Core Points - The central bank conducted a 340 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation on July 4, indicating active liquidity management in the market [1] - A total of 5,259 billion yuan in 7-day reverse repos matured on the same day, leading to a net withdrawal of 4,919 billion yuan [1] Summary by Category - **Monetary Policy Actions** - The central bank's reverse repurchase operation of 340 billion yuan reflects its strategy to manage short-term liquidity in the financial system [1] - **Market Liquidity** - The maturity of 5,259 billion yuan in reverse repos highlights significant liquidity dynamics, resulting in a net withdrawal of 4,919 billion yuan, which may impact market interest rates and liquidity conditions [1]

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China conducted a 340 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation today, maintaining the operation rate at 1.40% [1] - A total of 525.9 billion yuan in reverse repos matured today [1]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China did not conduct any open market treasury transactions in June, but executed a reverse repurchase operation amounting to 1.4 trillion yuan [1] Group 1 - The central bank's decision to refrain from open market treasury transactions indicates a cautious approach to monetary policy in June [1] - The 1.4 trillion yuan reverse repurchase operation suggests an effort to manage liquidity in the financial system [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The main tone of "moderately loose monetary policy" remains unchanged, and stabilizing growth is still the central bank's primary short - term goal. If economic growth shows no improvement and faces more pressure, a new round of broad monetary policy may be launched [1]. - In July, the large - scale supply of government bonds and tax - payment factors will significantly interfere with the capital market. However, the central bank's support for the capital market is expected to continue, with overnight and 7 - day capital interest rates likely to remain stable [1]. - The supply - demand structure of inter - bank certificates of deposit (CDs) will further improve in July, with the maturity scale of CDs decreasing and the interest rate having room to decline [1]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Current Situation and Future Concerns - From June 23 to June 27, the central bank made substantial net injections to support cross - quarter liquidity, leading to a divergence in capital prices. Overnight capital interest rates were stable, while 7 - day rates rose significantly, and the liquidity stratification phenomenon was obvious [5]. - The second - quarter monetary policy committee meeting changed the wording, but it doesn't rule out the possibility of broad monetary policy in the third quarter. If the economy doesn't improve, new policies may be introduced [5]. - In July, large government bond supply and tax - payment factors will affect the capital market, but the central bank's support is expected to continue. The overnight capital interest rate may fluctuate around the policy rate, and the 7 - day rate may return to around 1.5% [6]. - It is estimated that in July 2025, government bond issuance will be 2.61 - 2.86 trillion yuan, with net financing of 1.45 - 1.70 trillion yuan, slightly higher than in June. The supply of ultra - long - term special treasury bonds may increase, and new local government special bonds are expected to be the main type in the third quarter [6]. - In July, MLF and buy - out repurchase maturities total 1.5 trillion yuan, more than in June. The central bank's operation method has enhanced its control over medium - and long - term liquidity [10]. - Thanks to the central bank's support, in June, CDs maintained high - volume issuance with stable or decreasing prices. In July, the supply - demand structure of CDs will improve, and the interest rate has room to decline [10]. 3.2 Money Market Interest Rate Tracking - From June 23 to June 27, overnight capital interest rates were stable (DR001 around 1.37%, R001 between 1.44% - 1.46%), while 7 - day rates rose (DR007 from 1.51% to 1.70%, R007 from 1.56% to 1.92%), and the liquidity stratification was obvious [13]. - During this period, the bank's capital lending scale increased, the money fund's lending scale decreased, and the bond market leverage ratio continued to rise [17]. - From June 23 to June 27, bill interest rates first decreased and then increased, with the 3M national - share discount rate and half - year national - share transfer discount rate showing corresponding changes [22]. 3.3 Open Market Operation Tracking - As of June 27, the central bank's total balance of open - market operations was 1168.85 billion yuan, including 202.75 billion yuan in pledged repurchase, 480 billion yuan in buy - out repurchase, and 515 billion yuan in MLF [23]. - From June 23 to June 27, the central bank's net injection in open - market operations was 126.72 billion yuan, with 106.72 billion yuan in pledged repurchase. In June, buy - out repurchase and MLF maturities and net injections were as expected. From June 30 to July 4, pledged repurchase maturities reached 202.75 billion yuan [27]. 3.4 Government Bond Tracking 3.4.1 Government Bond Issuance - From June 23 to June 27, treasury bond issuance was 11.1 billion yuan, and net financing was 11.1 billion yuan; local bond issuance was 64.164 billion yuan, with net financing of 56.0393 billion yuan [33]. - It is estimated that from June 30 to July 4, treasury bond issuance will be 0 yuan, with net financing of - 8.015 billion yuan; local bond issuance will be 7.2139 billion yuan, with net financing of 2.1676 billion yuan [33]. 3.4.2 Government Bond Payment - From June 23 to June 27, government bond net payment was 78.981 billion yuan, including 33.1 billion yuan for treasury bonds and 45.881 billion yuan for local bonds. It is estimated that from June 30 to July 4, the net payment will be - 0.594 billion yuan [39]. 3.5 Inter - bank Certificate of Deposit Tracking 3.5.1 Primary Market of Inter - bank CDs - From June 23 to June 27, inter - bank CD issuance was 72.64 billion yuan, with net financing of - 41.15 billion yuan. The maturity scale from June 30 to July 4 was 27.67 billion yuan. By bank type, city commercial banks had the highest issuance; by term type, 3M CDs had the highest issuance [42]. - The overall issuance success rate was 94%. State - owned banks and other banks had a 100% success rate, and 3M CDs had a 95% success rate. The issuance interest rates of all types of banks and terms decreased [42][43]. 3.5.2 Secondary Market of Inter - bank CDs - From June 23 to June 27, despite the tightened cross - quarter liquidity, the yields of secondary - market CDs of all terms increased slightly, and the yield curve was partially inverted [60]. 3.6 Excess Reserve Ratio Tracking - The estimated excess reserve ratio at the end of May 2025 was 0.52%. From June 23 to June 27, the central bank's net injection in open - market operations was 126.72 billion yuan, and government bond net payment was 78.981 billion yuan, increasing the excess reserve scale by 47.739 billion yuan [64].

Core Viewpoint - The central bank may adopt measures such as reserve requirement ratio cuts to provide liquidity support to the market, especially considering the potential acceleration of government bond issuance in the third quarter [1] Group 1 - Citic Securities' chief economist Mingming indicates that financial institutions, particularly banks, have a certain demand for liquidity support [1] - The supportive monetary policy stance suggests that the central bank could utilize tools like open market operations or relending in addition to reserve requirement ratio cuts [1]

Core Points - The central bank conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 220.5 billion yuan for a 7-day term at an interest rate of 1.40%, which remains unchanged from previous rates [1] - A total of 242 billion yuan in 7-day reverse repos matured today, resulting in a net withdrawal of 21.5 billion yuan [1]

1. 公开市场操作 央行公告称，6月20日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了1612亿元7天期逆回购操作，操作利率1.40%，投标量1612亿元，中标量1612亿 元。Wind数据显示，当日2025亿元逆回购到期，据此计算，单日净回笼413亿元。当周央行公开市场全口径净回笼799亿元。 // 债市综述 // Wind数据显示，6月23日-27日当周央行公开市场将有9603亿元逆回购到期。 （*数据来源：Wind-央行动态PBOC） 2.资金面 资金面由偏收敛转为均衡，存款类机构隔夜质押式回购利率继续微幅上行，但仍位于1.37%附近，七天质押式回购利率则下行5个bp。 海外方面，最新美国隔夜融资担保利率为4.31%。 （IMM） （*数据来源：Wind-国际货币资金情绪指数、资金综合屏） 3.同业存单 全国和主要股份制银行一年期同业存单最新成交在1.64%附近，较上日变化不大。 5.近期城投债（AAA）各期限利差走势及数据。 （*数据来源：Wind-利差分析） 6.国债期货收盘齐升。 30年期主力合约涨0.21% 10年期主力合约涨0.02% 5年期主力合约涨0.02% 2年期主力合约涨0.02% （*数据来源：W ...

中国央行逆回购操作当日实现净回笼2559亿元 金十数据6月10日讯，中国央行今日开展1986亿元7天期逆回购操作，因今日有4545亿元7天期逆回购到期，当日实现净回笼2559 亿元。看公开市场资金流向，到"数据库-中国央行数据"查看>> 0 2035/06/04 205/05/05/26 2035/05/30 2035/06/06 2035/05/27 2035/05/28 205/05/29 2035/06/03 2035/06/05 2035/0640 | 逆回购 逆回购到期 票据 MLF MLF到期 | 日期 | 类别(全部) | 量(亿) | 期限 | 利率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-06-10 | 逆回购到期 | 4545 | 7天 | | | 2025-06-10 | 逆回购 | 1986 | 7天 | | | 2025-06-09 | 逆回购 | 1738 | 7天 | | | 2025-06-06 | 逆回购到期 | 2911 | 7天 | | | 2025-06-06 | 逆回购 | 1350 | 7天 | | | 2025-06-05 ...

| 逆回购 票据 I MLF 中国央行逆回购操作当日实现净投放1738亿元 金十数据6月9日讯，中国央行今日开展1738亿元7天期逆回购操作，因今日无逆回购到期，当日实现净投放1738亿元。看公开市 场资金流向，到"数据库-中国央行数据"查看 | 2025-05-27 | 逆回购 | 4480 | 7天 | 1.4 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-05-26 | 逆回购到期 | 1350 | 7天 | | | 2025-05-26 | 逆回购 | 3820 | 7天 | 1.4 | | 2025-05-23 | 逆回购到期 | 1065 | 7天 | | 下载金十数据APP 专业 · 及时 · 精准 · 权威 > 金十数据 · 7x24跟踪全球市场突发消息 | 逆回购到期 | MLF到期 | 日期 | 类别(全部) | 量(亿) | 期限 | 利率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-06-09 | 逆回购 | 1738 | 7天 | 1.4 | | 2025-06-06 | 逆回购到期 | 2911 | 7天 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a 1,350 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation with a rate of 1.40%, maintaining the previous level, resulting in a net withdrawal of 1,561 billion yuan from the market due to 2,911 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day [1] Group 1: Market Operations - The PBOC performed a total of 9,309 billion yuan in 7-day reverse repos this week, with 16,026 billion yuan maturing, leading to a net withdrawal of 6,717 billion yuan [1] - On the same day, the PBOC also conducted a 10,000 billion yuan buyout reverse repurchase operation [1] Group 2: Interbank Rates - The overnight Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) increased by 0.30 basis points to 1.4110%, while the 7-day and 14-day Shibor rates decreased by 3.40 basis points to 1.5000% and 0.30 basis points to 1.5880%, respectively [1][2] - The weighted average rates for various repo products showed a slight decline, with DR001 and R001 down by 0.0 and 0.9 basis points, respectively, and DR007 and R007 down by 1.9 and 1.6 basis points [5] Group 3: Market Liquidity - The funding environment remained loose throughout the day, with overnight rates stabilizing around 1.48% and 7-day rates around 1.50% [9] - A total of 205 interbank certificates of deposit were issued, with an actual issuance volume of 4,599.6 billion yuan by the end of the day [9][10]