Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not mention the industry investment rating. Group 2: Core View of the Report - After the May Day holiday this week, the shipping enthusiasm of merchants decreased, and the overall sales speed slowed down slightly compared with before the holiday. The apple market price tended to be stable, and the high - cost - effective supply remained strong. Market customers restocked as needed after the holiday, and the producing areas mainly shipped the previously packed goods. The inventory holders' willingness to sell increased. With the rising temperature, seasonal melons were on the market one after another, and the small - batch purchases decreased slightly. The new - season apples have gradually entered the fruit - setting period. The fruit - setting situation in the western region is differentiated, with poor fruit - setting in some producing areas, while the overall fruit - setting in Shandong is okay. In the future, apples are expected to maintain a high - level volatile trend based on low inventory and growth impacts. [3] Group 3: Summary According to the Directory 1. Weekly View - The overall sales speed of apples slowed down slightly after the May Day holiday, the price was stable, and high - cost - effective supply was strong. New - season apples entered the fruit - setting period with different situations in different regions. Apples are expected to maintain a high - level volatile trend. [3] 2. Market Review - This week, the main apple contract fluctuated at a high level. The apple basis was 263 yuan, an increase of 67 yuan compared with last week. [6] 3. Apple Wholesale Market Price Trend - As of May 9, 2025, the wholesale price of all apple varieties was 9.44 yuan/kg, an increase of 0.15 yuan/kg from last week; the wholesale price of Fuji apples was 8.96 yuan/kg, an increase of 0.22 yuan/kg from last week. Recently, the spot price of Fuji apples has been strong. [12] 4. Main Apple Producing Areas - In Shandong Qixia, the price of 80 first - and second - grade striped apples was 4.00 - 4.50 yuan/jin, etc. In Shaanxi Luochuan, the price of orchard - owner general - grade apples starting from 70 was 4.3 - 4.5 yuan/jin, etc. [17] 5. Cold Storage Situation Analysis - As of May 14, 2025, the apple cold - storage inventory in the main producing areas was 1.951 billion kg, a decrease of 337.6 million kg from last week. The inventory was still at a low level in the past five years. [19] 6. Sales Area Market Summary - In the South China market, the number of trucks arriving at the Guangdong Chalong market decreased. The daily average number of trucks arriving during the week was about 30. The sales were smooth during the May Day holiday and slowed down slightly after the holiday. The market price of Luochuan 80 late - season Fuji apples was 4.5 - 5.5 yuan/jin, etc. [24] 7. Apple Storage Profit Analysis - In the 2024 - 2025 production season, the profit of Qixia 80 first - and second - grade storage merchants was 0.9 yuan/jin, the same as last week. [28] 8. Substitute Price Analysis - As of the 19th week of 2025, the average wholesale price of six fruits monitored by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs was 7.82 yuan/kg, an increase of 0.25 yuan/kg compared with the 17th week. The average wholesale prices of bananas, Kyoho grapes, and Fuji apples increased by 0.01 yuan/kg, 0.89 yuan/kg, and 0.22 yuan/kg respectively compared with the 17th week. The average wholesale prices of watermelons and pineapples decreased by 0.28 yuan/kg and 0.06 yuan/kg respectively compared with the 17th week. [33]

长江期货股份有限公司交易咨询业务资格：鄂证监期货字{2014}1号 2025-4-14 【长期研究|棉纺团队】 研究员：洪润霞 执业编号: F0260331 投资咨询号:Z0017099 黄尚海 执业编号: F0270997 投资咨询号:Z0002826 联系人：钟 舟 执业编号: F3059360 顾振翔 执业编号: F3033495 震荡偏强 长江期货苹果产业周报 01 周度观点 1 整体观点：上周清明备货结束，不同产区走货情况有所差异，整体氛围尚可。综合来看，周内苹果较去年同期的去库 速度有所加快，基本面无明显矛盾，西部交易重心转移至客商货源交易，山东成交有所升温。销区方面，受到节日提 振，周内到货有所增加。现货价格方面，周内整体维持稳定为主，部分产区价格稳中偏硬。目前苹果的生长周期已进 入萌芽期，果树开始生长枝丫，后续需重点关注主产区低温天气的实际影响。当前苹果交割博弈加剧，盘面波动加大， 短期来看预计期现货价格偏乐观看待。 2 风险因素：市场消费情况、宏观政策因素 Ø 本周苹果主力震荡偏强运行。 Ø 苹果基差-85元，较上周+139。 02 行情回顾 数据来源：博易大师、IFIND、上海钢联、中果网 ...