment [6][8] Group 3 - The meeting did not mention real estate risks, which indicates that risks in this sector have been effectively mitigated, focusing instead on urban renewal and improving local government debt management [10] - Recent significant actions in the real estate sector, such as the introduction of the Housing Rental Regulations, aim to support the establishment of a dual rental and purchase housing system [11] - The focus on urban renewal is expected to accelerate the implementation of related policies, enhancing top-level design and attracting social capital for sustainable urban development [11]

国家发改委就《政府投资基金布局规划和投向工作指引（公开征求意见稿）》向社会公开征求意见。意见稿提出，设立政府投资基金要落实建设全国统一大 市场部署要求，不以招商引资为目的，鼓励降低或取消返投比例。政府投资基金投向要符合国家生产力布局宏观调控要求，避免投资于存在结构性矛盾的产 业，在新兴产业领域防止盲目跟风、一哄而上，支持有关行业企业实施兼并重组，加快技术更新换代，推动产业提质升级。 政治局会议强调培育服务消费新增长点 宏观要闻 政治局会议要求宏观政策持续发力 据新华社消息，中共中央政治局周三召开会议，分析研究当前经济形势，部署下半年经济工作。对于接下来的政策走向，会议指出，宏观政策要持续发力、 适时加力。具体来看，会议提到，要落实落细更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策，充分释放政策效应。加快政府债券发行使用，提高资金使用效 率。兜牢基层"三保"底线。货币政策要保持流动性充裕，促进社会综合融资成本下行。用好各项结构性货币政策工具，加力支持科技创新、提振消费、小微 企业、稳定外贸等。 发改委将加强政府投资基金投向调控 中共中央政治局会议强调，要有效释放内需潜力。深入实施提振消费专项行动，在扩大商品消费的同时， ...

2025.07.30 本文字数：2933，阅读时长大约5分钟 作者 |第一财经 祝嫣然 今年上半年中国经济顶住压力平稳运行，实现了5.3%的增速。下半年宏观政策如何发力，备受市场关 注。 据新华社消息，中共中央政治局7月30日召开会议。分析研究当前经济形势，部署下半年经济工作。 会议同时指出，当前我国经济运行依然面临不少风险挑战，要正确把握形势，增强忧患意识，坚持底线 思维，用好发展机遇、潜力和优势，巩固拓展经济回升向好势头。 李迅雷认为，短期内政策仍将保持定力，下半年或有两条主线：一个是精准施策。在不增列赤字、不增 发国债的前提下，发力空间在于调整年初预算安排的结构、优化额度在各省之间的分配、提前下达明年 专项债券和化债的额度，具体方向可能包括增加稳就业和稳外贸支出、化解中小企业账款拖欠、支持经 济大省"挑大梁"等。二是灵活应对，根据前期政策效果相机抉择是否进一步加大力度，并密切跟踪国际 政治、经济、金融形势对国内的影响传导，常态化、敞口式做好政策预研储备。 会议认为，今年以来，我国经济运行稳中有进，高质量发展取得新成效。主要经济指标表现良好，新质 生产力积极发展，改革开放不断深化，重点领域风险有力有效防范 ...

根据新华社报道，7月30日，中共中央政治局召开会议，中共中央总书记习近平主持会议。 会议指出，要坚定不移深化改革。坚持以科技创新引领新质生产力发展，加快培育具有国际竞争力的新 兴支柱产业，推动科技创新和产业创新深度融合发展。纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，推动市场竞争秩 序持续优化。依法依规治理企业无序竞争。推进重点行业产能治理。规范地方招商引资行为。坚持"两 个毫不动摇"，激发各类经营主体活力。 会议指出，"十五五"时期是基本实现社会主义现代化夯实基础、全面发力的关键时期，我国发展环境面 临深刻复杂变化，战略机遇和风险挑战并存、不确定难预料因素增多，同时我国经济基础稳、优势多、 韧性强、潜能大，长期向好的支撑条件和基本趋势没有变，中国特色社会主义制度优势、超大规模市场 优势、完整产业体系优势、丰富人才资源优势更加彰显，要保持战略定力，增强必胜信心，积极识变应 变求变，集中力量办好自己的事，在激烈国际竞争中赢得战略主动，推动事关中国式现代化全局的战略 任务取得重大突破。 会议强调，"十五五"时期经济社会发展要坚持马克思列宁主义、毛泽东思想、邓小平理论、"三个代 表"重要思想、科学发展观，全面贯彻习近平新时代中国特 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of maintaining stability while seeking progress in China's economic work for the second half of the year, highlighting the need for continuous and flexible policy implementation to boost consumption and ensure economic recovery [1][3]. Summary by Sections Economic Situation and Policy Direction - The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China (CPC) held a meeting to discuss the current economic situation and plans for the second half of the year, with a focus on stabilizing employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations [1][2]. - The meeting included representatives from various democratic parties and organizations, who expressed support for the CPC's analysis of the economic situation and provided suggestions for promoting technological and industrial innovation, enhancing service consumption, and improving social security for flexible employment groups [2][3]. Challenges and Strategic Focus - Despite the positive developments in the first half of the year, challenges and risks remain in the economic landscape. The CPC emphasizes the need for a proactive approach to macroeconomic policies, focusing on expanding domestic demand and deepening reforms [3][4]. - The CPC aims to consolidate the economic recovery momentum by leveraging development opportunities and addressing potential risks in key sectors [3]. Collaborative Efforts and Future Directions - The CPC acknowledges the contributions of various democratic parties and organizations in providing insights and suggestions for economic development, reflecting a spirit of cooperation under CPC leadership [4][5]. - The CPC encourages these organizations to unify their understanding of the economic situation and to promote high-quality development by utilizing their resources and expertise effectively [5].

Core Viewpoint - The meeting emphasized the need to maintain stability while seeking progress in economic work for the second half of the year, focusing on employment, enterprises, markets, and consumer confidence to achieve the annual economic and social development goals [2][4]. Group 1: Economic Situation and Policy Directions - The meeting highlighted the importance of a stable economic foundation, with positive factors accumulating to support high-quality development [5]. - It was noted that despite the stable progress, there are still risks and challenges that need to be addressed, requiring a proactive macroeconomic policy approach [5]. - Key areas of focus include expanding domestic demand, deepening reforms, promoting technological and industrial innovation, and ensuring social welfare improvements [5][6]. Group 2: Contributions from Political Parties and Organizations - Various leaders from democratic parties and organizations expressed their support for the central government's economic analysis and proposed suggestions for promoting innovation, service consumption, and enhancing social security for flexible employment groups [3][4]. - The meeting recognized the collaborative efforts of these organizations in addressing key economic and social issues, reflecting a spirit of unity and practical action under the leadership of the Communist Party [5]. Group 3: Future Expectations - Xi Jinping called for a unified understanding among political parties to foster consensus and promote high-quality development through targeted research and actionable recommendations [6]. - The emphasis was placed on leveraging resources and expertise to guide private sector actors towards a path of high-quality growth [6].

会议对下半年有效释放内需潜力、稳住外贸外资基本盘、持续防范化解重点领域风险等重点工作作出具 体部署 今年上半年中国经济顶住压力平稳运行，实现了5.3%的增速。下半年宏观政策如何发力，备受市场关 注。 据新华社消息，中共中央政治局7月30日召开会议。分析研究当前经济形势，部署下半年经济工作。 政治局会议对当前经济形势作出判断，认为今年我国经济展现强大活力和韧性，同时面临不少风险挑 战。会议提出下半年宏观政策要持续发力、适时加力。落实落细更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币 政策，充分释放政策效应。 会议认为，今年以来，我国经济运行稳中有进，高质量发展取得新成效。主要经济指标表现良好，新质 生产力积极发展，改革开放不断深化，重点领域风险有力有效防范化解，民生兜底保障进一步加强，我 国经济展现强大活力和韧性。 会议同时指出，当前我国经济运行依然面临不少风险挑战，要正确把握形势，增强忧患意识，坚持底线 思维，用好发展机遇、潜力和优势，巩固拓展经济回升向好势头。 在面对外部冲击影响加大、内部困难挑战较多的情况下，上半年GDP同比增长5.3%，较去年同期、去 年全年均提高0.3个百分点，为实现全年经济增长目标打下了坚实基础 ...

Core Viewpoint - The meeting emphasized the need to maintain stability while seeking progress in economic work for the second half of the year, focusing on employment, enterprises, markets, and consumer confidence [1][2][3]. Summary by Sections Economic Situation and Work Considerations - The meeting reported on the economic performance in the first half of the year, highlighting that the economy is showing signs of stability and progress under strong leadership [2]. - The central government aims to implement proactive macro policies to support economic recovery and address challenges [3]. Suggestions from Political Parties and Business Representatives - Various representatives expressed support for the central government's economic analysis and proposed suggestions for promoting technological innovation, service sector consumption, and enhancing social security for flexible employment groups [2][3]. Key Focus Areas for the Second Half - The government plans to focus on expanding domestic demand, deepening reforms, promoting technological and industrial innovation, and ensuring the improvement of people's livelihoods [3]. Expectations from Political Parties and Business Leaders - The central government expects political parties and business leaders to unify their understanding of the economic situation and contribute to high-quality development by leveraging their strengths [4].