RealEstate网站5月9日报道，最新调查显示，澳洲民众对房地产市场的信心在连续 3个季度下跌后出现 大幅反弹。与此同时，澳洲最大银行之一预测利率将回归至疫 情时期水平。 周五发布的NABResidential Property Index指出，今年3月，该指数"大幅上涨至 远超平均水平的40点， 此前连续3个季度呈下降趋势"。 预计未来12个月内该指数将 达到51点，未来两年将达到54点。 澳洲国民银行（NAB）首席经济学家Sally Auld预计，利率下调将支撑经济增长， 澳洲经济将实现'软着 陆'。 今年下半年的通胀率将稳定在澳联储目标区间的中间水 平，失业率将保持在4.5%以下。 （图片来源：RealEstate） "也就是说，全球经济正面临逆风，全球增长放缓可能对澳洲经济增长产生负面影 响，同时也会起到抑 制通胀的作用。这意味着澳联储需要更快实现利率正常化，并 进一步降低利率以提供额外支持。" "因此，我们现在预计澳联储将在8月前将现金利率降至3.1%，并在2026年初降至 2.6%。" （图片来源：RealEstate） 最新调查发现，未来12个月的房价增长预期几乎翻了一番，达到2.3%（此前 ...

Group 1: Interest Rate Predictions - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to lower interest rates four more times this year, potentially bringing the rate down to 3.1% [1][4] - Bendigo Bank's chief economist, David Robertson, indicates that the RBA's focus is shifting from inflation to protecting growth and employment [1][3] - The overall inflation rate remains at 2.4%, but the adjusted mean inflation has decreased from 3.3% to 2.9%, returning to the target range for the first time since December 2021 [3][6] Group 2: Housing Market Trends - Australian house prices have reached a historical high and are expected to accelerate further if the RBA lowers interest rates [1][6] - The annual growth rate of house prices slowed to 3.2% in April, the smallest increase since August 2023, with major cities showing modest monthly increases [8][9] - Despite the anticipated interest rate cuts, house price growth is expected to remain in single digits due to factors like affordability issues and a cautious lending environment [10][9] Group 3: Urban Planning and Housing Supply - The Victorian government has proposed high-density housing plans aimed at increasing apartment construction in affluent areas to address social segregation [12][14] - Critics argue that the planning process has been opaque and may harm Melbourne's cultural heritage and urban character [14][15] - The opposition has formed a committee to investigate the government's urban planning revisions, emphasizing the need for community input [17]

Core Insights - The Australian housing market is expected to continue rising due to anticipated interest rate cuts by the central bank and tight housing supply [1][5] - In April, the national home value index increased by 0.3%, marking the third consecutive month of growth, with the median house value rising approximately AUD 2,720 [3][4] Housing Price Trends - The current national median house price stands at AUD 825,349, with Sydney having the highest median at AUD 1,194,709 and Darwin the lowest at AUD 526,410 [3][4] - All capital cities experienced price increases in April, with Darwin showing the largest growth at 1.1% [3][4] - Over the past year, all states except Melbourne and Canberra saw price increases, with Melbourne experiencing a decline of 2.2% and Canberra a slight drop of 0.6% [4] Regional Performance - Perth recorded the highest annual price increase at 10%, while Brisbane and Adelaide also showed significant growth at 7.8% and 9.8% respectively [5] - Detached houses continue to outperform apartments in value growth, with a 1.1% increase in the last three months compared to 0.5% for apartments [5] Rental Market Insights - The national rental index rose by 0.6% in the quarter, with a seasonally adjusted increase of 0.4% in April, indicating a slowdown compared to previous years [6][7] - Despite high rental prices, the growth rate has significantly decreased from the 8% to 10% increases seen in 2021, 2022, and 2023 [6][7]

根据Domain最新的房地产价格报告： 阿德莱德已经成为澳洲第五个房价中位数达到百万的首府城市。 预计到年底，珀斯也将加入这一行列，这使得年轻的澳洲人愈发难以实现购房梦。此外，阿德莱德的土地价格也达到了惊人的新高度。 一块位于Tennyson的海边地块以235万澳元的高价售出。这块位于8 Estcourt Road的土地面积为582平方米，几乎是普通城市空地面积的两倍，但每平方米 的价格却比常规价格高出近六倍。 澳洲又一个首府城市 房价破百万 住在阿德莱德的Hayley和丈夫在过去的六年里，一直努力攒钱，希望能够买到自己的房子。然而，飞涨的房价让他们的梦想变得越来越难以实现。 据PropTrack报道，这块土地的售价仅比Tennyson房屋的中位价低了40万澳元，即便它还未开发。 中介David Paladino经过几个月的协商，达成了这一交易。他表示，买家和开发商卖家都对这一"非凡"的结果感到非常满意。这块地的成交价格大约是每 平方米4038澳元。 根据最新的房屋产业协会数据，阿德莱德市区一块典型空地（375平方米）的售价可达268,700澳元，约合每平方米691澳元。 同时，整个大阿德莱德地区的带住宅地块 ...

认认真真聊地产，实实在在谈买房。 本文来自微信公众号： 真叫卢俊 （ID：zhenjiaolujun0426） ，作者： 铮铮，原文标题：《听说一二线城市房价都在涨，我给中介打了电话》，头图来 自：视觉中国 最近刷手机的时候不知道大家有没有发现，新房涨价的消息又开始多起来。 如果单从数据层面来说确实如此：根据国家统计局发布的2025年1月房价数据可以看出，全国多数城市的新房价格确实开始出现上升趋势。 以下文章来源于真叫卢俊 ，作者真叫卢俊团队 真叫卢俊 . 70个大中城市中，24个城市新房价格环比上涨，比去年12月还要增加1个，尤为引人注目的是二线城市开始表现出更强劲的 反超 趋势。 | | 线城市新房价格上涨趋势 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 排名 | 城市 | 同比上涨 | | 1 | 南京 | 0.7% | | 2 | 成都 | 0.7% | | 3 | 上海 | 0.6% | | 4 | 宁波 | 0 6% .. | | 5 | 武汉 | 0.5% | | 6 | 无锡 | 0.5% | | 7 | 海口 | 0 4% | | 8 | 重庆 | 0 4% | | 9 | 天津 | ...

日经GO 日本2024年新房均价约合296万元，连续8年创新高 原创 阅读全文 日经中文网 ...