从技术面来看，今日迎来周五收官，短线依旧重点关注4580-4625的震荡区间，其中4580是日内关键支 撑位，4561则为多头短期防守线；在大周期看涨的基调下，重点看点在于今日能否突破4625阻力位，实 现行情的向上延伸。 昨日日线收出锤头阴线，明确验证了上方压力的有效性，这是多头动能衰减、空头开始发力的关键信 号。 当前技术结构进一步转弱：1小时与4小时布林带同步收口，价格已有效跌破4小时中轨支撑，且近期高 点呈现逐步下移态势。压力位下移至4612-4625区域，而下方4585-4580成为日内关键支撑区间。唯有下 破4580，才能确认打开进一步下行空间，目标可看至4550。 即时阻力位出现在1月14日创下的4643美元的历史高点，随后是上升楔形的上边界，约为4660美元。突 破这一重叠阻力区将使金价对升至4700美元水平。 周五(1月16日)亚市盘中，现货黄金价格震荡走弱，目前交投于4596.50美元/盎司附近，现货黄金在近期 盘内价格线上持续波动交易，试图获得新的多头动能，以帮助其在近期主导波动后恢复盈利浪潮。金价 在周初走出一波亮眼上扬后，周中便陷入高位整理，整体呈现冲高后的修正格局。 美国总统唐纳德 ...

顾问团队向特朗普表示，若实施大规模打击，美国需要在中东地区部署更多军事力量，不仅用于发 动攻击，还要在伊朗可能报复的情况下，保护驻中东美军以及包括以色列在内的盟友。 据央视新闻消息，当地时间1月15日，美国白宫新闻秘书莱维特表示，美国总统特朗普及其团队正 在密切关注伊朗局势，并保留所有选项。莱维特称，特朗普与以色列总理内塔尼亚胡进行了通话，但她 不会在未经总统本人明确批准的情况下透露二者谈话细节。 同日，特朗普暂缓决定是否对伊朗发动军事打击。多名美国、以色列及阿拉伯国家消息人士称，军 事选项仍在桌面上，但不确定性明显上升。 美国福克斯新闻网15日报道说，随着与伊朗紧张关系升级，美国正在向中东地区增派兵力，其中包 括至少一艘航空母舰，同时将在该地区部署更多的导弹防御系统。 报道援引美军方消息人士的话说，预计未来几天和数周内，美国将向中东地区增加陆海空军事力 量，为特朗普"在决定对伊朗发动打击时提供军事选择"。 当地时间15日下午，联合国安理会就中东局势举行紧急公开会。中国常驻联合国代表团临时代办孙 磊大使在会上的发言指出，美国就伊朗局势持续发声，公然对伊朗发出武力威胁，中东地区战云密布， 紧张气氛不断加剧。伊朗 ...

中东地区紧张局势加剧。 三名未公开国籍的外交官14日表示，美军驻扎在卡塔尔乌代德空军基地的部分人员被建议于14日 晚之前撤出该基地。美国驻卡塔尔使馆尚未回应这一消息。 近期，伊朗多地发生抗议活动，其间出现骚乱，造成人员伤亡。连日来，美国总统特朗普多次威 胁军事干涉伊朗局势。一名伊朗匿名高级官员14日接受采访时说，伊朗已向沙特阿拉伯、阿联酋 和土耳其等地区国家通告，如果美国袭击伊朗，伊朗将打击美军在这些国家的基地。 2025年6月，以色列突袭伊朗。以伊12天冲突期间，美国轰炸伊朗核设施。作为回击，伊朗用导 弹打击了美军驻卡塔尔乌代德空军基地。该基地是美国在中东地区最大的军事基地。 伊朗高级将领：伊朗处于最高战备状态 据新华社消息，路透社14日援引美国官员的话报道说，鉴于中东地区紧张局势加剧，美国正从其 在中东的多个主要基地撤出部分人员。 与此同时，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队航空航天部队司令马吉德·穆萨维14日说，伊朗当前处于最高战备 状态，导弹储备量自2025年以来有所增加。 美国官员称美国正从中东主要基地撤出人员 当地时间1月14日，一名美国官员表示，鉴于中东地区紧张局势升级，美国正从主要美军基地撤 离部分人员，作为 ...

行业 原油日报 日期 2026 年 1 月 14 日 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03134307 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷,CFA（原油沥青） 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（工业硅碳市场） 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 | | ...

中国外交部发言人毛宁13日主持例行记者会。 毛宁：中方希望并支持伊朗保持国家稳定。我们一贯反对干涉别国内政，反对在国际关系中使用或威胁 使用武力，希望各方多做有利于中东和平稳定的事。 有记者提问：美国警告美国公民立即离开伊朗。同时，白宫表示，针对该国的军事选项已提上日程。美 国媒体报道称，网络战和心理战选项也在考虑之中。中方对伊朗近期局势有何评论？ （文章来源：中国新闻网） ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly focusing on the potential military actions by the United States against Iran and the responses from Iranian officials and military forces [1][2][3][4][5][6][7]. Group 1: U.S. Military Actions - U.S. President Trump has been briefed on military strike options against Iran and is seriously considering authorizing military action [3]. - The U.S. military has various options, including strikes on non-military sites in Tehran [3]. - Trump has threatened intervention in Iran's current situation, stating that the U.S. is ready to provide "help" [5]. Group 2: Iranian Response - The Iranian military has vowed to defend national interests and called for unity among the Iranian people to thwart perceived foreign conspiracies [5][6]. - Iranian officials have accused the U.S. and Israel of orchestrating unrest in Iran, claiming that protests have turned into threats to national security [6]. - Supreme Leader Khamenei emphasized the importance of unity among Iranians to overcome adversaries and criticized those who damage public property [7]. Group 3: Regional Developments - Israeli officials have reportedly planned a new military operation in Gaza, aiming to expand control over the region [8][9]. - Hamas announced the dissolution of its administrative body governing Gaza, transferring responsibilities to an independent committee [10][12]. - The U.S. military conducted large-scale strikes against ISIS targets in Syria as part of ongoing operations [13][14][15].

Group 1: Iran Situation - Iran is facing significant internal and external pressures, leading to large-scale protests due to rising prices and currency devaluation, resulting in casualties [2] - The Iranian economy is under severe strain due to multiple rounds of Western sanctions since the U.S. withdrawal from the nuclear deal in 2018, severely impacting living conditions and limiting government policy options [2] - The risk of external intervention is increasing, with Iran preparing for potential military actions, and the possibility of renewed conflict with Israel is notable as political dynamics shift ahead of the 2026 elections [2][3] Group 2: Israel-Palestine Conflict - The ceasefire agreement in Gaza, effective from October 10, 2025, remains uncertain, with Israel focused on eliminating Hamas and ensuring security, while Hamas demands complete withdrawal and recognition of Palestinian rights [4] - Internal Palestinian divisions pose significant obstacles to achieving lasting peace, as there is currently no political will to resolve the split between Hamas and Fatah [4] - The U.S.-led peace plan for Gaza is criticized for its structural flaws and lack of actionable items, with any changes in key issues potentially hindering the reconstruction process [4] Group 3: Regional Conflicts - Ongoing conflicts in Syria, Sudan, and Yemen are expected to be significant risk points in the Middle East for 2026 [5] - Syria faces challenges from internal ethnic and political struggles, the resurgence of extremist groups, and intensified external power dynamics, leading to an uncertain future [6] - The humanitarian crisis in Sudan is severe, with 30 million people in need of aid, and the conflict is likely to remain stagnant, risking further regional instability [6] - Yemen's prolonged division complicates political resolutions, with external interventions exacerbating the situation, and recent Israeli military maneuvers in the region heightening tensions [6]

Group 1: Iran Situation - Iran is facing significant internal and external challenges, including economic pressure from sanctions and rising inflation, leading to widespread protests [2] - The Iranian government is limited in its policy options due to the dual pressures of domestic economic hardship and Western sanctions [2] - There is an increased risk of external intervention, with potential military actions from the U.S. being a concern, especially in light of Iran's close ties with Venezuela [2] - The likelihood of direct conflict between Iran and Israel is heightened, particularly as Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu seeks political leverage ahead of elections [2][3] - The prospects for progress on the Iran nuclear issue remain bleak, with ongoing tensions and a lack of meaningful dialogue with Western powers [3] Group 2: Israel-Palestine Conflict - The ceasefire in Gaza is fragile, with Israel focused on eliminating Hamas while Hamas demands complete withdrawal and recognition of Palestinian rights [4] - Internal divisions within Palestinian factions, particularly between Hamas and Fatah, pose significant obstacles to achieving lasting peace [5] - The U.S.-led peace initiatives are criticized for their structural flaws and lack of actionable solutions, which could hinder the reconstruction of Gaza [5] - Without substantial compromises from all parties, the Gaza situation may continue to deteriorate into prolonged conflict [5] Group 3: Regional Conflicts - Ongoing conflicts in Syria, Sudan, and Yemen are expected to be significant risk points in the Middle East for 2026 [6] - Syria faces challenges from internal political struggles, the presence of extremist groups, and external power dynamics, leading to an uncertain future [6] - The humanitarian crisis in Sudan is severe, with millions in need of aid, and the conflict is likely to persist without resolution [6] - Yemen's situation remains complex due to internal divisions and external interventions, complicating political solutions [6][7] - The interplay of internal conflicts, external interventions, and regional power struggles is likely to keep the Middle East in a state of instability, increasing risks of economic decline and extremism [7]

Group 1: Iran Situation - Iran is facing significant internal and external challenges, including economic pressure from inflation and currency devaluation, leading to widespread protests [2] - The Iranian government is under pressure due to Western sanctions since the U.S. withdrawal from the nuclear agreement in 2018, severely impacting the economy and public welfare [2] - There is an increasing risk of external interference, with potential military actions from the U.S. and renewed conflict with Israel over Iran's nuclear facilities [2][3] Group 2: Israel-Palestine Conflict - The ceasefire in Gaza is fragile, with Israel aiming to eliminate Hamas while Hamas demands complete withdrawal and recognition of Palestinian rights, indicating deep-rooted disagreements [4] - Internal divisions among Palestinian factions, particularly between Hamas and Fatah, hinder the prospects for lasting peace [4] - The U.S.-led peace plan for Gaza is criticized for its structural flaws and lack of actionable solutions, which could impede reconstruction efforts [4] Group 3: Regional Conflicts - Syria faces ongoing challenges with internal political struggles, security issues, and the presence of extremist groups, complicating the path to stability [6] - The humanitarian crisis in Sudan is severe, with 30 million people in need of aid, and the conflict is expected to persist, potentially leading to increased regional instability [6] - Yemen's situation remains complex due to internal divisions and external interventions, with geopolitical tensions rising in the region, particularly around the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait [6]

Group 1 - Jordan and the EU will hold their first-ever bilateral summit on January 8, focusing on strengthening bilateral relations and deepening political and economic partnerships [1] - The summit will be attended by Jordan's King Abdullah II, European Council President Costa, and European Commission President von der Leyen [1] - Discussions will include the implementation of the EU-Jordan Strategic and Comprehensive Partnership Agreement signed in January 2025, aiming to expand practical cooperation in various fields [1] Group 2 - The summit will address regional and international hot issues, with a particular focus on the latest developments in the Middle East [1] - Topics of communication will include security, trade, and immigration [1]